Brixmor Property (BRX)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $25.94 | Market Cap: $8.0 BilSector: Real Estate | Industry: Retail REITs
Brixmor Property (BRX)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $25.94Market Cap: $8.0 BilSector: Real EstateIndustry: Retail REITs
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.0%, Dividend Yield is 4.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.9%, FCF Yield is 7.5% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -23%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -37% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 60% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 47%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 47% | Key risksBRX key risks include [1] tenant bankruptcies and instability impacting revenue and [2] execution failures on its redevelopment projects, Show more. | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 24% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce Logistics & Data Centers, Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include E-commerce Logistics REITs, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.0%, Dividend Yield is 4.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.9%, FCF Yield is 7.5% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 47%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 47% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 24% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce Logistics & Data Centers, Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include E-commerce Logistics REITs, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -23%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -37% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 60% |
| Key risksBRX key risks include [1] tenant bankruptcies and instability impacting revenue and [2] execution failures on its redevelopment projects, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
BRX Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are key points explaining the approximate -6.3% movement in Brixmor Property (BRX) stock from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025:
1. Challenging Retail REIT Sector Performance: The broader retail REIT sector experienced significant struggles, with shopping centers, a key segment for Brixmor, recording double-digit negative average total returns over the first eleven months of 2025. This overall sector weakness likely contributed to downward pressure on BRX's stock.
2. Slight Dip in Q3 2025 Net Income Per Diluted Share: Despite reporting strong same-property Net Operating Income (NOI) growth and a dividend increase, Brixmor's net income attributable to the company per diluted share for the third quarter of 2025 was $0.31, a slight decrease from $0.32 in the comparable period of 2024. This modest decline in profitability may have tempered investor enthusiasm.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| BRX Return | -19% | 60% | -7% | 8% | 25% | -4% | 56% |
| Peers Return | -25% | 64% | -11% | 9% | 12% | -8% | 22% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| BRX Win Rate | 42% | 83% | 42% | 58% | 67% | 42% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 42% | 82% | 40% | 53% | 58% | 42% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| BRX Max Drawdown | -63% | -4% | -26% | -12% | -8% | -15% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -58% | -4% | -28% | -14% | -10% | -21% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: KIM, REG, FRT, SITC, KRG. See BRX Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | BRX | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -32.4% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 47.9% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 694 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -63.0% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 170.0% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 384 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -43.7% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 77.7% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1363 days | 120 days |
Compare to KIM, REG, FRT, RPT, SPG
In The Past
Brixmor Property's stock fell -32.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/20/2022. A -32.4% loss requires a 47.9% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to BRX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -3.6% | -3.6% | -5.8% |
| 09302022 | BRX | Brixmor Property | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 19.4% | 18.1% | 0.0% |
| 03312020 | BRX | Brixmor Property | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 27.3% | 124.0% | -16.8% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -3.6% | -3.6% | -5.8% |
| 09302022 | BRX | Brixmor Property | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 19.4% | 18.1% | 0.0% |
| 03312020 | BRX | Brixmor Property | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 27.3% | 124.0% | -16.8% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Brixmor Property
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 24.87 |
| Mkt Cap | 8.4 |
| Rev LTM | 1,300 |
| Op Inc LTM | 466 |
| FCF LTM | 485 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 441 |
| CFO LTM | 616 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 589 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 5.7% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 5.1% |
| Rev Chg Q | 5.6% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.4% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 34.4% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 33.9% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 49.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 49.1% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 40.3% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 43.1% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 8.4 |
| P/S | 6.6 |
| P/EBIT | 17.0 |
| P/E | 25.3 |
| P/CFO | 13.6 |
| Total Yield | 7.3% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.9% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 5.7% |
| D/E | 0.6 |
| Net D/E | 0.5 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 4.5% |
| 3M Rtn | -2.1% |
| 6M Rtn | 3.7% |
| 12M Rtn | -6.6% |
| 3Y Rtn | 17.8% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 3.7% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -5.2% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -8.7% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -17.7% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -54.4% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/27/2025 | -4.1% | -7.0% | -7.3% |
| 7/28/2025 | 3.2% | 1.4% | 8.0% |
| 4/28/2025 | -4.2% | -2.7% | -3.5% |
| 2/10/2025 | 3.9% | 5.2% | -0.8% |
| 10/28/2024 | -0.8% | 0.8% | 9.2% |
| 7/29/2024 | 6.7% | -0.3% | 10.9% |
| 4/29/2024 | -0.2% | -0.0% | -3.2% |
| 2/12/2024 | 0.5% | 1.3% | -0.4% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 13 | 13 | 12 |
| # Negative | 11 | 11 | 12 |
| Median Positive | 2.5% | 1.8% | 7.5% |
| Median Negative | -0.9% | -2.6% | -4.6% |
| Max Positive | 6.7% | 27.5% | 48.5% |
| Max Negative | -4.2% | -11.9% | -26.7% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10272025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7282025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4282025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2102025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10282024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7292024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 4292024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2122024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10302023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 7312023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5012023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2132023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11012022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8012022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5022022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2072022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Bowerman Julie | 8222025 | Sell | 25.74 | 2,000 | 51,480 | 528,339 | Form | |
| 1 | Berman Michael B | 8082025 | Sell | 26.54 | 5,000 | 132,690 | 948,097 | Form | |
| 2 | Bowerman Julie | 2282025 | Sell | 27.49 | 13,200 | 362,931 | 491,277 | Form | |
| 3 | SIEGEL STEVEN F | See remarks | 2282025 | Sell | 27.55 | 14,540 | 400,577 | 9,315,123 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |