Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.0%, Dividend Yield is 4.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.9%, FCF Yield is 7.5%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -21%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -44%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 60%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 47%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 47%
  
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 24%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce Logistics & Data Centers, Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include E-commerce Logistics REITs, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.0%, Dividend Yield is 4.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.9%, FCF Yield is 7.5%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 47%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 47%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 24%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce Logistics & Data Centers, Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include E-commerce Logistics REITs, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -21%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -44%
5 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 60%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

BRX Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for why Brixmor Property (BRX) stock moved by approximately -8.4% for the period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025: **1. Unexpected CEO Leadership Change.** On October 16, 2025, Brixmor Property Group announced that its Chief Executive Officer, James M. Taylor, would be taking a temporary medical leave of absence. Brian T. Finnegan, the company's President and Chief Operating Officer, was appointed as interim CEO, effective the same day. Such an unexpected leadership transition can introduce uncertainty and concern among investors, often leading to downward pressure on a company's stock price. **2. Mixed Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Report.** Brixmor Property Group reported its Q3 2025 earnings on October 27, 2025, which presented a mixed picture. While the company's Nareit Funds From Operations (FFO) per diluted share of $0.56 met consensus estimates and quarterly revenue saw a 6.3% year-over-year increase, the net income attributable to Brixmor Property Group Inc. declined to $0.31 per diluted share, down from $0.32 per diluted share in the same period of 2024. The decline in net income, despite meeting FFO expectations, likely contributed to investor apprehension. **3. Analyst Price Target Reductions.** Following the Q3 earnings and other corporate news, several financial analysts revised their price targets for BRX downwards. For instance, Scotiabank maintained a "Buy" rating but lowered its price target for Brixmor Property Group from $31.00 to $30.00 on November 13, 2025. Similarly, Citi also adjusted its price target for BRX to $28.00 from $31.00 while maintaining a "Neutral" rating. These reduced price targets signal a less optimistic near-term outlook from some market professionals. **4. Modest Update to 2025 FFO Guidance.** In its Q3 2025 report, Brixmor Property Group updated its previously provided Nareit FFO per diluted share expectations for the full year 2025 to a range of $2.23 - $2.25, a slight increase from the earlier guidance of $2.22 - $2.25. This modest upward adjustment, while positive, may have been perceived as insufficient to significantly re-energize investor enthusiasm or to counterbalance other prevailing concerns in the market. **5. Stock Breaking Key Technical Levels.** On October 30, 2025, Brixmor Property Group's stock notably broke below its 200-day moving average. Crossing below such a significant technical support level can trigger further selling by algorithms and technically-minded investors, reinforcing negative sentiment and accelerating a downtrend already in motion due to fundamental factors.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
BRX Return-19%60%-7%8%25%-4%55%
Peers Return-27%67%-21%7%6%-3%5%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
BRX Win Rate42%83%42%58%67%50% 
Peers Win Rate42%78%33%55%53%44% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
BRX Max Drawdown-63%-4%-26%-12%-8%-15% 
Peers Max Drawdown-60%-4%-34%-19%-17%-18% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: KIM, REG, FRT, RPT, SPG. See BRX Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventBRXS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-32.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven47.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven694 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-63.0%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven170.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven384 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-43.7%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven77.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1363 days120 days

Compare to KIM, REG, FRT, RPT, SPG


In The Past

Brixmor Property's stock fell -32.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/20/2022. A -32.4% loss requires a 47.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

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About Brixmor Property (BRX)

Better Bets than Brixmor Property (BRX)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to BRX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
MPW_10312025_Short_Squeeze10312025MPWMedical Properties TrustSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
8.5%8.5%-5.8%
BRX_9302022_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302022BRXBrixmor PropertyDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
19.4%18.1%0.0%
BRX_3312020_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy03312020BRXBrixmor PropertyDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
27.3%124.0%-16.8%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
MPW_10312025_Short_Squeeze10312025MPWMedical Properties TrustSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
8.5%8.5%-5.8%
BRX_9302022_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302022BRXBrixmor PropertyDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
19.4%18.1%0.0%
BRX_3312020_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy03312020BRXBrixmor PropertyDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
27.3%124.0%-16.8%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Brixmor Property

Peers to compare with:

Financials

BRXKIMREGFRTRPTSPGMedian
NameBrixmor .Kimco Re.Regency .Federal .Rithm Pr.Simon Pr. 
Mkt Price25.3720.4169.9497.882.62182.3047.65
Mkt Cap7.813.812.78.40.159.510.6
Rev LTM1,3462,0951,5221,25436,1551,434
Op Inc LTM481692571451-3,120571
FCF LTM6351,065815336-103,121725
FCF 3Y Avg6061,008754276-193,066680
CFO LTM6351,065815597-104,018725
CFO 3Y Avg6061,008754572-193,870680

Growth & Margins

BRXKIMREGFRTRPTSPGMedian
NameBrixmor .Kimco Re.Regency .Federal .Rithm Pr.Simon Pr. 
Rev Chg LTM5.7%10.2%5.6%6.0%103.0%4.2%5.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg3.8%8.3%8.1%6.2%-266.4%5.7%5.9%
Rev Chg Q6.3%5.0%7.6%6.1%313.9%8.2%6.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.5%1.2%1.8%1.5%737.0%2.0%1.7%
Op Mgn LTM35.7%33.0%37.5%36.0%-50.7%36.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg36.1%32.7%36.1%35.1%-50.4%36.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.2%0.3%0.6%-0.2%--0.3%0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM47.2%50.8%53.6%47.6%-391.1%65.3%49.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg47.2%52.8%53.3%48.2%-66.1%52.8%
FCF/Rev LTM47.2%50.8%53.6%26.8%-391.1%50.7%48.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg47.2%52.8%53.3%23.1%-52.3%52.3%

Valuation

BRXKIMREGFRTRPTSPGMedian
NameBrixmor .Kimco Re.Regency .Federal .Rithm Pr.Simon Pr. 
Mkt Cap7.813.812.78.40.159.510.6
P/S6.37.08.76.945.310.07.9
P/EBIT15.418.721.316.2-17.317.3
P/E25.624.732.225.1100.127.326.4
P/CFO13.413.816.314.6-11.615.214.2
Total Yield8.0%4.1%6.9%4.0%1.0%4.4%4.2%
Dividend Yield4.1%0.0%3.8%0.0%0.0%0.7%0.3%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg8.0%7.6%6.1%3.2%-13.0%6.4%6.3%
D/E0.60.60.40.63.00.40.6
Net D/E0.60.50.40.5-0.50.40.5

Returns

BRXKIMREGFRTRPTSPGMedian
NameBrixmor .Kimco Re.Regency .Federal .Rithm Pr.Simon Pr. 
1M Rtn-3.1%0.2%1.5%2.3%8.6%3.2%1.9%
3M Rtn-8.4%-8.2%-2.2%-1.1%3.6%1.4%-1.7%
6M Rtn3.0%-0.3%-0.5%5.3%2.8%15.6%2.9%
12M Rtn-10.8%-15.3%-2.7%-10.0%-4.7%6.0%-7.4%
3Y Rtn26.3%4.1%21.3%1.8%-55.1%80.2%12.7%
1M Excs Rtn-3.1%0.2%1.5%2.3%8.7%3.2%1.9%
3M Excs Rtn-14.2%-14.8%-10.3%-7.3%-2.1%-4.9%-8.8%
6M Excs Rtn-11.7%-15.1%-15.2%-9.5%-11.9%0.9%-11.8%
12M Excs Rtn-25.5%-30.1%-17.4%-25.9%-19.5%-9.3%-22.5%
3Y Excs Rtn-44.1%-66.1%-48.8%-69.3%-127.4%12.9%-57.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Portfolio of community and neighborhood shopping centers1,245    
Other revenues 1622
Rental income 1,2171,1461,0511,166
Total1,2451,2181,1521,0531,168


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity13,121,295
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120250.2%
Average Daily Volume2,170,164
Days-to-Cover Short Interest6.05
Basic Shares Quantity307,193,000
Short % of Basic Shares4.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251027202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025728202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025428202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024210202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241028202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024729202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024429202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023212202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231030202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023731202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023501202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022213202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221101202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022801202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022502202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021207202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Bowerman Julie 8222025Sell25.742,00051,480528,339Form
1Berman Michael B 8082025Sell26.545,000132,690948,097Form
2Bowerman Julie 2282025Sell27.4913,200362,931491,277Form
3SIEGEL STEVEN FSee remarks2282025Sell27.5514,540400,5779,315,123Form