Kimco Realty (KIM)
Market Price (11/18/2025): $20.14 | Market Cap: $13.6 BilSector: Real Estate | Industry: Retail REITs
Kimco Realty (KIM)
Market Price (11/18/2025): $20.14Market Cap: $13.6 BilSector: Real EstateIndustry: Retail REITs
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 51%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 51% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -25%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -65% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 59% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 7.8% | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 23% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Sustainable & Green Buildings, Experience Economy & Premiumization, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include ESG REITs, Show more. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 51%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 51% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 7.8% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 23% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Sustainable & Green Buildings, Experience Economy & Premiumization, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include ESG REITs, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -25%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -65% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 59% |
Market Valuation & Key Metrics
KIM Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points explaining Kimco Realty's (KIM) stock movement of -4.2% from July 31, 2025, to November 18, 2025:
1. Market Reaction to Q3 2025 Earnings: Despite Kimco Realty reporting third-quarter 2025 earnings per share (EPS) of $0.44 and revenue of $535.86 million, both exceeding analyst consensus estimates, the stock experienced a decline of 1.9% on October 30, 2025, following the announcement. This suggests that while the company beat expectations, other underlying factors or a "sell the news" reaction may have contributed to negative sentiment.
2. Analyst Downgrades and Price Target Reductions: Several analyst firms adjusted their ratings and price targets for KIM during this period. Notably, Wall Street Zen downgraded Kimco Realty from a "hold" to a "sell" rating on November 1, 2025. Additionally, Scotiabank, Truist Securities, Baird, and Piper Sandler all reduced their price targets for the stock in late 2025, indicating a less optimistic outlook from these firms.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| KIM Return | -24% | 69% | -11% | 6% | 15% | -11% | 25% |
| Peers Return | -26% | 55% | -19% | 11% | 4% | -2% | 5% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 13% | 107% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| KIM Win Rate | 50% | 75% | 42% | 50% | 67% | 40% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 40% | 73% | 37% | 57% | 53% | 48% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| KIM Max Drawdown | -61% | -5% | -25% | -20% | -16% | -19% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -60% | -5% | -31% | -17% | -15% | -20% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HST, FRT, BRX, RPT, SPG. See KIM Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | KIM | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -37.8% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 60.9% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -62.6% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 167.2% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 390 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -49.2% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 96.9% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1456 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -87.0% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 666.3% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 1480 days |
Compare to HST, FRT, BRX, RPT, SPG
In The Past
Kimco Realty's stock fell -37.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/28/2022. A -37.8% loss requires a 60.9% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to KIM. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -4.3% | -4.3% | -5.8% |
| 04302020 | KIM | Kimco Realty | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -3.7% | 97.9% | -19.7% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -4.3% | -4.3% | -5.8% |
| 04302020 | KIM | Kimco Realty | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -3.7% | 97.9% | -19.7% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Kimco Realty
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 23.04 |
| Mkt Cap | 10.0 |
| Rev LTM | 1,721 |
| Op Inc LTM | 692 |
| FCF LTM | 653 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 715 |
| CFO LTM | 850 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 807 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 6.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 5.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | 6.2% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.5% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 35.7% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 35.1% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 47.4% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 48.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 37.0% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 47.2% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 10.0 |
| P/S | 6.5 |
| P/EBIT | 15.4 |
| P/E | 23.9 |
| P/CFO | 12.7 |
| Total Yield | 4.5% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.4% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 6.7% |
| D/E | 0.6 |
| Net D/E | 0.5 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -0.7% |
| 3M Rtn | 2.2% |
| 6M Rtn | 0.6% |
| 12M Rtn | -8.7% |
| 3Y Rtn | 7.4% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -0.8% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -3.7% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -11.2% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -19.9% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -61.0% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/30/2025 | -1.9% | -4.5% | |
| 7/31/2025 | -3.1% | -2.6% | 2.3% |
| 5/1/2025 | 4.9% | 3.4% | 6.4% |
| 2/7/2025 | -0.1% | 0.1% | -4.0% |
| 8/1/2024 | 1.3% | -1.0% | 5.9% |
| 5/2/2024 | 2.5% | 2.3% | 4.6% |
| 2/8/2024 | -0.7% | -3.5% | -2.2% |
| 10/26/2023 | 5.1% | 10.5% | 14.2% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 14 | 10 | 13 |
| # Negative | 9 | 13 | 10 |
| Median Positive | 2.4% | 2.0% | 6.4% |
| Median Negative | -2.3% | -1.7% | -4.1% |
| Max Positive | 8.5% | 31.8% | 56.1% |
| Max Negative | -3.5% | -8.3% | -14.3% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10302025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8012025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5022025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2212025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10312024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8022024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5032024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2262024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10272023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 7282023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 4282023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2242023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10282022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7292022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 4292022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3012022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | LOURENSO FRANK | 2182025 | Sell | 22.30 | 8,714 | 194,323 | 4,544,983 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |