Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 51%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 51%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -25%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -65%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 59%
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 7.8%
  
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 23%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable & Green Buildings, Experience Economy & Premiumization, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include ESG REITs, Show more.
  
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 51%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 51%
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 7.8%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 23%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable & Green Buildings, Experience Economy & Premiumization, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include ESG REITs, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -25%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -65%
5 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 59%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

KIM Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points explaining Kimco Realty's (KIM) stock movement of -4.2% from July 31, 2025, to November 18, 2025: 1. Market Reaction to Q3 2025 Earnings: Despite Kimco Realty reporting third-quarter 2025 earnings per share (EPS) of $0.44 and revenue of $535.86 million, both exceeding analyst consensus estimates, the stock experienced a decline of 1.9% on October 30, 2025, following the announcement. This suggests that while the company beat expectations, other underlying factors or a "sell the news" reaction may have contributed to negative sentiment.

2. Analyst Downgrades and Price Target Reductions: Several analyst firms adjusted their ratings and price targets for KIM during this period. Notably, Wall Street Zen downgraded Kimco Realty from a "hold" to a "sell" rating on November 1, 2025. Additionally, Scotiabank, Truist Securities, Baird, and Piper Sandler all reduced their price targets for the stock in late 2025, indicating a less optimistic outlook from these firms.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
KIM Return-24%69%-11%6%15%-11%25%
Peers Return-26%55%-19%11%4%-2%5%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%13%107%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
KIM Win Rate50%75%42%50%67%40% 
Peers Win Rate40%73%37%57%53%48% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
KIM Max Drawdown-61%-5%-25%-20%-16%-19% 
Peers Max Drawdown-60%-5%-31%-17%-15%-20% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HST, FRT, BRX, RPT, SPG. See KIM Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventKIMS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-37.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven60.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-62.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven167.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven390 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-49.2%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven96.9%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1456 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-87.0%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven666.3%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days1480 days

Compare to HST, FRT, BRX, RPT, SPG


In The Past

Kimco Realty's stock fell -37.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/28/2022. A -37.8% loss requires a 60.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Kimco Realty (KIM)

Better Bets than Kimco Realty (KIM)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to KIM. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
MPW_10312025_Short_Squeeze10312025MPWMedical Properties TrustSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-4.3%-4.3%-5.8%
KIM_4302020_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy04302020KIMKimco RealtyDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-3.7%97.9%-19.7%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
MPW_10312025_Short_Squeeze10312025MPWMedical Properties TrustSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-4.3%-4.3%-5.8%
KIM_4302020_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy04302020KIMKimco RealtyDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-3.7%97.9%-19.7%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Kimco Realty

Financials

KIMHSTFRTBRXRPTSPGMedian
NameKimco Re.Host Hot.Federal .Brixmor .Rithm Pr.Simon Pr. 
Mkt Price20.1117.2396.0025.962.47180.9923.04
Mkt Cap13.611.88.38.00.159.110.0
Rev LTM2,0955,9391,2541,34636,1551,721
Op Inc LTM692808451481-3,120692
FCF LTM1,065671336635-103,121653
FCF 3Y Avg1,008824276606-193,066715
CFO LTM1,0651,298597635-104,018850
CFO 3Y Avg1,0081,422572606-193,870807

Growth & Margins

KIMHSTFRTBRXRPTSPGMedian
NameKimco Re.Host Hot.Federal .Brixmor .Rithm Pr.Simon Pr. 
Rev Chg LTM10.2%6.5%6.0%5.7%103.0%4.2%6.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg8.3%8.6%6.2%3.8%-266.4%5.7%5.9%
Rev Chg Q5.0%0.9%6.1%6.3%313.9%8.2%6.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.2%0.2%1.5%1.5%737.0%2.0%1.5%
Op Mgn LTM33.0%13.6%36.0%35.7%-50.7%35.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg32.7%14.0%35.1%36.1%-50.4%35.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.3%-0.2%-0.2%0.2%--0.3%-0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM50.8%21.9%47.6%47.2%-391.1%65.3%47.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg52.8%25.6%48.2%47.2%-66.1%48.2%
FCF/Rev LTM50.8%11.3%26.8%47.2%-391.1%50.7%37.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg52.8%14.8%23.1%47.2%-52.3%47.2%

Valuation

KIMHSTFRTBRXRPTSPGMedian
NameKimco Re.Host Hot.Federal .Brixmor .Rithm Pr.Simon Pr. 
Mkt Cap13.611.88.38.00.159.110.0
P/S6.52.06.65.944.49.66.5
P/EBIT17.211.715.414.4-16.715.4
P/E22.716.123.824.098.226.323.9
P/CFO12.79.113.812.6-11.314.712.7
Total Yield4.4%11.5%4.2%8.5%1.0%4.5%4.5%
Dividend Yield0.0%5.3%0.0%4.4%0.0%0.7%0.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg7.6%7.0%3.2%8.0%-13.0%6.4%6.7%
D/E0.60.50.60.73.10.40.6
Net D/E0.60.40.60.6-0.50.40.5

Returns

KIMHSTFRTBRXRPTSPGMedian
NameKimco Re.Host Hot.Federal .Brixmor .Rithm Pr.Simon Pr. 
1M Rtn-7.9%5.8%-3.0%-4.6%4.1%1.6%-0.7%
3M Rtn-3.7%10.0%3.6%-0.7%0.8%6.1%2.2%
6M Rtn-5.0%14.5%0.4%0.8%-6.2%12.8%0.6%
12M Rtn-15.5%5.5%-11.6%-6.0%-11.3%5.4%-8.7%
3Y Rtn4.7%10.1%0.8%31.0%-57.5%81.0%7.4%
1M Excs Rtn-8.0%5.7%-3.1%-4.8%4.0%1.5%-0.8%
3M Excs Rtn-10.4%4.0%-3.7%-6.9%-3.7%0.7%-3.7%
6M Excs Rtn-16.9%2.6%-11.4%-11.1%-18.1%0.9%-11.2%
12M Excs Rtn-26.7%-10.3%-23.5%-17.5%-22.2%-5.4%-19.9%
3Y Excs Rtn-64.7%-57.3%-66.6%-37.6%-128.0%9.2%-61.0%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single segment1,783    
Management and other fee income 17151317
Revenues from rental properties, net 1,7111,3501,0451,142
Total1,7831,7281,3651,0581,159


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10312025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity22,425,527
Short Interest: % Change Since 1015202511.6%
Average Daily Volume4,923,495
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.55
Basic Shares Quantity674,613,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.3%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/30/2025-1.9%-4.5% 
7/31/2025-3.1%-2.6%2.3%
5/1/20254.9%3.4%6.4%
2/7/2025-0.1%0.1%-4.0%
8/1/20241.3%-1.0%5.9%
5/2/20242.5%2.3%4.6%
2/8/2024-0.7%-3.5%-2.2%
10/26/20235.1%10.5%14.2%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive141013
# Negative91310
Median Positive2.4%2.0%6.4%
Median Negative-2.3%-1.7%-4.1%
Max Positive8.5%31.8%56.1%
Max Negative-3.5%-8.3%-14.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251030202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025801202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025502202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024221202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241031202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024802202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024503202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023226202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231027202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023728202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023428202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022224202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221028202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022729202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022429202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021301202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0LOURENSO FRANK 2182025Sell22.308,714194,3234,544,983Form