Tearsheet

Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD)


Market Price (12/20/2025): $92.89 | Market Cap: $157.7 Bil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Diversified Banks

Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD)


Market Price (12/20/2025): $92.89
Market Cap: $157.7 Bil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Diversified Banks

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 13%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 8.9%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 182%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 16%
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -4.6%
Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -114%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -117%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, AI in Financial Services, Sustainable Finance, Digital & Alternative Assets, Show more.
  Key risks
TD key risks include [1] systemic anti-money laundering failures incurring massive financial penalties and a blocked U.S. Show more.
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 13%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 8.9%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 16%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, AI in Financial Services, Sustainable Finance, Digital & Alternative Assets, Show more.
3 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0%
4 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -4.6%
5 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 182%
6 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -114%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -117%
7 Key risks
TD key risks include [1] systemic anti-money laundering failures incurring massive financial penalties and a blocked U.S. Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

TD Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD) experienced significant developments between August 31, 2025, and December 20, 2025. During this period, TD's stock saw notable movements influenced by its financial results, strategic initiatives, and ongoing regulatory matters.

1. Strong Fourth Quarter 2025 Earnings and Dividend Increase: TD Bank Group reported strong fourth-quarter results for fiscal 2025, with adjusted earnings increasing by 22% compared to the previous year, reaching $3.9 billion. Adjusted diluted earnings per share (EPS) were $2.18, exceeding analyst expectations. The bank also raised its quarterly dividend to $1.08 per share, up from $1.05 per share, signaling confidence in its future outlook.

2. Improved Performance in Key Business Segments: The bank's performance was bolstered by robust fee and trading income in its markets-driven businesses. Canadian Personal and Commercial Banking saw year-over-year volume growth, with earnings increasing to $1.87 billion. U.S. retail banking operations also saw an increase in earnings to $719 million, and the wealth management and wholesale banking segments reported substantial growth in earnings, with the latter increasing by 77% in adjusted net income.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
TD Return6%41%-12%5%-13%83%117%
Peers Return3%38%-18%18%25%42%147%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
TD Win Rate50%67%50%50%42%100% 
Peers Win Rate62%62%45%53%58%75% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
TD Max Drawdown-39%-0%-21%-12%-16%-0% 
Peers Max Drawdown-43%-1%-26%-11%-7%-11% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: RY, JPM, BMO, BNS, CM.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventTDS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-33.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven50.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven987 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-41.0%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven69.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven289 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-21.9%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven28.0%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven792 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-65.9%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven193.7%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven694 days1,480 days

Compare to C, JPM, BAC, WFC, RY


In The Past

Toronto-Dominion Bank's stock fell -33.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/16/2022. A -33.7% loss requires a 50.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD)

Better Bets than Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD)

Latest Trefis Analyses

TitleTopic
0DASHBOARDS 
1Fundamental Metrics: ... 
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0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to TD. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.5%13.5%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.0%2.0%-0.5%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.8%-4.8%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.8%5.8%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-12.1%-12.1%-12.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.5%13.5%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.0%2.0%-0.5%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.8%-4.8%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.8%5.8%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-12.1%-12.1%-12.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Toronto-Dominion Bank

Peers to compare with:

Financials

TDRYJPMBMOBNSCMMedian
NameToronto-.Royal Ba.JPMorgan.Bank of .Bank of .Canadian. 
Mkt Price92.82168.74317.21129.7272.5492.88111.30
Mkt Cap157.6236.9876.392.590.086.3125.1
Rev LTM61,28166,532179,43036,09937,09729,01349,189
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM-71,79152,977-119,7488,5115,06012,7296,786
FCF 3Y Avg-28,72632,395-65,10713,85517,16811,28912,572
CFO LTM-69,64655,220-119,74810,2405,40713,8387,824
CFO 3Y Avg-26,67034,813-65,10715,51117,59412,36013,936

Growth & Margins

TDRYJPMBMOBNSCMMedian
NameToronto-.Royal Ba.JPMorgan.Bank of .Bank of .Canadian. 
Rev Chg LTM8.9%15.7%8.6%12.7%10.4%13.7%11.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg10.4%10.9%13.4%11.4%6.1%10.1%10.7%
Rev Chg Q7.8%14.2%8.8%11.3%12.9%14.4%12.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.9%3.3%2.1%2.7%3.0%3.4%2.9%
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM-113.7%83.0%-66.7%28.4%14.6%47.7%21.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-47.6%57.9%-36.4%47.5%53.7%47.8%47.6%
FCF/Rev LTM-117.2%79.6%-66.7%23.6%13.6%43.9%18.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-51.2%53.7%-36.4%42.5%52.5%43.6%43.1%

Valuation

TDRYJPMBMOBNSCMMedian
NameToronto-.Royal Ba.JPMorgan.Bank of .Bank of .Canadian. 
Mkt Cap157.6236.9876.392.590.086.3125.1
P/S2.63.64.92.62.43.02.8
P/EBIT-------
P/E7.711.615.110.611.610.211.1
P/CFO-2.34.3-7.39.016.66.25.3
Total Yield13.0%8.6%6.6%9.4%11.6%9.8%9.6%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%3.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-22.3%18.8%-7.5%20.1%28.6%21.9%19.5%
D/E2.82.30.63.03.52.62.7
Net D/E1.81.6-0.31.92.31.51.7

Returns

TDRYJPMBMOBNSCMMedian
NameToronto-.Royal Ba.JPMorgan.Bank of .Bank of .Canadian. 
1M Rtn13.8%13.8%4.6%6.5%8.5%10.5%9.5%
3M Rtn19.6%15.8%1.3%0.5%13.1%15.2%14.2%
6M Rtn34.1%35.1%16.5%25.9%37.5%37.9%34.6%
12M Rtn89.3%46.2%39.0%40.1%43.6%52.3%44.9%
3Y Rtn67.1%102.5%161.3%66.9%81.6%168.3%92.0%
1M Excs Rtn10.9%10.9%1.7%3.6%5.6%7.6%6.6%
3M Excs Rtn16.5%12.6%-0.1%-1.1%11.8%13.2%12.2%
6M Excs Rtn20.1%21.8%1.7%12.2%24.2%22.9%20.9%
12M Excs Rtn72.8%28.5%22.9%25.0%27.2%34.7%27.9%
3Y Excs Rtn-4.6%27.6%84.9%-5.6%6.1%91.9%16.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Wholesale Banking686,795673,398635,094514,681512,886
U.S. Retail606,572560,585585,297559,503566,629
Canadian Personal and Commercial Banking584,468560,303526,374  
Corporate160,699138,560147,042145,052163,980
Wealth Management and Insurance23,21722,29323,721  
Canadian Retail   509,436472,370
Total2,061,7511,955,1391,917,5281,728,6721,715,865


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity8,500,943
Short Interest: % Change Since 1115202537.1%
Average Daily Volume1,730,425
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.91
Basic Shares Quantity1,698,100,000
Short % of Basic Shares0.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
430202152720216-K 4/30/2021
131202122520216-K 1/31/2021
103120201203202040-F 10/31/2020
731202082720206-K 7/31/2020
430202052820206-K 4/30/2020
131202022720206-K 1/31/2020
731201982920196-K 7/31/2019
430201952320196-K 4/30/2019
131201922820196-K 1/31/2019
731201883020186-K 7/31/2018
430201852420186-K 4/30/2018
131201830120186-K 1/31/2018
731201783120176-K 7/31/2017
430201752520176-K 4/30/2017
131201730220176-K 1/31/2017
731201682520166-K 7/31/2016