Kinetik (KNTK)
Market Price (4/13/2026): $47.29 | Market Cap: $3.0 BilSector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Storage & Transportation
Kinetik (KNTK)
Market Price (4/13/2026): $47.29Market Cap: $3.0 BilSector: EnergyIndustry: Oil & Gas Storage & Transportation
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 24%, Dividend Yield is 6.4%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 20% Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19% Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 34% Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 39% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include US Energy Independence. Themes include US LNG, and US Oilfield Technologies. | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -2.8% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 127% Key risksKNTK key risks include [1] its high financial leverage and [2] operational execution failures, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 24%, Dividend Yield is 6.4%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 20% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 34% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 39% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include US Energy Independence. Themes include US LNG, and US Oilfield Technologies. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -2.8% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 127% |
| Key risksKNTK key risks include [1] its high financial leverage and [2] operational execution failures, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Kinetik reported a significant beat in its Q4 2025 earnings and provided optimistic 2026 guidance.
The company announced Q4 2025 earnings per share (EPS) of $2.16 on February 26, 2026, substantially exceeding the consensus estimate of $0.15 by 730.77%. Additionally, Kinetik issued full-year 2026 Adjusted EBITDA guidance ranging from $950 million to $1,050 million, which at its midpoint signifies a 7% year-over-year increase, alongside expectations for high single-digit percentage growth in gas processed volumes. Revenue for the quarter also increased 11.5% year-over-year to $430.42 million.
2. The company enhanced shareholder returns by increasing its quarterly dividend.
On January 22, 2026, Kinetik's Board of Directors declared an increase in the quarterly cash dividend to $0.81 per share. This represents an approximately 4% increase from the dividend paid in the prior quarter and marks the third consecutive year of dividend increases.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 33.8% change in KNTK stock from 12/31/2025 to 4/12/2026 was primarily driven by a 308.6% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 12312025 | 4122026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 35.33 | 47.29 | 33.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,720 | 1,764 | 2.6% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 7.3% | 29.8% | 308.6% |
| P/E Multiple | 17.4 | 5.8 | -66.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 62 | 64 | -3.5% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 33.8% |
Market Drivers
12/31/2025 to 4/12/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| KNTK | 33.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | -5.4% | 14.6% |
| Sector (XLE) | 27.4% | 53.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 15.1% change in KNTK stock from 9/30/2025 to 4/12/2026 was primarily driven by a 154.4% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 9302025 | 4122026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 41.08 | 47.29 | 15.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,652 | 1,764 | 6.8% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 11.7% | 29.8% | 154.4% |
| P/E Multiple | 13.1 | 5.8 | -56.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 62 | 64 | -3.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 15.1% |
Market Drivers
9/30/2025 to 4/12/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| KNTK | 15.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | -2.9% | 22.5% |
| Sector (XLE) | 28.6% | 57.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -1.8% change in KNTK stock from 3/31/2025 to 4/12/2026 was primarily driven by a -51.1% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 3312025 | 4122026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 48.14 | 47.29 | -1.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,483 | 1,764 | 19.0% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 16.5% | 29.8% | 81.0% |
| P/E Multiple | 11.8 | 5.8 | -51.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 60 | 64 | -6.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -1.8% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2025 to 4/12/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| KNTK | -1.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 16.3% | 47.4% |
| Sector (XLE) | 25.0% | 65.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 90.7% change in KNTK stock from 3/31/2023 to 4/12/2026 was primarily driven by a 166.9% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 3312023 | 4122026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 24.80 | 47.29 | 90.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,213 | 1,764 | 45.4% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 11.2% | 29.8% | 166.9% |
| P/E Multiple | 8.5 | 5.8 | -32.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 46 | 64 | -27.6% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 90.7% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2023 to 4/12/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| KNTK | 90.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 63.3% | 43.5% |
| Sector (XLE) | 50.6% | 56.4% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| KNTK Return | 42% | 15% | 11% | 83% | -32% | 30% | 191% |
| Peers Return | 55% | 24% | 16% | 61% | 6% | 22% | 365% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -0% | 82% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| KNTK Win Rate | 58% | 50% | 50% | 75% | 42% | 75% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 76% | 60% | 55% | 73% | 57% | 80% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| KNTK Max Drawdown | -3% | -0% | -13% | -4% | -40% | -1% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -3% | -4% | -11% | -4% | -14% | -4% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -7% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: TRGP, OKE, HESM, DTM, AM.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 4/10/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | KNTK | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -35.4% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 54.9% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 513 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -83.4% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 502.1% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 144 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -83.6% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 509.5% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
Compare to TRGP, OKE, HESM, DTM, AM
In The Past
Kinetik's stock fell -35.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/8/2022. A -35.4% loss requires a 54.9% gain to breakeven.
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About Kinetik (KNTK)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-2 brief analogies for Kinetik (KNTK):
- Kinder Morgan for the Texas Delaware Basin.
- Energy Transfer for natural gas and oil in the Texas Delaware Basin.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Gathering Services: Collecting natural gas, natural gas liquids, crude oil, and water from various production points.
- Transportation Services: Moving natural gas, natural gas liquids, crude oil, and water through pipelines to market or processing facilities.
- Compression Services: Increasing the pressure of natural gas to facilitate its efficient movement through pipelines.
- Processing Services: Separating raw natural gas into its marketable components, such as methane, ethane, propane, and butane.
- Treating Services: Removing impurities from natural gas and other commodities to meet quality specifications for transport or sale.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Kinetik Holdings Inc. (KNTK) provides midstream services primarily to other companies that produce natural gas, natural gas liquids, crude oil, and water. Based on recent financial disclosures, Kinetik's major customers include:
- Apache Corporation (NYSE: APA)
- Occidental Petroleum Corporation (NYSE: OXY)
- Exxon Mobil Corporation (NYSE: XOM)
- Chevron Corporation (NYSE: CVX)
AI Analysis | Feedback
nullAI Analysis | Feedback
Jamie Welch, President & Chief Executive Officer
Mr. Welch has served as the Chief Executive Officer, President, and a member of the Board of Directors of Kinetik since February 2022. Prior to Kinetik, he served as President, Chief Executive Officer, and Chief Financial Officer of BCP Raptor Holdco GP, LLC, the general partner of BCP, from May 2021, and as President and CEO from April 2019. He served as a director of BCP Raptor Holdco GP, LLC since June 2017. Mr. Welch has been a Senior Advisor to Blackstone Energy Partners since July 2016. From June 2013 to February 2016, he was the Group Chief Financial Officer and Head of Business Development for the Energy Transfer Equity, L.P. family, and also served on the Board of Directors of Energy Transfer Equity, L.P., Energy Transfer Partners, and Sunoco Logistics. Before joining Energy Transfer Equity, L.P., Mr. Welch was Head of the EMEA Investment Banking Department and Head of the Global Energy Group at Credit Suisse. He joined Credit Suisse First Boston in 1997 from Lehman Brothers Inc., where he was a Senior Vice President in the global utilities and project finance group.
Trevor Howard, Senior Vice President & Chief Financial Officer
Mr. Howard was promoted to Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of Kinetik in August 2023. He joined Kinetik in March 2020 as Vice President of Finance, where he was responsible for corporate forecasting and the company's financing activities. In his current role, he oversees corporate financial planning and analysis, financing execution, and corporate development. Prior to joining Kinetik, Mr. Howard worked as an Investment Banker.
Matthew Wall, Executive Vice President & Chief Operating Officer
Mr. Wall has served as Kinetik's Chief Operating Officer since the closing of the merger between EagleClaw Midstream and Altus Midstream in February 2022. He joined BCP GP in July 2017 as Vice President, Operations, and was appointed Chief Operating Officer in May 2019. His industry experience is focused on midstream gas gathering/processing design and commissioning, as well as operational support engineering. Previous roles include Manager of Engineering at Aka Energy Group LLC from April 2014 to June 2017, Senior Process Engineer at BCCK Engineering, and Project Engineer at Southern Union Gas Services. He began his career as a Well Services Engineer at Schlumberger.
Steven Stellato, Executive Vice President, Chief Administrative Officer & Chief Accounting Officer
Mr. Stellato has served as Executive Vice President, Chief Administrative Officer and Chief Accounting Officer of Kinetik since the closing of the merger between EagleClaw Midstream and Altus Midstream. Before the merger, he held the same roles at BCP GP. He is responsible for overseeing the company's Accounting, Tax, and Insurance/Risk Management functions. He possesses significant experience leading teams in accounting, finance, treasury, tax, and mergers and acquisitions, and also serves as the Principal Financial Officer and Principal Accounting Officer for the company.
Lindsay Ellis, General Counsel, Chief Compliance Officer & Corporate Secretary
Ms. Ellis has served as Kinetik's General Counsel, Chief Compliance Officer, and Corporate Secretary since February 2025. She previously served as Deputy General Counsel and Corporate Secretary from 2022 until February 2025, and as Associate General Counsel at BCP Raptor Holdco GP, LLC from 2019 until 2021. From 2021 to 2022, Ms. Ellis served as the General Counsel and Secretary of Archaea Energy Inc.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to Kinetik Holdings Inc.'s business include:
- Commodity Price Volatility and Production Shut-ins: Kinetik Holdings Inc. faces significant risk from persistent commodity headwinds, particularly crude oil price volatility and natural gas price fluctuations at the Waha hub. Depressed Waha gas prices have historically forced producers to shut in wells, making production uneconomical and leading to significant production declines for Kinetik in the fourth quarter of 2025. This issue is expected to persist through at least the first half of 2026 and is unlikely to be fully resolved until new pipeline capacity comes online to alleviate bottlenecks at the Waha hub, potentially by 2027. Such volatility leads to unpredictable cash flows and can negatively impact revenue and profit margins.
- Financial Health and High Leverage: The company's balance sheet indicates significant financial challenges, including a high debt-to-equity ratio of -2.38 and liquidity constraints with both current and quick ratios at 0.62. An Altman Z-Score of 0.35 places Kinetik Holdings Inc. in a "distress zone," suggesting a potential risk of bankruptcy within the next two years. Furthermore, a low interest coverage ratio of 0.65 indicates that current earnings may be insufficient to cover interest expenses, highlighting a precarious financial position. Macroeconomic headwinds have already impacted the company's profitability, leading to a significant profitability miss in Q3 2025.
- Project Execution and Operational Delays: Kinetik Holdings Inc. is exposed to heightened execution risks on large capital projects and potential cost inflation. Delays in the startup of crucial infrastructure, such as the Kings Landing processing plant, have previously contributed to earnings misses and impacted growth targets. While some past delays are resolved, the company's ability to successfully execute its "rebuilding" plan for 2026, which involves managing significant capital spending and new project rollouts, remains a key risk factor. Any future operational disruptions or project delays could impact Kinetik's ability to deliver on anticipated growth and improve its financial performance.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The accelerated global energy transition towards renewable energy sources and away from fossil fuels, driven by technological advancements in generation and storage, coupled with increasing environmental regulations and investor pressure for decarbonization. This trend threatens to diminish the long-term demand for natural gas, crude oil, and natural gas liquids, potentially leading to underutilized infrastructure and stranded assets for midstream companies like Kinetik.AI Analysis | Feedback
Kinetik Holdings Inc. (KNTK) operates in the Texas Delaware Basin, providing midstream services for natural gas, natural gas liquids, crude oil, and water. While specific total revenue market sizes for each individual service within the Texas Delaware Basin are not readily available in the provided information, the scale of the addressable markets can be understood through existing and planned infrastructure capacities and overall spending in the region. Here are the addressable market sizes or capacities for Kinetik's main products and services in the specified region:- Natural Gas Gathering, Transportation, Compression, Processing, and Treating: The natural gas processing capacity in the Delaware Basin by various operators indicates a significant market. For example, Cardinal Midstream is expanding its natural gas processing capacity to 360 million cubic feet per day (MMcf/d) by early 2026. Lucid Energy Group's Red Hills Natural Gas Processing Complex has a capacity of 310 MMcf/d, with its South Carlsbad Gas Gathering and Processing System totaling 345 MMcf/d. Brazos Midstream operates a processing complex with 460 MMcf/d capacity. ONEOK is increasing its processing capacity in the Delaware Basin to 1.1 billion cubic feet per day (Bcf/d) from approximately 700 MMcf/d by mid-2027. Kinetik itself has approximately 2.2 Bcf per day of natural gas processing capacity. The industrial sector is tracking nearly $2.5 billion in natural gas processing project activity in the Delaware Basin. This market is centered in the Texas and New Mexico Delaware Basin.
- Crude Oil Gathering, Stabilization, Storage, and Transportation: The crude oil gathering and transportation market in the Delaware Basin is substantial. For instance, Howard Energy Partners completed crude oil gathering pipelines with 100,000 barrels per day (bpd) of capacity. The Oryx Trans Permian pipeline system had an initial capacity of 160,000 bpd, with the capability to expand to 220,000 bpd based on demand. ETP Crude LLC's Delaware Basin Crude Gathering Pipeline had a capacity to accept 120,000 bpd. Kinetik operates over 200 miles of crude oil pipelines and 90,000 barrels of crude storage. This market is for the Texas and New Mexico Delaware Basin.
- Produced Water Gathering and Disposal: The Delaware Basin is a major producer of water, generating more than 13 million barrels (545 million gallons) of "produced water" per day. The broader U.S. oilfield water management market was estimated at around $37 billion in 2019, with the Permian Basin (which includes the Delaware Basin) accounting for an estimated $13.3 billion of that spending. Produced water generation in the Permian Basin has grown from an estimated 7 million barrels per day (MMb/d) in 2017 to 21 MMb/d currently, with projections to increase by about 1 MMb/d annually until 2030. A significant portion of produced water, about 3 MMb/d from New Mexico, is transported to Texas for disposal. Key players like WaterBridge have over 3.8 MMb/d of water-handling capacity, and Aris Water Solutions has 1.8 MMb/d of produced water handling capacity. This market is for the Texas and New Mexico Delaware Basin.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Kinetik Holdings Inc. (KNTK) is anticipated to drive future revenue growth over the next two to three years through several key initiatives and market improvements. Here are the expected drivers of Kinetik's future revenue growth: * Increased Gas Processed Volumes: Kinetik projects high single-digit percentage year-over-year growth in gas processed volumes across its system for 2026, even when factoring in expected production shut-ins related to Waha pricing. Processed gas volumes are expected to exceed 2 billion cubic feet per day in the latter half of 2026. This growth in volumes directly translates to increased service fees and, consequently, higher revenue for the midstream operator. * Commissioning and Expansion of Strategic Midstream Infrastructure: The company's significant capital expenditures on growth projects are expected to bolster revenue. Key projects include the Kings Landing acid gas injection (AGI) and sour conversion project, anticipated to be in-service by year-end 2026, which is also expected to unlock over 100 million cubic feet per day of currently curtailed volumes. Additionally, the ECCC Pipeline is slated to be in-service during the second quarter of 2026, further enhancing the company's transportation capabilities. Kinetik also reached a final investment decision on a behind-the-meter, gas-fired 40 MW power generation project at its Diamond Cryo facility. * Enhanced Contract Structures and Customer Alignment: Kinetik has amended gas gathering and processing agreements with its two largest customers in New Mexico. These new agreements extend terms into the mid-2030s and are expected to increase Adjusted EBITDA starting in 2026, through fixed-fee structures, the introduction of treating fees, and greater control over residue gas and natural gas liquids. A notable amendment shifts the residue gas price point for a Delaware South agreement from Waha to premium Gulf Coast markets, which is anticipated to improve customer natural gas price realizations and reduce Kinetik's indirect exposure to in-basin price volatility. * Improved Waha Pricing and Permian Takeaway Capacity: The company expects a resolution to operational setbacks caused by Waha price-driven shut-ins by 2027, which could lead to a significant rebound in EBITDA. Analysts believe Kinetik is positioned for growth in late 2026 and into 2027 as new incremental Permian natural gas takeaway capacity becomes available, alleviating bottlenecks at the Waha hub. This improved market condition is expected to enable higher throughput volumes and potentially better pricing, directly contributing to revenue growth.AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Repurchases
- Kinetik announced a $100 million share repurchase program in February 2023.
- In May 2025, Kinetik announced a $500 million share repurchase program.
- The company repurchased $176.0 million of Class A common stock in 2025.
Share Issuance
- Core Shareholders reinvested 100% of their 2023 dividends in Kinetik Class A Common Stock under the Dividend Reinvestment Plan.
- Effective March 7, 2024, Kinetik completed its core shareholder dividend reinvestment obligation, making all shareholders eligible to receive 100% cash dividends going forward.
- An officer of Kinetik received 8,030 fully vested Class A common shares as part of his 2025 annual incentive award.
Inbound Investments
- Kinetik received a $30 million deferred cash payment in the third quarter of 2024 from an affiliate of ArcLight Capital Partners LLC related to the Gulf Coast Express Pipeline capacity expansion project.
- In February 2026, Kinetik Holdings Inc. was reportedly approached by Western Midstream Partners regarding a potential sale, though discussions were in preliminary stages.
Outbound Investments
- Kinetik acquired an additional equity interest in EPIC Crude Holdings, LP, increasing its ownership to 27.5% as of November 2024.
- The company announced and closed the bolt-on acquisition of natural gas and crude oil gathering systems in Reeves County, Texas (Barilla Draw) in January 2025.
- Kinetik divested its equity interest in Gulf Coast Express (GCX) in the second quarter of 2024 and its 27.5% non-operated equity interest in EPIC Crude Holdings, LP in the third quarter of 2025.
Capital Expenditures
- Capital expenditures for the full year 2022 were $284.0 million.
- Kinetik reported $531.2 million in capital expenditures for the full year 2023, which was within its guidance range.
- For the full year 2024, capital expenditures were $264.5 million, coming in below the low end of the guidance range.
- Full year 2025 capital expenditures were $497.1 million, in line with revised guidance.
- Planned capital expenditures for 2026 are guided between $450 million and $510 million, primarily focused on New Mexico projects, the ECCC Pipeline, Kings Landing sour gas facilities, and a 40 MW power project at Diamond Cryo.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Kinetik Earnings Notes | 12/29/2026 | |
| With Kinetik Stock Sliding, Have You Assessed The Risk? | 10/17/2025 | |
| Kinetik vs Newmont: Which Is A Better Investment? | 08/18/2025 | |
| Kinetik vs ONEOK: Which Is A Better Investment? | 08/18/2025 | |
| How Does Kinetik Stock Stack Up Against Its Peers? | 08/13/2025 | |
| Better Bet Than KNTK Stock: Pay Less Than Kinetik To Get More From CALM, PTCT | 08/12/2025 | |
| Why Kinetik Stock Moved: KNTK Stock Has Gained 48% Since 2021 Fiscal End, Primarily Due To Favorable Change In Revenues | 08/08/2025 | |
| KNTK Dip Buy Analysis | 07/10/2025 | |
| ARTICLES | ||
| Stocks Trading At 52-Week Low | 10/09/2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to KNTK.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03312026 | KGS | Kodiak Gas Services | Insider | Insider Buys 45DStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 03312026 | KOS | Kosmos Energy | Insider | Insider Buys 45DStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 12262025 | TPL | Texas Pacific Land | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 65.2% | 65.2% | -2.1% |
| 12122025 | NOV | NOV | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 15.3% | 15.3% | -6.5% |
| 12122025 | RIG | Transocean | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 60.5% | 60.5% | -7.0% |
| 05312025 | KNTK | Kinetik | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -19.1% | 15.2% | -26.1% |
Research & Analysis
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 66.75 |
| Mkt Cap | 12.1 |
| Rev LTM | 1,691 |
| Op Inc LTM | 858 |
| FCF LTM | 656 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 662 |
| CFO LTM | 958 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 891 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 13.7% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 9.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | 7.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.7% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 34.5% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 35.7% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.5% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 47.5% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 52.0% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 21.4% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 21.5% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 12.1 |
| P/S | 3.1 |
| P/EBIT | 11.3 |
| P/E | 20.7 |
| P/CFO | 10.5 |
| Total Yield | 9.6% |
| Dividend Yield | 4.5% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 7.4% |
| D/E | 0.5 |
| Net D/E | 0.5 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 1.1% |
| 3M Rtn | 24.5% |
| 6M Rtn | 29.4% |
| 12M Rtn | 32.1% |
| 3Y Rtn | 120.4% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -0.1% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 26.3% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 22.2% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -3.2% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 57.0% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $47.29 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 3.0 | |
| First Trading Date | 05/02/2017 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -2.8% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $44.69 | $39.54 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | 5.8% | 19.6% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 37.1% | 37.7% |
| Downside Capture | -0.27 | 0.28 |
| Upside Capture | 126.23 | 61.62 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 13.7% | 29.7% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.02 | 0.55 | 0.39 | 0.69 | 1.03 | 0.97 |
| Up Beta | -3.54 | -0.17 | 0.11 | 0.60 | 0.82 | 0.82 |
| Down Beta | 0.72 | 1.01 | 1.15 | 1.48 | 1.76 | 1.48 |
| Up Capture | 64% | 149% | 106% | 50% | 54% | 66% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 7 | 16 | 27 | 65 | 139 | 424 |
| Stock +ve Days | 10 | 21 | 37 | 66 | 131 | 397 |
| Down Capture | -38% | -30% | -90% | 22% | 82% | 90% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 12 | 23 | 33 | 58 | 110 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 12 | 21 | 26 | 60 | 119 | 349 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with KNTK | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KNTK | 21.5% | 38.6% | 0.58 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLE) | 53.0% | 22.2% | 1.83 | 58.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 31.2% | 17.3% | 1.47 | 37.7% |
| Gold (GLD) | 60.1% | 27.8% | 1.69 | 1.3% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 29.8% | 16.6% | 1.58 | 38.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 21.3% | 15.2% | 1.07 | 28.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -4.3% | 43.7% | 0.02 | 16.9% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with KNTK | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KNTK | 21.7% | 39.1% | 0.61 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLE) | 22.6% | 26.1% | 0.78 | 58.3% |
| Equity (SPY) | 11.1% | 17.0% | 0.50 | 37.5% |
| Gold (GLD) | 22.1% | 17.8% | 1.02 | 10.8% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.8% | 18.8% | 0.52 | 41.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.7% | 18.8% | 0.10 | 30.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 4.3% | 56.5% | 0.30 | 13.7% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with KNTK | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KNTK | -2.3% | 90.3% | 0.23 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLE) | 10.8% | 29.5% | 0.40 | 33.1% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.8% | 17.9% | 0.66 | 25.6% |
| Gold (GLD) | 14.2% | 15.9% | 0.74 | 4.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.6% | 17.6% | 0.41 | 22.5% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.1% | 20.7% | 0.22 | 19.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 67.6% | 66.9% | 1.07 | 9.9% |
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Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 2/26/2026 | -3.2% | -2.7% | 3.4% |
| 11/6/2025 | 1.9% | -4.1% | 8.3% |
| 8/7/2025 | -0.6% | -1.5% | 0.1% |
| 2/27/2025 | -4.1% | -7.8% | -11.9% |
| 11/6/2024 | 7.5% | 6.2% | 10.9% |
| 8/7/2024 | 2.8% | 4.7% | 9.6% |
| 5/9/2024 | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.5% |
| 2/29/2024 | 0.3% | -0.2% | 11.4% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 14 | 12 | 16 |
| # Negative | 8 | 10 | 6 |
| Median Positive | 2.0% | 4.1% | 5.7% |
| Median Negative | -2.7% | -3.4% | -6.0% |
| Max Positive | 204.5% | 234.7% | 395.1% |
| Max Negative | -5.3% | -12.8% | -11.9% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2025 | 02/26/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/08/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/08/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/03/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/09/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/09/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/05/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/08/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/04/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/07/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/09/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/09/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/10/2022 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/26/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | 950.00 Mil | 1.00 Bil | 1.05 Bil | 1.5% | Raised | Guidance: 985.00 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Capital Expenditures | 450.00 Mil | 480.00 Mil | 510.00 Mil | -4.0% | Lowered | Guidance: 500.00 Mil for 2025 | |
Prior: Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/6/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2025 Adjusted EBITDA | 965.00 Mil | 985.00 Mil | 1.00 Bil | -7.1% | Lowered | Guidance: 1.06 Bil for 2025 | |
| 2025 Capital Expenditures | 485.00 Mil | 500.00 Mil | 515.00 Mil | 1.0% | Raised | Guidance: 495.00 Mil for 2025 | |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wall, Matthew | See Remarks | Direct | Sell | 1062026 | 36.05 | 8,083 | 291,392 | 19,998,305 | Form |
| 2 | Welch, Jamie | See Remarks | Direct | Buy | 11102025 | 34.57 | 8,000 | 276,560 | 127,486,935 | Form |
| 3 | Welch, Jamie | See Remarks | Direct | Buy | 10032025 | 39.13 | 5,000 | 195,650 | 143,857,493 | Form |
| 4 | Isq, Global Fund Ii Gp Llc | See Explanation of Responses | Sell | 6062025 | 44.16 | 4,262,090 | 188,213,894 | 44 | Form | |
| 5 | Isq, Global Fund Ii Gp Llc | See Explanation of Responses | Sell | 3022026 | 44.85 | 4,000,000 | 179,400,000 | 45 | Form |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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