Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable & Green Buildings, Experience Economy & Premiumization, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include ESG REITs, Show more.
 
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable & Green Buildings, Experience Economy & Premiumization, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include ESG REITs, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

KIM Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining the approximate -8.2% movement in Kimco Realty (KIM) stock from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025: 1. Analyst Rating and Price Target Adjustments. Several financial firms adjusted their outlook on Kimco Realty during this period. On December 3, 2025, Citigroup maintained a "Neutral" rating but lowered its price target from $23.00 to $21.00, indicating a cautious near-term outlook. Additionally, on November 13, 2025, Scotiabank maintained a "Sector Perform" rating while reducing its price target to $22.00 from $23.00. Wall Street Zen also downgraded Kimco Realty from a "hold" to a "sell" rating on November 1, 2025. These downward revisions in price targets and ratings by multiple analysts likely contributed to negative investor sentiment.

2. Post-Earnings Stock Drift. Despite reporting better-than-expected third-quarter 2025 earnings on October 30, 2025, Kimco Realty's stock experienced a decline. The company announced $0.44 adjusted earnings per share (EPS), surpassing the consensus estimate of $0.43, and revenue of $535.86 million, which exceeded analyst expectations. However, Jim Cramer noted on November 29, 2025, that "the stock's been drifting lower ever since" the earnings report, despite the positive results. While the company's FY2025 EPS guidance of 1.750-1.760 was slightly above analyst consensus, the lack of significant per-share earnings growth year-over-year (Q3 2025 EPS of $0.19 was identical to Q3 2024) may have tempered enthusiasm.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
KIM Return-24%69%-11%6%15%-10%26%
Peers Return-26%55%-19%11%4%-1%7%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
KIM Win Rate50%75%42%50%67%40% 
Peers Win Rate40%73%37%57%53%48% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
KIM Max Drawdown-61%-5%-25%-20%-16%-19% 
Peers Max Drawdown-60%-5%-31%-17%-15%-20% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HST, FRT, BRX, RPT, SPG. See KIM Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventKIMS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-37.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven60.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-62.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven167.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven390 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-49.2%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven96.9%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1456 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-87.0%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven666.3%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days1480 days

Compare to HST, FRT, BRX, RPT, SPG


In The Past

Kimco Realty's stock fell -37.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/28/2022. A -37.8% loss requires a 60.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Kimco Realty (KIM)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to KIM. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
MPW_10312025_Short_Squeeze10312025MPWMedical Properties TrustSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
8.5%8.5%-5.8%
KIM_4302020_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy04302020KIMKimco RealtyDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-3.7%97.9%-19.7%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
MPW_10312025_Short_Squeeze10312025MPWMedical Properties TrustSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
8.5%8.5%-5.8%
KIM_4302020_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy04302020KIMKimco RealtyDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-3.7%97.9%-19.7%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Kimco Realty

Peers to compare with:

Financials

KIMHSTFRTBRXRPTSPGMedian
NameKimco Re.Host Hot.Federal .Brixmor .Rithm Pr.Simon Pr. 
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Growth & Margins

KIMHSTFRTBRXRPTSPGMedian
NameKimco Re.Host Hot.Federal .Brixmor .Rithm Pr.Simon Pr. 
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Valuation

KIMHSTFRTBRXRPTSPGMedian
NameKimco Re.Host Hot.Federal .Brixmor .Rithm Pr.Simon Pr. 
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Returns

KIMHSTFRTBRXRPTSPGMedian
NameKimco Re.Host Hot.Federal .Brixmor .Rithm Pr.Simon Pr. 
1M Rtn-------
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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single segment1,783    
Management and other fee income 17151317
Revenues from rental properties, net 1,7111,3501,0451,142
Total1,7831,7281,3651,0581,159


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity25,294,561
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202512.8%
Average Daily Volume5,431,756
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.66
Basic Shares Quantity674,613,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251030202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025801202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025502202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024221202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241031202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024802202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024503202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023226202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231027202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023728202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023428202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022224202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221028202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022729202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022429202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021301202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0LOURENSO FRANK 2182025Sell22.308,714194,3234,544,983Form