GD Culture (GDC)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $3.47 | Market Cap: $87.2 MilSector: Communication Services | Industry: Interactive Home Entertainment
GD Culture (GDC)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $3.47Market Cap: $87.2 MilSector: Communication ServicesIndustry: Interactive Home Entertainment
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.2%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.1% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -26%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -53% | Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 100% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -9.0 Mil | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Niche Digital Cultural Engagement. Themes include Regional Cultural Content Platforms. | High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 122% | |
| Key risksGDC key risks include [1] potential delisting from Nasdaq due to non-compliance with equity requirements, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.2%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.1% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 100% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Niche Digital Cultural Engagement. Themes include Regional Cultural Content Platforms. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -26%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -53% |
| Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -9.0 Mil |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 122% |
| Key risksGDC key risks include [1] potential delisting from Nasdaq due to non-compliance with equity requirements, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
GDC Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
GD Culture (GDC) experienced a notable decline in its stock price, moving by approximately -15.6% during the period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025, driven by several key factors:
1. Acquisition of Pallas Capital and Cryptocurrency Strategy. On September 16, 2025, GD Culture Group announced an agreement to acquire Pallas Capital Holding Ltd., including its assets of 7,500 Bitcoin, through the issuance of 39,189,344 shares of common stock. This strategic move into cryptocurrency was met with investor skepticism, leading to a significant drop in GDC's stock by approximately 28% to 29% immediately following the announcement.
2. Weak Q3 2025 Earnings Performance. The company reported its Q3 2025 earnings on September 30, 2025, showing a substantial decrease of 906.4% from the previous quarter. The net profit for the trailing 12 months ending September 30, 2025, also saw a significant year-over-year decline of 129.47%, which likely contributed to investor concerns regarding the company's financial health.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| GDC Return | 62% | -45% | -93% | 23% | -26% | 90% | -90% |
| Peers Return | � | 184% | -82% | 87% | -44% | -44% | � |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| GDC Win Rate | 42% | 25% | 8% | 33% | 50% | 67% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 50% | 36% | 19% | 36% | 36% | 33% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| GDC Max Drawdown | -37% | -52% | -94% | 0% | -76% | -44% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | � | -28% | -88% | -66% | -53% | -57% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: GAME, SKLZ, SLE.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | GDC | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -99.4% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 15559.3% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -68.6% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 218.3% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 87 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -89.3% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 831.4% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 493 days | 120 days |
Compare to EA, TTWO, RBLX, PLTK, GMGI
In The Past
GD Culture's stock fell -99.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/17/2021. A -99.4% loss requires a 15559.3% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to GDC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | PINS | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -1.3% | -1.3% | -1.4% | |
| 11212025 | TMUS | T-Mobile US | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -5.0% | -5.0% | -6.4% |
| 11212025 | Z | Zillow | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -1.5% | -1.5% | -3.9% |
| 11072025 | IRDM | Iridium Communications | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.3% | 1.3% | -5.6% |
| 10032025 | TTD | Trade Desk | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -28.9% | -28.9% | -29.8% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | PINS | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -1.3% | -1.3% | -1.4% | |
| 11212025 | TMUS | T-Mobile US | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -5.0% | -5.0% | -6.4% |
| 11212025 | Z | Zillow | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -1.5% | -1.5% | -3.9% |
| 11072025 | IRDM | Iridium Communications | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.3% | 1.3% | -5.6% |
| 10032025 | TTD | Trade Desk | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -28.9% | -28.9% | -29.8% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for GD Culture
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 2.06 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.1 |
| Rev LTM | 52 |
| Op Inc LTM | -24 |
| FCF LTM | -45 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -27 |
| CFO LTM | -16 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -18 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 43.4% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -9.6% |
| Rev Chg Q | 11.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.6% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -86.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -78.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.5% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -82.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -41.7% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -88.5% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -52.3% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 0.1 |
| P/S | 0.4 |
| P/EBIT | -4.1 |
| P/E | -0.8 |
| P/CFO | -1.7 |
| Total Yield | -73.5% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -76.3% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -21.0% |
| 3M Rtn | -45.3% |
| 6M Rtn | 1.6% |
| 12M Rtn | -22.7% |
| 3Y Rtn | -78.8% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -21.8% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -48.5% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -10.8% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -33.0% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -147.9% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rong Hai and Tongrong WFOE (wholly foreign owned enterprise) | 20 | ||||
| Total | 20 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Software copyright | 14 | ||||
| GD Culture Group Limited (GDC), AI Catalysis, Citi Profit BVI, TMSR HK, Highlight HK, Highlight | 3 | 31 | 8 | 0 | |
| Highlight Media | 0 | ||||
| Wuge | 19 | 2 | |||
| Rong Hai and Tongrong WFOE (wholly foreign owned enterprise) | 15 | 17 | |||
| Discontinued operations - current assets | 2 | ||||
| Discontinued operations – non-current assets | 3 | ||||
| Total | 14 | 4 | 51 | 25 | 22 |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11032025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8122025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5152025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3182025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11142024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8142024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5202024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 4022024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11202023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8142023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5152023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3312023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11142022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8222022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5162022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3312022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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