Tearsheet

Key Tronic (KTCC)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $2.43 | Market Cap: $26.2 Mil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals

Key Tronic (KTCC)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $2.43
Market Cap: $26.2 Mil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 37%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -84%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -117%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -4.5 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1.0%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital Health & Telemedicine, Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Themes include Remote Patient Monitoring, Show more.
  Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 458%
2   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -21%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -6.4%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -25%
3   Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 54%
4   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -49%
5   Key risks
KTCC key risks include [1] material weaknesses in internal controls requiring financial restatements and [2] significant customer concentration without the security of long-term contracts.
0 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 37%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital Health & Telemedicine, Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Themes include Remote Patient Monitoring, Show more.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -84%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -117%
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -4.5 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1.0%
4 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 458%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -21%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -6.4%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -25%
6 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 54%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -49%
8 Key risks
KTCC key risks include [1] material weaknesses in internal controls requiring financial restatements and [2] significant customer concentration without the security of long-term contracts.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

KTCC Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Key Tronic (KTCC) experienced a stock decline of 16.5% between August 31, 2025, and December 18, 2025, primarily influenced by several key factors related to its financial performance and market conditions during this period.

1. Significant Revenue Decline in Q1 Fiscal Year 2026: The company reported a substantial decrease in total revenue for the first quarter of fiscal year 2026 (ended September 27, 2025), with revenue falling to $98.8 million from $131.6 million in the same period of fiscal year 2025, a 24.9% year-over-year decrease. This decline was attributed to reductions in demand from a long-standing customer and delays in new program launches.

2. Shift from Net Income to Net Loss: Key Tronic moved from a net income of $1.1 million (or $0.10 per share) in the first quarter of fiscal year 2025 to a net loss of $2.3 million (or $0.21 per share) in the first quarter of fiscal year 2026. The adjusted net loss also widened significantly.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
KTCC Return27%-9%-31%-0%-3%-41%-55%
Peers Return
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
KTCC Win Rate58%33%25%58%33%25% 
Peers Win Rate62% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
KTCC Max Drawdown-52%-13%-35%-12%-14%-46% 
Peers Max Drawdown 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: BGIN, VELO, AAPL, DELL, STX.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventKTCCS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-58.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven143.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-61.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven159.1%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven112 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-42.9%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven75.1%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven365 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-84.5%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven545.3%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven344 days1,480 days

Compare to BGIN, VELO, AAPL, DELL, STX


In The Past

Key Tronic's stock fell -58.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/28/2021. A -58.9% loss requires a 143.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Key Tronic (KTCC)

Better Bets than Key Tronic (KTCC)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to KTCC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
10.4%10.4%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.7%10.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.2%12.2%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
4.2%4.2%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
13.6%13.6%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
10.4%10.4%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.7%10.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.2%12.2%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
4.2%4.2%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
13.6%13.6%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Key Tronic

Peers to compare with:

Financials

KTCCBGINVELOAAPLDELLSTXMedian
NameKey Tron.BGIN Blo.Velo3D Apple Dell Tec.Seagate . 
Mkt Price2.433.129.48271.84127.89277.6568.69
Mkt Cap0.0-0.04,051.295.159.759.7
Rev LTM435-49408,625104,0909,0979,097
Op Inc LTM-4--56130,2146,9241,9151,915
FCF LTM10--2296,1844,449818818
FCF 3Y Avg5--66100,5034,781703703
CFO LTM17--22108,5657,0961,0831,083
CFO 3Y Avg12--63111,5597,474981981

Growth & Margins

KTCCBGINVELOAAPLDELLSTXMedian
NameKey Tron.BGIN Blo.Velo3D Apple Dell Tec.Seagate . 
Rev Chg LTM-20.7%-59.4%6.0%10.8%38.9%10.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-6.4%-18.9%1.8%0.2%-3.0%0.2%
Rev Chg Q-24.9%-65.4%9.6%10.8%29.5%10.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-7.0%-12.3%2.1%2.6%6.5%2.6%
Op Mgn LTM-1.0%--114.2%31.9%6.7%21.1%6.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg0.8%--198.3%30.8%6.1%9.4%6.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.1%-32.9%0.1%0.2%1.8%0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM3.8%--44.4%26.6%6.8%11.9%6.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg2.4%--110.9%28.4%7.8%12.9%7.8%
FCF/Rev LTM2.2%--45.0%23.5%4.3%9.0%4.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg1.2%--113.5%25.6%5.0%9.2%5.0%

Valuation

KTCCBGINVELOAAPLDELLSTXMedian
NameKey Tron.BGIN Blo.Velo3D Apple Dell Tec.Seagate . 
Mkt Cap0.0-0.04,051.295.159.759.7
P/S0.1-0.19.30.95.60.9
P/EBIT-5.9--29.1-27.727.7
P/E-2.2--0.038.218.334.518.3
P/CFO1.6--0.235.013.446.913.4
Total Yield-44.7%--2,073.7%3.0%7.0%4.1%3.0%
Dividend Yield0.0%-0.0%0.4%1.5%1.2%0.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg10.9%--3.1%-3.0%3.1%
D/E4.6--0.0-0.10.1
Net D/E4.6--0.0-0.10.1

Returns

KTCCBGINVELOAAPLDELLSTXMedian
NameKey Tron.BGIN Blo.Velo3D Apple Dell Tec.Seagate . 
1M Rtn-10.3%-1.9%117.9%1.6%4.4%6.2%3.0%
3M Rtn-29.4%-197.2%13.9%-1.5%30.5%13.9%
6M Rtn-16.2%--38.6%10.6%113.3%24.6%
12M Rtn-46.1%--7.7%10.1%198.8%8.9%
3Y Rtn-47.2%--105.1%246.9%489.0%176.0%
1M Excs Rtn-11.1%-2.6%117.2%0.9%3.7%5.5%2.3%
3M Excs Rtn-33.7%-195.8%13.0%-4.2%27.2%13.0%
6M Excs Rtn-28.6%--26.2%-1.8%100.9%12.2%
12M Excs Rtn-60.6%---1.0%-1.1%183.7%-1.1%
3Y Excs Rtn-116.8%--22.5%149.2%383.6%85.9%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Contract manufacturing sales and services567   450
Electronics Manufacturing Services 605532519 
Keyboard    0
Total567605532519450


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity33,060
Short Interest: % Change Since 1115202518.4%
Average Daily Volume38,166
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1
Basic Shares Quantity10,771,000
Short % of Basic Shares0.3%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/27/2025-4.4%-3.7%17.1%
5/6/2025-4.9%-2.1%18.1%
1/24/2025-7.7%-12.9%-25.7%
11/5/2024-5.0%-2.0%-9.6%
8/2/20246.5%1.8%19.1%
4/26/2024-6.1%-5.0%-7.2%
2/6/20243.6%5.0%7.9%
10/24/2023-3.8%-8.4%-9.1%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive788
# Negative161515
Median Positive6.5%5.4%12.1%
Median Negative-4.7%-7.8%-9.1%
Max Positive27.1%17.4%19.1%
Max Negative-15.0%-20.3%-25.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251107202510-Q 9/27/2025
6302025917202510-K 6/28/2025
3312025513202510-Q 3/29/2025
12312024207202510-Q 12/28/2024
93020241112202410-Q 9/28/2024
63020241015202410-K 6/29/2024
3312024514202410-Q 3/30/2024
12312023208202410-Q 12/30/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023926202310-K 7/1/2023
3312023510202310-Q 4/1/2023
12312022209202310-Q 12/31/2022
93020221109202210-Q 10/1/2022
6302022914202210-K 7/2/2022
3312022511202210-Q 4/2/2022
12312021210202210-Q 1/1/2022

Industry Resources

Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals Resources
The Verge
TechRadar
Tom’s Hardware
PCMag
CNET