Tearsheet

Kinetik (KNTK)


Market Price (11/18/2025): $32.83 | Market Cap: $2.0 Bil
Sector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Storage & Transportation

Kinetik (KNTK)


Market Price (11/18/2025): $32.83
Market Cap: $2.0 Bil
Sector: Energy
Industry: Oil & Gas Storage & Transportation

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 16%, Dividend Yield is 9.4%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 11%, FCF Yield is 6.7%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -44%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -49%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 207%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11%
 
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 37%
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 41%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include US Energy Independence. Themes include US LNG, and US Oilfield Technologies.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 16%, Dividend Yield is 9.4%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 11%, FCF Yield is 6.7%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 37%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 41%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include US Energy Independence. Themes include US LNG, and US Oilfield Technologies.
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -44%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -49%
6 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11%
7 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 207%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

KNTK Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for why Kinetik's (KNTK) stock moved by -22.8% during the approximate time period from July 31, 2025, to today: 1. Kinetik reported a significant miss in its Q3 2025 earnings per share (EPS) and subsequently revised its full-year 2025 financial guidance downwards. The company's reported EPS of $0.03 fell substantially short of the forecasted $0.32, which raised profitability concerns for investors and led to a stock decline. Additionally, Kinetik adjusted its 2025 Adjusted EBITDA guidance range to $965 million to $1.005 billion, a reduction from earlier projections.

2. The Kings Landing processing plant experienced a slower-than-expected ramp-up to full commercial in-service. Although the facility achieved full commercial in-service in late September 2025, the delayed and slower pace of volume contributions in August and September negatively impacted earnings by approximately $20 million.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
KNTK Return-17%42%15%11%83%-38%70%
Peers Return-30%3%-2%19%-18%10%-24%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%13%107%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
KNTK Win Rate33%58%50%50%75%40% 
Peers Win Rate22%35%27%40%25%47% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
KNTK Max Drawdown-83%-3%-0%-13%-4%-38% 
Peers Max Drawdown-37%-8%-21%-18%-32%-16% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: FRO, BANL, TMDE, TOPS, ENB.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventKNTKS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-35.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven54.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven513 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-83.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven502.1%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven144 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-83.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven509.5%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days

Compare to FRO, BANL, TMDE, TOPS, ENB


In The Past

Kinetik's stock fell -35.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/8/2022. A -35.4% loss requires a 54.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

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About Kinetik (KNTK)

Better Bets than Kinetik (KNTK)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to KNTK. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
8.8%8.8%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.3%4.3%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
24.3%24.3%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.4%1.4%-5.7%
SLB_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025SLBSLBDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.5%16.5%0.0%
KNTK_5312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy05312025KNTKKinetikDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-19.6%-19.6%-23.3%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
8.8%8.8%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.3%4.3%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
24.3%24.3%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.4%1.4%-5.7%
SLB_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025SLBSLBDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.5%16.5%0.0%
KNTK_5312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy05312025KNTKKinetikDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-19.6%-19.6%-23.3%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Kinetik

Financials

KNTKFROBANLTMDETOPSENBMedian
NameKinetik FrontlineCBL Inte.TMD Ener.TOP ShipsEnbridge  
Mkt Price32.8325.300.470.665.9647.7515.63
Mkt Cap2.05.6---104.15.6
Rev LTM1,7201,824--264,2341,772
Op Inc LTM140387---511,199264
FCF LTM136615---4,054615
FCF 3Y Avg278-179---6,707278
CFO LTM638624---12,821638
CFO 3Y Avg625726---13,191726

Growth & Margins

KNTKFROBANLTMDETOPSENBMedian
NameKinetik FrontlineCBL Inte.TMD Ener.TOP ShipsEnbridge  
Rev Chg LTM18.9%-5.3%---95.8%32.3%6.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg15.2%35.9%---49.4%8.6%11.9%
Rev Chg Q17.1%-13.7%---77.1%-1.6%-7.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM4.1%-4.0%---67.4%-0.4%-2.2%
Op Mgn LTM8.1%21.2%---208.7%17.4%12.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg12.3%34.6%---55.9%19.1%15.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-3.5%-5.7%---202.2%0.1%-4.6%
CFO/Rev LTM37.1%34.2%---20.0%34.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg43.5%38.3%---25.6%38.3%
FCF/Rev LTM7.9%33.7%---6.3%7.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg19.9%-8.7%---13.5%13.5%

Valuation

KNTKFROBANLTMDETOPSENBMedian
NameKinetik FrontlineCBL Inte.TMD Ener.TOP ShipsEnbridge  
Mkt Cap2.05.6---104.15.6
P/S1.23.1---1.61.6
P/EBIT5.710.7---8.08.0
P/E16.223.7---17.317.3
P/CFO3.29.0---8.18.1
Total Yield15.5%9.5%---13.6%13.6%
Dividend Yield9.4%5.3%---7.8%7.8%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg11.9%1.3%---8.3%8.3%
D/E2.10.6---1.01.0
Net D/E2.10.6---1.01.0

Returns

KNTKFROBANLTMDETOPSENBMedian
NameKinetik FrontlineCBL Inte.TMD Ener.TOP ShipsEnbridge  
1M Rtn-6.5%8.3%-36.6%-12.4%1.4%2.9%-2.5%
3M Rtn-16.3%35.4%-30.8%-23.3%6.3%3.8%-6.3%
6M Rtn-24.2%41.1%-50.6%-20.5%5.4%9.3%-7.6%
12M Rtn-39.1%40.0%-52.1%--21.3%20.0%-21.3%
3Y Rtn23.9%139.2%---84.7%44.4%34.1%
1M Excs Rtn-6.6%8.2%-36.7%-12.5%1.3%2.7%-2.7%
3M Excs Rtn-20.1%34.9%-34.5%-25.9%2.3%-1.5%-10.8%
6M Excs Rtn-36.0%29.2%-62.5%-32.4%-6.5%-2.6%-19.5%
12M Excs Rtn-48.4%27.9%-66.8%--36.5%9.4%-36.5%
3Y Excs Rtn-49.0%90.8%---154.8%-24.0%-36.5%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10312025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity6,818,494
Short Interest: % Change Since 101520257.9%
Average Daily Volume1,282,684
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.32
Basic Shares Quantity61,866,000
Short % of Basic Shares11.0%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/6/20251.9%-4.1% 
8/7/2025-0.6%-1.5%0.1%
2/27/2025-4.1%-7.8%-11.9%
11/6/20247.5%6.2%10.9%
8/7/20242.8%4.7%9.6%
5/9/20242.4%3.1%4.5%
2/29/20240.3%-0.2%11.4%
11/8/2023-2.1%2.2%0.4%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive141214
# Negative8108
Median Positive2.0%4.1%5.7%
Median Negative-3.1%-4.1%-7.7%
Max Positive204.5%234.7%395.1%
Max Negative-11.1%-12.8%-51.9%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025808202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024303202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241108202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024809202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023305202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023808202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022307202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221109202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022809202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022510202210-Q 3/31/2022
123120201122022DEFM14A 12/31/2020

Insider Activity

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