Tearsheet

MPLX (MPLX)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $54.375 | Market Cap: $55.4 Bil
Sector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Storage & Transportation

MPLX (MPLX)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $54.375
Market Cap: $55.4 Bil
Sector: Energy
Industry: Oil & Gas Storage & Transportation

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 41%
Key risks
MPLX key risks include [1] its significant dependence on its primary customer, Show more.
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 53%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 41%, CFO LTM is 6.1 Bil, FCF LTM is 4.7 Bil
 
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Hydrogen Economy, and Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include Hydrogen Infrastructure, Carbon Capture & Storage, Show more.
 
0 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 41%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 53%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 41%, CFO LTM is 6.1 Bil, FCF LTM is 4.7 Bil
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Hydrogen Economy, and Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include Hydrogen Infrastructure, Carbon Capture & Storage, Show more.
3 Key risks
MPLX key risks include [1] its significant dependence on its primary customer, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

MPLX Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points highlighting why MPLX's stock moved by 2.9% from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025: 1. MPLX reported strong third-quarter 2025 financial results that significantly exceeded analyst expectations for both earnings per share (EPS) and revenue. This robust performance, announced on November 4, 2025, indicated successful execution of strategic initiatives and operational efficiency, leading to a positive market reaction.

2. The company announced a substantial 12.5% increase in its quarterly distribution to $1.0765 per common unit for Q3 2025. This marked the second consecutive year of such an increase, underscoring MPLX's commitment to returning value to unitholders and reflecting confidence in its cash flow stability and growth outlook.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
MPLX Return-2%54%21%22%42%
Peers Return-32%54%34%16%68%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
MPLX Win Rate58%92%67%83%75%60% 
Peers Win Rate40%70%63%55%77%48% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
MPLX Max Drawdown-66%0%-1%-1%-0%-1% 
Peers Max Drawdown-69%-1%-2%-9%-4%-15% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: WMB, ET, KMI, OKE, TRGP.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventMPLXS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-20.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven25.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven238 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-69.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven223.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven406 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-41.5%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven71.1%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,535 days120 days

Compare to ET, MPLX, ENB, WMB, KMI


In The Past

MPLX's stock fell -20.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/20/2022. A -20.1% loss requires a 25.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About MPLX (MPLX)

Better Bets than MPLX (MPLX)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to MPLX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WHD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.8%6.8%0.0%
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.4%4.4%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.5%4.5%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
24.5%24.5%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.1%-7.1%-7.1%
MPLX_9302022_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%09302022MPLXMPLXQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
20.1%29.7%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WHD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.8%6.8%0.0%
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.4%4.4%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.5%4.5%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
24.5%24.5%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.1%-7.1%-7.1%
MPLX_9302022_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%09302022MPLXMPLXQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
20.1%29.7%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for MPLX

Peers to compare with:

Financials

MPLXWMBETKMIOKETRGPMedian
NameMPLX Williams.Energy T.Kinder M.ONEOK Targa Re. 
Mkt Price-58.84-26.6573.05182.3765.94
Mkt Cap-71.9-59.346.139.252.7
Rev LTM11,42011,49579,75716,41631,56417,37816,897
Op Inc LTM4,6263,9419,2404,4595,9073,1144,542
FCF LTM4,6861,7225,1892,7572,9206432,838
FCF 3Y Avg4,5892,4586,0953,3752,7635243,069
CFO LTM6,0885,54010,8415,7355,6643,7405,700
CFO 3Y Avg5,7085,48410,2175,9184,8013,2705,596

Growth & Margins

MPLXWMBETKMIOKETRGPMedian
NameMPLX Williams.Energy T.Kinder M.ONEOK Targa Re. 
Rev Chg LTM6.3%9.0%-4.7%8.3%58.4%7.2%7.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg2.5%0.8%-3.0%-4.3%16.4%-6.2%-1.1%
Rev Chg Q4.6%10.2%-3.9%12.1%71.9%7.8%9.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.1%2.4%-1.0%2.8%12.9%1.8%2.1%
Op Mgn LTM40.5%34.3%11.6%27.2%18.7%17.9%22.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg40.6%35.5%10.8%27.6%21.2%16.6%24.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.4%1.6%0.1%-0.5%-0.9%0.3%-0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM53.3%48.2%13.6%34.9%17.9%21.5%28.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg52.8%49.8%12.7%37.5%21.5%19.6%29.5%
FCF/Rev LTM41.0%15.0%6.5%16.8%9.3%3.7%12.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg42.5%22.5%7.5%21.5%12.7%3.1%17.1%

Valuation

MPLXWMBETKMIOKETRGPMedian
NameMPLX Williams.Energy T.Kinder M.ONEOK Targa Re. 
Mkt Cap-71.9-59.346.139.252.7
P/S-6.7-3.81.52.13.0
P/EBIT-16.7-14.17.311.512.8
P/E-32.7-23.113.820.922.0
P/CFO-14.0-11.08.19.610.3
Total Yield-6.2%-8.4%7.3%6.5%6.9%
Dividend Yield-3.1%-4.1%0.0%1.7%2.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-4.7%-7.2%6.9%2.0%5.8%
D/E-0.4-0.50.70.50.5
Net D/E-0.4-0.50.70.50.5

Returns

MPLXWMBETKMIOKETRGPMedian
NameMPLX Williams.Energy T.Kinder M.ONEOK Targa Re. 
1M Rtn--1.0%--1.8%6.1%8.3%2.6%
3M Rtn-0.5%--2.2%1.8%10.2%1.2%
6M Rtn-1.2%--1.2%-7.4%9.1%-0.0%
12M Rtn-13.4%-4.6%-24.5%2.9%3.7%
3Y Rtn-107.7%-77.6%32.6%178.4%92.7%
1M Excs Rtn--1.7%--2.5%5.4%7.6%1.8%
3M Excs Rtn--3.1%--3.9%-0.5%6.6%-1.8%
6M Excs Rtn--11.2%--13.6%-19.8%-3.3%-12.4%
12M Excs Rtn-0.8%--7.6%-37.2%-10.1%-8.8%
3Y Excs Rtn-34.0%-7.9%-38.8%108.7%21.0%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Crude Oil and Products Logistics5,7105,3445,139 5,091
Natural Gas and Natural Gas Liquids (NGL) Services4,7245,1974,436 3,534
Total10,43410,5419,575 8,625


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity9,146,282
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520251.0%
Average Daily Volume1,344,797
Days-to-Cover Short Interest6.80
Basic Shares Quantity1,019,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares0.9%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/4/20250.7%0.8%0.8%
8/5/2025-3.5%-3.0%-1.6%
5/6/2025-1.7%-1.4%2.8%
2/4/20252.4%4.2%3.2%
11/5/20242.4%6.6%14.3%
8/6/20241.2%0.3%5.3%
4/30/2024-0.4%0.4%-2.1%
1/30/20241.2%0.8%3.7%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive151718
# Negative976
Median Positive1.2%2.5%3.7%
Median Negative-1.1%-1.9%-2.2%
Max Positive4.6%7.0%28.3%
Max Negative-3.5%-3.4%-18.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251104202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025805202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025506202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024227202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241105202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024806202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024430202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023228202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231031202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023801202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023502202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022223202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221101202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022802202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022503202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021224202210-K 12/31/2021