Federal Realty Investment Trust (FRT)
Market Price (11/16/2025): $96.98 | Market Cap: $8.3 BilSector: Real Estate | Industry: Retail REITs
Federal Realty Investment Trust (FRT)
Market Price (11/16/2025): $96.98Market Cap: $8.3 BilSector: Real EstateIndustry: Retail REITs
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 48%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -38%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -70% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 56% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 24% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include Experiential Retail, Show more. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 48%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 24% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include Experiential Retail, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -38%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -70% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 56% |
Market Valuation & Key Metrics
FRT Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are five key points that likely contributed to Federal Realty Investment Trust (FRT) stock moving by 6.5% during the approximate time period from July 31, 2025, to November 15, 2025:
1. Federal Realty reported stronger-than-expected third-quarter 2025 earnings. The company announced its Q3 2025 results on October 31, 2025, posting earnings per share (EPS) of $1.77, which significantly surpassed analysts' consensus estimates of $1.17 by 51.28%. Revenue also slightly exceeded expectations. This strong financial performance often leads to a positive stock reaction.
2. The company raised its full-year 2025 Funds From Operations (FFO) per share guidance. Following the robust Q3 results, Federal Realty increased its full-year FFO per share guidance for 2025 to a range of $7.05 to $7.11. This upward revision signals management's confidence in continued operational excellence and accretive acquisitions.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| FRT Return | -31% | 66% | -23% | 7% | 12% | -9% | -4% |
| Peers Return | -25% | 66% | -18% | 8% | 9% | -2% | 16% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| FRT Win Rate | 33% | 92% | 33% | 58% | 50% | 30% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 43% | 77% | 35% | 55% | 57% | 48% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| FRT Max Drawdown | -48% | -3% | -33% | -14% | -5% | -24% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -62% | -4% | -32% | -18% | -17% | -16% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: KIM, REG, BRX, RPT, SPG. See FRT Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/14/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | FRT | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -38.4% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 62.2% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -49.8% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 99.2% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 581 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -25.6% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 34.4% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -59.2% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 145.2% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1066 days | 1480 days |
Compare to KIM, REG, BRX, RPT, SPG
In The Past
Federal Realty Investment Trust's stock fell -38.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/4/2022. A -38.4% loss requires a 62.2% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to FRT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -4.3% | -4.3% | -5.8% |
| 03312020 | FRT | Federal Realty Investment Trust | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.3% | 42.5% | -11.8% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -4.3% | -4.3% | -5.8% |
| 03312020 | FRT | Federal Realty Investment Trust | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.3% | 42.5% | -11.8% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Federal Realty Investment Trust
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 48.05 |
| Mkt Cap | 10.5 |
| Rev LTM | 1,434 |
| Op Inc LTM | 571 |
| FCF LTM | 725 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 680 |
| CFO LTM | 725 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 680 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 5.9% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 5.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | 6.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.7% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 36.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 36.1% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 49.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 52.8% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 48.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 52.3% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 10.5 |
| P/S | 7.5 |
| P/EBIT | 16.9 |
| P/E | 25.5 |
| P/CFO | 13.5 |
| Total Yield | 4.4% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.4% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 6.3% |
| D/E | 0.6 |
| Net D/E | 0.5 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -1.1% |
| 3M Rtn | 0.1% |
| 6M Rtn | -1.2% |
| 12M Rtn | -7.3% |
| 3Y Rtn | 15.8% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -2.7% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -2.9% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -14.2% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -19.3% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -59.1% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/31/2025 | 1.4% | 1.1% | |
| 8/6/2025 | -0.9% | 1.5% | 10.2% |
| 5/8/2025 | -1.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% |
| 2/13/2025 | -6.1% | -6.8% | -12.4% |
| 10/30/2024 | -3.0% | -1.0% | 2.1% |
| 8/1/2024 | -0.3% | -0.4% | 2.0% |
| 5/2/2024 | -2.8% | -2.2% | -3.5% |
| 2/12/2024 | 0.3% | -1.3% | 1.6% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 12 | 13 | 14 |
| # Negative | 12 | 11 | 10 |
| Median Positive | 2.2% | 1.8% | 7.3% |
| Median Negative | -2.9% | -2.2% | -6.2% |
| Max Positive | 6.0% | 18.3% | 36.4% |
| Max Negative | -6.1% | -10.5% | -12.4% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10312025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8062025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5082025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2132025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10302024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8012024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5022024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2122024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11022023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8022023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5042023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2082023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11032022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8042022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5052022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2102022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |