Flowserve (FLS)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $71.13 | Market Cap: $9.3 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components
Flowserve (FLS)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $71.13Market Cap: $9.3 BilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.3%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.2%, FCF Yield is 9.1% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -1.3%, Dist 3Y High is -1.3% | |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13% | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 49% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Water Infrastructure, and Sustainable Infrastructure. Themes include Water Treatment & Delivery, Wastewater Management, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.3%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.2%, FCF Yield is 9.1% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 49% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Water Infrastructure, and Sustainable Infrastructure. Themes include Water Treatment & Delivery, Wastewater Management, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -1.3%, Dist 3Y High is -1.3% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
FLS Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Flowserve (FLS) experienced a significant stock movement between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025, driven by several key factors.
1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Earnings and Increased Full-Year Guidance: Flowserve reported robust financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2025. The company exceeded analyst estimates for adjusted earnings per share (EPS), reporting $0.90 per share against an estimated $0.80, representing a 13.2% beat. Although revenue slightly missed estimates, rising 3.6% year-over-year to $1.17 billion, the adjusted operating margin expanded significantly by 370 basis points to 14.8%. Management subsequently raised its full-year 2025 adjusted EPS guidance from an initial range of $3.25-$3.40 to $3.40-$3.50, an increase of over 30% at the midpoint compared to the previous year, signaling strong confidence in future performance. This positive earnings surprise and optimistic outlook likely fueled investor confidence.
2. Strategic Divestiture of Asbestos Liabilities: Flowserve announced a transaction to divest its legacy asbestos liabilities. This strategic move is expected to relieve the company of future financial burdens related to asbestos claims, allowing it to reallocate capital towards growth-enhancing opportunities. This move was seen as a positive step towards improving financial flexibility and focusing on core business growth.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| FLS Return | -24% | -15% | 3% | 37% | 42% | 23% | 60% |
| Peers Return | 17% | 29% | -35% | 40% | 10% | 8% | 63% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| FLS Win Rate | 50% | 50% | 42% | 67% | 67% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 46% | 72% | 27% | 58% | 56% | 57% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| FLS Max Drawdown | -61% | -20% | -19% | -2% | -4% | -31% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -26% | -3% | -49% | -5% | -10% | -18% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: XYL, PNR, AOS, HAYW, ADVEN. See FLS Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | FLS | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -45.2% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 82.3% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 530 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -62.0% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 163.4% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1576 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -36.0% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 56.1% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 2144 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -73.2% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 272.8% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1477 days | 1480 days |
Compare to XYL, PNR, AOS, HAYW, ADVEN
In The Past
Flowserve's stock fell -45.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/8/2021. A -45.2% loss requires a 82.3% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to FLS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.3% | 7.3% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.3% | 2.3% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| 03312020 | FLS | Flowserve | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 14.3% | 66.5% | -7.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.3% | 7.3% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.3% | 2.3% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| 03312020 | FLS | Flowserve | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 14.3% | 66.5% | -7.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Flowserve
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 70.90 |
| Mkt Cap | 9.4 |
| Rev LTM | 4,128 |
| Op Inc LTM | 720 |
| FCF LTM | 629 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 536 |
| CFO LTM | 703 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 621 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 3.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 0.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | 4.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 18.8% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 18.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 17.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 16.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 14.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 14.0% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 9.4 |
| P/S | 3.0 |
| P/EBIT | 14.4 |
| P/E | 23.8 |
| P/CFO | 15.7 |
| Total Yield | 4.5% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.9% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.9% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -1.1% |
| 3M Rtn | 1.1% |
| 6M Rtn | 11.8% |
| 12M Rtn | 2.4% |
| 3Y Rtn | 72.3% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -1.1% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -5.8% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -2.9% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -12.2% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 4.0% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flowserve Pumps Division (FPD) | 3,064 | 2,518 | 2,468 | 2,674 | 2,704 |
| Flow Control Division (FCD) | 1,266 | 1,097 | 1,073 | 1,054 | 1,235 |
| Eliminations and All Other | -10 | 0 | |||
| Total | 4,321 | 3,615 | 3,541 | 3,728 | 3,940 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flowserve Pumps Division (FPD) | 3,192 | 3,111 | 2,927 | 3,039 | 2,974 |
| Flow Control Division (FCD) | 1,334 | 1,270 | 1,223 | 1,308 | 1,334 |
| Eliminations and All Other | 583 | 410 | 599 | 967 | 630 |
| Total | 5,109 | 4,791 | 4,750 | 5,315 | 4,938 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10282025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7302025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4292025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2262025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10282024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7292024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 4292024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2202024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10252023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8012023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5012023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3072023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10312022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7272022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5022022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2232022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |