Tearsheet

Bank of Montreal (BMO)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $128.39 | Market Cap: $91.6 Bil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Diversified Banks

Bank of Montreal (BMO)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $128.39
Market Cap: $91.6 Bil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Diversified Banks

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.4%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -2.8%, Dist 3Y High is -2.8%
Key risks
BMO key risks include [1] deteriorating credit quality and defaults within its U.S. Show more.
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24%, CFO LTM is 10 Bil, FCF LTM is 8.5 Bil
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -7.6%
 
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 18%
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 11.62
 
3 Capital ratio is >2x the minimum of 6%
Tier 1 Capital / Risk Wtd Assets RatioTier 1 Capital / Risk-Weighted Assets is a common measure of financial strength for a bank. It reflects how much equity there is relative to assets where assets are weighted based on riskiness. Low ratios indicate the bank is highly vulnerable to even small changes in the value of their risk assets. is 14%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, AI in Financial Services, and Sustainable Finance. Themes include Digital Payments, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.4%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24%, CFO LTM is 10 Bil, FCF LTM is 8.5 Bil
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 18%
3 Capital ratio is >2x the minimum of 6%
Tier 1 Capital / Risk Wtd Assets RatioTier 1 Capital / Risk-Weighted Assets is a common measure of financial strength for a bank. It reflects how much equity there is relative to assets where assets are weighted based on riskiness. Low ratios indicate the bank is highly vulnerable to even small changes in the value of their risk assets. is 14%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, AI in Financial Services, and Sustainable Finance. Themes include Digital Payments, Show more.
5 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -2.8%, Dist 3Y High is -2.8%
6 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -7.6%
7 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 11.62
8 Key risks
BMO key risks include [1] deteriorating credit quality and defaults within its U.S. Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

BMO Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The request asks for key points explaining a 7.1% stock movement for Bank of Montreal (BMO) between August 31, 2025, and December 18, 2025. As this period is in the future, it is not possible to provide factual information about actual stock movements and their causes. The search results include some historical data up to 2025 and forecasts for 2025 and beyond, but no actual reporting of a 7.1% stock movement within the specified future timeframe. Therefore, I cannot identify specific key points for a future stock movement.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
BMO Return3%47%-12%15%3%40%120%
Peers Return4%37%-18%16%22%51%150%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
BMO Win Rate58%67%58%50%50%83% 
Peers Win Rate60%62%43%53%57%80% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
BMO Max Drawdown-50%-1%-20%-14%-17%-9% 
Peers Max Drawdown-41%-1%-27%-11%-7%-10% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: RY, TD, BNS, CM, JPM.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventBMOS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-39.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven64.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven677 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-51.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven106.1%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven333 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-24.2%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven32.0%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven793 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-70.9%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven243.3%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1681 days1480 days

Compare to C, JPM, BAC, WFC, RY


In The Past

Bank of Montreal's stock fell -39.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/22/2022. A -39.3% loss requires a 64.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Bank of Montreal (BMO)

Better Bets than Bank of Montreal (BMO)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to BMO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.1%5.1%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.4%-2.4%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.6%4.6%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-9.0%-9.0%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.1%5.1%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.4%-2.4%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.6%4.6%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-9.0%-9.0%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Bank of Montreal

Peers to compare with:

Financials

BMORYTDBNSCMJPMMedian
NameBank of .Royal Ba.Toronto-.Bank of .Canadian.JPMorgan. 
Mkt Price128.41165.2991.1571.4891.59314.98110.00
Mkt Cap92.9206.8135.888.774.2870.1114.3
Rev LTM36,09966,53261,28137,09729,013179,43049,189
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM8,51152,977-71,7915,06012,729-119,7486,786
FCF 3Y Avg13,85532,395-28,72617,16811,289-65,10712,572
CFO LTM10,24055,220-69,6465,40713,838-119,7487,824
CFO 3Y Avg15,51134,813-26,67017,59412,360-65,10713,936

Growth & Margins

BMORYTDBNSCMJPMMedian
NameBank of .Royal Ba.Toronto-.Bank of .Canadian.JPMorgan. 
Rev Chg LTM12.7%15.7%8.9%10.4%13.7%8.6%11.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg11.4%10.9%10.4%6.1%10.1%13.4%10.7%
Rev Chg Q11.3%14.2%7.8%12.9%14.4%8.8%12.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.7%3.3%1.9%3.0%3.4%2.1%2.9%
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM28.4%83.0%-113.7%14.6%47.7%-66.7%21.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg47.5%57.9%-47.6%53.7%47.8%-36.4%47.6%
FCF/Rev LTM23.6%79.6%-117.2%13.6%43.9%-66.7%18.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg42.5%53.7%-51.2%52.5%43.6%-36.4%43.1%

Valuation

BMORYTDBNSCMJPMMedian
NameBank of .Royal Ba.Toronto-.Bank of .Canadian.JPMorgan. 
Mkt Cap92.9206.8135.888.774.2870.1114.3
P/S2.63.12.22.42.64.92.6
P/EBIT-------
P/E10.710.26.611.48.815.010.4
P/CFO9.13.7-1.916.45.4-7.34.6
Total Yield9.4%9.8%15.1%11.8%11.4%6.7%10.6%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%3.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg---28.6%--7.5%10.5%
D/E---3.5-0.62.1
Net D/E---2.3--0.31.0

Returns

BMORYTDBNSCMJPMMedian
NameBank of .Royal Ba.Toronto-.Bank of .Canadian.JPMorgan. 
1M Rtn5.2%12.3%11.9%6.1%5.5%4.9%5.8%
3M Rtn-0.1%14.1%17.8%11.9%15.5%1.5%13.0%
6M Rtn23.3%31.5%30.9%35.2%36.8%16.1%31.2%
12M Rtn36.6%38.6%82.4%38.1%45.6%34.9%38.4%
3Y Rtn67.8%98.8%66.9%80.3%165.0%162.3%89.5%
1M Excs Rtn4.4%11.6%11.2%5.4%4.7%4.1%5.1%
3M Excs Rtn-1.2%12.9%16.5%10.6%13.9%-0.3%11.8%
6M Excs Rtn10.9%19.1%18.5%22.8%24.4%3.7%18.8%
12M Excs Rtn24.3%26.6%68.9%25.4%33.7%23.0%26.0%
3Y Excs Rtn-7.6%23.1%-10.7%3.1%85.3%84.3%13.1%

FDIC Bank Data

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Canadian Personal and Commercial Banking (P&C)11,43910,5599,8688,7868,035
United States (U.S.) Banking10,8119,1806,3025,5115,531
Capital Markets6,5166,3926,1726,1265,326
Wealth Management4,5995,4114,5247,0536,708
Corporate Services-570-2,2836,844-290-414
Share of profit (loss) in associates and joint ventures   -248-161
Total32,79529,25933,71026,93825,025


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Canadian Personal and Commercial Banking (P&C)3,4573,5733,8263,2462,028
United States (U.S.) Banking2,0082,4832,4972,1361,277
Capital Markets1,4921,6251,7722,0811,087
Wealth Management1,0671,1461,2511,3741,096
Corporate Services-706-4,4024,191-1,327-391
Total7,3184,42513,5377,5105,097


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity5,720,933
Short Interest: % Change Since 1115202510.4%
Average Daily Volume492,160
Days-to-Cover Short Interest11.62
Basic Shares Quantity713,244,000
Short % of Basic Shares0.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
131202122320216-K 1/31/2021
731202082520206-K 7/31/2020
731201482620146-K 7/31/2014
430201452820146-K 4/30/2014
131201422520146-K 1/31/2014
1031201322520146-K 10/31/2013
731201382720136-K 7/31/2013
430201352920136-K 4/30/2013
131201322620136-K 1/31/2013
731201282820126-K 7/31/2012
430201252320126-K 4/30/2012
131201222820126-K 1/31/2012
731201182420116-K 7/31/2011
430201152520116-K 4/30/2011
131201130120116-K 1/31/2011
731201082420106-K 7/31/2010