Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 12%, Dividend Yield is 2.3%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.8%, FCF Yield is 13%
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -23%
Key risks
SRCE key risks include [1] elevated credit risk due to its significant concentration in commercial and commercial real estate loans.
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -40%
  
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 51%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 49%
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 25%
  
4 Capital ratio is >2x the minimum of 6%
Tier 1 Capital / Risk Wtd Assets RatioTier 1 Capital / Risk-Weighted Assets is a common measure of financial strength for a bank. It reflects how much equity there is relative to assets where assets are weighted based on riskiness. Low ratios indicate the bank is highly vulnerable to even small changes in the value of their risk assets. is 15%
  
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, and Wealth Management Technology.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 12%, Dividend Yield is 2.3%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.8%, FCF Yield is 13%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -40%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 51%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 49%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 25%
4 Capital ratio is >2x the minimum of 6%
Tier 1 Capital / Risk Wtd Assets RatioTier 1 Capital / Risk-Weighted Assets is a common measure of financial strength for a bank. It reflects how much equity there is relative to assets where assets are weighted based on riskiness. Low ratios indicate the bank is highly vulnerable to even small changes in the value of their risk assets. is 15%
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, and Wealth Management Technology.
6 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -23%
7 Key risks
SRCE key risks include [1] elevated credit risk due to its significant concentration in commercial and commercial real estate loans.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

1st Source (SRCE) stock has gained about 10% since 11/30/2025 because of the following key factors:

1. Strong Q4 2025 Earnings Performance Exceeding Expectations.

1st Source Corporation reported record net income of $158.28 million for the full year 2025, a 19.34% increase from 2024. For the fourth quarter of 2025, net income rose by 30.87% to $41.14 million compared to the fourth quarter of 2024, with diluted net income per common share for the quarter increasing by 31.50% to $1.67. This strong performance, with revenue up 13.3% year over year and net interest income and EPS ahead of analyst expectations, highlighted the company's financial health.

2. Consistent Shareholder Returns Through Dividend Growth.

The company announced a cash dividend of $0.40 per common share for the fourth quarter of 2025, an 11.11% increase from the prior year's dividend. This dividend declaration marked 38 consecutive years of dividend growth and the fifth straight year of record net income, reinforcing investor confidence in its stable and shareholder-friendly policies.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 8.6% change in SRCE stock from 11/30/2025 to 3/6/2026 was primarily driven by a 3.3% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)113020253062026Change
Stock Price ($)62.0867.448.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)4214343.1%
Net Income Margin (%)35.3%36.5%3.3%
P/E Multiple10.210.41.6%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)24240.3%
Cumulative Contribution8.6%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

11/30/2025 to 3/6/2026
ReturnCorrelation
SRCE8.6% 
Market (SPY)-1.6%21.1%
Sector (XLF)-5.2%47.9%

Fundamental Drivers

The 6.0% change in SRCE stock from 8/31/2025 to 3/6/2026 was primarily driven by a 6.3% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)83120253062026Change
Stock Price ($)63.6267.446.0%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)4084346.3%
Net Income Margin (%)34.6%36.5%5.4%
P/E Multiple11.110.4-6.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)25240.6%
Cumulative Contribution6.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

8/31/2025 to 3/6/2026
ReturnCorrelation
SRCE6.0% 
Market (SPY)4.5%25.7%
Sector (XLF)-6.0%52.9%

Fundamental Drivers

The 6.6% change in SRCE stock from 2/28/2025 to 3/6/2026 was primarily driven by a 12.1% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)22820253062026Change
Stock Price ($)63.2967.446.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)38743412.1%
Net Income Margin (%)34.3%36.5%6.5%
P/E Multiple11.710.4-11.2%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)25240.5%
Cumulative Contribution6.6%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

2/28/2025 to 3/6/2026
ReturnCorrelation
SRCE6.6% 
Market (SPY)14.2%52.9%
Sector (XLF)-2.1%64.4%

Fundamental Drivers

The 46.4% change in SRCE stock from 2/28/2023 to 3/6/2026 was primarily driven by a 22.3% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)22820233062026Change
Stock Price ($)46.0867.4446.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)35543422.3%
Net Income Margin (%)34.0%36.5%7.4%
P/E Multiple9.410.410.2%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)25241.1%
Cumulative Contribution46.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

2/28/2023 to 3/6/2026
ReturnCorrelation
SRCE46.4% 
Market (SPY)76.0%43.2%
Sector (XLF)48.0%62.0%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
SRCE Return26%10%6%9%10%10%94%
Peers Return18%-30%30%1%26%4%43%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%-0%82%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
SRCE Win Rate67%33%50%42%67%67% 
Peers Win Rate33%47%58%44%75%57% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%33% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
SRCE Max Drawdown-2%-12%-23%-13%-8%-0% 
Peers Max Drawdown-8%-38%-27%-17%-9%-4% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%-1% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: NEWT, ATLO, AGBK, HYNE, NU.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 3/6/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventSRCES&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-31.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven46.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven439 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-47.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven90.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven654 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-34.5%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven52.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,402 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-56.1%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven127.6%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,745 days1,480 days

Compare to NEWT, ATLO, AGBK, HYNE, NU

In The Past

1st Source's stock fell -31.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/10/2022. A -31.9% loss requires a 46.9% gain to breakeven.

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About 1st Source (SRCE)

1st Source Corporation operates as the bank holding company for 1st Source Bank that provides commercial and consumer banking services, trust and wealth advisory services, and insurance products to individual and business clients. Its consumer banking services include checking and savings accounts; certificates of deposit; individual retirement accounts; online and mobile banking products; consumer loans, real estate mortgage loans, and home equity lines of credit; and financial planning, financial literacy, and other consultative services, as well as debit and credit cards. The company also offers commercial, small business, agricultural, and real estate loans for general corporate purposes, including financing for industrial and commercial properties, equipment, inventories, accounts receivables, and renewable energy and acquisition financing; and commercial leasing, treasury management, and retirement planning services. In addition, it provides trust, investment, agency, and custodial services comprising administration of estates and personal trusts, as well as management of investment accounts for individuals, employee benefit plans, and charitable foundations. Further, the company offers equipment loan and lease products for construction equipment, new and pre-owned aircraft, auto and light trucks, and medium and heavy duty trucks; and finances construction equipment, aircrafts, medium and heavy duty trucks, step vans, vocational work trucks, motor coaches, shuttle buses, funeral cars, automobiles, and other equipment. Additionally, it provides corporate and personal property, casualty, and individual and group health and life insurance products and services. As of December 31, 2021, the company operated through 79 banking centers in 18 counties in Indiana and Michigan, as well as Sarasota County in Florida. 1st Source Corporation was founded in 1863 and is headquartered in South Bend, Indiana.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-2 brief analogies to describe 1st Source (SRCE):

  • SRCE is like a regional PNC Bank focused on Northern Indiana and Southwestern Michigan, but with an added national specialty in financing trucks, equipment, and aircraft.
  • SRCE is like a traditional community bank combined with a commercial Ally Financial, specializing in loans for trucks, equipment, and aircraft.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Commercial Banking: Provides business loans, treasury management, and deposit services for companies.
  • Consumer Banking: Offers personal banking products such as checking, savings, mortgages, and consumer loans to individuals.
  • Wealth Management: Delivers investment management, trust, and financial planning services.
  • Specialty Financing: Engages in lease financing and secured lending for specific assets, primarily aircraft, vehicles, and other equipment.

AI Analysis | Feedback

1st Source Corporation (SRCE) is a bank holding company, and its principal subsidiary is 1st Source Bank. As a financial institution, it provides a range of banking services.

Based on an analysis of its financial reports, particularly its loan portfolio composition, 1st Source Corporation primarily serves other companies (businesses). Its commercial loan segments (Commercial and Industrial, Commercial Real Estate, and Specialty Finance/Equipment Finance) constitute a significantly larger portion of its overall loan portfolio compared to its consumer and residential mortgage loans.

However, due to the nature of banking and financial services, 1st Source Bank serves a broad and highly diversified customer base. Banks do not typically disclose the names of their specific major customers, particularly public companies, for reasons of client confidentiality, competitive strategy, and the fact that their revenue is not concentrated among a few large clients but rather distributed across numerous small to medium-sized businesses. Therefore, it is not possible to list specific customer company names or their symbols.

Instead, 1st Source Bank caters to a wide array of businesses, including:

  • Small to medium-sized businesses requiring commercial and industrial loans, lines of credit, and treasury management services.
  • Companies and investors involved in commercial real estate development and ownership.
  • Businesses in specific industries such as transportation, construction, and manufacturing, which utilize the bank's specialty equipment financing and leasing services.

These businesses are primarily located within the bank's core market footprint, which includes northern Indiana, southern Michigan, and select regions of Ohio.

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Andrea G. Short, President and Chief Executive Officer, 1st Source Corporation

Andrea G. Short has over 40 years of banking and business experience, including 26 years at 1st Source Corporation and 1st Source Bank. She assumed the role of President and Chief Executive Officer of 1st Source Corporation in 2025, and Chief Executive Officer of 1st Source Bank in 2022. Prior to these appointments, she served as Executive Vice President, Treasurer, and Chief Financial Officer of both 1st Source Corporation and 1st Source Bank since 2013. Short began her career at 1st Source Bank in 1998 as Tax Director, later becoming Vice President and Controller responsible for all finance and accounting functions. Before joining 1st Source, she worked at Crowe LLP (formerly Crowe Horwath) as an Audit Manager and at First of America Bank (now PNC) as a Tax Manager.

Brett A. Bauer, Executive Vice President, Treasurer, and Chief Financial Officer, 1st Source Corporation and 1st Source Bank

Brett A. Bauer serves as the Executive Vice President, Treasurer, and Chief Financial Officer for both 1st Source Corporation and 1st Source Bank. He is responsible for overseeing the finance and accounting functions, business financial analysis, asset and liability management, wholesale and corporate funding, capital management, investor relations, loan review, and risk management. Bauer initially joined 1st Source as a Corporate Trainee in 1999 and became a Trust Investment Analyst in 2000. He spent time working for Bear Stearn Japan LTD in Tokyo from 2002 to 2006 before returning to South Bend.

Christopher J. Murphy III, Executive Chairman of the Board, 1st Source Corporation and 1st Source Bank

Christopher J. Murphy III has over 52 years of banking and business experience, having served as a Director, President, and Chief Executive Officer of 1st Source Corporation and 1st Source Bank for 52 years before becoming Executive Chairman of the Board in 2025. He was named President and CEO of the bank in 1977, CEO of the corporation in 1979, and Chairman in 1998. In 1972, Murphy, along with his father-in-law and other investors, purchased the bank back into community ownership. Under his leadership, the bank grew from just over US$100 million to US$8 billion. Earlier in his career, he worked at Citibank and for the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency, U.S. Department of the Treasury.

Kevin C. Murphy, Executive Vice President, 1st Source Corporation and President, 1st Source Bank

Kevin C. Murphy is the Executive Vice President of 1st Source Corporation and became President of 1st Source Bank in 2025. He has over 25 years of experience in the financial industry. Murphy joined the 1st Source team in 2006 and has held several leadership positions, including Regional President of the Central Region (2017), Chief Information Officer (2019), Group Head of IT, Electronic Banking, Marketing, and Digital Strategy (2020), and Executive Vice President and Chief Digital Officer (2022).

John B. Griffith, Executive Vice President, Chief Risk Officer, 1st Source Corporation and 1st Source Bank

John B. Griffith holds the position of Executive Vice President and Chief Risk Officer for both 1st Source Corporation and 1st Source Bank. No further detailed background information was available in the provided search results.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The key risks to 1st Source (SRCE) primarily stem from its core banking operations and the broader economic environment.

  1. Credit Risks: As a financial institution, 1st Source is significantly exposed to credit risks associated with its loan and lease portfolios. These risks are particularly elevated with commercial and commercial real estate loans compared to residential real estate and consumer loans, as repayment often depends on the successful operation and management of underlying assets, which can be influenced by market or economic conditions. The company's loan loss provisions and nonperforming assets can rise, highlighting an inherent sensitivity to credit quality, especially in a slower economy.
  2. Interest Rate Risk and Net Interest Margin Pressure: The profitability of 1st Source is heavily influenced by general economic conditions and the monetary policies set by the Federal Reserve. The company faces potential pressure on its net interest margins if funding costs increase faster than anticipated.
  3. Operational Risks, particularly Cybersecurity: In an increasingly digital banking landscape, 1st Source is subject to operational risks, with technology security breaches being a significant concern. While the company implements various measures and engages third parties to test and evaluate its cybersecurity controls, the evolving and sophisticated nature of cyber threats means there is no absolute assurance that cybersecurity incidents will not adversely impact its financial condition or operations.

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The primary clear emerging threat for 1st Source (SRCE) is the rapid rise and increasing adoption of digital-first financial service providers and technologies. This includes:

  • Neobanks and Digital Lenders: Companies like Chime, SoFi, Upstart, and Rocket Mortgage offer entirely digital banking experiences, often with lower fees, higher interest rates, and faster loan approvals powered by advanced technology. These entities directly compete with SRCE for consumer deposits, personal loans, mortgages, and small business lending, potentially eroding its traditional customer base and market share, especially among younger, digitally-native demographics.
  • Big Tech in Finance: Major technology companies such as Apple, Google, and Amazon are increasingly integrating financial services into their vast ecosystems. They leverage their immense user bases and data to offer payment solutions (e.g., Apple Pay, Google Pay), credit cards (e.g., Apple Card), and lending services (e.g., Amazon lending to sellers). This trend threatens to disintermediate traditional banks like SRCE from direct customer relationships and core financial transactions, shifting customer loyalty towards technology platforms.

These forces represent a fundamental shift in how financial services are delivered and consumed, challenging SRCE's traditional branch-based model and its ability to attract and retain customers in an increasingly digital financial landscape.

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For 1st Source (symbol: SRCE), the addressable market sizes for its main products and services in the United States are as follows:

  • Commercial Banking: The U.S. commercial banking market size is estimated at USD 732.5 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 915.45 billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 4.56% (United States). Another source estimates the market size at USD 1.6 trillion in 2025 (United States).
  • Auto Loans: The U.S. car loan market is valued at USD 595.19 billion in 2025 and is forecasted to reach USD 898.25 billion by 2030, advancing at a 5.28% CAGR (United States).
  • Wealth Advisory Services (Wealth Management): The private banking market in the U.S., a component of wealth management, is valued at USD 59.54 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 94.89 billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 9.77% (United States). The broader North American wealth management market accounted for $937.45 billion in 2023.

Market sizes for other products or services, such as general consumer banking (excluding auto loans), home loans, insurance products, or highly specialized financing for construction equipment, aircraft, and fleet vehicles, could not be specifically identified within the provided information.

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Expected Drivers of Future Revenue Growth for 1st Source (SRCE)

Over the next 2-3 years, 1st Source (SRCE) is expected to drive future revenue growth through several key areas:

  1. Growth in Net Interest Income (NII) through Increased Average Loan and Lease Balances: The company has consistently demonstrated growth in its average loan and lease portfolios, which directly contributes to its net interest income. For example, average loans and leases grew by $46.93 million in Q3 2025, a 0.67% increase from the previous quarter, and by 6.20% from Q3 2024. Similarly, Q1 2025 saw average loans and leases grow by 1.84% from the previous quarter and 4.53% year-over-year. This growth is a primary component of the bank's earnings.
  2. Continued Expansion of Net Interest Margin (NIM): 1st Source has achieved a "seventh consecutive quarter of margin expansion" in Q3 2025. This improvement has been attributed to "higher rates on increased average loan and lease balances, and lower short-term borrowing costs". Although forecasts suggest more measured gains ahead, with revenue growth projected at 4.7% per year, the ability to expand profitability through margin management remains a significant driver.
  3. Strategic Expansion of Specialty Finance and Renewable Energy Financing Divisions: 1st Source is actively "expanding its national footprint through specialty finance and renewable energy initiatives". These distinct business segments are critical for diversifying lending and extending the company's market reach beyond its core community banking presence in northern Indiana and southwestern Michigan.
  4. Growth in Fee-Based Services, including Wealth Management: While net interest income forms the foundation of bank earnings, fee-based services provide additional income. 1st Source's Wealth Management division offers financial planning, investment advisory, fiduciary, and custodial services, contributing to a diversified revenue stream.

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Share Repurchases

  • On October 19, 2023, 1st Source's Board of Directors authorized a stock repurchase plan allowing for the repurchase of up to 1,000,000 shares of its common stock.
  • From April 1, 2025, to July 24, 2025, the company repurchased 47,428 shares for $2.84 million under the October 2023 plan. As of July 24, 2025, a total of 57,979 shares had been repurchased under this plan.
  • During 2022, 1st Source repurchased 149,819 shares for treasury, which reduced common shareholders' equity by $6.84 million.

Share Issuance

  • No significant dollar amount of new share issuances by the company in the primary market were identified in the provided information for the last 3-5 years.

Inbound Investments

  • No large inbound investments by third-parties, such as strategic partners or private equity firms, were identified in the provided information for the last 3-5 years.

Outbound Investments

  • 1st Source Bank, through its Renewable Energy Financing division, engages in tax equity investments with third parties for commercial solar projects across the United States.
  • These investments support a range of projects including community solar, commercial and industrial, small utility scale, university, and municipal initiatives.

Capital Expenditures

  • The provided information does not contain specific dollar values for capital expenditures (purchases of property and equipment) for the last 3-5 years.

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to SRCE.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
NDAQ_2282026_Insider_Buying_45D_2Buy_200K02282026NDAQNasdaqInsiderInsider Buys 45DStrong Insider Buying
Companies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days
0.0%0.0%0.0%
JEF_2272026_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy02272026JEFJefferies FinancialDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
0.0%0.0%0.0%
PAYO_2272026_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE02272026PAYOPayoneer GlobalDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
0.0%0.0%0.0%
FOUR_2272026_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG02272026FOURShift4 PaymentsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
0.0%0.0%0.0%
COIN_2202026_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE02202026COINCoinbase GlobalDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
2.6%2.6%-6.5%

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

SRCENEWTATLOAGBKHYNENUMedian
Name1st Sour.NewtekOneAmes Nat.AGI Hoyne Ba.Nu  
Mkt Price67.4412.0826.6410.5014.6414.5814.61
Mkt Cap1.60.30.2--70.51.0
Rev LTM43426963-149,600269
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM213-52019--23,66619
FCF 3Y Avg192-22916--1,968104
CFO LTM223-51920--14,04020
CFO 3Y Avg202-22818--2,188110

Growth & Margins

SRCENEWTATLOAGBKHYNENUMedian
Name1st Sour.NewtekOneAmes Nat.AGI Hoyne Ba.Nu  
Rev Chg LTM12.1%21.8%18.0%--22.3%19.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg7.0%31.6%0.3%--62.1%19.3%
Rev Chg Q13.3%20.7%22.9%-37.1%30.2%22.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM3.1%4.7%5.2%-7.8%7.1%5.2%
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM51.4%-193.4%31.5%--10.8%42.1%31.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg50.8%-91.8%31.1%--21.7%26.4%
FCF/Rev LTM49.1%-193.4%30.8%--15.9%38.2%30.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg48.4%-91.9%27.1%--18.7%22.9%

Valuation

SRCENEWTATLOAGBKHYNENUMedian
Name1st Sour.NewtekOneAmes Nat.AGI Hoyne Ba.Nu  
Mkt Cap1.60.30.2--70.51.0
P/S3.81.23.8--7.33.8
P/EBIT-------
P/E10.45.214.8--27.912.6
P/CFO7.4-0.612.0--17.59.7
Total Yield12.0%19.2%9.8%--3.6%10.9%
Dividend Yield2.3%0.0%3.0%--0.0%1.2%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg13.4%-76.6%8.6%--2.8%5.7%
D/E0.12.40.1--0.00.1
Net D/E-0.41.7-1.2---0.4-0.4

Returns

SRCENEWTATLOAGBKHYNENUMedian
Name1st Sour.NewtekOneAmes Nat.AGI Hoyne Ba.Nu  
1M Rtn-3.1%-12.1%-2.3%-2.3%2.7%-14.3%-2.7%
3M Rtn6.5%8.9%21.7%-2.3%6.1%-12.7%6.3%
6M Rtn6.4%3.8%34.5%-2.3%4.6%-1.1%4.2%
12M Rtn10.8%6.6%51.3%-2.3%4.6%36.9%8.7%
3Y Rtn48.0%-3.4%28.8%-2.3%4.6%201.9%16.7%
1M Excs Rtn-1.0%-10.0%-0.2%-0.3%4.8%-12.3%-0.6%
3M Excs Rtn6.9%10.1%24.0%-0.7%6.2%-14.8%6.5%
6M Excs Rtn1.6%-2.5%31.2%-6.0%0.9%-5.6%-0.8%
12M Excs Rtn-5.8%-12.8%35.9%-17.7%-10.8%18.8%-8.3%
3Y Excs Rtn-23.5%-76.2%-43.5%-72.9%-66.0%129.4%-54.7%

Comparison Analyses

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FDIC Bank Data

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Commercial Banking387369355337330
Total387369355337330


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$67.44 
Market Cap ($ Bil)1.6 
First Trading Date09/03/1996 
Distance from 52W High-5.1% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$66.68$62.53
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA1.1%7.9%
 3M1YR
Volatility21.7%24.8%
Downside Capture32.7173.13
Upside Capture77.7070.89
Correlation (SPY)18.9%52.7%
SRCE Betas & Captures as of 2/28/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta0.430.430.360.490.680.81
Up Beta0.241.111.221.070.590.79
Down Beta-0.26-0.43-0.330.280.770.80
Up Capture96%92%67%41%58%56%
Bmk +ve Days9203170142431
Stock +ve Days14243361122368
Down Capture40%38%21%42%82%95%
Bmk -ve Days12213054109320
Stock -ve Days7172862128380

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with SRCE
SRCE9.6%24.8%0.32-
Sector ETF (XLF)1.8%19.4%-0.0363.7%
Equity (SPY)16.4%19.2%0.6652.8%
Gold (GLD)77.1%26.1%2.17-9.4%
Commodities (DBC)19.6%17.1%0.899.0%
Real Estate (VNQ)3.1%16.6%0.0148.7%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-21.4%45.5%-0.3921.6%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with SRCE
SRCE11.2%27.9%0.39-
Sector ETF (XLF)10.5%18.7%0.4462.1%
Equity (SPY)13.0%17.0%0.6043.0%
Gold (GLD)24.2%17.2%1.14-1.5%
Commodities (DBC)11.9%19.0%0.518.8%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.0%18.8%0.1743.8%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)7.5%56.8%0.3518.5%

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Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with SRCE
SRCE10.7%30.5%0.40-
Sector ETF (XLF)13.4%22.2%0.5672.8%
Equity (SPY)15.0%17.9%0.7254.4%
Gold (GLD)15.1%15.6%0.80-7.1%
Commodities (DBC)9.0%17.6%0.4318.8%
Real Estate (VNQ)6.1%20.7%0.2650.6%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)66.7%66.8%1.0613.8%

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Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date2132026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity0.3 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 131202630.7%
Average Daily Volume0.1 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.8 days
Basic Shares Quantity24.4 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares1.1%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
1/23/2026-2.0%-1.8%1.3%
10/23/20253.6%1.2%6.2%
7/24/2025-1.8%-3.5%4.0%
4/24/20253.2%5.3%6.9%
1/23/2025-0.0%9.2%12.4%
10/24/2024-3.4%-0.4%12.1%
7/25/20244.9%0.2%-1.4%
4/25/20240.4%-0.7%-0.8%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive131216
# Negative11128
Median Positive2.6%5.4%7.5%
Median Negative-1.8%-3.2%-1.3%
Max Positive12.1%16.6%16.7%
Max Negative-8.0%-5.5%-6.1%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
12/31/202502/17/202610-K
09/30/202510/23/202510-Q
06/30/202507/24/202510-Q
03/31/202504/24/202510-Q
12/31/202402/18/202510-K
09/30/202410/24/202410-Q
06/30/202407/25/202410-Q
03/31/202404/25/202410-Q
12/31/202302/20/202410-K
09/30/202310/19/202310-Q
06/30/202307/20/202310-Q
03/31/202304/20/202310-Q
12/31/202202/16/202310-K
09/30/202210/20/202210-Q
06/30/202207/21/202210-Q
03/31/202204/21/202210-Q

Insider Activity

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#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Buhr, Jeffrey LExecutive Vice PresidentDirectSell1215202566.141,17577,7144,525,960Form
2Griffith, John BExec VP / Secy 1st Source BankDirectSell1211202566.011,900125,4194,355,076Form