Brixmor Property (BRX)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $25.37 | Market Cap: $7.8 BilSector: Real Estate | Industry: Retail REITs
Brixmor Property (BRX)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $25.37Market Cap: $7.8 BilSector: Real EstateIndustry: Retail REITs
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.0%, Dividend Yield is 4.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.9%, FCF Yield is 7.5% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -21%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -44% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 60% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 47%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 47% | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 24% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce Logistics & Data Centers, Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include E-commerce Logistics REITs, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.0%, Dividend Yield is 4.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.9%, FCF Yield is 7.5% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 47%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 47% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 24% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce Logistics & Data Centers, Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include E-commerce Logistics REITs, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -21%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -44% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 60% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
BRX Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points for why Brixmor Property (BRX) stock moved by approximately -8.4% for the period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025: **1. Unexpected CEO Leadership Change.** On October 16, 2025, Brixmor Property Group announced that its Chief Executive Officer, James M. Taylor, would be taking a temporary medical leave of absence. Brian T. Finnegan, the company's President and Chief Operating Officer, was appointed as interim CEO, effective the same day. Such an unexpected leadership transition can introduce uncertainty and concern among investors, often leading to downward pressure on a company's stock price. **2. Mixed Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Report.** Brixmor Property Group reported its Q3 2025 earnings on October 27, 2025, which presented a mixed picture. While the company's Nareit Funds From Operations (FFO) per diluted share of $0.56 met consensus estimates and quarterly revenue saw a 6.3% year-over-year increase, the net income attributable to Brixmor Property Group Inc. declined to $0.31 per diluted share, down from $0.32 per diluted share in the same period of 2024. The decline in net income, despite meeting FFO expectations, likely contributed to investor apprehension. **3. Analyst Price Target Reductions.** Following the Q3 earnings and other corporate news, several financial analysts revised their price targets for BRX downwards. For instance, Scotiabank maintained a "Buy" rating but lowered its price target for Brixmor Property Group from $31.00 to $30.00 on November 13, 2025. Similarly, Citi also adjusted its price target for BRX to $28.00 from $31.00 while maintaining a "Neutral" rating. These reduced price targets signal a less optimistic near-term outlook from some market professionals. **4. Modest Update to 2025 FFO Guidance.** In its Q3 2025 report, Brixmor Property Group updated its previously provided Nareit FFO per diluted share expectations for the full year 2025 to a range of $2.23 - $2.25, a slight increase from the earlier guidance of $2.22 - $2.25. This modest upward adjustment, while positive, may have been perceived as insufficient to significantly re-energize investor enthusiasm or to counterbalance other prevailing concerns in the market. **5. Stock Breaking Key Technical Levels.** On October 30, 2025, Brixmor Property Group's stock notably broke below its 200-day moving average. Crossing below such a significant technical support level can trigger further selling by algorithms and technically-minded investors, reinforcing negative sentiment and accelerating a downtrend already in motion due to fundamental factors.
Show moreStock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| BRX Return | -19% | 60% | -7% | 8% | 25% | -4% | 55% |
| Peers Return | -27% | 67% | -21% | 7% | 6% | -3% | 5% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| BRX Win Rate | 42% | 83% | 42% | 58% | 67% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 42% | 78% | 33% | 55% | 53% | 44% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| BRX Max Drawdown | -63% | -4% | -26% | -12% | -8% | -15% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -60% | -4% | -34% | -19% | -17% | -18% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: KIM, REG, FRT, RPT, SPG. See BRX Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | BRX | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -32.4% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 47.9% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 694 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -63.0% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 170.0% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 384 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -43.7% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 77.7% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1363 days | 120 days |
Compare to KIM, REG, FRT, RPT, SPG
In The Past
Brixmor Property's stock fell -32.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/20/2022. A -32.4% loss requires a 47.9% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to BRX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 8.5% | 8.5% | -5.8% |
| 09302022 | BRX | Brixmor Property | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 19.4% | 18.1% | 0.0% |
| 03312020 | BRX | Brixmor Property | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 27.3% | 124.0% | -16.8% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 8.5% | 8.5% | -5.8% |
| 09302022 | BRX | Brixmor Property | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 19.4% | 18.1% | 0.0% |
| 03312020 | BRX | Brixmor Property | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 27.3% | 124.0% | -16.8% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Brixmor Property
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 47.65 |
| Mkt Cap | 10.6 |
| Rev LTM | 1,434 |
| Op Inc LTM | 571 |
| FCF LTM | 725 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 680 |
| CFO LTM | 725 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 680 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 5.9% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 5.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | 6.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.7% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 36.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 36.1% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 49.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 52.8% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 48.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 52.3% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 10.6 |
| P/S | 7.9 |
| P/EBIT | 17.3 |
| P/E | 26.4 |
| P/CFO | 14.2 |
| Total Yield | 4.2% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.3% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 6.3% |
| D/E | 0.6 |
| Net D/E | 0.5 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 1.9% |
| 3M Rtn | -1.7% |
| 6M Rtn | 2.9% |
| 12M Rtn | -7.4% |
| 3Y Rtn | 12.7% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 1.9% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -8.8% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -11.8% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -22.5% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -57.5% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10272025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7282025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4282025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2102025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10282024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7292024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 4292024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2122024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10302023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 7312023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5012023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2132023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11012022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8012022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5022022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2072022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Bowerman Julie | 8222025 | Sell | 25.74 | 2,000 | 51,480 | 528,339 | Form | |
| 1 | Berman Michael B | 8082025 | Sell | 26.54 | 5,000 | 132,690 | 948,097 | Form | |
| 2 | Bowerman Julie | 2282025 | Sell | 27.49 | 13,200 | 362,931 | 491,277 | Form | |
| 3 | SIEGEL STEVEN F | See remarks | 2282025 | Sell | 27.55 | 14,540 | 400,577 | 9,315,123 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |