Regency Centers (REG)
Market Price (12/5/2025): $69.075 | Market Cap: $12.6 BilSector: Real Estate | Industry: Retail REITs
Regency Centers (REG)
Market Price (12/5/2025): $69.075Market Cap: $12.6 BilSector: Real EstateIndustry: Retail REITs
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.9%, Dividend Yield is 3.8%, FCF Yield is 6.1% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -31%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -54% | |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 54%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 54% | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 20% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & DTC Adoption, E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include Online Grocery Platforms, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.9%, Dividend Yield is 3.8%, FCF Yield is 6.1% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 54%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 54% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 20% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & DTC Adoption, E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include Online Grocery Platforms, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -31%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -54% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
REG Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points for the stock movement of Regency Centers (REG) from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 5, 2025:
1. Analyst Downgrade
On December 4, 2025, KeyBanc downgraded Regency Centers from an "Overweight" rating to "Sector Weight". This change in rating was attributed to a more balanced risk/reward profile for the shopping center REIT, suggesting limited upside potential compared to its peers.
2. Valuation Concerns
The downgrade by KeyBanc highlighted concerns about Regency Centers' valuation. The research firm noted that the stock was trading at a premium, with a P/E ratio of 31.95 and a PEG ratio of 12.23, which implied a high valuation relative to its growth prospects. It also traded at 18 times its 2026 Adjusted Funds From Operations (AFFO), representing a 6% premium compared to the average for shopping center REITs.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| REG Return | -24% | 71% | -13% | 12% | 15% | -4% | 41% |
| Peers Return | -27% | 65% | -20% | 7% | 8% | -4% | 7% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 17% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| REG Win Rate | 33% | 83% | 33% | 58% | 50% | 40% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 43% | 78% | 35% | 55% | 57% | 46% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| REG Max Drawdown | -48% | -3% | -28% | -11% | -14% | -11% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -63% | -4% | -33% | -19% | -15% | -19% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: KIM, FRT, BRX, RPT, SPG. See REG Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | REG | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -32.2% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 47.5% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -49.3% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 97.3% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 395 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -21.0% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 26.6% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1345 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -76.3% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 321.4% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 1480 days |
Compare to KIM, FRT, BRX, RPT, SPG
In The Past
Regency Centers's stock fell -32.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/4/2022. A -32.2% loss requires a 47.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to REG. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 8.7% | 8.7% | -5.8% |
| 06302020 | REG | Regency Centers | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.4% | 46.1% | -24.8% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 8.7% | 8.7% | -5.8% |
| 06302020 | REG | Regency Centers | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.4% | 46.1% | -24.8% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Regency Centers
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 47.16 |
| Mkt Cap | 10.5 |
| Rev LTM | 1,434 |
| Op Inc LTM | 571 |
| FCF LTM | 725 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 680 |
| CFO LTM | 725 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 680 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 5.9% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 5.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | 6.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.7% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 36.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 36.1% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 49.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 52.8% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 48.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 52.3% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 10.5 |
| P/S | 7.9 |
| P/EBIT | 17.3 |
| P/E | 26.4 |
| P/CFO | 14.2 |
| Total Yield | 4.2% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.3% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 6.3% |
| D/E | 0.6 |
| Net D/E | 0.5 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 0.2% |
| 3M Rtn | -4.4% |
| 6M Rtn | 3.0% |
| 12M Rtn | -7.9% |
| 3Y Rtn | 13.2% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -1.1% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -11.1% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -12.5% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -22.0% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -62.4% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11052025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8042025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5022025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2142025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11012024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8022024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5032024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2162024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11062023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8042023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5052023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2172023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11042022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8052022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5062022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2172022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |