Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 12%, Dividend Yield is 4.3%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 8.3%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 70x
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -132%
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -34%
Capital ratio is below minimum of 6%
Tier 1 Capital / Risk Wtd Assets RatioTier 1 Capital / Risk-Weighted Assets is a common measure of financial strength for a bank. It reflects how much equity there is relative to assets where assets are weighted based on riskiness. Low ratios indicate the bank is highly vulnerable to even small changes in the value of their risk assets. is 5.7%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 34%
  
3 Uninsured deposits are low
Uninsured Deposits Ratio %Fraction of deposits that exceed the insurance deposit thresholds. For example, the FDIC protects deposits up to $250K. A high uninsured deposits ratio indicates large accounts and greater potential exposure to bank run risk. is 16%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and AI in Financial Services. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, Wealth Management Technology, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 12%, Dividend Yield is 4.3%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 8.3%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -132%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 34%
3 Uninsured deposits are low
Uninsured Deposits Ratio %Fraction of deposits that exceed the insurance deposit thresholds. For example, the FDIC protects deposits up to $250K. A high uninsured deposits ratio indicates large accounts and greater potential exposure to bank run risk. is 16%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and AI in Financial Services. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, Wealth Management Technology, Show more.
5 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0%
6 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -34%
7 Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 70x
8 Capital ratio is below minimum of 6%
Tier 1 Capital / Risk Wtd Assets RatioTier 1 Capital / Risk-Weighted Assets is a common measure of financial strength for a bank. It reflects how much equity there is relative to assets where assets are weighted based on riskiness. Low ratios indicate the bank is highly vulnerable to even small changes in the value of their risk assets. is 5.7%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

CMA Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Comerica (CMA) experienced a significant period of activity between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025, which contributed to its stock movement.

1. Acquisition by Fifth Third Bancorp: Fifth Third Bancorp announced its acquisition of Comerica, a major development that led to changes in Comerica's outlook and an upgrade in its stock rating by Evercore ISI from Underperform to In Line, with a raised price target of $88.00. This acquisition is expected to close by the end of the first quarter of 2026.

2. Strong Second and Third Quarter 2025 Earnings: Comerica reported a strong second quarter of 2025 with a 14% increase in earnings per share, reaching $1.42. The company also reported its third quarter 2025 earnings on October 17, 2025, with an EPS of $1.35, beating the consensus estimate by $0.07. These positive earnings reports, along with stable net interest income and an increase in average and period-end loans, likely boosted investor confidence.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
CMA Return-17%62%-20%-11%17%35%50%
Peers Return-18%27%-15%10%28%21%50%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CMA Win Rate67%75%50%42%67%60% 
Peers Win Rate33%47%35%42%48%48% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CMA Max Drawdown-63%-1%-24%-53%-16%-17% 
Peers Max Drawdown-43%-3%-23%-16%-4%-15% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: BAC, WFC, C, USB, AVBC. See CMA Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventCMAS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-69.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven224.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-63.7%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven175.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven314 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-42.5%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven73.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-80.6%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven415.5%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven2827 days1480 days

Compare to BAC, WFC, C, USB, AVBC


In The Past

Comerica's stock fell -69.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/14/2022. A -69.2% loss requires a 224.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Comerica (CMA)

Better Bets than Comerica (CMA)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to CMA. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Comerica

Peers to compare with:

Financials

CMABACWFCCUSBAVBCMedian
NameComerica Bank of .Wells Fa.CitigroupU.S. Ban.Avidia B. 
Mkt Price83.1454.0989.35106.7250.9316.4768.62
Mkt Cap10.6403.8284.3194.379.3-194.3
Rev LTM3,341107,26482,53285,24428,1829055,357
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM2461,472-14,218-75,9689,900-88
FCF 3Y Avg84434,2449,172-64,79910,581-9,172
CFO LTM12561,472-14,218-69,3919,900-461
CFO 3Y Avg97634,2449,172-58,15310,581-9,172

Growth & Margins

CMABACWFCCUSBAVBCMedian
NameComerica Bank of .Wells Fa.CitigroupU.S. Ban.Avidia B. 
Rev Chg LTM4.4%8.9%0.2%8.4%4.0%-4.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg1.8%5.2%2.9%5.0%6.5%-5.0%
Rev Chg Q3.3%10.8%5.3%9.6%6.8%-6.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.8%2.6%1.3%2.3%1.7%-1.7%
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM3.7%57.3%-17.2%-81.4%35.1%-4.2%-0.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg29.2%32.7%11.2%-72.0%38.2%-29.2%
FCF/Rev LTM0.7%57.3%-17.2%-89.1%35.1%-8.3%-3.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg25.3%32.7%11.2%-80.3%38.2%-25.3%

Valuation

CMABACWFCCUSBAVBCMedian
NameComerica Bank of .Wells Fa.CitigroupU.S. Ban.Avidia B. 
Mkt Cap10.6403.8284.3194.379.3-194.3
P/S2.63.63.22.22.7-2.7
P/EBIT-------
P/E12.213.012.712.610.5-12.6
P/CFO70.26.3-18.8-2.77.6-6.3
Total Yield12.5%7.7%9.9%8.0%13.7%-9.9%
Dividend Yield4.3%0.0%2.0%0.0%4.2%-2.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg11.7%11.7%6.9%-55.7%17.3%-11.7%
D/E0.60.90.82.01.0-0.9
Net D/E-1.3-0.7-0.6-1.2-1.0--1.0

Returns

CMABACWFCCUSBAVBCMedian
NameComerica Bank of .Wells Fa.CitigroupU.S. Ban.Avidia B. 
1M Rtn9.2%1.0%2.9%5.0%9.2%7.2%6.1%
3M Rtn20.0%8.1%11.6%13.0%6.0%9.1%10.4%
6M Rtn48.0%23.3%19.9%41.4%18.6%-23.3%
12M Rtn22.9%18.2%23.1%53.6%2.1%-22.9%
3Y Rtn39.2%61.4%110.4%151.9%28.9%-61.4%
1M Excs Rtn9.2%1.0%2.9%5.1%9.3%7.2%6.1%
3M Excs Rtn13.6%1.5%4.4%5.2%-0.7%1.3%3.0%
6M Excs Rtn33.2%8.6%5.1%26.7%3.8%-8.6%
12M Excs Rtn6.9%3.0%6.3%41.2%-13.7%-6.3%
3Y Excs Rtn-33.6%-13.9%32.9%79.2%-38.3%--13.9%

FDIC Bank Data

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Commercial Bank2,6542,3682,2372,1622,210
Retail Bank965802688613700
Wealth Management515497445430453
Other1143273668
Finance-656-136-430-329-82
Total3,5923,5342,9672,9123,349


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Commercial Bank1,1161,0571,3296681,021
Retail Bank1767943283
Wealth Management9010612478140
Other473211
Finance-505-98-331-253-57
Total8811,1511,1684971,198


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity7,330,876
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120259.7%
Average Daily Volume1,496,344
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.90
Basic Shares Quantity128,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares5.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251028202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025730202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025430202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024224202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241028202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024726202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024426202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023228202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231030202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023726202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023428202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022214202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221028202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022728202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022427202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021216202210-K 12/31/2021