EMX Royalty (EMX)
Market Price (11/13/2025): $4.145 | Market Cap: $450.6 MilSector: Materials | Industry: Diversified Metals & Mining
EMX Royalty (EMX)
Market Price (11/13/2025): $4.145Market Cap: $450.6 MilSector: MaterialsIndustry: Diversified Metals & Mining
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 54%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 17x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 37x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 31x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 93x | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 42% | Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 105%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 138% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Battery Technology & Metals, and Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include Advanced Battery Components, and Battery Storage & Grid Modernization. | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.1% | |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.3% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 54%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 42% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Battery Technology & Metals, and Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include Advanced Battery Components, and Battery Storage & Grid Modernization. |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 17x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 37x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 31x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 93x |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 105%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 138% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.1% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.3% |
Market Valuation & Key Metrics
EMX Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points highlighting the reasons for EMX Royalty's stock movement from approximately July 31, 2025, to November 13, 2025:
1. Q2 2025 Financial Results and Increased Guidance.
EMX Royalty announced its Q2 2025 results on July 24, 2025, reporting increased adjusted royalty revenue and adjusted EBITDA for the first half of the year, alongside a swing to net income from a loss in Q2 2024. The company also raised its 2025 guidance for GEO (Gold Equivalent Ounces) sales and adjusted royalty revenue, indicating a positive outlook. This period also saw early repayments of debt and the collection of deferred payments, strengthening the company's financial position.
2. Proposed Merger with Elemental Altus.
On August 20, 2025, EMX and Elemental Altus Royalties Corp. announced a proposed merger to create a new mid-tier gold-focused royalty company, Elemental Royalty Corp. This strategic consolidation was subsequently approved by EMX securityholders on November 4, 2025, and received court approval on November 10, 2025, indicating significant corporate restructuring and potential for future growth and synergy.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| EMX Return | 104% | -32% | -17% | -14% | 7% | 140% | 153% |
| Peers Return | 34% | 3% | 14% | -7% | -11% | 41% | 84% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| EMX Win Rate | 67% | 42% | 42% | 33% | 50% | 90% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 33% | 27% | 32% | 32% | 28% | 76% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| EMX Max Drawdown | -24% | -37% | -30% | -15% | -10% | -3% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -32% | -10% | -9% | -15% | -17% | -21% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: VALE, WRN, XPL, ALM, CRML.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/12/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | EMX | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -57.4% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 134.8% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1072 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -38.8% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 63.5% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 89 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -42.7% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 74.6% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 214 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -85.4% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 583.8% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 651 days | 1480 days |
Compare to VALE, WRN, XPL, ALM, CRML
In The Past
EMX Royalty's stock fell -57.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/5/2021. A -57.4% loss requires a 134.8% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Would You Still Hold EMX Royalty Stock If It Fell Another 30%? | Return |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to EMX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | ATR | AptarGroup | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.9% | 1.9% | -2.5% |
| 10312025 | SLGN | Silgan | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.9% | 0.9% | -1.3% |
| 10242025 | TGLS | Tecnoglass | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -22.9% | -22.9% | -22.9% |
| 10242025 | NEM | Newmont | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 7.9% | 7.9% | -5.7% |
| 10242025 | RGLD | Royal Gold | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 2.7% | 2.7% | -7.3% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | ATR | AptarGroup | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.9% | 1.9% | -2.5% |
| 10312025 | SLGN | Silgan | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.9% | 0.9% | -1.3% |
| 10242025 | TGLS | Tecnoglass | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -22.9% | -22.9% | -22.9% |
| 10242025 | NEM | Newmont | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 7.9% | 7.9% | -5.7% |
| 10242025 | RGLD | Royal Gold | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 2.7% | 2.7% | -7.3% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for EMX Royalty
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 5.55 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.5 |
| Rev LTM | 27 |
| Op Inc LTM | -5 |
| FCF LTM | -5 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -4 |
| CFO LTM | -3 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -4 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -2.1% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 7.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | 13.5% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.6% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 5.7% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -38.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 1.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 24.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 25.6% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 7.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 10.5% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 0.5 |
| P/S | 17.0 |
| P/EBIT | -10.4 |
| P/E | -11.6 |
| P/CFO | -11.8 |
| Total Yield | -0.9% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -2.7% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -17.7% |
| 3M Rtn | 36.3% |
| 6M Rtn | 102.8% |
| 12M Rtn | 50.1% |
| 3Y Rtn | 26.0% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -18.8% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 30.8% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 86.5% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 25.2% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -41.4% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 8112025 | 6-K 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5122025 | 6-K 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3122025 | 40-F 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11072024 | 6-K 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8122024 | 6-K 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5132024 | 6-K 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3252024 | 40-F 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11142023 | 6-K 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8142023 | 6-K 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5152023 | 6-K 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3282023 | 40-F 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11152022 | 6-K 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8152022 | 6-K 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5172022 | 6-K 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3312022 | 40-F 12/31/2021 |
| 9302021 | 11152021 | 6-K 9/30/2021 |
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