Tearsheet

Kaival Brands Innovations (KAVL)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $0.48 | Market Cap: $5.5 Mil
Sector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Tobacco

Kaival Brands Innovations (KAVL)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $0.48
Market Cap: $5.5 Mil
Sector: Consumer Staples
Industry: Tobacco

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Next-Generation Nicotine Products. Themes include Vaping Innovation & Distribution, and Regulated E-commerce & DTC.
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -142%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -171%
Penny stock
Mkt Price is 0.5
1   Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -7.2 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -642%
2   Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 5.1x
3   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -89%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -27%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -80%
4   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -250%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -250%
5   Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 126%
6   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -146%
7   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 116%
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Next-Generation Nicotine Products. Themes include Vaping Innovation & Distribution, and Regulated E-commerce & DTC.
1 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -142%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -171%
2 Penny stock
Mkt Price is 0.5
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -7.2 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -642%
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 5.1x
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -89%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -27%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -80%
6 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -250%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -250%
7 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 126%
8 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -146%
9 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 116%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

KAVL Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Significant Revenue Decline and Regulatory Challenges.

Kaival Brands Innovations Group experienced a significant decline in revenue to $6.9 million from $13.1 million in the previous year, primarily due to reduced sales of its Bidi Stick product. This decline followed a patent infringement complaint and a Marketing Denial Order from the FDA.

2. Strategic Business Model Pivot and Ceasing US Sales.

In 2025, Kaival Brands underwent a substantial shift in its business model, almost entirely discontinuing US product sales. The company's focus transitioned to generating royalty income from an international licensing agreement with Philip Morris Products S.A., alongside efforts to diversify through intellectual property acquisition.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
KAVL Return303%935%20%-78%-78%-48%26%
Peers Return8%10%-5%11%27%13%80%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
KAVL Win Rate25%17%42%25%42%40% 
Peers Win Rate40%40%38%54%57%56% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
KAVL Max Drawdown-61%0%-26%-82%-86%-53% 
Peers Max Drawdown-29%-6%-16%-7%-22%-19% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: PM, MO, TPB, UVV, ISPR.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventKAVLS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-98.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven5975.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-65.0%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven185.7%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven39 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-87.4%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven691.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven175 days120 days

Compare to PM, MO, TPB, UVV, ISPR


In The Past

Kaival Brands Innovations's stock fell -98.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 9/9/2021. A -98.4% loss requires a 5975.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

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About Kaival Brands Innovations (KAVL)

Better Bets than Kaival Brands Innovations (KAVL)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to KAVL. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
3.1%3.1%0.0%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.9%-1.9%-1.9%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
-5.3%-5.3%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.5%3.5%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.1%2.1%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
3.1%3.1%0.0%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.9%-1.9%-1.9%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
-5.3%-5.3%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.5%3.5%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.1%2.1%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Kaival Brands Innovations

Peers to compare with:

Financials

KAVLPMMOTPBUVVISPRMedian
NameKaival B.Philip M.Altria Turning .UniversalIspire T. 
Mkt Price0.49151.7158.4197.5752.762.6455.58
Mkt Cap0.0236.298.41.81.30.21.6
Rev LTM139,99220,2594362,9871191,712
Op Inc LTM-714,81911,96193249-35171
FCF LTM-310,1238,72839157-1498
FCF 3Y Avg-29,2678,7105379-1566
CFO LTM-311,5268,87650202-12126
CFO 3Y Avg-210,6798,88760139-1399

Growth & Margins

KAVLPMMOTPBUVVISPRMedian
NameKaival B.Philip M.Altria Turning .UniversalIspire T. 
Rev Chg LTM-88.9%7.5%-0.2%53.5%3.0%-20.1%1.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-27.3%8.0%-0.9%6.4%7.9%-6.4%
Rev Chg Q-80.0%9.4%0.2%31.2%6.1%-22.8%3.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-33.6%2.4%0.1%6.9%1.5%-7.0%0.8%
Op Mgn LTM-642.3%37.1%59.0%21.4%8.3%-29.8%14.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-266.5%35.9%57.1%25.3%8.2%-15.1%16.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-165.5%0.7%1.7%-0.2%-0.5%-0.1%-0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM-249.7%28.8%43.8%11.5%6.8%-10.3%9.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-90.3%28.7%43.5%18.4%5.1%-9.8%11.8%
FCF/Rev LTM-249.7%25.3%43.1%8.9%5.3%-11.5%7.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-90.3%24.9%42.7%16.4%3.0%-11.3%9.7%

Valuation

KAVLPMMOTPBUVVISPRMedian
NameKaival B.Philip M.Altria Turning .UniversalIspire T. 
Mkt Cap0.0236.298.41.81.30.21.6
P/S5.16.35.54.10.51.24.6
P/EBIT-0.716.59.518.05.6-4.27.5
P/E-0.729.312.734.412.5-4.012.6
P/CFO-2.021.912.535.96.9-12.09.7
Total Yield-142.3%6.8%14.1%3.2%13.7%-25.2%5.0%
Dividend Yield0.0%3.3%6.2%0.3%5.8%0.0%1.8%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-18.4%4.9%9.8%7.8%6.7%-5.3%5.8%
D/E0.10.20.20.20.90.00.2
Net D/E-0.10.20.20.10.8-0.10.1

Returns

KAVLPMMOTPBUVVISPRMedian
NameKaival B.Philip M.Altria Turning .UniversalIspire T. 
1M Rtn-9.8%4.9%3.1%4.2%3.9%54.4%4.1%
3M Rtn-47.1%-6.2%-10.9%0.7%-2.8%-9.3%-7.7%
6M Rtn-14.4%-14.6%1.8%30.4%-10.1%6.9%-4.1%
12M Rtn-33.4%21.4%10.1%61.7%0.3%-57.0%5.2%
3Y Rtn-97.8%67.6%56.1%355.3%10.7%-56.1%
1M Excs Rtn-9.7%4.9%3.1%4.2%4.0%54.4%4.1%
3M Excs Rtn-50.1%-10.3%-16.2%-6.5%-7.8%-20.2%-13.3%
6M Excs Rtn-29.1%-29.3%-12.9%15.7%-24.8%-7.8%-18.9%
12M Excs Rtn-46.0%4.7%-5.0%44.7%-15.3%-70.6%-10.2%
3Y Excs Rtn-170.5%6.2%-8.1%301.5%-60.2%--8.1%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment13135964 
Total13135964 


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment    -0
Total    -0


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity136,181
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202530.2%
Average Daily Volume92,082
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.48
Basic Shares Quantity11,542,302
Short % of Basic Shares1.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
7312025916202510-Q 7/31/2025
4302025610202510-Q 4/30/2025
1312025317202510-Q 1/31/2025
10312024210202510-K 10/31/2024
7312024920202410-Q 7/31/2024
4302024618202410-Q 4/30/2024
1312024325202410-Q 1/31/2024
10312023214202410-K 10/31/2023
7312023919202310-Q 7/31/2023
4302023614202310-Q 4/30/2023
1312023317202310-Q 1/31/2023
10312022130202310-K 10/31/2022
7312022912202210-Q 7/31/2022
4302022621202210-Q 4/30/2022
1312022317202210-Q 1/31/2022
10312021216202210-K 10/31/2021