Tearsheet

Circle Internet (CRCL)


Market Price (3/25/2026): $101.22 | Market Cap: $24.0 Bil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Diversified Capital Markets

Circle Internet (CRCL)


Market Price (3/25/2026): $101.22
Market Cap: $24.0 Bil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Diversified Capital Markets

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 64%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -5.1%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -46%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -91 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -3.3%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%
  Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 8.7x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 44x
2 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -31%
  Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, Crypto & Blockchain, and Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Digital Payments, Show more.
  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.2%
4   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 121%
5   Key risks
CRCL key risks include [1] a business model whose revenue is highly sensitive to falling interest rates on its USDC reserves and [2] specific financial health concerns highlighted by a low Altman Z-Score, Show more.
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 64%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%
2 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -31%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, Crypto & Blockchain, and Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Digital Payments, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -5.1%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -46%
5 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -91 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -3.3%
6 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 8.7x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 44x
7 Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%
8 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.2%
9 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 121%
10 Key risks
CRCL key risks include [1] a business model whose revenue is highly sensitive to falling interest rates on its USDC reserves and [2] specific financial health concerns highlighted by a low Altman Z-Score, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Circle Internet (CRCL) stock has gained about 25% since 11/30/2025 because of the following key factors:

1. Exceptional Q4 2025 Earnings Beat.

Circle Internet Group (CRCL) reported robust financial results for Q4 2025, with earnings per share (EPS) of $0.43 significantly surpassing the consensus estimate of $0.25. Total revenue surged by 76.9% year-over-year to $770.23 million, and adjusted EBITDA climbed 412% to $167 million. This strong performance led to a notable stock jump of 35.5% on February 25, 2026, the day after the announcement.

2. Accelerated USDC Adoption and Dominant Market Position.

The company's stablecoin, USD Coin (USDC), saw its circulation grow by 72% year-over-year to $75.3 billion by the end of 2025. Notably, USDC volume surpassed Tether (USDT) for the first time since 2018, capturing a 64% volume share compared to its historical average of approximately 30%. This shift indicates a strengthening market position for Circle's core product.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 26.6% change in CRCL stock from 11/30/2025 to 3/24/2026 was primarily driven by a 105.7% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)113020253242026Change
Stock Price ($)79.93101.1726.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1,3352,747105.7%
P/S Multiple11.88.7-26.1%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)198238-16.7%
Cumulative Contribution26.6%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

11/30/2025 to 3/24/2026
ReturnCorrelation
CRCL26.6% 
Market (SPY)-4.1%40.5%
Sector (XLF)-7.3%32.0%

Fundamental Drivers

The -23.3% change in CRCL stock from 8/31/2025 to 3/24/2026 was primarily driven by a -69.1% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)83120253242026Change
Stock Price ($)131.98101.17-23.3%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)9222,747198.0%
P/S Multiple28.38.7-69.1%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)198238-16.7%
Cumulative Contribution-23.3%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

8/31/2025 to 3/24/2026
ReturnCorrelation
CRCL-23.3% 
Market (SPY)1.8%44.3%
Sector (XLF)-8.1%35.8%

Fundamental Drivers

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Market Drivers

2/28/2025 to 3/24/2026
ReturnCorrelation
CRCL  
Market (SPY)11.2%29.3%
Sector (XLF)-4.2%25.8%

Fundamental Drivers

null
null

Market Drivers

2/28/2023 to 3/24/2026
ReturnCorrelation
CRCL  
Market (SPY)71.5%29.3%
Sector (XLF)44.8%25.8%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
CRCL Return-----5%60%52%
Peers Return31%-75%275%42%28%-11%96%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%-4%75%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CRCL Win Rate----43%67% 
Peers Win Rate45%33%62%48%60%27% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%33% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CRCL Max Drawdown-----20%-37% 
Peers Max Drawdown-22%-78%-8%-32%-33%-28% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%-5% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: COIN, PYPL, HOOD, MARA, RIOT.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 3/24/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

CRCL has limited trading history. Below is the Financials sector ETF (XLF) in its place.

Unique KeyEventXLFS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-26.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven36.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven525 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-43.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven76.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven295 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-26.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven35.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven338 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-83.7%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven515.2%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven4,470 days1,480 days

Compare to COIN, PYPL, HOOD, MARA, RIOT

In The Past

SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -26.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/12/2022. A -26.9% loss requires a 36.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Circle Internet (CRCL)

Founded in 2013, Circle's mission is to raise global economic prosperity through the frictionless exchange of value. We intend to connect the world more deeply by building a new global economic system on the foundation of the internet, and to facilitate the creation of a world where everyone, everywhere can share value as easily as we can today share information, content, and communications. Since inception, we have relentlessly pursued our mission and vision, building fundamental technology for the internet financial system. We have forged paths toward mainstream acceptance through persistent and active engagement with policymakers and regulators globally, and have seen institutional and consumer knowledge and acceptance of internet-native financial assets approach critical mass. Large and influential players in the incumbent financial services system are increasingly embracing digital assets broadly and stablecoins specifically. Circle's innovative products reach tens of millions of end-users, power thousands of businesses, and, as of March 31, 2025, USDC has been used for more than $25 trillion in onchain transactions. While we have made strong progress in our pursuit of our mission and vision over the past decade, we believe the internet financial system is in its infancy with decades of growth and innovation ahead. Our principal executive office is located in New York, NY.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-3 brief analogies to describe Circle Internet:

  • Visa for digital dollars
  • Stripe for stablecoins

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • USDC (USD Coin): A regulated, fully-reserved stablecoin pegged to the U.S. dollar, designed for frictionless digital transactions and value exchange on the internet financial system.
  • Digital Asset Platform & Services: A suite of products and technologies that enable businesses and individuals to integrate stablecoins and digital assets for payments, treasury, and other financial operations within the internet financial system.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Circle Internet Major Customers

Based on the provided company description, Circle Internet (CRCL) primarily sells to other companies. While its products reach tens of millions of end-users, these users likely interact with Circle's offerings indirectly through businesses that leverage Circle's foundational technology and stablecoins like USDC.

The provided background information does not list the names of specific customer companies. However, it identifies the following categories of major customers:

  • Businesses leveraging digital assets and blockchain technology: Circle's innovative products "power thousands of businesses" that utilize the internet financial system, likely integrating USDC for various purposes such as payments, treasury management, and other decentralized finance applications.
  • Incumbent financial services system players: These are "Large and influential players" in traditional finance, including banks, payment networks, and other financial institutions that are increasingly embracing digital assets broadly and stablecoins specifically, indicating their adoption and integration of Circle's offerings.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Jeremy Allaire, Co-Founder, Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

Jeremy Allaire is a seasoned internet entrepreneur and the co-founder, CEO, and Chairman of Circle. He previously co-founded Allaire Corporation in 1995, which went public in January 1999 and was subsequently acquired by Macromedia in 2001. After the acquisition, he served as Chief Technology Officer of Macromedia. In 2003, Allaire became a technologist and executive-in-residence at venture capital firm General Catalyst. He then founded Brightcove, an online video platform, in 2004, leading it to a successful IPO in early 2012 before stepping down as CEO in 2013. He launched Circle in October 2013.

Jeremy Fox-Geen, Chief Financial Officer

Jeremy Fox-Geen has served as Circle's Chief Financial Officer since May 2021. Prior to joining Circle, he held CFO positions at iStar and Safehold from March 2020 to May 2021. From August 2016 to March 2020, he was the Chief Financial Officer for McKinsey & Company, North America. His extensive background also includes senior leadership roles at PricewaterhouseCoopers (as Banking Strategy Leader), Citigroup (as Finance Transformation Leader), and earlier as a management consultant at McKinsey & Company. He began his career as an investment banker at Flemings and Rothschild.

Heath Tarbert, President

Heath Tarbert has been the President of Circle since January 2025 and also serves as its Chief Legal Officer since July 2023. Before joining Circle, he was the Chief Legal Officer of Citadel Securities from April 2021 to June 2023. He is notable for having served as the 14th Chairman and Chief Executive of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) from July 2019 to January 2021. Earlier in his career, Tarbert held significant government roles, including Assistant Secretary of the Treasury for International Markets and Development and acting Under Secretary of the Treasury for International Affairs. He also served as a Supreme Court law clerk, Associate White House Counsel, Special Counsel to the Senate Banking Committee, and was a partner at several international law firms.

Mandeep Walia, Chief Compliance & Risk Officer

Mandeep Walia is Circle's Chief Compliance & Risk Officer. Before her tenure at Circle, she served as the Chief Compliance Officer and Head of Enterprise Risk Management for Novi, a part of Facebook, from November 2018 to May 2021. She also held the position of Chief Risk and Compliance Officer at LendUp, where she was responsible for redesigning and implementing the company's compliance and risk management framework. Her experience further includes a role as Senior Director of Global Risk and Compliance for PayPal.

Kash Razzaghi, Chief Commercial Officer

Kash Razzaghi has been the Chief Commercial Officer at Circle since September 2025, overseeing global business, corporate development, and marketing efforts. He initially joined Circle as SVP of Revenue and Partnerships in April 2020, was promoted to Chief Revenue Officer in October 2021, and served as Chief Business Officer from January 2023 to September 2025. Prior to his time at Circle, Razzaghi was the SVP of Sales for Brightcove from 2016 to 2019. Brightcove was co-founded by Circle's CEO, Jeremy Allaire.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Key Risks for Circle Internet (CRCL)

  1. Regulatory and Policy Risk: Circle's business, particularly its stablecoin USDC, operates within a rapidly evolving and scrutinized regulatory landscape. The company actively engages with policymakers and regulators globally, indicating the significant impact that new laws, regulations, or unfavorable governmental policies could have on its operations, products, and overall market acceptance. Unforeseen or adverse regulatory developments could restrict its ability to innovate, expand, or even continue certain aspects of its business.
  2. Competition from Incumbent Financial Services: The company acknowledges that "Large and influential players in the incumbent financial services system are increasingly embracing digital assets broadly and stablecoins specifically." This signifies a substantial risk from well-established financial institutions with extensive resources, existing customer bases, and deep regulatory experience. Such competition could lead to pricing pressures, reduced market share, and slower adoption of Circle's products and services.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The emergence of large and influential players in the incumbent financial services system increasingly embracing and potentially launching their own digital assets and stablecoins poses a clear emerging threat to Circle Internet. These entities possess significant capital, established customer bases, and deep regulatory experience, which could allow them to compete directly with Circle's USDC and other offerings, potentially siphoning market share and hindering Circle's growth in the nascent internet financial system.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Circle Internet (CRCL) operates within significant and rapidly expanding addressable markets, primarily centered around its stablecoin, USDC, and broader digital asset financial services.

Global Stablecoin Market

The most direct addressable market for Circle's main product, USDC, is the global stablecoin market. As of early to mid-March 2026, the total supply or market capitalization of the global stablecoin market has surpassed $333 billion and approximately $313 billion, with other sources citing it at around $320.5 billion. The U.S. dollar-denominated stablecoin market, which constituted about 99% of the global stablecoin market, reached $225 billion as of September 2025.

Projections indicate substantial growth for this market in the coming years:

  • J.P. Morgan Global Research projected in September 2025 that the stablecoin market could reach $500–750 billion in the near future.
  • Citi's "Stablecoin 2030" report projects the stablecoin market to reach $1.9 trillion by 2030 in its base case, with a more optimistic "bull case" scenario envisioning a market size of up to $4 trillion globally.

Broader Digital Asset and Blockchain Financial Services Markets

Circle's mission to build a new global economic system on the internet means it also addresses the wider digital asset and blockchain financial services sectors:

  • The global blockchain technology market was valued at $31.18 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow from $47.96 billion in 2026 to $577.36 billion by 2034. It is also projected to reach $1.4 trillion by 2030.
  • The global "Blockchain in Banking and Financial Services" market size was recorded at $10.8524 billion by the end of 2025 and is projected to reach $216.576 billion by 2033, demonstrating a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 45.382% from 2025 to 2033. North America held 39.35% of this market share in 2025.
  • The global "Crypto Asset and Digital Transformation" market size is estimated at $107.86 billion in 2025 and is expected to grow to $227.90 billion by 2030, with a CAGR of 15.88% during 2026-2030. In 2026, this market is estimated to be $126.37 billion. North America is anticipated to be the largest region, holding a 53.7% share by 2030.
  • The fintech blockchain market size is expected to increase from $7.42 billion in 2026 to $11.06 billion by 2031, growing at a CAGR of 8.31% over 2026-2031. North America commanded 42.39% of global revenue in 2025 in this segment.

AI Analysis | Feedback

For Circle Internet (CRCL), several key drivers are expected to fuel future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years:

  1. Growth in USDC Circulation and Yield on Reserves: A primary driver of Circle's revenue is the interest income generated from the reserves backing its USD Coin (USDC) stablecoin. The company's business model is significantly tied to the expansion of USDC circulation, which directly correlates with higher reserve balances and, consequently, increased interest income. USDC circulation saw a 72% year-over-year growth by the end of 2025, and analysts anticipate a 40% compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for USDC circulation over the medium to long term.
  2. Expansion of the Circle Payments Network (CPN) and New Product Offerings: Circle is expanding its offerings beyond stablecoin issuance to become a comprehensive network utility for global organizations. The Circle Payments Network (CPN) facilitates near-instant settlements and generates secondary revenue streams through developer tools and integrated digital asset storage solutions. The company is actively investing in and launching new platform capabilities, such as its Arc Layer 1 blockchain network, with a testnet already live and the mainnet planned for 2026. This focus on "Onchain Finance Infrastructure" and scaling its developer platform is expected to drive additional revenue.
  3. Regulatory Clarity and Institutional Adoption: The passage of the federal "Genius Act" in July 2025 has provided a comprehensive regulatory framework for stablecoin providers in the U.S. This clarity is crucial for fostering institutional adoption of digital assets and stablecoins, enabling strategic alliances. For example, Circle's partnership with FIS aims to embed USDC into traditional financial infrastructure, broadening its market reach and utility.
  4. Increased Onchain Transaction Volume and Emerging Use Cases: Beyond merely increasing circulation, the active utility and velocity of USDC are significant growth catalysts. Onchain USDC transaction volume reached nearly $12 trillion in Q4 2025, marking a 3.5x year-over-year increase. This surge is driven by diverse applications, including trading, payments, decentralized finance (DeFi), and cross-border transactions. Emerging use cases, such as prediction markets and agentic commerce, further highlight the expanding utility and demand for USDC in various economic activities.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Repurchases

  • Circle Internet Group had a 6-Month Share Buyback Ratio of -5.24% as of September 2025, suggesting potential share issuance rather than repurchases during that period.
  • Over the past three months, Circle Internet Group insiders sold approximately $43.97 million in company stock and made no stock purchases.

Share Issuance

  • Circle Internet Group went public on June 5, 2025, through an initial public offering (IPO) of 34,000,000 shares of its Class A common stock at $31.00 per share, with Circle offering 14,800,000 shares.
  • In August 2025, Circle priced a public offering of 10,000,000 shares of its Class A common stock at $130.00 per share, with the company offering 2,000,000 shares.
  • In early March 2026, the company filed a US$1.48 billion shelf registration for 14,537,287 Class A shares related to its employee stock ownership plans.

Inbound Investments

  • In April 2022, Circle raised $400 million from investors, including BlackRock, Fidelity Investments, and Marshall Wace LLP.
  • The IPO in June 2025 raised approximately $1.1 billion, with the shares priced at $31 each.
  • Coinbase took an equity stake in Circle in September 2023.

Outbound Investments

  • In November 2021, Circle led a US$13.5 million funding round for the crowdfunding platform Crowdcube.
  • In January 2025, Circle acquired Hashnote, a company operating a tokenized money market fund with $1.5 billion in assets under management.

Capital Expenditures

  • Over the last 12 months, capital expenditures for Circle Internet Group were -$12.43 million.
  • Annual capital expenditures were $15 million in 2024 and are projected to be $20 million in 2026.

Better Bets vs. Circle Internet (CRCL)

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NDAQ_2282026_Insider_Buying_45D_2Buy_200K02282026NDAQNasdaqInsiderInsider Buys 45DStrong Insider Buying
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JEF_2272026_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy02272026JEFJefferies FinancialDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
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ALAB_2272026_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE02272026ALABAstera LabsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
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PAYO_2272026_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE02272026PAYOPayoneer GlobalDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
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FOUR_2272026_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG02272026FOURShift4 PaymentsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
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Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

CRCLCOINPYPLHOODMARARIOTMedian
NameCircle I.Coinbase.PayPal Robinhoo.MARA Riot Pla. 
Mkt Price101.17181.0444.2169.088.2514.3356.64
Mkt Cap24.048.641.262.03.05.032.6
Rev LTM2,7477,18133,1724,4739076473,610
Op Inc LTM-911,4566,3962,096-822-343683
FCF LTM4862,4265,5641,584-1,210-1,1401,035
FCF 3Y Avg2352,0475,517846-828-1,018540
CFO LTM5422,4266,4161,638-803-5731,090
CFO 3Y Avg2722,0686,236887-598-265580

Growth & Margins

CRCLCOINPYPLHOODMARARIOTMedian
NameCircle I.Coinbase.PayPal Robinhoo.MARA Riot Pla. 
Rev Chg LTM63.9%9.4%4.3%51.6%38.2%71.9%44.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg397.5%39.3%6.4%49.0%112.2%38.1%44.2%
Rev Chg Q76.9%-21.6%3.7%26.5%-5.6%7.2%5.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM13.9%-6.4%0.9%6.4%-1.3%1.6%1.3%
Op Mgn LTM-3.3%20.3%19.3%46.9%-90.6%-53.0%8.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-24.2%17.5%18.0%18.1%-63.5%-77.3%-3.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM2.9%-8.0%0.1%-0.8%-22.6%-2.2%-1.5%
CFO/Rev LTM19.7%33.8%19.3%36.6%-88.5%-88.5%19.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg0.1%34.2%19.7%31.5%-91.0%-48.1%9.9%
FCF/Rev LTM17.7%33.8%16.8%35.4%-133.4%-176.1%17.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-4.5%33.6%17.4%30.2%-121.2%-239.9%6.4%

Valuation

CRCLCOINPYPLHOODMARARIOTMedian
NameCircle I.Coinbase.PayPal Robinhoo.MARA Riot Pla. 
Mkt Cap24.048.641.262.03.05.032.6
P/S8.76.81.213.93.37.77.3
P/EBIT-236.430.26.129.6-2.3-7.81.9
P/E-345.738.57.932.9-2.3-7.62.8
P/CFO44.320.06.437.9-3.7-8.713.2
Total Yield-0.3%2.6%12.7%3.0%-43.7%-13.2%1.2%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-3.5%8.2%3.8%-20.1%-28.6%3.5%
D/E0.00.20.20.21.20.20.2
Net D/E-0.1-0.1-0.00.01.00.10.0

Returns

CRCLCOINPYPLHOODMARARIOTMedian
NameCircle I.Coinbase.PayPal Robinhoo.MARA Riot Pla. 
1M Rtn60.5%5.7%6.5%-9.2%3.5%-8.6%4.6%
3M Rtn22.3%-25.3%-25.4%-42.5%-16.3%4.8%-20.8%
6M Rtn-22.8%-43.4%-34.0%-45.3%-53.4%-16.1%-38.7%
12M Rtn21.6%-10.8%-37.4%42.8%-43.5%64.3%5.4%
3Y Rtn21.6%166.9%-39.8%695.9%5.6%66.0%43.8%
1M Excs Rtn69.5%17.1%4.8%0.4%8.9%-4.3%6.8%
3M Excs Rtn21.5%-22.1%-21.8%-39.0%-14.9%2.9%-18.3%
6M Excs Rtn-24.4%-43.4%-32.3%-42.6%-53.0%-16.1%-37.5%
12M Excs Rtn5.9%-20.3%-52.4%40.0%-49.0%64.6%-7.2%
3Y Excs Rtn-45.8%74.1%-106.5%584.3%-66.4%9.5%-18.2%

Comparison Analyses

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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil2025202420232022
Reserve income1,431736  
Transaction revenue1022  
Integration services71  
Other36  
Treasury services08  
Circle  7 
SeedInvest  83
Transaction and Treasury Services   0
USD Coin (USDC) interest income   6
Total1,450772159


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$101.17 
Market Cap ($ Bil)23.3 
First Trading Date06/05/2025 
Distance from 52W High-61.6% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$92.20$92.20
DMA Trenddownup
Distance from DMA9.7%9.7%
 3M1YR
Volatility112.9%121.4%
Downside Capture338.78307.69
Upside Capture596.12288.98
Correlation (SPY)40.7% 
CRCL Betas & Captures as of 2/28/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta6.584.584.444.150.150.16
Up Beta8.207.666.894.820.170.15
Down Beta0.933.303.683.76-0.61-1.64
Up Capture1151%516%523%449%121%15%
Bmk +ve Days9203170142431
Stock +ve Days91827568484
Down Capture465%330%316%298%120%77%
Bmk -ve Days12213054109320
Stock -ve Days122233679797

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with CRCL
CRCL4.3%120.3%0.57-
Sector ETF (XLF)1.0%19.1%-0.0727.3%
Equity (SPY)16.9%18.9%0.6930.9%
Gold (GLD)46.2%27.1%1.393.7%
Commodities (DBC)18.3%17.5%0.8619.2%
Real Estate (VNQ)2.3%16.5%-0.0320.1%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-15.2%44.1%-0.2542.8%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with CRCL
CRCL0.8%120.3%0.57-
Sector ETF (XLF)9.3%18.7%0.3827.3%
Equity (SPY)11.9%17.0%0.5430.9%
Gold (GLD)20.0%17.5%0.933.7%
Commodities (DBC)11.0%19.0%0.4719.2%
Real Estate (VNQ)2.9%18.8%0.0620.1%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)3.9%56.7%0.2942.8%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with CRCL
CRCL0.4%120.3%0.57-
Sector ETF (XLF)12.6%22.1%0.5227.3%
Equity (SPY)14.3%17.9%0.6830.9%
Gold (GLD)13.2%15.8%0.693.7%
Commodities (DBC)8.5%17.6%0.4019.2%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.0%20.7%0.2120.1%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)67.3%66.8%1.0642.8%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date3132026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity20.7 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 22820265.4%
Average Daily Volume22.0 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1
Basic Shares Quantity237.5 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares8.7%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
2/25/202635.5%62.3% 
11/12/2025-12.2%-22.1%-15.1%
8/12/20251.3%-12.2%-29.5%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive210
# Negative122
Median Positive18.4%62.3% 
Median Negative-12.2%-17.1%-22.3%
Max Positive35.5%62.3% 
Max Negative-12.2%-22.1%-29.5%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
12/31/202503/09/202610-K
09/30/202511/12/202510-Q
06/30/202508/12/202510-Q
03/31/202506/05/2025424B4
06/30/202211/14/2022S-4/A
03/31/202207/11/2022S-4/A
09/30/202112/23/2021S-4/A
06/30/202110/04/2021S-4/A

Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]

Latest: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/25/2026 | Prior: Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/12/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Other Revenue150.00 Mil160.00 Mil170.00 Mil68.4% Higher NewActual: 95.00 Mil for 2025
2026 RLDC Margin38.0%39.0%40.0%2.6%1.0%Higher NewActual: 38.0% for 2025
2026 Adjusted Operating Expenses570.00 Mil577.50 Mil585.00 Mil14.9% Higher NewActual: 502.50 Mil for 2025
2026 USDC in Circulation 0.4    

Insider Activity

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#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Schulz, Tamara LChief Accounting OfficerDirectSell106202685.194,438378,0737,043,424Form
2Tarbert, HeathPresidentDirectSell1223202590.023,048274,38152,148,766Form
3Chandhok, NikhilChief Product & Tech. OfficerDirectSell1223202590.0010,000900,00042,747,660Form
4Allaire, JeremyChairman and CEODirectSell1223202590.077,055635,4446,351,466Form
5Allaire, JeremyChairman and CEOOak TrustSell1223202590.0718816,9336,013,163Form