Tearsheet

Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD)


Market Price (12/25/2025): $94.5 | Market Cap: $160.5 Bil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Diversified Banks

Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD)


Market Price (12/25/2025): $94.5
Market Cap: $160.5 Bil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Diversified Banks

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 13%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 8.6%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 178%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 16%
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -9.0%
Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -114%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -117%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, AI in Financial Services, Sustainable Finance, Digital & Alternative Assets, Show more.
  Key risks
TD key risks include [1] systemic anti-money laundering failures incurring massive financial penalties and a blocked U.S. Show more.
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 13%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 8.6%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 16%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, AI in Financial Services, Sustainable Finance, Digital & Alternative Assets, Show more.
3 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0%
4 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -9.0%
5 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 178%
6 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -114%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -117%
7 Key risks
TD key risks include [1] systemic anti-money laundering failures incurring massive financial penalties and a blocked U.S. Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

TD Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are key points that would explain significant movement in Toronto-Dominion Bank's stock.

1. Termination of First Horizon Acquisition

Toronto-Dominion Bank called off its US$13.4 billion acquisition of First Horizon Corporation in May 2023, citing uncertainty regarding the timeline for obtaining regulatory approvals for reasons unrelated to First Horizon. This termination resulted in TD paying First Horizon a US$200 million break fee. The scuttled deal created market uncertainty and signaled potential underlying issues for TD.

2. U.S. Regulatory Investigations and Substantial Fines for AML Deficiencies

TD Bank disclosed a U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) probe into its anti-money laundering (AML) compliance programs in August 2023, anticipating monetary and/or non-monetary penalties. By October 2024, TD agreed to pay approximately US$3.1 billion in fines for civil and criminal enforcement actions following investigations into long-term, pervasive, and systemic deficiencies in its U.S. AML controls. The bank was found to have intentionally not monitored a significant portion of its transaction volume, which enabled money laundering networks to transfer substantial funds.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 22.6% change in TD stock from 9/24/2025 to 12/24/2025 was primarily driven by a 23.3% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
924202512242025Change
Stock Price ($)77.1094.5122.58%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)60130.0061281.001.91%
Net Income Margin (%)34.75%33.51%-3.55%
P/E Multiple6.347.8123.34%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1716.701698.101.08%
Cumulative Contribution22.56%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/24/2025 to 12/24/2025
ReturnCorrelation
TD22.6% 
Market (SPY)4.4%42.5%
Sector (XLF)4.0%43.5%

Fundamental Drivers

The 34.4% change in TD stock from 6/25/2025 to 12/24/2025 was primarily driven by a 13.3% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
625202512242025Change
Stock Price ($)70.3294.5134.41%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)58761.0061281.004.29%
Net Income Margin (%)29.57%33.51%13.34%
P/E Multiple7.047.8110.94%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1740.501698.102.44%
Cumulative Contribution34.33%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/25/2025 to 12/24/2025
ReturnCorrelation
TD34.4% 
Market (SPY)14.0%38.3%
Sector (XLF)8.8%45.2%

Fundamental Drivers

The 87.3% change in TD stock from 12/24/2024 to 12/24/2025 was primarily driven by a 113.2% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
1224202412242025Change
Stock Price ($)50.4694.5187.29%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)56256.0061281.008.93%
Net Income Margin (%)15.72%33.51%113.23%
P/E Multiple9.987.81-21.67%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1748.001698.102.85%
Cumulative Contribution87.13%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/24/2024 to 12/24/2025
ReturnCorrelation
TD87.3% 
Market (SPY)15.8%45.7%
Sector (XLF)14.9%48.9%

Fundamental Drivers

The 68.4% change in TD stock from 12/25/2022 to 12/24/2025 was primarily driven by a 34.6% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
1225202212242025Change
Stock Price ($)56.1194.5168.43%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)45538.0061281.0034.57%
Net Income Margin (%)38.27%33.51%-12.43%
P/E Multiple5.837.8133.95%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1812.001698.106.29%
Cumulative Contribution67.76%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/25/2023 to 12/24/2025
ReturnCorrelation
TD62.7% 
Market (SPY)48.9%38.7%
Sector (XLF)53.2%42.9%

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
TD Return6%41%-12%5%-13%86%120%
Peers Return3%38%-18%18%25%44%151%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%18%115%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
TD Win Rate50%67%50%50%42%100% 
Peers Win Rate62%62%45%53%58%77% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
TD Max Drawdown-39%-0%-21%-12%-16%-0% 
Peers Max Drawdown-43%-1%-26%-11%-7%-11% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: RY, JPM, BMO, BNS, CM.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/24/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventTDS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-33.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven50.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven987 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-41.0%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven69.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven289 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-21.9%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven28.0%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven792 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-65.9%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven193.7%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven694 days1,480 days

Compare to C, JPM, BAC, WFC, RY

In The Past

Toronto-Dominion Bank's stock fell -33.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/16/2022. A -33.7% loss requires a 50.8% gain to breakeven.

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About Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD)

The Toronto-Dominion Bank, together with its subsidiaries, provides various financial products and services in Canada, the United States, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Canadian Retail, U.S. Retail, and Wholesale Banking. The company offers personal deposits, such as chequing, savings, and investment products; financing, investment, cash management, international trade, and day-to-day banking services to businesses; and financing options to customers at point of sale for automotive and recreational vehicle purchases. It also provides credit cards and payments; real estate secured lending, auto finance, and consumer lending services; point-of-sale payment solutions for large and small businesses; wealth and asset management products, and advice to retail and institutional clients through direct investing, advice-based, and asset management businesses; and property and casualty insurance, as well as life and health insurance products. The company also provides capital markets, and corporate and investment banking products and services, including underwriting and distribution of new debt and equity issues; advice on strategic acquisitions and divestitures; and trading, funding, and investment services to corporations, governments, and institutions. It offers its products and services under the TD Bank and America's Most Convenient Bank brand names. The company operates through a network of 1,061 branches and 3,381 automated teller machines (ATMs) in Canada, and 1,148 stores and 2,701 ATMs in the United States, as well as offers telephone, digital, and mobile banking services. It has a strategic alliance with Canada Post Corporation. The Toronto-Dominion Bank was founded in 1855 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD):

  • It's like the JPMorgan Chase of Canada, offering a full range of banking and financial services, with a major footprint across the Eastern U.S.
  • Think of it as a Canadian Bank of America, providing extensive retail and commercial banking, with significant operations throughout the Eastern U.S.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Personal Banking Accounts: Offers chequing and savings accounts for individuals to manage their daily finances and save money.
  • Lending Products: Provides mortgages, personal loans, lines of credit, and credit cards to individuals and businesses for various financing needs.
  • Investment & Wealth Management: Delivers brokerage services, investment advice, mutual funds, ETFs, and private wealth management for clients seeking to grow and manage their assets.
  • Business Banking Solutions: Supplies accounts, loans, credit lines, and cash management services specifically designed for small and commercial businesses.
  • Insurance Products: Sells life, critical illness, disability, home, and auto insurance policies to protect clients against financial risks.
  • Wholesale Banking Services: Offers capital raising, advisory, and trading solutions to corporations, governments, and institutional clients globally.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD) primarily sells its services to **individuals** and **small to medium-sized businesses**, rather than a few large corporations.

Here are the three main categories of customers that TD serves:

  1. Individual Consumers (Retail Customers): This is the largest customer segment, encompassing millions of individuals who utilize TD for everyday banking services. This includes chequing and savings accounts, credit cards, mortgages, personal loans, lines of credit, and basic investment products.
  2. Small and Medium-sized Businesses (SMBs): TD provides a comprehensive suite of banking and financial services to small and medium-sized enterprises. This includes business accounts, commercial loans, lines of credit, treasury management services, merchant services for payment processing, and payroll solutions.
  3. High-Net-Worth Individuals & Institutional Investors: Through its Wealth Management segment, TD serves affluent individuals, families, and institutional clients (such as pension funds, endowments, and corporations). Services include private banking, investment management, financial planning, trust services, and brokerage services.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Microsoft (MSFT)
  • Amazon Web Services (AMZN)
  • Salesforce (CRM)
  • Visa (V)
  • Mastercard (MA)

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Raymond Chun, Group President and Chief Executive Officer

Raymond Chun was appointed Group President and Chief Executive Officer of TD Bank Group, effective in 2025. He joined TD in 1992 and has held various leadership roles across the Bank, including in Personal Banking Products, Branch Banking, TD Waterhouse Private Client Group, TD Direct Channels Sales, and Customer Experience & Operations. Prior to his current role, he served as Group Head, Wealth Management and Insurance, and also as President of TD Insurance.

Kelvin Tran, Group Head, Chief Financial Officer

Kelvin Tran became Group Head, Chief Financial Officer of TD Bank Group, effective March 9, 2023, and joined the Senior Executive Team in 2021. He oversees Finance, the Chief Accountant's Department, Investor Relations, Enterprise Strategy, and Global Tax. With over 20 years at TD, he has held progressively senior roles including Head, Enterprise Finance; Chief Financial Officer of TD Bank, America's Most Convenient Bank®; Chief Accountant; Senior Vice President for Treasury and Balance Sheet Management; Chief Financial Officer for TD Securities; and Chief Auditor. Kelvin is also the Founding President of Ascend Canada, a non-profit organization dedicated to fostering pan-Asian leaders. Born in Saigon, Vietnam, his family fled as refugees in the 1970s.

Taylan Turan, Senior Executive Vice President, Chief Operating Officer

Taylan Turan joined TD as Senior Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer on September 29, 2025. In this role, he focuses on reducing complexity to speed up execution, re-engineering key operations for efficiency, and establishing strategies to enhance client experience and accelerate growth. Turan brings extensive leadership experience from previous roles at HSBC, Barclays, and Citigroup, where he managed businesses globally. At HSBC, he served as Global CEO of Retail Banking and led the global integration of International Wealth and Premier Banking.

Tim Wiggan, Group Head, Wealth Management and Insurance

Tim Wiggan was appointed Group Head, Wealth Management and Insurance, effective December 11, 2023, and is a member of the Senior Executive Team. He previously served as Vice Chair, TD Securities (TDS) and Co-Head of Global Investment Banking. With over twenty-five years at TD, he has held various senior leadership positions, including Co-Head of Global Markets and Head of Equities and Commodities at TDS. Wiggan also served as CEO of TD Asset Management for almost four years from 2013 to late 2016.

Barbara Hooper, Group Head, Canadian Business Banking

Barbara Hooper became Group Head, Canadian Business Banking, effective May 1, 2023. She previously served as Senior Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer of Canadian Business Banking since January 18, 2023, and joined the Senior Executive Team in 2021. With nearly 30 years at TD, her roles have included the Bank's Treasurer and leading Enterprise Strategy, where she played a key role in significant acquisitions in the U.S. and Canada.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The Toronto-Dominion Bank (symbol: TD) faces several key risks to its business, with anti-money laundering (AML) compliance failures being the most significant.
  • Anti-Money Laundering (AML) Compliance Failures: TD Bank has incurred substantial financial penalties, including a staggering $3 billion, for systemic breaches of the Bank Secrecy Act (BSA) and a failure to adequately monitor transactions for nearly a decade. This oversight allowed criminal networks to launder hundreds of millions of dollars through the bank's systems. The bank's leadership neglected escalating AML risks and favored cost-cutting over robust compliance measures. These compliance issues have led to ongoing regulatory investigations by U.S. and Canadian authorities, and directly impacted strategic initiatives, such as the failed acquisition of U.S. lender First Horizon. TD Bank has acknowledged serious deficiencies in its AML program and is undergoing significant remediation efforts, including implementing new systems, hiring specialists, and conducting a retrospective review of past transactions. The expected resolution of these issues includes both monetary and non-monetary penalties, with the latter potentially including restrictions on balance sheet growth.
  • Reputational Damage: A direct consequence of the AML compliance failures is significant reputational damage. This has strained TD's North American growth ambitions and led to increased scrutiny from investors, with Norway's sovereign wealth fund, one of the world's richest, flagging TD as an "ethical risk" due to an unacceptable risk of contributing to serious financial crime. This tarnished image could lead to attrition in customer flows and impact investor trust and institutional value.
  • Credit Risk and Economic Downturn: As a large financial institution, TD Bank is exposed to credit risk, which can be exacerbated by economic downturns. While some reports indicate a generally low-risk loan portfolio, concerns have been raised regarding specific exposures within TD's portfolio. These include a substantial share of uninsured mortgages and variable-rate mortgages in Canada, which could be challenging for borrowers in a rising interest rate environment. Additionally, the bank's U.S. retail business has a significant concentration in credit cards and auto loans, which can be more susceptible to credit quality deterioration during economic contractions.

AI Analysis | Feedback

1. Digital-First Neobanks and Fintech Companies: Toronto-Dominion Bank, like other traditional banks, faces a clear emerging threat from digital-only banks (neobanks) and specialized fintech companies. These players, such as EQ Bank in Canada or Chime in the U.S., leverage technology to offer a streamlined, lower-cost, and often more user-friendly banking experience without the overhead of physical branches. They are actively attracting customers, particularly younger demographics and those seeking convenience and lower fees, by excelling in areas like deposits, payments, and personal lending. This directly challenges TD's legacy infrastructure, extensive branch network, and traditional revenue models, akin to how Netflix disrupted Blockbuster's physical distribution model.

2. Big Tech Companies Expanding into Financial Services: A second clear emerging threat comes from major technology companies (e.g., Apple, Google, Amazon) that are increasingly integrating financial services into their vast ecosystems. Companies like Apple, with offerings such as Apple Card and Apple Pay Later, or Google with its payment and wallet services, are leveraging their immense user bases, brand loyalty, and data analytics capabilities to offer seamless and integrated financial products. This allows them to capture market share in payments, consumer credit, and other services, potentially disintermediating traditional banks like TD from direct customer relationships and transaction processing, much like how YouTube offered an alternative to traditional cable content delivery.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD) operates across three key business lines: Canadian Retail, U.S. Retail, and Wholesale Banking, with wealth management services offered within both retail segments as well as a standalone unit.

Addressable Markets for TD's Main Products or Services:

  • Canadian Retail Banking (Personal and Commercial Banking)
    • Retail Banking (Canada): The Canada Retail Banking Market is projected to grow from USD 1.32 trillion in 2025 to USD 1.95 trillion by 2031.
    • Commercial Banking (Canada): The market size of Commercial Banking in Canada was $491.9 billion in 2024 and is projected to be $490.3 billion in 2025.
  • U.S. Retail Banking (Personal and Commercial Banking)
    • Retail Banking (U.S.): The United States retail banking market is valued at USD 0.87 trillion (or $870 billion) in 2025 and is forecasted to reach USD 1.08 trillion by 2030.
    • Commercial Banking (U.S.): The US commercial banking market stands at USD 732.5 billion in 2025 and is forecasted to reach USD 915.45 billion by 2030.
  • Wealth Management
    • Wealth Management (Canada): The financial wealth across Canada, representing the broader Canadian wealth management market, is approximately $6.5 trillion in money invested in the market and is expected to grow to about $10 trillion by 2030.
    • Wealth Management (U.S.): The US had the largest wealth management market in 2024 with $64.4 trillion in Assets Under Management (AUM), expected to reach $87.35 trillion by 2028.
  • Wholesale Banking
    • Wholesale Banking (Canada): null
    • Wholesale Banking (U.S.): null
    • Wholesale Banking (Global): The global wholesale banking market size was valued at USD 4.8 trillion in 2023 and is projected to reach USD 7.13 trillion by 2032.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD) is poised for future revenue growth over the next two to three years, driven by several strategic initiatives and anticipated market improvements:

  1. Growth in Canadian Personal and Commercial Banking: TD expects continued momentum in its core Canadian market, focusing on volume growth, margin expansion, and customer acquisition. This includes robust loan and deposit growth in both personal and business banking, as well as strong performance in areas like real estate secured lending and auto finance. The bank also identifies opportunities in acquiring newcomer customers in Canada.
  2. Expansion of Wealth Management and Insurance: This segment is anticipated to contribute significantly to revenue growth through higher insurance premiums, sustained asset growth, and increased transaction revenue. TD is investing in new and innovative client-centric capabilities, expanding its product offerings (e.g., ETFs), and integrating its investment counsel and advisory businesses to enhance its market position.
  3. Strengthening of Wholesale Banking: The successful integration and leveraging of the combined TD Securities and TD Cowen franchise are key drivers. This segment is expected to see revenue increases from higher lending activities, underwriting fees, and trading-related revenue, building on its strong performance and expanded capabilities in North American and global markets.
  4. Investment in Digital Capabilities and Artificial Intelligence (AI): TD is prioritizing investments in new and innovative digital platforms and harnessing AI to enhance the client experience, drive efficiencies, and support business growth. This includes leveraging tools like TD Active Trader and a virtual AI assistant for research to capture market trends and demand, ultimately aiming to increase revenue and decrease costs.
  5. Improved Performance in U.S. Retail Segment: Following significant focus on Anti-Money Laundering (AML) remediation and balance sheet restructuring, the U.S. Retail segment is expected to improve its return on equity. The bank aims for simplified operations, higher margins, and enhanced risk management, contributing to a more efficient and profitable U.S. presence by fiscal years 2025 and 2026.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  1. Share Repurchases
    • In February 2025, TD received regulatory approval for a new Normal Course Issuer Bid (NCIB) to repurchase up to 100 million common shares, representing approximately 5.7% of its issued and outstanding shares, commencing March 3, 2025, and ending February 28, 2026.
    • Under a previous NCIB that ran from August 2023 to August 2024, TD repurchased 71.4 million common shares at an average price of $80.30 per share, totaling approximately $5.7 billion. For the fiscal year ended October 31, 2024, the Bank repurchased $4.0 billion of common shares.
    • Prior to the 90-million share bid, TD completed a 30-million share buyback program that started in June 2023. Additionally, the bank repurchased 21 million common shares for $2.2 billion under an NCIB during the first half of fiscal 2022.
  2. Share Issuance
    • In July 2022, TD issued Non-Cumulative 5-Year Fixed Rate Reset Preferred Shares (NVCC), Series 28, to institutional investors, raising gross proceeds of $800 million.
    • The bank redeemed 18 million Series 24 Preferred Shares in July 2024 for approximately $250 million.
    • TD redeemed 14 million Series 22 Preferred Shares in April 2024 for approximately $350 million and 16 million Series 20 Preferred Shares in October 2023 for approximately $400 million.
  3. Outbound Investments
    • In February 2025, TD sold its entire remaining equity investment in Charles Schwab for approximately $21.0 billion (US$14.6 billion), a transaction expected to increase its Common Equity Tier 1 capital by approximately 238 basis points.
    • TD acquired Cowen Inc., a global investment bank, for $1.3 billion in August 2022, with the acquisition completing in March 2023, expanding its wholesale banking capabilities.
    • TD announced a $13.4 billion acquisition of First Horizon National Corporation in February 2022, but the merger agreement was mutually terminated in May 2023 due to regulatory uncertainty.
  4. Capital Expenditures
    • TD is accelerating its digital transformation and investing in new capabilities to enhance customer experience and strengthen its leadership in key customer segments.
    • Significant investments are underway to bolster the bank's risk and control environment and address U.S. AML program obligations, including new talent, data-driven technology solutions, and transaction monitoring improvements, with most remediation actions projected to be in place by the end of 2025.
    • Non-interest expenses in Q1 2025 were $8.07 billion, partly driven by integration costs, U.S. remediation spending, and governance investments.

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Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to TD. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.8%13.8%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.3%-0.3%-0.5%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.4%-4.4%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
7.6%7.6%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-11.2%-11.2%-12.1%

Recent Active Movers

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Peer Comparisons for Toronto-Dominion Bank

Peers to compare with:

Financials

TDRYJPMBMOBNSCMMedian
NameToronto-.Royal Ba.JPMorgan.Bank of .Bank of .Canadian. 
Mkt Price94.51171.20329.17130.5074.0892.55112.50
Mkt Cap160.5240.3909.393.191.986.0126.8
Rev LTM61,28166,532179,43036,09937,09729,01349,189
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM-71,79152,977-119,7488,5115,06012,7296,786
FCF 3Y Avg-28,72632,395-65,10713,85517,16811,28912,572
CFO LTM-69,64655,220-119,74810,2405,40713,8387,824
CFO 3Y Avg-26,67034,813-65,10715,51117,59412,36013,936

Growth & Margins

TDRYJPMBMOBNSCMMedian
NameToronto-.Royal Ba.JPMorgan.Bank of .Bank of .Canadian. 
Rev Chg LTM8.9%15.7%8.6%12.7%10.4%13.7%11.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg10.4%10.9%13.4%11.4%6.1%10.1%10.7%
Rev Chg Q7.8%14.2%8.8%11.3%12.9%14.4%12.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.9%3.3%2.1%2.7%3.0%3.4%2.9%
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM-113.7%83.0%-66.7%28.4%14.6%47.7%21.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-47.6%57.9%-36.4%47.5%53.7%47.8%47.6%
FCF/Rev LTM-117.2%79.6%-66.7%23.6%13.6%43.9%18.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-51.2%53.7%-36.4%42.5%52.5%43.6%43.1%

Valuation

TDRYJPMBMOBNSCMMedian
NameToronto-.Royal Ba.JPMorgan.Bank of .Bank of .Canadian. 
Mkt Cap160.5240.3909.393.191.986.0126.8
P/S2.63.65.12.62.53.02.8
P/EBIT-------
P/E7.811.815.710.711.810.211.2
P/CFO-2.34.4-7.69.117.06.25.3
Total Yield12.8%8.5%6.4%9.4%11.4%9.8%9.6%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%2.9%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-22.3%18.8%-7.5%20.1%28.6%21.9%19.5%
D/E2.82.30.53.03.42.62.7
Net D/E1.81.6-0.31.92.21.51.7

Returns

TDRYJPMBMOBNSCMMedian
NameToronto-.Royal Ba.JPMorgan.Bank of .Bank of .Canadian. 
1M Rtn14.3%14.4%10.5%6.7%11.2%10.1%10.9%
3M Rtn22.6%17.5%5.5%2.7%17.0%15.7%16.4%
6M Rtn34.4%36.2%17.0%24.8%40.2%34.8%34.6%
12M Rtn87.3%47.1%38.7%40.7%46.2%50.3%46.6%
3Y Rtn68.4%103.9%170.0%66.2%82.3%164.7%93.1%
1M Excs Rtn10.9%11.0%7.1%3.3%7.9%6.7%7.5%
3M Excs Rtn16.5%13.4%0.6%-3.2%11.5%11.2%11.4%
6M Excs Rtn19.9%21.2%2.2%9.1%25.2%21.2%20.5%
12M Excs Rtn73.3%30.2%24.6%24.2%29.3%33.4%29.7%
3Y Excs Rtn-9.0%25.7%90.9%-10.9%6.9%90.9%16.3%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Wholesale Banking686,795673,398635,094514,681512,886
U.S. Retail606,572560,585585,297559,503566,629
Canadian Personal and Commercial Banking584,468560,303526,374  
Corporate160,699138,560147,042145,052163,980
Wealth Management and Insurance23,21722,29323,721  
Canadian Retail   509,436472,370
Total2,061,7511,955,1391,917,5281,728,6721,715,865


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$94.51 
Market Cap ($ Bil)162.2 
First Trading Date08/30/1996 
Distance from 52W High0.0% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$84.51$72.54
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA11.8%30.3%
 3M1YR
Volatility14.7%16.2%
Downside Capture12.7628.40
Upside Capture105.4386.22
Correlation (SPY)42.9%45.7%
TD Betas & Captures as of 11/30/2025

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta0.470.430.470.500.380.54
Up Beta0.050.370.280.370.310.42
Down Beta0.970.650.610.380.240.39
Up Capture68%55%72%74%66%38%
Bmk +ve Days13263974142427
Stock +ve Days12264077149413
Down Capture41%22%24%43%47%88%
Bmk -ve Days7162452107323
Stock -ve Days714204697330

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
 Comparison of TD With Other Asset Classes (Last 1Y)
 TDSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return92.7%18.3%19.2%71.9%8.9%6.0%-10.4%
Annualized Volatility16.2%19.0%19.5%19.3%15.3%17.1%35.0%
Sharpe Ratio3.860.750.782.690.360.18-0.12
Correlation With Other Assets 49.3%46.0%12.2%21.2%42.0%21.7%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLF, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
 Comparison of TD With Other Asset Classes (Last 5Y)
 TDSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return15.9%16.3%14.9%18.7%11.7%4.8%32.6%
Annualized Volatility19.6%18.9%17.1%15.5%18.7%18.9%48.7%
Sharpe Ratio0.680.720.700.970.510.170.59
Correlation With Other Assets 63.9%54.3%14.5%26.9%47.8%20.1%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLF, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
 Comparison of TD With Other Asset Classes (Last 10Y)
 TDSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return13.7%13.0%14.7%14.9%6.9%5.2%69.2%
Annualized Volatility21.9%22.3%18.0%14.8%17.6%20.8%55.8%
Sharpe Ratio0.570.540.700.830.310.220.90
Correlation With Other Assets 73.4%65.7%3.9%36.4%57.9%15.5%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLF, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date12152025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity7,236,299
Short Interest: % Change Since 11302025-14.9%
Average Daily Volume2,934,866
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.47
Basic Shares Quantity1,698,100,000
Short % of Basic Shares0.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
430202152720216-K 4/30/2021
131202122520216-K 1/31/2021
103120201203202040-F 10/31/2020
731202082720206-K 7/31/2020
430202052820206-K 4/30/2020
131202022720206-K 1/31/2020
731201982920196-K 7/31/2019
430201952320196-K 4/30/2019
131201922820196-K 1/31/2019
731201883020186-K 7/31/2018
430201852420186-K 4/30/2018
131201830120186-K 1/31/2018
731201783120176-K 7/31/2017
430201752520176-K 4/30/2017
131201730220176-K 1/31/2017
731201682520166-K 7/31/2016