Flowco (FLOC)
Market Price (12/29/2025): $18.02 | Market Cap: $494.6 MilSector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Equipment & Services
Flowco (FLOC)
Market Price (12/29/2025): $18.02Market Cap: $494.6 MilSector: EnergyIndustry: Oil & Gas Equipment & Services
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 35%, Dividend Yield is 26%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 31%, FCF Yield is 28% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -85%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -120% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 52% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 76% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -6.6% | |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 36%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18% | Key risksFLOC key risks include [1] an ongoing securities fraud investigation, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 35%, Dividend Yield is 26%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 31%, FCF Yield is 28% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 76% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 36%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18% |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -85%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -120% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 52% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -6.6% |
| Key risksFLOC key risks include [1] an ongoing securities fraud investigation, Show more. |
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
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1. Flowco reported strong third-quarter 2025 adjusted EBITDA of $76.8 million, exceeding expectations, and a 382 basis point expansion in its adjusted EBITDA margin quarter-over-quarter.
2. The company demonstrated robust free cash flow generation, approximately $43 million excluding recent acquisition capital, and maintained a strong financial position with substantial liquidity.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 13.0% change in FLOC stock from 9/28/2025 to 12/28/2025 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| 9282025 | 12282025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 15.93 | 18.01 | 13.05% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | � | 748.50 | � |
| Net Income Margin (%) | � | 6.21% | � |
| P/E Multiple | � | 10.63 | � |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 21.99 | 27.45 | -24.79% |
| Cumulative Contribution | � |
Market Drivers
9/28/2025 to 12/28/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| FLOC | 13.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 4.3% | 47.7% |
| Sector (XLE) | -3.9% | 38.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 1.9% change in FLOC stock from 6/29/2025 to 12/28/2025 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| 6292025 | 12282025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 17.67 | 18.01 | 1.90% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | � | 748.50 | � |
| Net Income Margin (%) | � | 6.21% | � |
| P/E Multiple | � | 10.63 | � |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 21.99 | 27.45 | -24.79% |
| Cumulative Contribution | � |
Market Drivers
6/29/2025 to 12/28/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| FLOC | 1.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 12.6% | 37.3% |
| Sector (XLE) | 4.5% | 45.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
12/28/2024 to 12/28/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| FLOC | ||
| Market (SPY) | 17.0% | 48.3% |
| Sector (XLE) | 7.1% | 56.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
nullnull
Market Drivers
12/29/2023 to 12/28/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| FLOC | ||
| Market (SPY) | 48.4% | 48.3% |
| Sector (XLE) | 11.6% | 56.3% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| FLOC Return | - | - | - | - | - | -38% | -38% |
| Peers Return | 16% | 38% | -12% | 21% | 26% | 16% | 150% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 18% | 114% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| FLOC Win Rate | - | - | - | - | - | 42% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 52% | 65% | 42% | 68% | 57% | 52% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| FLOC Max Drawdown | - | - | - | - | - | -52% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -34% | -5% | -26% | -7% | -9% | -23% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HPQ, HPE, IBM, CSCO, AAPL.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/26/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
FLOC has limited trading history. Below is the Energy sector ETF (XLE) in its place.
| Event | XLE | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -26.9% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 36.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 116 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -60.6% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 153.8% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 660 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -31.8% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 46.6% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,201 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -57.8% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 137.1% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,858 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to HPQ, HPE, IBM, CSCO, AAPL
In The Past
SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -26.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/8/2022. A -26.9% loss requires a 36.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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AI Analysis | Feedback
- Boston Beer Company (SAM) for cannabis.
- A premium winery like Duckhorn Portfolio (NAPA), but for cannabis products.
AI Analysis | Feedback
It appears that "Flowco" with the stock symbol "FLOC" does not correspond to a known publicly traded company. Therefore, I cannot identify its actual major products or services. However, if "Flowco" were a hypothetical company specializing in industrial flow management, its major products and services might include:- Industrial Valves: Devices used to control the flow of fluids (gases, liquids, slurries) in pipelines and process systems.
- Pumps and Pumping Systems: Mechanical devices designed to move fluids, often integrated into complete systems for various industrial applications.
- Flow Measurement Instruments: Equipment and sensors utilized to accurately measure the flow rate of liquids and gases within pipelines and processes.
- Process Automation Solutions: Software and hardware systems that monitor, control, and optimize fluid handling and flow processes in industrial environments.
- Engineering Consulting Services: Specialized expertise offered to clients for the design, optimization, and troubleshooting of complex fluid control systems.
AI Analysis | Feedback
A publicly traded company with the exact name "Flowco" and the stock symbol "FLOC" that offers readily identifiable major customer information does not appear to be actively traded or widely reported in public financial databases. It is possible the company is hypothetical, private, or trades under a different symbol.
However, if we were to hypothesize that "Flowco (FLOC)" is a publicly traded company specializing in **industrial flow control systems and components** (e.g., valves, pumps, sensors, automation for liquids and gases), its business model would primarily be Business-to-Business (B2B). In such a scenario, its major customers would likely be large enterprises across various industrial sectors requiring precise management of fluids and gases. Examples of potential customer categories and representative public companies that operate in those sectors are listed below:
-
Oil & Gas Exploration, Production, and Refining Companies: These companies require advanced flow control systems for drilling operations, pipeline transport, and processing facilities, ensuring safety and efficiency in handling hydrocarbons.
- Exxon Mobil Corporation (NYSE: XOM)
- Chevron Corporation (NYSE: CVX)
-
Chemical and Petrochemical Manufacturing Companies: Facilities in these industries depend on precise flow management for complex chemical reactions, material transfer, and maintaining critical environmental and safety standards.
- Dow Inc. (NYSE: DOW)
- LyondellBasell Industries N.V. (NYSE: LYB)
-
Water and Wastewater Treatment Utilities and Contractors: Organizations managing municipal or industrial water infrastructure, including large utilities or their primary contractors, need reliable components for filtration, pumping, distribution networks, and effluent treatment.
- American Water Works Company, Inc. (NYSE: AWK)
- Xylem Inc. (NYSE: XYL)
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Joseph Robert Edwards, President and Chief Executive Officer
Joseph Robert Edwards, also known as Joe Bob, has served as President and Chief Executive Officer of Flowco Holdings Inc. since June 2024. Prior to joining Flowco, he was a Managing Partner at White Deer Energy, an energy-focused private equity firm, from 2018 to 2024, where he guided investment strategies for companies such as Flogistix, Accelerated, and Extract. Earlier in his career, Mr. Edwards held various roles at First Reserve Corporation from 1998 to 2011, including Managing Director and head of energy services investing from 2007 to 2011, where he led $4 billion in equity investments. His career began at Simmons & Company International. Flowco itself was formed through a merger in June 2024, primarily backed by private equity firms Global Energy Capital (GEC) and White Deer Energy, which demonstrates a pattern of managing companies backed by private equity firms. He holds a BBA in Finance from the University of Texas at Austin.
Jonathan W. Byers, Chief Financial Officer
Jonathan W. Byers most recently served as Chief Financial Officer of CSI Compressco LP, a publicly traded partnership, where he oversaw the carve-out from CSI's prior owner and developed the financial capabilities of the business. He co-founded Spartan Energy Partners, a natural gas treating and processing business. Earlier in his career, Mr. Byers worked with private equity firms SCF Partners and General Atlantic, indicating a pattern of managing companies backed by private equity firms. He started his career in the Investment Banking Division at The Goldman Sachs Group. Mr. Byers earned a B.S. degree in Business Administration from Georgetown University and an MBA from Harvard Business School.
Chad Roberts, Executive Vice President of Production Solutions
As Executive Vice President of Production Solutions at Flowco, Chad Roberts brings a strong background in transformative leadership within highly engineered products and services industries. He previously served as CEO of Estis, where he led the development and commercialization of innovative production solutions technologies. His earlier roles included positions at EnPro, Dedicated Computing, and Chrysler Motors, focusing on commercial strategy, supply chain optimization, and global operations. Estis Compression was one of the companies that merged to form Flowco in June 2024, having been backed by the private equity firm Genesis Park. Mr. Roberts holds a degree in Supply Chain Management and Logistics from UNT and an MBA from Auburn.
Brooks Mims Talton III, Executive Vice President of Natural Gas Technologies
Brooks Mims Talton III, also known as Mims Talton, is the Executive Vice President of Natural Gas Technologies at Flowco. He is an industry innovator with over 30 years of experience in production optimization and equipment manufacturing. Mr. Talton founded Flogistix in 2011, serving as its President and CEO, and also founded Compressco, Inc. and Well Link Corporation. Flogistix was one of the key entities in the private equity-backed merger that formed Flowco in June 2024. He is a graduate of the University of Oklahoma.
Joel C. Lambert, Senior Vice President, General Counsel and Secretary
Joel C. Lambert serves as Flowco Holdings Inc.'s Senior Vice President, General Counsel, and Secretary.
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The key risks to Flowco (FLOC) are:
- Legal Scrutiny and Securities Fraud Investigation: Flowco is currently under investigation by Pomerantz LLP for potential securities fraud, stemming from missed revenue and earnings per share (EPS) estimates. This ongoing legal scrutiny poses reputational and financial risks for the company.
- Margin Pressures and Earnings Volatility: The company has experienced margin pressures, with Natural Gas Technologies margins declining in 2024 due to project timing. Flowco has also reported missed revenue and EPS forecasts in Q1 and Q2 2025, indicating volatile earnings, which is partly attributed to reliance on project-based sales.
- Material Weaknesses in Internal Controls: Flowco has identified material weaknesses in its internal controls, which could undermine trust in financial reporting and potentially lead to misstatements in its financial statements.
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Flowco (symbol: FLOC) is anticipated to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key strategies:
- Organic Growth in High-Pressure Gas Lift (HPGL) and Vapor Recovery Offerings: Flowco has explicitly identified High-Pressure Gas Lift and Vapor Recovery as its two fastest-growing business lines, with the company investing growth capital to expand these offerings. This organic expansion is a primary driver of revenue growth.
- Expansion of the High-Margin Rental Fleet: The company is focused on the continued growth of its rental fleet, which contributes recurring revenue and higher profit margins. Flowco has also engaged in acquisitions, such as 155 HPGL and DRU systems from Archrock, to accelerate growth in these high-margin rental assets.
- Strategic Investments in Product Development and Operational Automation: Flowco is committed to enhancing its competitive position through investments in product development and operational automation. These strategic initiatives provide technology-driven solutions for production optimization, which are essential for maximizing hydrocarbon recovery and increasing production rates for its customers, thereby stimulating demand for its services.
- Acquisitions to Enhance Technology and Service Offerings: Flowco continues to assess both organic and inorganic opportunities to enhance its technology and service offerings, strategically positioning itself to further support customers in maximizing production and profitability. Recent acquisitions, such as the HPGL and DRU systems, demonstrate this focus on inorganic growth to bolster key segments.
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Share Repurchases
- Flowco authorized a stock repurchase program for up to $50 million of its Class A common stock on June 12, 2025.
- The company executed $15 million in share repurchases during the third quarter of 2025.
Share Issuance
- Flowco completed its initial public offering (IPO) on January 17, 2025, issuing 20,470,000 shares of Class A common stock at $24.00 per share, resulting in gross proceeds of $491.3 million.
- The net proceeds from the IPO were utilized to repay existing indebtedness and redeem certain equity interests from non-affiliate holders.
Inbound Investments
- Flowco's operating subsidiary, Flowco MergeCo LLC, was a privately-owned limited liability company prior to the company's IPO in January 2025.
- The 2024 Business Combination, which occurred on June 20, 2024, involved Flowco LLC acquiring 100% of the membership interests of Estis Intermediate, Flowco Productions, and Flogistix Intermediate.
Outbound Investments
- Flowco acquired 155 High Pressure Gas Lift (HPGL) and Vapor Recovery Unit (VRU) systems from Archrock for approximately $71 million on August 4, 2025.
- This acquisition was aimed at accelerating the growth of its high-margin rental businesses and strengthening customer relationships.
Capital Expenditures
- Flowco deployed $39.7 million in organic capital expenditures during the third quarter of 2025.
- Capital investment in the second quarter of 2025 totaled $35.8 million, primarily focused on expanding the surface equipment and vapor recovery fleet.
- The company's strategy includes targeted investments to grow its high-margin rental portfolio.
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to FLOC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WHD | Cactus | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.1% | 12.1% | 0.0% |
| 10172025 | OVV | Ovintiv | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.4% | 6.4% | 0.0% |
| 10102025 | COP | ConocoPhillips | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.4% | 5.4% | -2.3% |
| 10102025 | HAL | Halliburton | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 28.1% | 28.1% | -0.7% |
| 10102025 | OXY | Occidental Petroleum | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -4.9% | -4.9% | -7.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Flowco
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 51.32 |
| Mkt Cap | 158.8 |
| Rev LTM | 56,496 |
| Op Inc LTM | 7,584 |
| FCF LTM | 7,327 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 11,753 |
| CFO LTM | 8,590 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 13,498 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 7.4% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 2.6% |
| Rev Chg Q | 8.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 18.3% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 16.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 22.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 21.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 18.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 18.6% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 |
|---|---|---|
| Production Solutions | 169 | 120 |
| Natural Gas Technologies | 111 | 128 |
| Eliminations | -37 | -100 |
| Total | 243 | 149 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 |
|---|---|---|
| Production Solutions | 71 | 41 |
| Natural Gas Technologies | 7 | 2 |
| Corporate expenses | 0 | 0 |
| Total | 78 | 43 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 |
|---|---|---|
| Production Solutions | 340 | |
| Natural Gas Technologies | 56 | |
| Corporate and other | 0 | |
| Eliminations | -4 | |
| Total | 392 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $18.01 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.5 | |
| First Trading Date | 01/16/2025 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -39.6% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $23.65 | $23.65 |
| DMA Trend | down | up |
| Distance from DMA | -23.8% | -23.8% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 49.2% | 54.5% |
| Downside Capture | 172.96 | 135.39 |
| Upside Capture | 197.75 | 62.62 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 46.6% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.92 | 1.93 | 1.77 | 1.49 | 0.06 | -0.04 |
| Up Beta | 0.76 | 0.99 | 1.68 | 1.42 | -1.10 | 1.16 |
| Down Beta | 3.31 | 2.54 | 2.15 | 2.06 | 0.23 | 0.44 |
| Up Capture | 258% | 250% | 154% | 98% | 34% | 4% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 12 | 25 | 38 | 73 | 141 | 426 |
| Stock +ve Days | 10 | 25 | 34 | 64 | 105 | 105 |
| Down Capture | 167% | 159% | 165% | 148% | 110% | 72% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 7 | 16 | 24 | 52 | 107 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 9 | 16 | 28 | 60 | 110 | 110 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
nullBased On 5-Year Data
nullBased On 10-Year Data
nullEarnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 8/5/2025 | 3.6% | -8.1% | -5.9% |
| 3/19/2025 | -0.3% | 5.2% | -18.4% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| # Negative | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Median Positive | 3.6% | 5.2% | |
| Median Negative | -0.3% | -8.1% | -12.2% |
| Max Positive | 3.6% | 5.2% | |
| Max Negative | -0.3% | -8.1% | -18.4% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11052025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8052025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5132025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3202025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 1162025 | 424B4 12/31/2023 |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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