Tearsheet

ONEOK (OKE)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $73.11 | Market Cap: $46.1 Bil
Sector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Storage & Transportation

ONEOK (OKE)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $73.11
Market Cap: $46.1 Bil
Sector: Energy
Industry: Oil & Gas Storage & Transportation

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.3%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.1%, FCF Yield is 6.3%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -23%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -39%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 71%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 58%
  Key risks
OKE key risks include [1] challenges integrating major acquisitions and managing the resulting high debt, Show more.
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%, CFO LTM is 5.7 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.9 Bil
  
3 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -40%
  
4 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 31%
  
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include US Energy Independence, Hydrogen Economy, and Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include US LNG, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.3%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.1%, FCF Yield is 6.3%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 58%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%, CFO LTM is 5.7 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.9 Bil
3 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -40%
4 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 31%
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include US Energy Independence, Hydrogen Economy, and Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include US LNG, Show more.
6 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -23%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -39%
7 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 71%
8 Key risks
OKE key risks include [1] challenges integrating major acquisitions and managing the resulting high debt, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

OKE Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining ONEOK's stock movement from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025:

1. Slower Projected Long-Term Growth and Margin Decline: Despite reporting higher third-quarter 2025 earnings that slightly beat analyst expectations, ONEOK experienced a slip in net profit margins from 14% to 10.6% compared to the previous year. Analysts projected a slowdown in annual earnings growth to 6.85% and revenue growth to 3.2% per year, both trailing broader U.S. market expectations, which challenged the company's long-term growth narrative.

2. Reductions in Analyst Price Targets: Several analysts lowered their price targets for ONEOK in late August and October 2025. For instance, Mizuho decreased its target from $87.00 to $82.00 in late August, and Morgan Stanley reduced its objective from $122.00 to $110.00, signaling a more cautious outlook on the stock's future valuation.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
OKE Return-43%65%19%13%50%-25%40%
Peers Return-24%52%35%17%66%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
OKE Win Rate50%75%67%58%67%33% 
Peers Win Rate42%73%63%60%78%54% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
OKE Max Drawdown-79%-2%-10%-11%-2%-33% 
Peers Max Drawdown-66%-1%-0%-7%-3%-9% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ET, WMB, TRGP, KMI, MPLX. See OKE Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventOKES&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-31.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven45.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven514 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-80.2%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven404.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,448 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-28.9%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven40.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven256 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-66.8%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven201.6%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven652 days1,480 days

Compare to EOG, DVN, APA, EPM, ET


In The Past

ONEOK's stock fell -31.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/20/2022. A -31.3% loss requires a 45.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About ONEOK (OKE)

Better Bets than ONEOK (OKE)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to OKE. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WHD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.8%6.8%0.0%
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.4%4.4%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.5%4.5%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
24.5%24.5%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.1%-7.1%-7.1%
OKE_8312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy08312025OKEONEOKDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.4%-5.4%-14.5%
OKE_12312020_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy12312020OKEONEOKDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
54.5%64.7%-2.3%
OKE_4302020_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy04302020OKEONEOKDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.9%94.2%-15.5%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WHD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.8%6.8%0.0%
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.4%4.4%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.5%4.5%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
24.5%24.5%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.1%-7.1%-7.1%
OKE_8312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy08312025OKEONEOKDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.4%-5.4%-14.5%
OKE_12312020_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy12312020OKEONEOKDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
54.5%64.7%-2.3%
OKE_4302020_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy04302020OKEONEOKDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.9%94.2%-15.5%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for ONEOK

Peers to compare with:

Financials

OKEETWMBTRGPKMIMPLXMedian
NameONEOK Energy T.Williams.Targa Re.Kinder M.MPLX  
Mkt Price73.05-58.84182.3726.65-65.94
Mkt Cap46.1-71.939.259.3-52.7
Rev LTM31,56479,75711,49517,37816,41611,42016,897
Op Inc LTM5,9079,2403,9413,1144,4594,6264,542
FCF LTM2,9205,1891,7226432,7574,6862,838
FCF 3Y Avg2,7636,0952,4585243,3754,5893,069
CFO LTM5,66410,8415,5403,7405,7356,0885,700
CFO 3Y Avg4,80110,2175,4843,2705,9185,7085,596

Growth & Margins

OKEETWMBTRGPKMIMPLXMedian
NameONEOK Energy T.Williams.Targa Re.Kinder M.MPLX  
Rev Chg LTM58.4%-4.7%9.0%7.2%8.3%6.3%7.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg16.4%-3.0%0.8%-6.2%-4.3%2.5%-1.1%
Rev Chg Q71.9%-3.9%10.2%7.8%12.1%4.6%9.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM12.9%-1.0%2.4%1.8%2.8%1.1%2.1%
Op Mgn LTM18.7%11.6%34.3%17.9%27.2%40.5%22.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg21.2%10.8%35.5%16.6%27.6%40.6%24.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.9%0.1%1.6%0.3%-0.5%-0.4%-0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM17.9%13.6%48.2%21.5%34.9%53.3%28.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg21.5%12.7%49.8%19.6%37.5%52.8%29.5%
FCF/Rev LTM9.3%6.5%15.0%3.7%16.8%41.0%12.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg12.7%7.5%22.5%3.1%21.5%42.5%17.1%

Valuation

OKEETWMBTRGPKMIMPLXMedian
NameONEOK Energy T.Williams.Targa Re.Kinder M.MPLX  
Mkt Cap46.1-71.939.259.3-52.7
P/S1.5-6.72.13.8-3.0
P/EBIT7.3-16.711.514.1-12.8
P/E13.8-32.720.923.1-22.0
P/CFO8.1-14.09.611.0-10.3
Total Yield7.3%-6.2%6.5%8.4%-6.9%
Dividend Yield0.0%-3.1%1.7%4.1%-2.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg6.9%-4.7%2.0%7.2%-5.8%
D/E0.7-0.40.50.5-0.5
Net D/E0.7-0.40.50.5-0.5

Returns

OKEETWMBTRGPKMIMPLXMedian
NameONEOK Energy T.Williams.Targa Re.Kinder M.MPLX  
1M Rtn6.1%--1.0%8.3%-1.8%-2.6%
3M Rtn1.8%-0.5%10.2%-2.2%-1.2%
6M Rtn-7.4%-1.2%9.1%-1.2%--0.0%
12M Rtn-24.5%-13.4%2.9%4.6%-3.7%
3Y Rtn32.6%-107.7%178.4%77.6%-92.7%
1M Excs Rtn5.4%--1.7%7.6%-2.5%-1.8%
3M Excs Rtn-0.5%--3.1%6.6%-3.9%--1.8%
6M Excs Rtn-19.8%--11.2%-3.3%-13.6%--12.4%
12M Excs Rtn-37.2%-0.8%-10.1%-7.6%--8.8%
3Y Excs Rtn-38.8%-34.0%108.7%7.9%-21.0%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Natural Gas Liquids14,42919,06714,3927,0908,533
Natural Gas Gathering and Processing4,0566,5334,4621,8202,369
Refined Products and Crude1,071    
Natural Gas Pipelines623579607480472
Other and Eliminations-2,502-3,792-2,920-848-1,209
Total17,67722,38716,5408,54210,164


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Refined Products and Crude19,531    
Natural Gas Liquids14,97414,64314,50213,63612,551
Natural Gas Gathering and Processing7,0786,9806,7696,5006,796
Natural Gas Pipelines2,6242,2542,1432,1002,094
Other and Eliminations59502207843371
Total44,26624,37923,62223,07921,812


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity17,712,407
Short Interest: % Change Since 1115202515.1%
Average Daily Volume4,741,059
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.74
Basic Shares Quantity630,600,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.8%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/28/2025-2.7%-6.9%3.5%
8/4/2025-5.2%-7.7%-7.5%
2/24/2025-2.4%-1.4%4.3%
10/29/20240.6%4.3%19.1%
8/5/20244.7%8.3%16.2%
2/26/20242.0%5.0%7.9%
10/31/2023-1.0%-0.8%5.6%
8/7/2023-1.6%1.2%-2.4%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive61312
# Negative1256
Median Positive2.8%4.3%6.7%
Median Negative-1.8%-6.9%-6.4%
Max Positive5.9%8.3%32.1%
Max Negative-5.2%-7.9%-70.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251029202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025805202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025430202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024225202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241030202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024806202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024501202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023227202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231101202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023808202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023503202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022228202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221102202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022809202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022504202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021301202210-K 12/31/2021