Tearsheet

Velo3D (VELO)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $9.71 | Market Cap: $11.1 Mil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals

Velo3D (VELO)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $9.71
Market Cap: $11.1 Mil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 59%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -56 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -114%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space, Automation & Robotics, and Advanced Materials. Themes include Commercial Space Exploration, Show more.
Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -44%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -45%
2  Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 98%
3  Key risks
VELO key risks include [1] severe liquidity constraints raising substantial doubt about its ability to continue as a going concern, Show more.
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 59%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space, Automation & Robotics, and Advanced Materials. Themes include Commercial Space Exploration, Show more.
2 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -56 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -114%
3 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -44%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -45%
4 Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 98%
5 Key risks
VELO key risks include [1] severe liquidity constraints raising substantial doubt about its ability to continue as a going concern, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

VELO Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Velo3D (VELO) experienced significant stock movement between August 31, 2025, and December 18, 2025, with reports indicating an increase of over 80% in a five-day period in December 2025 alone, contributing to a substantial overall rise. This surge was driven by several key factors: 1. Deepening Integration with Defense and Aerospace Primes. Velo3D's CEO, Arun Jeldi, highlighted the company's established role in the supply chain for critical aerospace components, including SpaceX's Raptor engines. He confirmed that five major parts in current Raptor engines are qualified for Velo3D's metal additive manufacturing platform, and the company is already printing components for the next-generation Raptor 4 engine. Additionally, Velo3D is collaborating with defense technology firm Anduril on multiple programs to secure more contracts. 2. Strong Demand for Rapid Production Services (RPS). The company's strategic shift towards high-margin recurring revenue from defense and space customers, particularly through its Rapid Production Services offering, has shown strong momentum. In the third quarter of 2025, RPS backlog increased by 22% quarter-to-quarter, with new customers representing over 9% of bookings and 48% of bookings coming from the Space and Defense sector. This strategic pivot was also evident in the second quarter of 2025, with RPS bookings increasing 79% sequentially and 54% from the space sector and 33% from defense customers. 3.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
VELO Return
Peers Return-51%18%-17%9%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
VELO Win Rate50% 
Peers Win Rate35%38%50%40%54% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
VELO Max Drawdown 
Peers Max Drawdown-56%-34%-57%-35% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: DDD, SSYS, PRLB, XMTR.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

VELO has limited trading history. Below is the Information Technology sector ETF (XLK) in its place.

Unique KeyEventXLKS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-34.0%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven51.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven278 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-31.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven46.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven79 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-24.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven31.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven105 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-53.6%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven115.3%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,183 days1,480 days

Compare to


In The Past

SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -34.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/27/2021. A -34.0% loss requires a 51.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Velo3D (VELO)

Better Bets than Velo3D (VELO)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to VELO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
9.6%9.6%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.1%10.1%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.5%13.5%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
9.1%9.1%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
9.6%9.6%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.1%10.1%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.5%13.5%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
9.1%9.1%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Velo3D

Peers to compare with:

Financials

VELODDDSSYSPRLBXMTRMedian
NameVelo3D 3D Syste.StratasysProto La.Xometry  
Mkt Price9.481.869.0152.3759.189.48
Mkt Cap0.00.21.01.33.01.0
Rev LTM49392561518643518
Op Inc LTM-56-98-6123-48-56
FCF LTM-22-94-768-14-14
FCF 3Y Avg-66-90-3757-40-40
CFO LTM-22-8118751111
CFO 3Y Avg-63-72-2173-20-21

Growth & Margins

VELODDDSSYSPRLBXMTRMedian
NameVelo3D 3D Syste.StratasysProto La.Xometry  
Rev Chg LTM59.4%-11.8%-2.9%2.8%22.4%2.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg18.9%-11.0%-5.2%1.5%22.5%1.5%
Rev Chg Q65.4%-19.2%-2.2%7.8%27.5%7.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM12.3%-5.2%-0.5%1.9%6.5%1.9%
Op Mgn LTM-114.2%-25.0%-10.9%4.4%-7.5%-10.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-198.3%-25.0%-12.5%4.9%-12.9%-12.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM32.9%2.8%0.4%-0.0%0.6%0.6%
CFO/Rev LTM-44.4%-20.7%3.2%14.5%1.7%1.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-110.9%-16.2%-3.2%14.5%-4.6%-4.6%
FCF/Rev LTM-45.0%-24.1%-1.2%13.1%-2.1%-2.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-113.5%-20.3%-6.0%11.2%-8.4%-8.4%

Valuation

VELODDDSSYSPRLBXMTRMedian
NameVelo3D 3D Syste.StratasysProto La.Xometry  
Mkt Cap0.00.21.01.33.01.0
P/S0.10.91.72.34.31.7
P/EBIT-9.5-53.0-47.69.5
P/E-0.023.2-7.580.5-44.0-0.0
P/CFO-0.2-4.553.815.9257.815.9
Total Yield-2,073.7%4.3%-13.4%1.2%-2.3%-2.3%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg--20.2%-6.7%-4.4%-4.4%
D/E-0.5-0.00.10.1
Net D/E-0.2--0.10.00.0

Returns

VELODDDSSYSPRLBXMTRMedian
NameVelo3D 3D Syste.StratasysProto La.Xometry  
1M Rtn117.9%-10.6%5.6%11.3%5.0%5.6%
3M Rtn197.2%-17.0%-8.4%6.1%14.6%6.1%
6M Rtn-26.5%-14.6%37.7%80.2%32.1%
12M Rtn--51.1%-9.8%21.1%59.0%5.6%
3Y Rtn--77.5%-25.1%95.9%81.9%28.4%
1M Excs Rtn117.2%-11.3%4.9%10.5%4.3%4.9%
3M Excs Rtn195.8%-26.0%-10.6%1.6%11.5%1.6%
6M Excs Rtn-14.1%-26.9%25.4%67.8%19.8%
12M Excs Rtn--64.2%-21.7%9.1%59.2%-6.3%
3Y Excs Rtn--148.1%-96.7%31.7%-20.0%-58.4%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil2024202320222021
Three dimensional (3D) Printer sales69692317
Support services7532
Recurring payment2420
Other0   
Total77792719


Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,113,410
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-19.8%
Average Daily Volume396,136
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.81
Basic Shares Quantity1,141,624
Short % of Basic Shares97.5%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/10/202521.0%-11.2%173.1%
8/6/2025 
3/31/2025   
8/14/2024   
3/26/2024   
11/6/2023   
8/10/2023   
5/1/2023   
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive112
# Negative121211
Median Positive21.0% 173.1%
Median Negative -11.2% 
Max Positive21.0%173.1%
Max Negative -11.2% 

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251112202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025515202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024331202510-K 12/31/2024
9302024114202510-Q 9/30/2024
6302024814202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024515202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023403202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231120202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023815202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023510202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022320202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221114202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022812202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022516202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021328202210-K 12/31/2021

Industry Resources

Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals Resources
The Verge
TechRadar
Tom’s Hardware
PCMag
CNET