First Community Bankshares (FCBC)
Market Price (12/22/2025): $34.37 | Market Cap: $629.5 MilSector: Financials | Industry: Regional Banks
First Community Bankshares (FCBC)
Market Price (12/22/2025): $34.37Market Cap: $629.5 MilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Regional Banks
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 17%, Dividend Yield is 9.6%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 13%, FCF Yield is 8.7% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -41%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -57% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.1%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -0.3% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -29% | Key risksFCBC key risks include [1] deteriorating credit quality, Show more. | |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 37%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 36% | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 28% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, and Digital Payments. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 17%, Dividend Yield is 9.6%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 13%, FCF Yield is 8.7% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -29% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 37%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 36% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 28% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, and Digital Payments. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -41%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -57% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.1%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -0.3% |
| Key risksFCBC key risks include [1] deteriorating credit quality, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
FCBC Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are key points highlighting the reasons for First Community Bankshares' (FCBC) stock movement of -8.1% from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 22, 2025:
1. Decreased Net Income and Profitability in Q3 2025.
First Community Bankshares reported a decrease in net income for the third quarter of 2025, with a 5.89% reduction compared to the same quarter in 2024. Over the first nine months of 2025, net income also saw a 5.80% decline year-over-year. This was reflected in lower annualized returns on average assets (ROA) and average common equity (ROE) for the quarter.
2. Decline in Average Loan Balances.
The company experienced a reduction in its average loan balances, which decreased by $116.18 million, or 4.73%, year-over-year. This decline directly contributed to a decrease in loan interest income, indicating potential challenges in core lending activities.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| FCBC Return | -27% | 61% | 5% | 14% | 16% | -6% | 53% |
| Peers Return | -11% | 33% | -3% | 4% | 18% | 10% | 54% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| FCBC Win Rate | 42% | 67% | 50% | 50% | 42% | 58% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 47% | 70% | 43% | 43% | 57% | 55% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| FCBC Max Drawdown | -42% | -1% | -20% | -31% | -14% | -18% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -50% | -1% | -18% | -32% | -11% | -18% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: TFC, UBSI, PNFP, TOWN, FNB.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | FCBC | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -40.0% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 66.8% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 436 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -44.3% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 79.6% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 232 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -23.3% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 30.4% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 219 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -80.8% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 421.7% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 5,608 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to NEWT, ATLO, AVBC, LSBK, NU
In The Past
First Community Bankshares's stock fell -40.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/15/2022. A -40.0% loss requires a 66.8% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| How Low Can First Community Bankshares Stock Really Go? | Return | |
| First Community Bankshares (FCBC) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | |
| First Community Bankshares (FCBC) Net Income Comparison | Financials |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to FCBC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 13.5% | 13.5% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.0% | 2.0% | -0.5% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -4.8% | -4.8% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 5.8% | 5.8% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -12.1% | -12.1% | -12.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 13.5% | 13.5% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.0% | 2.0% | -0.5% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -4.8% | -4.8% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 5.8% | 5.8% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -12.1% | -12.1% | -12.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for First Community Bankshares
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 37.44 |
| Mkt Cap | 6.0 |
| Rev LTM | 1,429 |
| Op Inc LTM | - |
| FCF LTM | 518 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 435 |
| CFO LTM | 588 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 496 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 15.9% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 6.0% |
| Rev Chg Q | 18.6% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 4.4% |
| Op Mgn LTM | - |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | - |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | - |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 38.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 38.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 34.3% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 37.4% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 6.0 |
| P/S | 3.9 |
| P/EBIT | - |
| P/E | 12.7 |
| P/CFO | 11.0 |
| Total Yield | 11.0% |
| Dividend Yield | 3.3% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 9.2% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | -0.4 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 9.2% |
| 3M Rtn | 6.3% |
| 6M Rtn | 12.3% |
| 12M Rtn | 7.2% |
| 3Y Rtn | 31.9% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 9.8% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 5.2% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -4.4% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -10.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -38.5% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/28/2025 | -3.3% | -3.2% | 1.6% |
| 7/22/2025 | 0.1% | -6.6% | -11.0% |
| 4/22/2025 | -2.1% | -4.3% | -3.1% |
| 1/28/2025 | 3.1% | 3.7% | -0.3% |
| 10/22/2024 | -0.7% | -1.9% | 4.9% |
| 7/23/2024 | -0.8% | 3.4% | -3.9% |
| 4/23/2024 | 2.1% | 0.5% | 6.8% |
| 1/23/2024 | 0.2% | 2.3% | -9.8% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 12 | 15 | 14 |
| # Negative | 12 | 9 | 10 |
| Median Positive | 1.7% | 3.4% | 6.4% |
| Median Negative | -0.8% | -3.2% | -4.8% |
| Max Positive | 6.2% | 12.1% | 21.0% |
| Max Negative | -7.4% | -7.9% | -11.0% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11072025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8012025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5022025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3072025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11072024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8022024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5032024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3082024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11062023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8042023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5052023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2222023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11082022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8052022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5102022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3032022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Brown David D | Chief Financial Officer | 8042025 | Buy | 36.00 | 150 | 5,400 | 64,800 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |