Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.9%, Dividend Yield is 3.8%, FCF Yield is 6.1%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -31%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -54%
 
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 54%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 54%
  
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 20%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & DTC Adoption, E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include Online Grocery Platforms, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.9%, Dividend Yield is 3.8%, FCF Yield is 6.1%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 54%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 54%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 20%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & DTC Adoption, E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include Online Grocery Platforms, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -31%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -54%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

REG Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for the stock movement of Regency Centers (REG) from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 5, 2025: 1. Analyst Downgrade

On December 4, 2025, KeyBanc downgraded Regency Centers from an "Overweight" rating to "Sector Weight". This change in rating was attributed to a more balanced risk/reward profile for the shopping center REIT, suggesting limited upside potential compared to its peers. 2. Valuation Concerns

The downgrade by KeyBanc highlighted concerns about Regency Centers' valuation. The research firm noted that the stock was trading at a premium, with a P/E ratio of 31.95 and a PEG ratio of 12.23, which implied a high valuation relative to its growth prospects. It also traded at 18 times its 2026 Adjusted Funds From Operations (AFFO), representing a 6% premium compared to the average for shopping center REITs.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
REG Return-24%71%-13%12%15%-4%41%
Peers Return-27%65%-20%7%8%-4%7%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%17%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
REG Win Rate33%83%33%58%50%40% 
Peers Win Rate43%78%35%55%57%46% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
REG Max Drawdown-48%-3%-28%-11%-14%-11% 
Peers Max Drawdown-63%-4%-33%-19%-15%-19% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: KIM, FRT, BRX, RPT, SPG. See REG Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventREGS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-32.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven47.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-49.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven97.3%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven395 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-21.0%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven26.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1345 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-76.3%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven321.4%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days1480 days

Compare to KIM, FRT, BRX, RPT, SPG


In The Past

Regency Centers's stock fell -32.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/4/2022. A -32.2% loss requires a 47.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Regency Centers (REG)

Better Bets than Regency Centers (REG)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to REG. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
MPW_10312025_Short_Squeeze10312025MPWMedical Properties TrustSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
8.7%8.7%-5.8%
REG_6302020_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield06302020REGRegency CentersDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.4%46.1%-24.8%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
MPW_10312025_Short_Squeeze10312025MPWMedical Properties TrustSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
8.7%8.7%-5.8%
REG_6302020_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield06302020REGRegency CentersDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.4%46.1%-24.8%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Regency Centers

Peers to compare with:

Financials

REGKIMFRTBRXRPTSPGMedian
NameRegency .Kimco Re.Federal .Brixmor .Rithm Pr.Simon Pr. 
Mkt Price69.0720.1097.1325.262.60183.3247.16
Mkt Cap12.613.68.47.80.159.910.5
Rev LTM1,5222,0951,2541,34636,1551,434
Op Inc LTM571692451481-3,120571
FCF LTM8151,065336635-103,121725
FCF 3Y Avg7541,008276606-193,066680
CFO LTM8151,065597635-104,018725
CFO 3Y Avg7541,008572606-193,870680

Growth & Margins

REGKIMFRTBRXRPTSPGMedian
NameRegency .Kimco Re.Federal .Brixmor .Rithm Pr.Simon Pr. 
Rev Chg LTM5.6%10.2%6.0%5.7%103.0%4.2%5.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg8.1%8.3%6.2%3.8%-266.4%5.7%5.9%
Rev Chg Q7.6%5.0%6.1%6.3%313.9%8.2%6.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.8%1.2%1.5%1.5%737.0%2.0%1.7%
Op Mgn LTM37.5%33.0%36.0%35.7%-50.7%36.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg36.1%32.7%35.1%36.1%-50.4%36.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.6%0.3%-0.2%0.2%--0.3%0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM53.6%50.8%47.6%47.2%-391.1%65.3%49.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg53.3%52.8%48.2%47.2%-66.1%52.8%
FCF/Rev LTM53.6%50.8%26.8%47.2%-391.1%50.7%48.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg53.3%52.8%23.1%47.2%-52.3%52.3%

Valuation

REGKIMFRTBRXRPTSPGMedian
NameRegency .Kimco Re.Federal .Brixmor .Rithm Pr.Simon Pr. 
Mkt Cap12.613.68.47.80.159.910.5
P/S8.77.06.96.345.310.07.9
P/EBIT21.318.716.215.4-17.317.3
P/E32.224.725.125.6100.127.326.4
P/CFO16.313.814.613.4-11.615.214.2
Total Yield6.9%4.1%4.0%8.0%1.0%4.4%4.2%
Dividend Yield3.8%0.0%0.0%4.1%0.0%0.7%0.3%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg6.1%7.6%3.2%8.0%-13.0%6.4%6.3%
D/E0.40.60.60.63.00.40.6
Net D/E0.40.50.50.6-0.50.40.5

Returns

REGKIMFRTBRXRPTSPGMedian
NameRegency .Kimco Re.Federal .Brixmor .Rithm Pr.Simon Pr. 
1M Rtn-0.1%-1.7%1.1%-4.2%10.5%0.4%0.2%
3M Rtn-6.1%-10.8%-2.7%-9.3%2.4%1.0%-4.4%
6M Rtn-1.1%-1.2%5.2%3.1%2.8%16.9%3.0%
12M Rtn-3.4%-16.9%-10.8%-11.9%-5.1%6.0%-7.9%
3Y Rtn21.6%4.9%3.3%28.3%-54.2%83.7%13.2%
1M Excs Rtn-1.3%-2.9%-0.1%-5.4%9.2%-0.9%-1.1%
3M Excs Rtn-12.1%-17.5%-10.1%-15.3%-5.7%-5.2%-11.1%
6M Excs Rtn-16.6%-16.7%-10.3%-12.4%-12.6%1.5%-12.5%
12M Excs Rtn-17.2%-30.0%-24.6%-24.8%-19.4%-7.3%-22.0%
3Y Excs Rtn-53.5%-71.2%-72.8%-47.6%-128.6%10.8%-62.4%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Acquiring, developing, owning, and operating income-producing retail real estate1,322    
Lease income 1,1871,1139801,094
Management, transaction, and other fees 26402730
Other property income 1112109
Total1,3221,2241,1661,0161,133


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity5,254,381
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120256.4%
Average Daily Volume1,205,017
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.36
Basic Shares Quantity181,921,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.9%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251105202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025804202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025502202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024214202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241101202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024802202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024503202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023216202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231106202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023804202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023505202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022217202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221104202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022805202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022506202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021217202210-K 12/31/2021