Tearsheet

Dover (DOV)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $196.11 | Market Cap: $26.9 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components

Dover (DOV)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $196.11
Market Cap: $26.9 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.9%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -3.9%, Dist 3Y High is -3.9%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.6%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 28%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -6.6%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -23%
Key risks
DOV key risks include [1] supply chain disruptions and labor shortages impacting production and [2] geopolitical and currency instability affecting its diversified global manufacturing operations.
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable Infrastructure, Water Infrastructure, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Waste Management Solutions, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.9%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 28%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable Infrastructure, Water Infrastructure, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Waste Management Solutions, Show more.
3 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -3.9%, Dist 3Y High is -3.9%
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -6.6%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -23%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.6%
6 Key risks
DOV key risks include [1] supply chain disruptions and labor shortages impacting production and [2] geopolitical and currency instability affecting its diversified global manufacturing operations.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

DOV Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

For the period from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025, several key factors contributed to the positive movement in Dover (DOV) stock:

1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Beat. Dover reported adjusted diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $2.62 for the third quarter of 2025, surpassing analyst estimates of $2.51. Adjusted earnings increased by 15%, leading to a record consolidated segment margin.

2. Upward Revision of Full-Year 2025 Guidance. Following its robust third-quarter performance, Dover raised and narrowed its full-year 2025 adjusted EPS guidance from an initial range of $9.35-$9.55 to $9.50-$9.60, with the midpoint exceeding consensus expectations.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
DOV Return12%46%-24%15%23%6%85%
Peers Return14%16%-6%33%19%7%112%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
DOV Win Rate58%75%42%50%67%50% 
Peers Win Rate55%62%35%58%57%58% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
DOV Max Drawdown-43%-8%-35%-4%-6%-19% 
Peers Max Drawdown-46%-10%-27%-4%-6%-23% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ITW, PH, IR, IEX, FLS. See DOV Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventDOVS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-36.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven56.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven586 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-45.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven83.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven233 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-25.5%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven34.3%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven50 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-59.2%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven145.1%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven410 days1,480 days

Compare to ITW, IR, NDSN, SXI, ADVEN


In The Past

Dover's stock fell -36.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/7/2022. A -36.3% loss requires a 56.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Dover (DOV)

Better Bets than Dover (DOV)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to DOV. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
19.8%19.8%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.2%4.2%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
1.5%1.5%0.0%
DOV_6302022_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy06302022DOVDoverDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
13.2%23.5%-3.5%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
19.8%19.8%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.2%4.2%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
1.5%1.5%0.0%
DOV_6302022_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy06302022DOVDoverDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
13.2%23.5%-3.5%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Dover

Peers to compare with:

Financials

DOVITWPHIRIEXFLSMedian
NameDover Illinois.Parker H.Ingersol.IDEX Flowserve 
Mkt Price196.15252.40863.1978.12176.3369.20186.24
Mkt Cap26.973.4109.230.913.29.028.9
Rev LTM7,92315,88320,0307,4583,4214,6877,691
Op Inc LTM1,3234,1624,1371,4777034621,400
FCF LTM5672,8453,3851,250584629939
FCF 3Y Avg8862,8113,0811,2006013671,043
CFO LTM7843,2773,8141,3836447031,083
CFO 3Y Avg1,0723,2653,4881,3286744421,200

Growth & Margins

DOVITWPHIRIEXFLSMedian
NameDover Illinois.Parker H.Ingersol.IDEX Flowserve 
Rev Chg LTM2.6%-0.4%0.2%4.2%7.1%3.2%2.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-1.6%0.5%7.4%9.4%3.6%10.5%5.5%
Rev Chg Q4.8%2.3%3.7%5.1%10.1%3.6%4.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.2%0.6%0.9%1.3%2.4%0.9%1.1%
Op Mgn LTM16.7%26.2%20.7%19.8%20.6%9.9%20.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg16.2%25.9%19.1%19.1%21.6%9.0%19.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.4%0.2%0.2%-0.1%-0.0%-0.6%0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM9.9%20.6%19.0%18.5%18.8%15.0%18.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg13.9%20.4%17.5%18.7%20.4%9.7%18.1%
FCF/Rev LTM7.2%17.9%16.9%16.8%17.1%13.4%16.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg11.5%17.6%15.5%16.9%18.2%8.0%16.2%

Valuation

DOVITWPHIRIEXFLSMedian
NameDover Illinois.Parker H.Ingersol.IDEX Flowserve 
Mkt Cap26.973.4109.230.913.29.028.9
P/S2.94.84.84.43.61.54.0
P/EBIT15.818.020.527.817.99.918.0
P/E10.225.126.360.025.615.325.3
P/CFO29.223.125.123.719.09.823.4
Total Yield11.1%6.3%4.7%1.8%5.6%7.3%6.0%
Dividend Yield1.2%2.3%0.9%0.1%1.7%0.8%1.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg3.9%3.8%4.3%3.7%4.1%5.5%4.0%
D/E0.10.10.10.10.20.20.1
Net D/E0.10.10.10.10.10.10.1

Returns

DOVITWPHIRIEXFLSMedian
NameDover Illinois.Parker H.Ingersol.IDEX Flowserve 
1M Rtn9.2%4.6%5.1%6.0%8.3%5.5%5.7%
3M Rtn14.7%-3.2%17.1%-1.1%11.0%23.5%12.8%
6M Rtn12.3%5.9%32.9%-3.3%1.6%50.2%9.1%
12M Rtn0.9%-3.5%30.9%-19.8%-19.4%17.5%-1.3%
3Y Rtn52.4%24.1%213.2%51.3%-19.5%151.4%51.9%
1M Excs Rtn8.5%3.8%4.4%5.3%7.6%4.7%5.0%
3M Excs Rtn12.5%-5.0%13.1%-5.5%7.9%19.1%10.2%
6M Excs Rtn-0.1%-6.5%20.6%-15.6%-10.8%37.9%-3.3%
12M Excs Rtn-12.4%-16.0%18.7%-33.7%-30.8%4.9%-14.2%
3Y Excs Rtn-23.4%-48.4%134.1%-24.0%-92.0%75.4%-23.7%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Clean Energy & Fueling1,7881,8791,6481,4761,620
Climate & Sustainability Technologies1,7791,7381,6081,3161,397
Pumps & Process Solutions1,7561,7281,7091,3241,339
Engineered Products1,2512,0441,7811,5311,698
Imaging & Identification1,1171,1241,1631,0381,084
Intersegment eliminations-6-4-2-2-1
Total7,6848,5087,9076,6847,136


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Clean Energy & Fueling3,0213,0683,2022,1262,107
Pumps & Process Solutions2,6542,1611,7101,5911,554
Imaging & Identification1,8131,8221,8711,9191,674
Climate & Sustainability Technologies1,4661,5251,3581,3211,303
Engineered Products1,2611,7721,6781,4821,432
Corporate598548585712600
Assets from discontinued operations536    
Total11,34910,89710,4049,1528,669


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity5,207,725
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520254.6%
Average Daily Volume1,157,048
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.50
Basic Shares Quantity137,236,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.8%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/23/20258.1%7.9%6.2%
7/24/2025-2.2%-4.5%-7.1%
4/24/20252.0%2.6%8.1%
1/30/20254.1%3.7%1.0%
10/10/20242.2%4.4%8.0%
7/25/20245.7%4.5%3.0%
4/25/20244.5%3.7%7.5%
2/1/20244.5%7.1%12.0%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive151918
# Negative956
Median Positive3.2%3.7%6.6%
Median Negative-1.9%-4.1%-7.5%
Max Positive8.1%9.2%14.5%
Max Negative-7.3%-11.3%-16.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251023202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025724202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025424202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024214202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241024202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024725202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024425202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023209202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231024202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023725202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023426202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022210202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221020202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022721202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022421202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021211202210-K 12/31/2021