Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 13%, Dividend Yield is 3.0%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 8.5%, FCF Yield is 11%
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -7.3%
Key risks
IBCP key risks include [1] interest rate risk and [2] deterioration in the credit quality of its loan portfolios or in the value of the collateral securing those loans.
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -50%
  
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 38%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 34%
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 27%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Community & Regional Banking. Themes include Local Small Business Lending, Community Development Initiatives, and Personalized Financial Services.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 13%, Dividend Yield is 3.0%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 8.5%, FCF Yield is 11%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -50%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 38%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 34%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 27%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Community & Regional Banking. Themes include Local Small Business Lending, Community Development Initiatives, and Personalized Financial Services.
5 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -7.3%
6 Key risks
IBCP key risks include [1] interest rate risk and [2] deterioration in the credit quality of its loan portfolios or in the value of the collateral securing those loans.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

IBCP Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining the stock movement for Independent Bank (IBCP) for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 21, 2025: 1. Stronger-than-expected Q3 2025 Earnings: Independent Bank reported diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.84 for the third quarter of 2025, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.83 per share and notably higher than the $0.65 per share in the prior year period. Revenue also increased by 11.6% over the same period last year, reaching $57.3 million.

2. Robust Core Deposit Growth: The company demonstrated strong growth in its deposit base, with total deposits reaching approximately $4.9 billion as of September 30, 2025. Core deposits, excluding brokered time deposits, increased by an annualized rate of 13%, and overall core deposits grew by $148.2 million during the third quarter of 2025.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
IBCP Return-14%34%4%14%38%4%97%
Peers Return-13%43%-12%0%21%22%61%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
IBCP Win Rate50%58%42%58%42%50% 
Peers Win Rate62%72%45%47%60%62% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
IBCP Max Drawdown-57%-1%-23%-34%-10%-19% 
Peers Max Drawdown-57%-2%-23%-37%-11%-17% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HBAN, FITB, CMA, SRCE, HBNC.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventIBCPS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-38.0%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven61.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven217 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-57.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven136.9%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven355 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-28.3%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven39.5%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,575 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-97.6%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven4115.0%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days1,480 days

Compare to NEWT, ATLO, CBC, CBK, HYNE


In The Past

Independent Bank's stock fell -38.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/1/2022. A -38.0% loss requires a 61.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Independent Bank (IBCP)

Better Bets than Independent Bank (IBCP)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to IBCP. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.5%13.5%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.0%2.0%-0.5%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.8%-4.8%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.8%5.8%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-12.1%-12.1%-12.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.5%13.5%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.0%2.0%-0.5%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.8%-4.8%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.8%5.8%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-12.1%-12.1%-12.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Independent Bank

Peers to compare with:

Financials

IBCPHBANFITBCMASRCEHBNCMedian
NameIndepend.Huntingt.Fifth Th.Comerica 1st Sour.Horizon . 
Mkt Price34.1217.6947.8388.2665.4818.0840.97
Mkt Cap0.725.831.911.31.60.96.4
Rev LTM2227,9468,5893,341421-821,881
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM762,4722,82324187-9131
FCF 3Y Avg632,3013,72084418945516
CFO LTM852,6483,484125201-3163
CFO 3Y Avg692,4614,33097619851587

Growth & Margins

IBCPHBANFITBCMASRCEHBNCMedian
NameIndepend.Huntingt.Fifth Th.Comerica 1st Sour.Horizon . 
Rev Chg LTM9.3%11.1%3.6%4.4%10.5%-144.4%6.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg3.2%4.9%3.8%1.8%7.0%-56.6%3.5%
Rev Chg Q11.9%13.9%8.0%3.3%13.0%-515.1%10.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.7%3.4%2.0%0.8%3.1%-138.5%2.4%
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM38.4%33.3%40.6%3.7%47.8%-38.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg33.0%32.3%51.1%29.2%50.6%-33.0%
FCF/Rev LTM34.3%31.1%32.9%0.7%44.3%-32.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg29.7%30.2%43.9%25.3%48.3%-30.2%

Valuation

IBCPHBANFITBCMASRCEHBNCMedian
NameIndepend.Huntingt.Fifth Th.Comerica 1st Sour.Horizon . 
Mkt Cap0.725.831.911.31.60.96.4
P/S3.23.23.73.43.8-3.4
P/EBIT-------
P/E10.311.613.215.810.8-4.511.2
P/CFO8.39.79.190.48.0-315.18.7
Total Yield12.7%12.1%7.6%9.7%11.6%-18.7%10.6%
Dividend Yield3.0%3.5%0.0%3.3%2.3%3.3%3.2%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg11.4%12.1%15.6%11.7%14.5%8.3%11.9%
D/E0.10.70.60.50.10.50.5
Net D/E-0.50.1-1.2-1.0-0.8-0.6-0.7

Returns

IBCPHBANFITBCMASRCEHBNCMedian
NameIndepend.Huntingt.Fifth Th.Comerica 1st Sour.Horizon . 
1M Rtn11.5%16.5%15.9%17.0%8.6%15.0%15.4%
3M Rtn9.8%0.7%4.7%27.3%3.6%10.7%7.2%
6M Rtn14.2%13.7%23.8%59.1%11.5%26.3%19.0%
12M Rtn0.3%12.6%15.5%50.7%13.5%14.4%13.9%
3Y Rtn61.9%44.9%69.2%58.9%31.1%38.3%51.9%
1M Excs Rtn9.5%13.1%12.4%13.4%5.7%12.0%12.2%
3M Excs Rtn7.8%0.9%5.3%27.9%2.6%10.1%6.5%
6M Excs Rtn-2.5%-1.4%7.8%43.2%-4.5%8.8%3.2%
12M Excs Rtn-18.5%-3.5%-2.9%30.1%-5.3%-4.2%-3.8%
3Y Excs Rtn-7.3%-23.7%-3.5%-12.3%-40.6%-32.4%-18.0%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Independent Bank211    
Eliminations-0    
Other-3    
Single Segment 205199198165
Total207205199198165


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Independent Bank63    
Eliminations-0    
Other-4    
Total59    


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Independent Bank5,260    
Other493    
Eliminations-489    
Total5,264    


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity300,987
Short Interest: % Change Since 1115202566.0%
Average Daily Volume164,486
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.83
Basic Shares Quantity20,702,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.5%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/28/20250.1%-3.6%4.5%
7/24/2025-3.9%-8.9%-7.8%
4/24/2025-1.2%-2.6%1.9%
1/23/20251.3%3.3%-3.1%
10/24/2024-1.5%1.0%14.4%
7/25/20245.7%4.4%-1.5%
4/25/20240.2%-0.3%0.9%
1/25/2024-3.5%-4.5%-8.3%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive111311
# Negative131113
Median Positive1.3%4.3%12.1%
Median Negative-1.8%-4.5%-3.1%
Max Positive9.3%10.7%25.2%
Max Negative-9.6%-18.2%-13.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251105202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025507202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024307202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241105202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024805202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024503202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023308202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231103202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023804202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023505202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022303202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221104202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022805202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021304202210-K 12/31/2021