GD Culture (GDC)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $4.5 | Market Cap: $69.0 MilSector: Communication Services | Industry: Interactive Home Entertainment
GD Culture (GDC)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $4.5Market Cap: $69.0 MilSector: Communication ServicesIndustry: Interactive Home Entertainment
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 100% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -20%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -6.8% | Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Niche Digital Cultural Engagement. Themes include Regional Cultural Content Platforms. | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -7.6 Mil | |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 104% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -19% | ||
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 123% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 100% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Niche Digital Cultural Engagement. Themes include Regional Cultural Content Platforms. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -20%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -6.8% |
| Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -7.6 Mil |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 104% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -19% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 123% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
GDC Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
1. GD Culture Group Announced Plans for AI Immersive Reading Platform.
2. Acquisition of Pallas Capital and Significant Bitcoin Holdings.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| GDC Return | 62% | -45% | -93% | 23% | -26% | 138% | -88% |
| Peers Return | 37% | -4% | 5993% | 25% | 3% | 9% | 11058% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| GDC Win Rate | 42% | 25% | 8% | 33% | 50% | 70% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 32% | 39% | 27% | 58% | 53% | 48% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| GDC Max Drawdown | -37% | -52% | -94% | 0% | -76% | -44% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -14% | -9% | -39% | -11% | -20% | -29% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: EA, TTWO, RBLX, PLTK, GMGI.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | GDC | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -99.4% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 15559.3% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -68.6% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 218.3% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 87 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -89.3% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 831.4% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 493 days | 120 days |
Compare to EA, TTWO, RBLX, PLTK, GMGI
In The Past
GD Culture's stock fell -99.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/17/2021. A -99.4% loss requires a 15559.3% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to GDC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | PINS | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.9% | 2.9% | 0.0% | |
| 11212025 | TMUS | T-Mobile US | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.8% | 0.8% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | Z | Zillow | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | IRDM | Iridium Communications | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -0.5% | -0.5% | -5.6% |
| 10032025 | TTD | Trade Desk | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -22.5% | -22.5% | -25.6% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | PINS | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.9% | 2.9% | 0.0% | |
| 11212025 | TMUS | T-Mobile US | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.8% | 0.8% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | Z | Zillow | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | IRDM | Iridium Communications | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -0.5% | -0.5% | -5.6% |
| 10032025 | TTD | Trade Desk | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -22.5% | -22.5% | -25.6% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for GD Culture
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 48.20 |
| Mkt Cap | 23.4 |
| Rev LTM | 3,595 |
| Op Inc LTM | -5 |
| FCF LTM | 275 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 398 |
| CFO LTM | 396 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 488 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 23.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 13.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | 15.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 3.7% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -0.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -2.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.4% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 18.8% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 21.1% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 12.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 15.0% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 23.4 |
| P/S | 6.9 |
| P/EBIT | -1.0 |
| P/E | -9.3 |
| P/CFO | 15.8 |
| Total Yield | -2.2% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 1.1% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -1.2% |
| 3M Rtn | 4.5% |
| 6M Rtn | 4.0% |
| 12M Rtn | 26.0% |
| 3Y Rtn | 57.7% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -1.2% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 0.8% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -10.7% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 13.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -9.2% |
Segment Financials
Assets by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virtual Content Production | 14 | ||||
| Software copyright | 4 | ||||
| GD Culture Group Limited (GDC), AI Catalysis, Citi Profit BVI, TMSR HK, Highlight HK, Highlight | 31 | 8 | 0 | ||
| Wuge | 19 | 2 | |||
| Rong Hai and Tongrong WFOE (wholly foreign owned enterprise) | 15 | 17 | |||
| Discontinued operations - current assets | 2 | ||||
| Discontinued operations – non-current assets | 3 | ||||
| Total | 14 | 4 | 51 | 25 | 22 |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 8122025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5152025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3182025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11142024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8142024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5202024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 4022024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11202023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8142023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5152023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3312023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11142022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8222022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5162022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3312022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
| 9302021 | 11222021 | 10-Q 9/30/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |