Tearsheet

Dover (DOV)


Market Price (12/5/2025): $190.0 | Market Cap: $26.1 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components

Dover (DOV)


Market Price (12/5/2025): $190.0
Market Cap: $26.1 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.9%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -12%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -31%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.6%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 27%
  
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable Infrastructure, Water Infrastructure, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Waste Management Solutions, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.9%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 27%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable Infrastructure, Water Infrastructure, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Waste Management Solutions, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -12%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -31%
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.6%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

DOV Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for the approximate 6.9% stock movement of Dover (DOV) from August 31, 2025, to December 5, 2025: 1. Analyst upgrades and positive price targets contributed to investor confidence. Several analysts maintained a "Buy" rating for DOV stock, with a 12-month price target increasing to $213.18, representing an 11.82% upside from its latest price. Notably, the stock was upgraded to "Buy" in November 2025, and new analyst forecasts set price targets as high as $228.0. Oppenheimer also indicated that Dover's earnings momentum and portfolio shift supported a positive 2026 outlook.

2. Strategic expansion into data center cooling and heat reuse with new product launches buoyed investor sentiment. Dover's SWEP unit introduced new brazed plate heat exchangers specifically designed for data center cooling and district energy markets in early December 2025. This move, highlighted during CEO Richard Tobin's presentation at the UBS Global Industrials and Transportation Conference in November 2025, positions Dover in secular growth areas and helps offset volatility in more cyclical parts of its portfolio.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
DOV Return12%46%-24%15%23%3%80%
Peers Return16%33%-9%34%4%9%113%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%17%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
DOV Win Rate58%75%42%50%67%40% 
Peers Win Rate60%67%37%60%50%60% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
DOV Max Drawdown-43%-8%-35%-4%-6%-19% 
Peers Max Drawdown-43%-7%-28%-4%-11%-22% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ITW, IR, NDSN, SXI, ADVEN. See DOV Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventDOVS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-36.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven56.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven586 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-45.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven83.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven233 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-25.5%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven34.3%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven50 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-59.2%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven145.1%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven410 days1480 days

Compare to ITW, IR, NDSN, SXI, ADVEN


In The Past

Dover's stock fell -36.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/7/2022. A -36.3% loss requires a 56.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Dover (DOV)

Better Bets than Dover (DOV)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to DOV. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
9.5%9.5%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
7.5%7.5%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.8%2.8%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
0.0%0.0%0.0%
DOV_6302022_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy06302022DOVDoverDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
13.2%23.5%-3.5%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
9.5%9.5%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
7.5%7.5%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.8%2.8%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
0.0%0.0%0.0%
DOV_6302022_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy06302022DOVDoverDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
13.2%23.5%-3.5%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Dover

Peers to compare with:

Financials

DOVITWIRNDSNSXIADVENMedian
NameDover Illinois.Ingersol.Nordson Standex .AdvEn  
Mkt Price190.64249.3879.99238.41243.82-238.41
Mkt Cap26.272.531.713.52.9-26.2
Rev LTM7,92315,8837,4582,784837-7,458
Op Inc LTM1,3234,1621,477689131-1,323
FCF LTM5672,8451,25054341-567
FCF 3Y Avg8862,8111,20057666-886
CFO LTM7843,2771,38361369-784
CFO 3Y Avg1,0723,2651,32862991-1,072

Growth & Margins

DOVITWIRNDSNSXIADVENMedian
NameDover Illinois.Ingersol.Nordson Standex .AdvEn  
Rev Chg LTM2.6%-0.4%4.2%4.5%18.5%-4.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-1.6%0.5%9.4%3.6%4.7%-3.6%
Rev Chg Q4.8%2.3%5.1%12.1%27.6%-5.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.2%0.6%1.3%3.0%5.9%-1.3%
Op Mgn LTM16.7%26.2%19.8%24.7%15.6%-19.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg16.2%25.9%19.1%25.3%15.6%-19.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.4%0.2%-0.1%0.5%0.2%-0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM9.9%20.6%18.5%22.0%8.2%-18.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg13.9%20.4%18.7%23.5%12.1%-18.7%
FCF/Rev LTM7.2%17.9%16.8%19.5%4.9%-16.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg11.5%17.6%16.9%21.5%8.9%-16.9%

Valuation

DOVITWIRNDSNSXIADVENMedian
NameDover Illinois.Ingersol.Nordson Standex .AdvEn  
Mkt Cap26.272.531.713.52.9-26.2
P/S2.94.84.44.33.0-4.3
P/EBIT15.818.027.818.025.8-18.0
P/E10.225.160.026.648.4-26.6
P/CFO29.223.123.719.737.0-23.7
Total Yield11.1%6.3%1.8%5.2%2.7%-5.2%
Dividend Yield1.2%2.3%0.1%1.5%0.6%-1.2%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg3.9%3.8%3.7%4.4%3.3%-3.8%
D/E0.10.10.10.20.2-0.1
Net D/E0.10.10.10.20.2-0.1

Returns

DOVITWIRNDSNSXIADVENMedian
NameDover Illinois.Ingersol.Nordson Standex .AdvEn  
1M Rtn7.3%1.8%3.6%3.5%6.6%-3.6%
3M Rtn7.2%-5.5%1.0%5.5%18.6%-5.5%
6M Rtn8.2%2.6%-2.2%12.5%60.1%-8.2%
12M Rtn-5.2%-7.4%-23.0%-5.7%16.9%--5.7%
3Y Rtn40.2%18.6%50.5%3.8%137.9%-40.2%
1M Excs Rtn6.0%0.6%2.3%2.2%5.3%-2.3%
3M Excs Rtn1.8%-11.5%-7.0%0.2%11.0%-0.2%
6M Excs Rtn-7.3%-12.9%-17.7%-3.0%44.7%--7.3%
12M Excs Rtn-19.2%-21.7%-37.2%-20.0%3.6%--20.0%
3Y Excs Rtn-31.4%-54.8%-21.4%-66.1%68.2%--31.4%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Clean Energy & Fueling1,7881,8791,6481,4761,620
Climate & Sustainability Technologies1,7791,7381,6081,3161,397
Pumps & Process Solutions1,7561,7281,7091,3241,339
Engineered Products1,2512,0441,7811,5311,698
Imaging & Identification1,1171,1241,1631,0381,084
Intersegment eliminations-6-4-2-2-1
Total7,6848,5087,9076,6847,136


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Clean Energy & Fueling3,0213,0683,2022,1262,107
Pumps & Process Solutions2,6542,1611,7101,5911,554
Imaging & Identification1,8131,8221,8711,9191,674
Climate & Sustainability Technologies1,4661,5251,3581,3211,303
Engineered Products1,2611,7721,6781,4821,432
Corporate598548585712600
Assets from discontinued operations536    
Total11,34910,89710,4049,1528,669


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity4,978,467
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202587.5%
Average Daily Volume996,003
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5
Basic Shares Quantity137,236,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251023202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025724202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025424202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024214202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241024202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024725202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024425202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023209202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231024202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023725202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023426202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022210202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221020202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022721202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022421202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021211202210-K 12/31/2021