Grab (GRAB)
Market Price (11/18/2025): $5.31 | Market Cap: $21.7 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Application Software
Grab (GRAB)
Market Price (11/18/2025): $5.31Market Cap: $21.7 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Application Software
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -22% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 149x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 83x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 178x | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Last-Mile Delivery, Show more. | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.6% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -22% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Last-Mile Delivery, Show more. |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 149x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 83x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 178x |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.6% |
Market Valuation & Key Metrics
GRAB Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are five key points explaining Grab's stock movement in the approximate time period from July 31, 2025, to November 18, 2025:
1. Robust Financial Performance and Raised Guidance
Grab demonstrated strong financial performance with its Q2 and Q3 2025 earnings reports. In Q2 2025, Grab reported net profits of $20 million, reversing a $68 million loss from the previous year, with revenues increasing by 23% to $819 million and On-Demand Gross Merchandise Value (GMV) reaching $5.4 billion. This marked consecutive quarters of adjusted EBITDA growth, reaching $109 million with a 13.3% margin. The positive momentum continued into Q3 2025, with revenue growing 22% year-over-year to $873 million and an operating profit of $27 million, a reversal from a loss in Q3 2024. The company also raised its full-year 2025 revenue guidance to $3.380-$3.400 billion and its EBITDA guidance to $490-$500 million, reflecting increased confidence in sustained profitability.
2. Potential Merger Discussions with Gojek
News emerged in November 2025 about Grab and Gojek discussing a potential merger that could create a $29 billion company. The Indonesian government reportedly backed these merger talks. Such a significant consolidation in the Southeast Asian ride-hailing and delivery market could lead to substantial synergies and market leadership, exciting investors about future growth and reduced competition.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| GRAB Return | - | -45% | -55% | 5% | 40% | 13% | -59% |
| Peers Return | 13% | -2% | -7% | 6% | 52% | -27% | 23% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 13% | 107% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| GRAB Win Rate | 42% | 33% | 42% | 50% | 50% | ||
| Peers Win Rate | 13% | 10% | 5% | 21% | 33% | 43% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| GRAB Max Drawdown | - | -47% | -68% | -17% | -13% | -26% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -5% | -4% | -8% | -1% | -4% | -34% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ADSK, HIT, BIYA, BLIV, BMR.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | GRAB | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -86.5% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 638.5% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -5.6% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 5.9% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 7 days | 148 days |
Compare to ADSK, HIT, BIYA, BLIV, BMR
In The Past
Grab's stock fell -86.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/11/2021. A -86.5% loss requires a 638.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| Should You Buy Grab Stock? | Buy or Fear | ||
| Grab Stock Drop Looks Sharp, But How Deep Can It Go? | Return | ||
| GRAB Dip Buy Analysis | |||
| Grab (GRAB) Valuation Ratios Comparison | Financials | ||
| Grab Total Shareholder Return (TSR): 40.1% in 2024 and ...% 3-yr compounded annual returns (below peer average) | |||
| Fundamental Metrics: ... | |||
| ARTICLES | |||
| Grab Stock To $4? | October 29th, 2025 | ||
| Can Grab Stock Swing Back To $4? | September 26th, 2025 | ||
| What’s Happening With Grab Stock? | September 16th, 2025 | ||
| Mid Cap Stocks Trading At 52-Week High | September 13th, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to GRAB. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | ZBRA | Zebra Technologies | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -10.7% | -10.7% | -10.7% |
| 10312025 | ACN | Accenture | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.0% | -2.0% | -3.5% |
| 10312025 | ADBE | Adobe | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.7% | -2.7% | -3.9% |
| 10312025 | TXN | Texas Instruments | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -1.3% | -1.3% | -1.3% |
| 10242025 | MRVL | Marvell Technology | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.8% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | ZBRA | Zebra Technologies | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -10.7% | -10.7% | -10.7% |
| 10312025 | ACN | Accenture | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.0% | -2.0% | -3.5% |
| 10312025 | ADBE | Adobe | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.7% | -2.7% | -3.9% |
| 10312025 | TXN | Texas Instruments | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -1.3% | -1.3% | -1.3% |
| 10242025 | MRVL | Marvell Technology | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.8% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Grab
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 2.78 |
| Mkt Cap | 21.7 |
| Rev LTM | 3,229 |
| Op Inc LTM | 131 |
| FCF LTM | 148 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 955 |
| CFO LTM | 262 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,041 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 20.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 31.1% |
| Rev Chg Q | 21.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 5.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 5.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 6.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.8% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 13.5% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 20.9% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 4.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 18.4% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 21.7 |
| P/S | 6.7 |
| P/EBIT | 44.0 |
| P/E | 59.8 |
| P/CFO | 32.3 |
| Total Yield | 1.7% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 2.2% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -15.8% |
| 3M Rtn | -19.9% |
| 6M Rtn | -12.8% |
| 12M Rtn | -2.4% |
| 3Y Rtn | 52.4% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -15.9% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -22.7% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -24.7% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -18.2% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -3.4% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11042025 | 6-K 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8182025 | 6-K 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4302025 | 6-K 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3142025 | 20-F 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11122024 | 6-K 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8222024 | 6-K 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5162024 | 6-K 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3282024 | 20-F 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11092023 | 6-K 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8232023 | 6-K 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5182023 | 6-K 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 4262023 | 20-F 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11162022 | 6-K 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8252022 | 6-K 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5192022 | 6-K 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 4282022 | 20-F 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |