Tearsheet

Ingersoll Rand (IR)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $78.1 | Market Cap: $30.9 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components

Ingersoll Rand (IR)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $78.1
Market Cap: $30.9 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -37%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -24%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 60x
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 33%
  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.4%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Automation & Robotics, Water Infrastructure, and Sustainable Infrastructure. Themes include Factory Automation, Show more.
  Key risks
IR key risks include [1] significant execution and financial risks from its heavy reliance on acquisitions to offset sputtering underlying organic growth.
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 33%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Automation & Robotics, Water Infrastructure, and Sustainable Infrastructure. Themes include Factory Automation, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -37%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -24%
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 60x
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.4%
6 Key risks
IR key risks include [1] significant execution and financial risks from its heavy reliance on acquisitions to offset sputtering underlying organic growth.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

IR Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

**1. Disappointing Q2 2025 Earnings Performance and Investor Concerns**

Ingersoll Rand reported mixed second quarter 2025 results on July 31, 2025, which led to a significant stock decline. Despite reporting record orders, revenues, and adjusted EBITDA, the company's adjusted diluted earnings per share (EPS) saw a 4% decrease compared to the second quarter of 2024, and its adjusted EBITDA margin also fell by 40 basis points to 27.0%. This performance, coupled with ongoing concerns about organic growth, which was guided to be between -2% and 0% for the full year, caused the stock to tumble 7.65% on August 1, 2025. **2. Lowered Full-Year Guidance Following Q3 2025 Results**

On October 30, 2025, Ingersoll Rand announced its third quarter 2025 results, which, despite meeting Wall Street expectations for earnings and showing strong growth in orders and revenue, included a lowered full-year adjusted EPS outlook. The revised guidance for adjusted earnings to $3.25 to $3.31 per share fell below the analyst consensus of $3.37, leading to investor disappointment and a 2.2% drop in shares during after-hours trading. **3. Persistent Organic Growth Pressures**

Throughout the period, Ingersoll Rand faced challenges with organic growth. The company's full-year 2025 organic growth guidance remained modest, projected between -2% and 0%. This indicates that while overall revenue growth was supported by acquisitions, the core business faced headwinds in generating growth organically, contributing to investor caution. **4. Broader Macroeconomic Environment and Market Uncertainty**

The macroeconomic environment presented ongoing challenges, including tariff uncertainties, supply chain disruptions, and general market volatility, which can impact industrial manufacturers like Ingersoll Rand. Furthermore, signals from the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) in November 2025, indicating interest rate cuts due to slowing job gains despite elevated inflation, suggest a cautious economic outlook that could affect industrial sector performance. **5. Mixed Analyst Sentiment and Valuation Concerns**

While some analysts maintained a "Moderate Buy" rating with an average price target indicating potential upside, the mixed financial results and lowered guidance contributed to varied investor sentiment. Concerns about profitability, as evidenced by the decline in adjusted EPS and EBITDA margin in Q2, and the impact of acquisitions on overall financial performance, likely played a role in the stock's modest negative movement over the period.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
IR Return24%36%-15%48%17%-12%118%
Peers Return26%32%-13%21%8%14%117%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
IR Win Rate50%75%33%58%50%50% 
Peers Win Rate62%68%40%55%57%60% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
IR Max Drawdown-48%-10%-36%0%-3%-26% 
Peers Max Drawdown-38%-7%-28%-8%-9%-19% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: TMO, PH, ITW, DOV, NDSN. See IR Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventIRS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-35.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven55.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven328 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-50.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven101.1%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven230 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-48.4%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven93.9%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven364 days120 days

Compare to TMO, PH, ITW, DOV, NDSN


In The Past

Ingersoll Rand's stock fell -35.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/31/2021. A -35.6% loss requires a 55.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Ingersoll Rand (IR)

Better Bets than Ingersoll Rand (IR)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to IR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
19.8%19.8%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.2%4.2%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
1.5%1.5%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
19.8%19.8%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.2%4.2%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
1.5%1.5%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Ingersoll Rand

Peers to compare with:

Financials

IRTMOPHITWDOVNDSNMedian
NameIngersol.Thermo F.Parker H.Illinois.Dover Nordson  
Mkt Price78.12562.56863.19252.40196.15238.07245.24
Mkt Cap30.9212.6109.273.426.913.452.2
Rev LTM7,45843,73520,03015,8837,9232,78411,903
Op Inc LTM1,4778,0514,1374,1621,3236892,807
FCF LTM1,2506,1113,3852,8455675432,047
FCF 3Y Avg1,2006,8113,0812,8118865762,005
CFO LTM1,3837,6513,8143,2777846132,330
CFO 3Y Avg1,3288,3073,4883,2651,0726292,297

Growth & Margins

IRTMOPHITWDOVNDSNMedian
NameIngersol.Thermo F.Parker H.Illinois.Dover Nordson  
Rev Chg LTM4.2%3.2%0.2%-0.4%2.6%4.5%2.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg9.4%-0.3%7.4%0.5%-1.6%3.6%2.1%
Rev Chg Q5.1%4.9%3.7%2.3%4.8%12.1%4.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.3%1.2%0.9%0.6%1.2%3.0%1.2%
Op Mgn LTM19.8%18.4%20.7%26.2%16.7%24.7%20.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg19.1%17.6%19.1%25.9%16.2%25.3%19.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.1%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.4%0.5%0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM18.5%17.5%19.0%20.6%9.9%22.0%18.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg18.7%19.3%17.5%20.4%13.9%23.5%19.0%
FCF/Rev LTM16.8%14.0%16.9%17.9%7.2%19.5%16.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg16.9%15.8%15.5%17.6%11.5%21.5%16.3%

Valuation

IRTMOPHITWDOVNDSNMedian
NameIngersol.Thermo F.Parker H.Illinois.Dover Nordson  
Mkt Cap30.9212.6109.273.426.913.452.2
P/S4.44.24.84.82.94.34.4
P/EBIT27.821.720.518.015.818.019.3
P/E60.027.926.325.110.226.626.5
P/CFO23.724.025.123.129.219.723.8
Total Yield1.8%3.6%4.7%6.3%11.1%5.2%5.0%
Dividend Yield0.1%0.0%0.9%2.3%1.2%1.5%1.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg3.7%3.3%4.3%3.8%3.9%4.4%3.8%
D/E0.10.20.10.10.10.20.1
Net D/E0.10.20.10.10.10.20.1

Returns

IRTMOPHITWDOVNDSNMedian
NameIngersol.Thermo F.Parker H.Illinois.Dover Nordson  
1M Rtn6.0%-0.7%5.1%4.6%9.2%4.9%5.0%
3M Rtn-1.1%19.1%17.1%-3.2%14.7%6.8%10.8%
6M Rtn-3.3%43.5%32.9%5.9%12.3%12.3%12.3%
12M Rtn-19.8%6.8%30.9%-3.5%0.9%8.2%3.8%
3Y Rtn51.3%5.8%213.2%24.1%52.4%4.7%37.7%
1M Excs Rtn5.3%-1.5%4.4%3.8%8.5%4.1%4.3%
3M Excs Rtn-5.5%15.7%13.1%-5.0%12.5%3.6%8.0%
6M Excs Rtn-15.6%31.2%20.6%-6.5%-0.1%-0.1%-0.1%
12M Excs Rtn-33.7%-3.9%18.7%-16.0%-12.4%-4.0%-8.2%
3Y Excs Rtn-24.0%-68.4%134.1%-48.4%-23.4%-64.4%-36.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Industrial Technologies and Services5,6334,7054,1613,2481,701
Precision and Science Technologies1,2431,211991725317
High Pressure Solutions    434
Total6,8765,9165,1523,9732,452


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Industrial Technologies and Services10,1399,2059,1029,1132,730
Precision and Science Technologies3,4653,5403,5722,853558
Corporate and other1,9602,0212,4651,892527
Assets of discontinued operations  162,200 
High Pressure Solutions    814
Total15,56414,76615,15416,0594,628


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity17,360,492
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-1.5%
Average Daily Volume3,203,766
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.42
Basic Shares Quantity396,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares4.4%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/30/2025-3.0%-1.3%0.6%
7/31/2025-11.4%-9.9%-6.1%
5/1/20250.7%4.0%6.4%
2/13/2025-7.4%-9.6%-10.3%
10/31/2024-2.1%7.8%9.5%
7/31/2024-9.1%-13.0%-9.5%
5/2/2024-6.6%-2.0%-3.0%
2/15/20241.9%3.1%3.9%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121516
# Negative1187
Median Positive2.2%4.2%8.0%
Median Negative-3.2%-6.1%-5.0%
Max Positive7.7%18.9%23.2%
Max Negative-11.4%-13.0%-10.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251031202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025731202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025502202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024219202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241101202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024802202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024503202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023223202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231103202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023804202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023505202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022221202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221104202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022805202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022506202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021225202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Hepding Elizabeth MeloySee Remarks5152025Sell83.783,500293,230920,407Form
1Schiesl Andrew RSee Remarks5152025Sell84.9011,500976,3161,864,678Form
2Schiesl Andrew RSee Remarks2202025Sell87.0513,2281,151,4972,685,144Form