LandBridge (LB)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $53.26 | Market Cap: $1.3 BilSector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Equipment & Services
LandBridge (LB)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $53.26Market Cap: $1.3 BilSector: EnergyIndustry: Oil & Gas Equipment & Services
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.3%, Dividend Yield is 4.5%, FCF Yield is 8.4% | Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 14% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 7.5x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 12x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 55x |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 97% | Key risksLB key risks include [1] significant concerns regarding its financial credibility and corporate governance, Show more. | |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 57% | ||
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 64%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 63% | ||
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -39% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce Logistics & Data Centers. Themes include E-commerce Logistics REITs, Data Center REITs, and Cold Storage Facilities. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.3%, Dividend Yield is 4.5%, FCF Yield is 8.4% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 97% |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 57% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 64%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 63% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -39% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce Logistics & Data Centers. Themes include E-commerce Logistics REITs, Data Center REITs, and Cold Storage Facilities. |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 14% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 7.5x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 12x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 55x |
| Key risksLB key risks include [1] significant concerns regarding its financial credibility and corporate governance, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
LB Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
The stock price for LandBridge (LB) from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025, shows fluctuations rather than a consistent 0.2% movement. However, several key events occurred during this period that impacted the stock's performance.
1. Strong Q3 2025 Financial Results: LandBridge announced its third-quarter 2025 financial results on November 12, 2025, reporting a 78% year-over-year revenue growth to $50.8 million and a 7% increase quarter-over-quarter. Net income reached $20.3 million, and Adjusted EBITDA was $44.9 million, up 79% year-over-year. Despite these strong figures, the stock experienced a decline after the earnings release, falling 7.97% in after-hours trading. This indicates that while the company performed well, market expectations or other factors may have led to a negative immediate reaction.
2. Significant Acquisition and Strategic Initiatives: In Q3 2025, LandBridge completed the acquisition of approximately 37,500 acres in Texas, which is expected to enhance its capacity for produced water handling resources and alternative energy developments. The company also finalized the sale of a solar energy project and entered a long-term lease for a natural gas processing facility, diversifying its revenue streams. Additionally, LandBridge announced Battery Energy Storage System (BESS) development agreements with Samsung C&T Renewables in December 2025.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| LB Return | � | � | � | � | � | -21% | � |
| Peers Return | � | � | � | � | � | � | � |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| LB Win Rate | � | � | � | � | 83% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | � | � | � | � | � | 31% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| LB Max Drawdown | � | � | � | � | � | -24% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | � | � | � | � | � | � | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: TPL, BSM, VNOM, WBI, HESM.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
LB has limited trading history. Below is the Energy sector ETF (XLE) in its place.
| Event | XLE | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -26.9% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 36.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 116 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -60.6% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 153.8% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 660 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -31.8% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 46.6% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,201 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -57.8% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 137.1% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,858 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to
In The Past
SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -26.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/8/2022. A -26.9% loss requires a 36.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to LB. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WHD | Cactus | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.8% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| 10172025 | OVV | Ovintiv | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.4% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
| 10102025 | COP | ConocoPhillips | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.5% | 4.5% | -2.3% |
| 10102025 | HAL | Halliburton | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 24.5% | 24.5% | -0.7% |
| 10102025 | OXY | Occidental Petroleum | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -7.1% | -7.1% | -7.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WHD | Cactus | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.8% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| 10172025 | OVV | Ovintiv | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.4% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
| 10102025 | COP | ConocoPhillips | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.5% | 4.5% | -2.3% |
| 10102025 | HAL | Halliburton | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 24.5% | 24.5% | -0.7% |
| 10102025 | OXY | Occidental Petroleum | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -7.1% | -7.1% | -7.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for LandBridge
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 39.14 |
| Mkt Cap | 4.5 |
| Rev LTM | 852 |
| Op Inc LTM | 432 |
| FCF LTM | 224 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 323 |
| CFO LTM | 559 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 491 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 12.5% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 6.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | 27.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 3.8% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 59.7% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 66.2% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 68.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 70.9% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 44.3% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 47.9% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 4.5 |
| P/S | 4.8 |
| P/EBIT | 13.2 |
| P/E | 23.2 |
| P/CFO | 9.3 |
| Total Yield | 6.3% |
| Dividend Yield | 4.5% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 12.6% |
| D/E | 0.3 |
| Net D/E | 0.3 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -7.6% |
| 3M Rtn | -3.1% |
| 6M Rtn | -12.6% |
| 12M Rtn | -12.3% |
| 3Y Rtn | 30.4% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -8.3% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -4.5% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -24.9% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -26.2% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -39.7% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/12/2025 | -10.3% | -20.7% | -35.7% |
| 8/7/2025 | 1.4% | 5.5% | 0.9% |
| 3/5/2025 | -5.9% | 5.8% | 1.5% |
| 11/7/2024 | 11.6% | 14.7% | 4.3% |
| 8/7/2024 | -0.5% | 4.5% | 7.7% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 2 | 4 | 4 |
| # Negative | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| Median Positive | 6.5% | 5.7% | 2.9% |
| Median Negative | -5.9% | -20.7% | -35.7% |
| Max Positive | 11.6% | 14.7% | 7.7% |
| Max Negative | -10.3% | -20.7% | -35.7% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11122025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8052025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5082025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3062025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11072024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8082024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 12312023 | 6282024 | 424B4 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 2142024 | DRS/A 9/30/2023 |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |