Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -1.0%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 278%
1 Attractive yield
Dividend Yield is 5.6%, FCF Yield is 11%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -45%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -47%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -12%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.5%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -4.9%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 28%
  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.5%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Private Credit.
  Key risks
BRSP key risks include [1] elevated credit risk from its substantial office sector exposure, Show more.
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26%
1 Attractive yield
Dividend Yield is 5.6%, FCF Yield is 11%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 28%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Private Credit.
4 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -1.0%
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -45%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -47%
6 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 278%
7 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -12%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.5%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -4.9%
8 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.5%
9 Key risks
BRSP key risks include [1] elevated credit risk from its substantial office sector exposure, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

BRSP Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

BrightSpire Capital (BRSP) experienced a 4.6% stock movement from August 31, 2025, to December 22, 2025, driven by several key factors: 1. BrightSpire Capital announced consistent quarterly dividends of $0.16 per share for both the third and fourth quarters of 2025. The dividend for the third quarter was declared on September 15, 2025, and paid on October 15, 2025. The fourth-quarter dividend was declared on December 15, 2025, payable on January 15, 2026. These consistent payouts reinforced investor confidence in the company's ability to generate shareholder returns.

2. The company met analyst consensus estimates for Adjusted Distributable Earnings in its Third Quarter 2025 financial results. On October 28, 2025, BrightSpire Capital reported Q3 2025 Adjusted Distributable Earnings of $0.16 per share, aligning with analyst expectations. While quarterly revenue of $35.05 million was below estimates, hitting the Adjusted Distributable Earnings target was a positive signal to the market.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
BRSP Return-41%46%-32%35%-14%15%-23%
Peers Return-14%10%-19%2%6%2%-15%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
BRSP Win Rate58%83%33%50%42%58% 
Peers Win Rate53%57%50%45%55%55% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
BRSP Max Drawdown-78%-5%-34%-13%-27%-22% 
Peers Max Drawdown-64%-6%-34%-22%-11%-22% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: DX, IVR, RC, LOAN, NLY.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventBRSPS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-49.0%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven96.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-79.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven395.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-50.9%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven103.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days

Compare to DX, IVR, RC, LOAN, NLY


In The Past

BrightSpire Capital's stock fell -49.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/31/2021. A -49.0% loss requires a 96.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About BrightSpire Capital (BRSP)

Better Bets than BrightSpire Capital (BRSP)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to BRSP. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.5%13.5%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.0%2.0%-0.5%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.8%-4.8%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.8%5.8%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-12.1%-12.1%-12.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.5%13.5%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.0%2.0%-0.5%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.8%-4.8%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.8%5.8%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-12.1%-12.1%-12.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for BrightSpire Capital

Peers to compare with:

Financials

BRSPDXIVRRCLOANNLYMedian
NameBrightSp.Dynex Ca.Invesco .Ready Ca.Manhatta.Annaly C. 
Mkt Price5.8913.838.832.234.9722.707.36
Mkt Cap0.71.90.60.40.114.90.7
Rev LTM321230722271,703151
Op Inc LTM30-----30
FCF LTM8312215947251,953140
FCF 3Y Avg1127119632951,260154
CFO LTM8312215947252,857140
CFO 3Y Avg1127119632951,976154

Growth & Margins

BRSPDXIVRRCLOANNLYMedian
NameBrightSp.Dynex Ca.Invesco .Ready Ca.Manhatta.Annaly C. 
Rev Chg LTM-12.0%87.1%-29.9%-73.3%-3.5%473.5%-7.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-1.5%63.4%241.0%-52.8%2.5%143.3%33.0%
Rev Chg Q-4.9%309.0%27.8%-29.1%-9.2%637.1%11.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-1.3%113.8%21.1%-45.4%-2.2%81.6%9.9%
Op Mgn LTM9.4%-----9.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg0.4%-----0.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-3.6%------3.6%
CFO/Rev LTM25.7%52.8%220.1%2,181.7%71.0%167.8%119.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg30.7%77.6%790.7%851.6%70.9%-77.6%
FCF/Rev LTM25.7%52.8%220.1%2,181.7%71.0%114.7%92.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg30.7%77.6%790.7%851.6%70.8%-77.6%

Valuation

BRSPDXIVRRCLOANNLYMedian
NameBrightSp.Dynex Ca.Invesco .Ready Ca.Manhatta.Annaly C. 
Mkt Cap0.71.90.60.40.114.90.7
P/S2.38.28.316.97.98.78.2
P/EBIT-18.8------18.8
P/E-20.510.211.2-1.210.710.010.1
P/CFO9.115.53.80.811.25.27.1
Total Yield0.7%9.8%8.9%-48.1%18.6%10.0%9.4%
Dividend Yield5.6%0.0%0.0%37.1%9.3%0.0%2.8%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg15.1%6.8%40.1%36.2%8.5%11.4%13.3%
D/E2.90.00.010.40.32.01.1
Net D/E2.8-0.3-0.110.00.32.01.1

Returns

BRSPDXIVRRCLOANNLYMedian
NameBrightSp.Dynex Ca.Invesco .Ready Ca.Manhatta.Annaly C. 
1M Rtn6.7%2.5%13.5%-9.7%9.5%3.2%5.0%
3M Rtn4.6%17.3%25.8%-47.0%-5.2%10.0%7.3%
6M Rtn20.3%23.1%26.7%-46.6%-1.0%27.4%21.7%
12M Rtn10.9%28.6%27.0%-65.3%-2.4%37.4%19.0%
3Y Rtn26.9%59.8%12.9%-72.2%12.0%53.7%19.9%
1M Excs Rtn5.4%0.2%13.1%-10.0%10.7%2.2%3.8%
3M Excs Rtn3.4%17.6%25.3%-47.2%-7.7%10.4%6.9%
6M Excs Rtn5.7%9.7%12.6%-60.8%-14.3%13.9%7.7%
12M Excs Rtn-6.2%15.7%12.2%-79.3%-16.5%21.2%3.0%
3Y Excs Rtn-47.3%-11.3%-54.2%-145.3%-55.6%-14.9%-50.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Senior and Mezzanine Loans and Preferred Equity3,0043,5813,5891,9302,465
Net Leased and Other Real Estate9348659631,2611,182
Corporate and Other2612892451,300497
Commercial real estate (CRE) Debt Securities 158401,7212,226
Legacy, Non-Strategic Portfolio    1,045
Total4,1984,7505,6386,2127,414


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity3,853,329
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520256.4%
Average Daily Volume691,718
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.57
Basic Shares Quantity126,940,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.0%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/28/2025-0.6%0.8%7.4%
7/29/20254.6%7.8%14.7%
4/29/2025-0.8%0.8%1.6%
2/18/20252.2%3.0%0.7%
10/29/202418.3%10.5%21.1%
7/30/2024-7.6%-13.5%-5.2%
5/1/2024-1.0%-2.9%-7.5%
2/21/20243.2%2.3%4.5%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive101113
# Negative151412
Median Positive4.2%2.3%11.9%
Median Negative-1.5%-2.8%-5.3%
Max Positive18.3%19.9%78.1%
Max Negative-17.5%-13.6%-56.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251029202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025730202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025430202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024219202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241030202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024731202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024501202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023221202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231031202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023802202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023503202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022221202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221102202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022803202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021222202210-K 12/31/2021