Kimco Realty (KIM)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $20.45 | Market Cap: $13.8 BilSector: Real Estate | Industry: Retail REITs
Kimco Realty (KIM)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $20.45Market Cap: $13.8 BilSector: Real EstateIndustry: Retail REITs
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Sustainable & Green Buildings, Experience Economy & Premiumization, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include ESG REITs, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Sustainable & Green Buildings, Experience Economy & Premiumization, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include ESG REITs, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
KIM Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are five key points explaining the approximate -8.2% movement in Kimco Realty (KIM) stock from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:
1. Analyst Rating and Price Target Adjustments. Several financial firms adjusted their outlook on Kimco Realty during this period. On December 3, 2025, Citigroup maintained a "Neutral" rating but lowered its price target from $23.00 to $21.00, indicating a cautious near-term outlook. Additionally, on November 13, 2025, Scotiabank maintained a "Sector Perform" rating while reducing its price target to $22.00 from $23.00. Wall Street Zen also downgraded Kimco Realty from a "hold" to a "sell" rating on November 1, 2025. These downward revisions in price targets and ratings by multiple analysts likely contributed to negative investor sentiment.
2. Post-Earnings Stock Drift. Despite reporting better-than-expected third-quarter 2025 earnings on October 30, 2025, Kimco Realty's stock experienced a decline. The company announced $0.44 adjusted earnings per share (EPS), surpassing the consensus estimate of $0.43, and revenue of $535.86 million, which exceeded analyst expectations. However, Jim Cramer noted on November 29, 2025, that "the stock's been drifting lower ever since" the earnings report, despite the positive results. While the company's FY2025 EPS guidance of 1.750-1.760 was slightly above analyst consensus, the lack of significant per-share earnings growth year-over-year (Q3 2025 EPS of $0.19 was identical to Q3 2024) may have tempered enthusiasm.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| KIM Return | -24% | 69% | -11% | 6% | 15% | -10% | 26% |
| Peers Return | -26% | 55% | -19% | 11% | 4% | -1% | 7% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| KIM Win Rate | 50% | 75% | 42% | 50% | 67% | 40% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 40% | 73% | 37% | 57% | 53% | 48% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| KIM Max Drawdown | -61% | -5% | -25% | -20% | -16% | -19% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -60% | -5% | -31% | -17% | -15% | -20% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HST, FRT, BRX, RPT, SPG. See KIM Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | KIM | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -37.8% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 60.9% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -62.6% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 167.2% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 390 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -49.2% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 96.9% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1456 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -87.0% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 666.3% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 1480 days |
Compare to HST, FRT, BRX, RPT, SPG
In The Past
Kimco Realty's stock fell -37.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/28/2022. A -37.8% loss requires a 60.9% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
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Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to KIM. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 8.5% | 8.5% | -5.8% |
| 04302020 | KIM | Kimco Realty | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -3.7% | 97.9% | -19.7% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 8.5% | 8.5% | -5.8% |
| 04302020 | KIM | Kimco Realty | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -3.7% | 97.9% | -19.7% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Kimco Realty
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Returns
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Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10302025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8012025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5022025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2212025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10312024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8022024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5032024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2262024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10272023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 7282023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 4282023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2242023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10282022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7292022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 4292022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3012022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | LOURENSO FRANK | 2182025 | Sell | 22.30 | 8,714 | 194,323 | 4,544,983 | Form |
External Quote Links
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| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
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