ONEOK (OKE)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $73.11 | Market Cap: $46.1 BilSector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Storage & Transportation
ONEOK (OKE)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $73.11Market Cap: $46.1 BilSector: EnergyIndustry: Oil & Gas Storage & Transportation
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.3%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.1%, FCF Yield is 6.3% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -23%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -39% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 71% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 58% | Key risksOKE key risks include [1] challenges integrating major acquisitions and managing the resulting high debt, Show more. | |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%, CFO LTM is 5.7 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.9 Bil | ||
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -40% | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 31% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include US Energy Independence, Hydrogen Economy, and Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include US LNG, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.3%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.1%, FCF Yield is 6.3% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 58% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%, CFO LTM is 5.7 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.9 Bil |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -40% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 31% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include US Energy Independence, Hydrogen Economy, and Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include US LNG, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -23%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -39% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 71% |
| Key risksOKE key risks include [1] challenges integrating major acquisitions and managing the resulting high debt, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
OKE Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are five key points explaining ONEOK's stock movement from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025:
1. Slower Projected Long-Term Growth and Margin Decline: Despite reporting higher third-quarter 2025 earnings that slightly beat analyst expectations, ONEOK experienced a slip in net profit margins from 14% to 10.6% compared to the previous year. Analysts projected a slowdown in annual earnings growth to 6.85% and revenue growth to 3.2% per year, both trailing broader U.S. market expectations, which challenged the company's long-term growth narrative.
2. Reductions in Analyst Price Targets: Several analysts lowered their price targets for ONEOK in late August and October 2025. For instance, Mizuho decreased its target from $87.00 to $82.00 in late August, and Morgan Stanley reduced its objective from $122.00 to $110.00, signaling a more cautious outlook on the stock's future valuation.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| OKE Return | -43% | 65% | 19% | 13% | 50% | -25% | 40% |
| Peers Return | -24% | 52% | 35% | 17% | 66% | � | � |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| OKE Win Rate | 50% | 75% | 67% | 58% | 67% | 33% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 42% | 73% | 63% | 60% | 78% | 54% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| OKE Max Drawdown | -79% | -2% | -10% | -11% | -2% | -33% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -66% | -1% | -0% | -7% | -3% | -9% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ET, WMB, TRGP, KMI, MPLX. See OKE Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | OKE | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -31.3% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 45.6% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 514 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -80.2% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 404.4% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,448 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -28.9% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 40.6% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 256 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -66.8% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 201.6% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 652 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to EOG, DVN, APA, EPM, ET
In The Past
ONEOK's stock fell -31.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/20/2022. A -31.3% loss requires a 45.6% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to OKE. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WHD | Cactus | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.8% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| 10172025 | OVV | Ovintiv | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.4% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
| 10102025 | COP | ConocoPhillips | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.5% | 4.5% | -2.3% |
| 10102025 | HAL | Halliburton | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 24.5% | 24.5% | -0.7% |
| 10102025 | OXY | Occidental Petroleum | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -7.1% | -7.1% | -7.1% |
| 08312025 | OKE | ONEOK | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -5.4% | -5.4% | -14.5% |
| 12312020 | OKE | ONEOK | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 54.5% | 64.7% | -2.3% |
| 04302020 | OKE | ONEOK | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.9% | 94.2% | -15.5% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WHD | Cactus | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.8% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| 10172025 | OVV | Ovintiv | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.4% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
| 10102025 | COP | ConocoPhillips | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.5% | 4.5% | -2.3% |
| 10102025 | HAL | Halliburton | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 24.5% | 24.5% | -0.7% |
| 10102025 | OXY | Occidental Petroleum | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -7.1% | -7.1% | -7.1% |
| 08312025 | OKE | ONEOK | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -5.4% | -5.4% | -14.5% |
| 12312020 | OKE | ONEOK | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 54.5% | 64.7% | -2.3% |
| 04302020 | OKE | ONEOK | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.9% | 94.2% | -15.5% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for ONEOK
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 65.94 |
| Mkt Cap | 52.7 |
| Rev LTM | 16,897 |
| Op Inc LTM | 4,542 |
| FCF LTM | 2,838 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 3,069 |
| CFO LTM | 5,700 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 5,596 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 7.8% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -1.1% |
| Rev Chg Q | 9.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 22.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 24.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 28.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 29.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 12.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 17.1% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 52.7 |
| P/S | 3.0 |
| P/EBIT | 12.8 |
| P/E | 22.0 |
| P/CFO | 10.3 |
| Total Yield | 6.9% |
| Dividend Yield | 2.4% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 5.8% |
| D/E | 0.5 |
| Net D/E | 0.5 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 2.6% |
| 3M Rtn | 1.2% |
| 6M Rtn | -0.0% |
| 12M Rtn | 3.7% |
| 3Y Rtn | 92.7% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 1.8% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -1.8% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -12.4% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -8.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 21.0% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natural Gas Liquids | 14,429 | 19,067 | 14,392 | 7,090 | 8,533 |
| Natural Gas Gathering and Processing | 4,056 | 6,533 | 4,462 | 1,820 | 2,369 |
| Refined Products and Crude | 1,071 | ||||
| Natural Gas Pipelines | 623 | 579 | 607 | 480 | 472 |
| Other and Eliminations | -2,502 | -3,792 | -2,920 | -848 | -1,209 |
| Total | 17,677 | 22,387 | 16,540 | 8,542 | 10,164 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Refined Products and Crude | 19,531 | ||||
| Natural Gas Liquids | 14,974 | 14,643 | 14,502 | 13,636 | 12,551 |
| Natural Gas Gathering and Processing | 7,078 | 6,980 | 6,769 | 6,500 | 6,796 |
| Natural Gas Pipelines | 2,624 | 2,254 | 2,143 | 2,100 | 2,094 |
| Other and Eliminations | 59 | 502 | 207 | 843 | 371 |
| Total | 44,266 | 24,379 | 23,622 | 23,079 | 21,812 |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/28/2025 | -2.7% | -6.9% | 3.5% |
| 8/4/2025 | -5.2% | -7.7% | -7.5% |
| 2/24/2025 | -2.4% | -1.4% | 4.3% |
| 10/29/2024 | 0.6% | 4.3% | 19.1% |
| 8/5/2024 | 4.7% | 8.3% | 16.2% |
| 2/26/2024 | 2.0% | 5.0% | 7.9% |
| 10/31/2023 | -1.0% | -0.8% | 5.6% |
| 8/7/2023 | -1.6% | 1.2% | -2.4% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 6 | 13 | 12 |
| # Negative | 12 | 5 | 6 |
| Median Positive | 2.8% | 4.3% | 6.7% |
| Median Negative | -1.8% | -6.9% | -6.4% |
| Max Positive | 5.9% | 8.3% | 32.1% |
| Max Negative | -5.2% | -7.9% | -70.6% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10292025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8052025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4302025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2252025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10302024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8062024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5012024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2272024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11012023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8082023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5032023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2282023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11022022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8092022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5042022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3012022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |