Karooooo (KARO)
Market Price (11/18/2025): $42.64 | Market Cap: $1.3 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Application Software
Karooooo (KARO)
Market Price (11/18/2025): $42.64Market Cap: $1.3 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Application Software
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 75%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 71%, FCF Yield is 121% | ||
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 28% | ||
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Cloud Computing, Future of Freight, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Software as a Service (SaaS), Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 75%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 71%, FCF Yield is 121% |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 28% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Cloud Computing, Future of Freight, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Software as a Service (SaaS), Show more. |
Market Valuation & Key Metrics
KARO Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
The requested time period for Karooooo (KARO) stock movement, from July 31, 2025, to today (November 18, 2025), lies in the future. Therefore, actual historical data explaining a -3.5% stock movement during this specific period is not available.
However, some relevant announcements and analyst insights for this future period can be identified:
1. Karooooo announced strong Q2 2026 financial results on October 14, 2025, with subscription revenue growth increasing from 15% to 20% year-over-year. The company reported a 20% increase in quarterly subscription revenue to ZAR1,180 million for its Cartrack business and a 15% year-over-year growth in its subscriber base to 2.5 million subscribers. Despite these strong results, the stock experienced a decline on the day of the announcement.
2. Karooooo's stock was down approximately 12% by late morning on October 15, 2025, following the Q2 2026 earnings report, potentially due to valuation concerns. The stock had more than doubled since the start of 2024, and its forward price-to-earnings ratio, which topped 30 earlier in the year, was around 25 after the slump.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| KARO Return | - | - | -41% | 8% | 91% | -2% | 18% |
| Peers Return | 13% | -2% | -7% | 6% | 52% | -27% | 23% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 13% | 107% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| KARO Win Rate | - | 38% | 33% | 58% | 92% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 13% | 10% | 5% | 21% | 33% | 43% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| KARO Max Drawdown | - | - | -50% | -17% | -3% | -18% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -5% | -4% | -8% | -1% | -4% | -34% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ADSK, HIT, BIYA, BLIV, BMR.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | KARO | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -54.8% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 121.5% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 350 days | 464 days |
Compare to ADSK, HIT, BIYA, BLIV, BMR
In The Past
Karooooo's stock fell -54.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/28/2021. A -54.8% loss requires a 121.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Karooooo Stock Drop Looks Sharp, But How Deep Can It Go? | Return |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to KARO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | ZBRA | Zebra Technologies | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -10.7% | -10.7% | -10.7% |
| 10312025 | ACN | Accenture | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.0% | -2.0% | -3.5% |
| 10312025 | ADBE | Adobe | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.7% | -2.7% | -3.9% |
| 10312025 | TXN | Texas Instruments | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -1.3% | -1.3% | -1.3% |
| 10242025 | MRVL | Marvell Technology | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.8% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | ZBRA | Zebra Technologies | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -10.7% | -10.7% | -10.7% |
| 10312025 | ACN | Accenture | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.0% | -2.0% | -3.5% |
| 10312025 | ADBE | Adobe | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.7% | -2.7% | -3.9% |
| 10312025 | TXN | Texas Instruments | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -1.3% | -1.3% | -1.3% |
| 10242025 | MRVL | Marvell Technology | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.8% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Karooooo
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 2.78 |
| Mkt Cap | 1.3 |
| Rev LTM | 5,000 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,418 |
| FCF LTM | 1,612 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 1,500 |
| CFO LTM | 1,612 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,615 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 14.8% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 14.4% |
| Rev Chg Q | 21.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 5.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 22.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 23.9% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 29.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 31.8% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 28.0% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 29.3% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 1.3 |
| P/S | 3.1 |
| P/EBIT | 41.1 |
| P/E | 59.6 |
| P/CFO | 22.6 |
| Total Yield | 1.7% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 61.5% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | 0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -15.1% |
| 3M Rtn | -25.3% |
| 6M Rtn | -21.8% |
| 12M Rtn | -2.4% |
| 3Y Rtn | 74.0% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -15.2% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -27.7% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -33.7% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -18.2% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -1.7% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 8312025 | 10142025 | 6-K 8/31/2025 |
| 5312025 | 7222025 | 6-K 5/31/2025 |
| 2282025 | 6092025 | 20-F 2/28/2025 |
| 11302024 | 1142025 | 6-K 11/30/2024 |
| 8312024 | 10152024 | 6-K 8/31/2024 |
| 5312024 | 7232024 | 6-K 5/31/2024 |
| 2292024 | 6132024 | 20-F 2/29/2024 |
| 11302023 | 1222024 | 6-K 11/30/2023 |
| 8312023 | 10112023 | 6-K 8/31/2023 |
| 5312023 | 7192023 | 6-K 5/31/2023 |
| 2282023 | 6132023 | 20-F 2/28/2023 |
| 11302022 | 1192023 | 6-K 11/30/2022 |
| 8312022 | 10122022 | 6-K 8/31/2022 |
| 5312022 | 7272022 | 6-K 5/31/2022 |
| 2282022 | 6092022 | 20-F 2/28/2022 |
| 11302021 | 1182022 | 6-K 11/30/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |