ONEOK (OKE)
Market Price (3/15/2026): $85.36 | Market Cap: $53.8 BilSector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Storage & Transportation
ONEOK (OKE)
Market Price (3/15/2026): $85.36Market Cap: $53.8 BilSector: EnergyIndustry: Oil & Gas Storage & Transportation
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, Dividend Yield is 4.8%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.2% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -10%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -21% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 61% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 55% | ||
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%, CFO LTM is 5.6 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.4 Bil | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 31% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include US Energy Independence, Hydrogen Economy, and Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include US LNG, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, Dividend Yield is 4.8%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.2% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 55% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%, CFO LTM is 5.6 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.4 Bil |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 31% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include US Energy Independence, Hydrogen Economy, and Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include US LNG, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -10%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -21% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 61% |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. ONEOK reported robust financial performance for the fourth quarter and full year 2025, exceeding analyst expectations. The company announced Q4 2025 diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.55, topping analysts' consensus estimates of $1.50. Quarterly revenue reached $9.07 billion, surpassing analyst estimates of $8.77 billion. For the full year 2025, net income attributable to ONEOK increased 12% to $3.39 billion, and adjusted EBITDA grew 18% to $8.02 billion, marking its 12th consecutive year of adjusted EBITDA growth.
2. The company effectively integrated recent acquisitions and experienced significant volume growth across its operating segments. ONEOK achieved approximately $475 million in cumulative acquisition-related synergies by year-end 2025, benefiting from the EnLink and Medallion acquisitions. This contributed to a 15% increase in Rocky Mountain region NGL raw feed throughput volumes and a 3% increase in natural gas volumes processed in the same region. Additionally, in November 2025, ONEOK announced the expansion of its Eiger Express Pipeline capacity to 3.7 Bcf/d from 2.5 Bcf/d, fully subscribed under long-term contracts.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 18.8% change in OKE stock from 11/30/2025 to 3/14/2026 was primarily driven by a 16.8% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 11302025 | 3142026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 71.84 | 85.36 | 18.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 31,564 | 33,629 | 6.5% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 10.6% | 10.1% | -4.6% |
| P/E Multiple | 13.6 | 15.8 | 16.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 631 | 630 | 0.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 18.8% |
Market Drivers
11/30/2025 to 3/14/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| OKE | 18.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | -3.1% | -8.7% |
| Sector (XLE) | 27.6% | 67.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 15.1% change in OKE stock from 8/31/2025 to 3/14/2026 was primarily driven by a 20.3% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 8312025 | 3142026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 74.19 | 85.36 | 15.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 27,953 | 33,629 | 20.3% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 11.1% | 10.1% | -8.8% |
| P/E Multiple | 15.0 | 15.8 | 5.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 627 | 630 | -0.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 15.1% |
Market Drivers
8/31/2025 to 3/14/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| OKE | 15.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 3.0% | 3.1% |
| Sector (XLE) | 28.8% | 67.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -10.2% change in OKE stock from 2/28/2025 to 3/14/2026 was primarily driven by a -27.9% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 2282025 | 3142026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 95.09 | 85.36 | -10.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 21,698 | 33,629 | 55.0% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 14.0% | 10.1% | -27.9% |
| P/E Multiple | 18.3 | 15.8 | -13.5% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 585 | 630 | -7.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -10.2% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2025 to 3/14/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| OKE | -10.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 12.4% | 50.8% |
| Sector (XLE) | 29.9% | 79.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 52.6% change in OKE stock from 2/28/2023 to 3/14/2026 was primarily driven by a 50.2% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 2282023 | 3142026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 55.93 | 85.36 | 52.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 22,387 | 33,629 | 50.2% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 7.7% | 10.1% | 31.2% |
| P/E Multiple | 14.5 | 15.8 | 9.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 448 | 630 | -28.9% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 52.6% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2023 to 3/14/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| OKE | 52.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 73.4% | 45.8% |
| Sector (XLE) | 51.3% | 73.5% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| OKE Return | 65% | 19% | 13% | 50% | -23% | 18% | 203% |
| Peers Return | 43% | 19% | 8% | 61% | 14% | 21% | 306% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -1% | 80% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| OKE Win Rate | 75% | 67% | 58% | 67% | 42% | 100% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 72% | 60% | 53% | 75% | 58% | 80% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 33% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| OKE Max Drawdown | -2% | -10% | -11% | -2% | -33% | -4% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -0% | -3% | -12% | -6% | -6% | -4% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -2% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: WMB, TRGP, KMI, ENB, TRP. See OKE Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 3/13/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | OKE | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -31.3% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 45.6% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 514 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -80.2% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 404.4% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,448 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -28.9% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 40.6% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 256 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -66.8% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 201.6% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 652 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to WMB, TRGP, KMI, ENB, TRP
In The Past
ONEOK's stock fell -31.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/20/2022. A -31.3% loss requires a 45.6% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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About ONEOK (OKE)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-3 brief analogies to describe ONEOK:ONEOK is like the **railroad system for natural gas and natural gas liquids**, owning the pipelines that transport these energy commodities across vast distances.
ONEOK is like the **interstate highway system for natural gas and natural gas liquids**, providing the essential infrastructure for energy to flow.
ONEOK is like a **FedEx or UPS for natural gas and natural gas liquids**, handling the complex logistics of moving, processing, and storing these energy products across the country.
AI Analysis | Feedback
```html- Natural Gas Gathering & Processing: Services involve collecting raw natural gas from production sites and processing it to remove impurities and separate valuable components.
- Natural Gas Liquids (NGL) Services: These services encompass the gathering, treating, fractionating, transporting, storing, marketing, and distributing various natural gas liquid products.
- Natural Gas Transportation & Storage: The company provides services for moving processed natural gas through regulated interstate and intrastate pipelines and storing it in underground facilities.
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Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to OKE.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12262025 | TPL | Texas Pacific Land | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 82.3% | 82.3% | -2.1% |
| 12122025 | NOV | NOV | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 23.6% | 23.6% | -6.5% |
| 12122025 | RIG | Transocean | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 56.9% | 56.9% | -7.0% |
| 11212025 | WHD | Cactus | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 31.6% | 31.6% | 0.0% |
| 10172025 | OVV | Ovintiv | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 41.7% | 41.7% | 0.0% |
| 08312025 | OKE | ONEOK | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 11.6% | 11.6% | -14.5% |
| 12312020 | OKE | ONEOK | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 54.5% | 64.7% | -2.3% |
| 04302020 | OKE | ONEOK | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.9% | 94.2% | -15.5% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 68.52 |
| Mkt Cap | 70.2 |
| Rev LTM | 16,983 |
| Op Inc LTM | 5,268 |
| FCF LTM | 2,254 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 2,451 |
| CFO LTM | 5,908 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 5,809 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 13.0% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 5.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | 14.8% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 3.6% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 23.7% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 24.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 1.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 29.0% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 31.6% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 7.4% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 12.2% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 70.2 |
| P/S | 3.7 |
| P/EBIT | 12.0 |
| P/E | 21.6 |
| P/CFO | 11.1 |
| Total Yield | 9.1% |
| Dividend Yield | 4.2% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 5.0% |
| D/E | 0.5 |
| Net D/E | 0.5 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 4.6% |
| 3M Rtn | 20.3% |
| 6M Rtn | 24.1% |
| 12M Rtn | 30.2% |
| 3Y Rtn | 132.6% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 7.8% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 22.1% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 21.5% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 12.1% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 49.1% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natural Gas Liquids | 15,167 | 14,429 | 19,067 | 14,392 | 7,090 |
| Natural Gas Gathering and Processing | 4,589 | 4,056 | 6,533 | 4,462 | 1,820 |
| Refined Products and Crude | 4,460 | 1,071 | |||
| Natural Gas Pipelines | 822 | 623 | 579 | 607 | 480 |
| Other and Eliminations | -3,340 | -2,502 | -3,792 | -2,920 | -848 |
| Total | 21,698 | 17,677 | 22,387 | 16,540 | 8,542 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Refined Products and Crude | 23,181 | 19,531 | |||
| Natural Gas Liquids | 19,797 | 14,974 | 14,643 | 14,502 | 13,636 |
| Natural Gas Gathering and Processing | 15,856 | 7,078 | 6,980 | 6,769 | 6,500 |
| Natural Gas Pipelines | 5,041 | 2,624 | 2,254 | 2,143 | 2,100 |
| Other and Eliminations | 194 | 59 | 502 | 207 | 843 |
| Total | 64,069 | 44,266 | 24,379 | 23,622 | 23,079 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $85.36 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 53.8 | |
| First Trading Date | 07/01/1985 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -12.0% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $80.01 | $74.57 |
| DMA Trend | indeterminate | up |
| Distance from DMA | 6.7% | 14.5% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 29.9% | 31.1% |
| Downside Capture | -100.34 | 53.10 |
| Upside Capture | -13.63 | 36.36 |
| Correlation (SPY) | -9.2% | 52.4% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | -0.48 | -0.24 | -0.30 | 0.11 | 0.86 | 0.80 |
| Up Beta | 0.54 | 0.81 | 0.28 | 0.40 | 0.86 | 0.78 |
| Down Beta | 0.24 | 0.78 | 0.15 | 0.56 | 1.39 | 1.13 |
| Up Capture | -74% | -43% | -19% | 0% | 26% | 32% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 9 | 20 | 31 | 70 | 142 | 431 |
| Stock +ve Days | 13 | 25 | 34 | 67 | 136 | 424 |
| Down Capture | -134% | -187% | -135% | -43% | 67% | 84% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 12 | 21 | 30 | 54 | 109 | 320 |
| Stock -ve Days | 7 | 15 | 26 | 56 | 113 | 324 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with OKE | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OKE | -3.1% | 31.1% | -0.08 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLE) | 34.9% | 24.9% | 1.15 | 79.9% |
| Equity (SPY) | 19.6% | 18.9% | 0.81 | 52.1% |
| Gold (GLD) | 71.9% | 26.3% | 2.05 | 11.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 19.3% | 17.3% | 0.89 | 51.9% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 6.2% | 16.3% | 0.19 | 47.2% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -15.3% | 44.2% | -0.25 | 17.8% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with OKE | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OKE | 18.0% | 28.2% | 0.61 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLE) | 21.1% | 26.2% | 0.73 | 77.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.1% | 17.0% | 0.61 | 53.6% |
| Gold (GLD) | 24.1% | 17.3% | 1.14 | 15.5% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.2% | 19.0% | 0.47 | 48.7% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.8% | 18.8% | 0.16 | 47.4% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 6.3% | 56.7% | 0.33 | 18.3% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with OKE | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OKE | 19.6% | 39.2% | 0.59 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLE) | 10.9% | 29.5% | 0.41 | 78.7% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.5% | 17.9% | 0.70 | 54.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 14.4% | 15.6% | 0.77 | 6.9% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.6% | 17.6% | 0.40 | 48.0% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.6% | 20.7% | 0.23 | 50.6% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 67.4% | 66.8% | 1.07 | 14.5% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/28/2025 | -2.7% | -5.5% | 5.1% |
| 8/4/2025 | -5.2% | -7.7% | -7.5% |
| 2/24/2025 | -2.4% | -1.4% | 4.3% |
| 10/29/2024 | 0.6% | 4.3% | 19.1% |
| 8/5/2024 | 4.7% | 8.3% | 16.2% |
| 2/26/2024 | 2.0% | 5.0% | 7.9% |
| 10/31/2023 | -1.0% | -0.8% | 5.6% |
| 8/7/2023 | -1.6% | 1.2% | -2.4% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 6 | 13 | 12 |
| # Negative | 11 | 4 | 5 |
| Median Positive | 2.8% | 4.3% | 6.7% |
| Median Negative | -1.7% | -3.4% | -5.3% |
| Max Positive | 5.9% | 8.3% | 32.1% |
| Max Negative | -5.2% | -7.7% | -10.2% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2025 | 02/24/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 10/29/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/05/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 04/30/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/25/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 10/30/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/06/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/01/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/27/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/01/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/08/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/03/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/28/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/02/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/09/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/04/2022 | 10-Q |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Derksen, Brian L | Direct | Buy | 11052025 | 66.00 | 2,500 | 165,000 | 1,399,200 | Form |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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