Tearsheet

Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD)


Market Price (11/6/2025): $80.43 | Market Cap: $138.1 Bil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Diversified Banks

Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD)


Market Price (11/6/2025): $80.43
Market Cap: $138.1 Bil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Diversified Banks

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 15%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 11%, FCF Yield is 12%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -2.5%, Dist 3Y High is -2.5%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 127%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 29%, CFO LTM is 19 Bil, FCF LTM is 17 Bil
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -0.9%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -30%
 
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 17%
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 15%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 11%, FCF Yield is 12%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 29%, CFO LTM is 19 Bil, FCF LTM is 17 Bil
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 17%
3 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -2.5%, Dist 3Y High is -2.5%
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -0.9%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -30%
5 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 127%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

TD Stock


Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
TD Return6%41%-12%5%-13%59%89%
Peers Return-22%32%-13%23%40%36%111%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%110%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
TD Win Rate50%67%50%50%42%100% 
Peers Win Rate42%58%42%60%65%68% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
TD Max Drawdown-39%-0%-21%-12%-16%-0% 
Peers Max Drawdown-52%-2%-26%-11%-4%-13% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: C, JPM, BAC, WFC, HSBC.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/5/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventTDS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-33.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven50.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-41.0%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven69.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven289 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-21.9%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven28.0%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven792 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-65.9%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven193.7%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven694 days1480 days

Compare to C, JPM, BAC, WFC, HSBC


In The Past

Toronto-Dominion Bank's stock fell -33.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/16/2022. A -33.7% loss requires a 50.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD)

Better Bets than Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD)

Latest Trefis Analyses

TitleTopic
0DASHBOARDS 
1Fundamental Metrics: ... 
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Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to TD. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BRO_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025BROBrown & BrownDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.4%-2.4%-2.4%
CPAY_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025CPAYCorpayDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
EEFT_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025EEFTEuronet WorldwideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-3.5%-3.5%-3.5%
GPN_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025GPNGlobal PaymentsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.9%1.9%-0.8%
APO_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025APOApollo Asset ManagementDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.1%13.1%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BRO_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025BROBrown & BrownDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.4%-2.4%-2.4%
CPAY_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025CPAYCorpayDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
EEFT_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025EEFTEuronet WorldwideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-3.5%-3.5%-3.5%
GPN_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025GPNGlobal PaymentsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.9%1.9%-0.8%
APO_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025APOApollo Asset ManagementDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.1%13.1%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Toronto-Dominion Bank

Financials

TDCJPMBACWFCHSBCMedian
NameToronto-.CitigroupJPMorgan.Bank of .Wells Fa.HSBC  
Mkt Price80.66101.69311.6852.4586.9570.9283.81
Mkt Cap138.5188.7861.0391.6276.7245.3261.0
Rev LTM60,13083,113179,430107,26482,53270,04682,822
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM17,240-93,686-119,74861,472-14,218--14,218
FCF 3Y Avg-24,666-65,690-65,10734,2449,172--24,666
CFO LTM19,461-87,165-119,74861,472-14,218--14,218
CFO 3Y Avg-22,669-59,182-65,10734,2449,172--22,669

Growth & Margins

TDCJPMBACWFCHSBCMedian
NameToronto-.CitigroupJPMorgan.Bank of .Wells Fa.HSBC  
Rev Chg LTM10.1%6.3%8.6%8.9%0.2%6.6%7.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg10.6%4.3%13.4%5.2%2.9%9.4%7.3%
Rev Chg Q9.7%8.1%8.8%10.8%5.3%5.8%8.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.3%2.0%2.1%2.6%1.3%1.4%2.1%
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM32.4%-104.9%-66.7%57.3%-17.2%--17.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-46.6%-74.6%-36.4%32.7%11.2%--36.4%
FCF/Rev LTM28.7%-112.7%-66.7%57.3%-17.2%--17.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-50.2%-82.8%-36.4%32.7%11.2%--36.4%

Valuation

TDCJPMBACWFCHSBCMedian
NameToronto-.CitigroupJPMorgan.Bank of .Wells Fa.HSBC  
Mkt Cap138.5188.7861.0391.6276.7245.3261.0
P/S2.32.34.83.73.43.53.4
P/EBIT-------
P/E6.613.314.813.213.113.913.3
P/CFO7.1-2.2-7.26.4-19.5--2.2
Total Yield15.1%7.5%6.7%7.6%9.5%7.2%7.5%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%1.9%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-22.8%-56.0%-7.5%11.7%6.9%--7.5%
D/E3.02.00.60.90.80.40.9
Net D/E1.3-1.0-0.3-0.7-0.6-0.6-0.6

Returns

TDCJPMBACWFCHSBCMedian
NameToronto-.CitigroupJPMorgan.Bank of .Wells Fa.HSBC  
1M Rtn0.6%4.3%0.8%4.1%7.8%-0.8%2.4%
3M Rtn11.3%10.9%7.5%16.1%12.0%14.0%11.7%
6M Rtn30.8%46.6%26.2%29.6%20.2%28.1%28.9%
12M Rtn52.3%64.1%43.7%28.2%38.7%59.0%48.0%
3Y Rtn43.1%151.3%156.8%54.3%100.1%211.9%125.7%
1M Excs Rtn-0.2%3.4%0.1%3.1%5.9%-0.9%1.6%
3M Excs Rtn5.0%4.9%2.0%10.2%5.7%6.3%5.3%
6M Excs Rtn10.1%25.9%5.5%8.9%-0.5%7.4%8.2%
12M Excs Rtn35.6%46.9%24.1%9.9%18.8%44.1%29.9%
3Y Excs Rtn-29.6%74.6%91.1%-18.0%29.2%163.4%51.9%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10152025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity14,785,451
Short Interest: % Change Since 930202531.5%
Average Daily Volume1,751,002
Days-to-Cover Short Interest8.44
Basic Shares Quantity1,716,700,000
Short % of Basic Shares0.9%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
430202152720216-K 4/30/2021
131202122520216-K 1/31/2021
103120201203202040-F 10/31/2020
731202082720206-K 7/31/2020
430202052820206-K 4/30/2020
131202022720206-K 1/31/2020
731201982920196-K 7/31/2019
430201952320196-K 4/30/2019
131201922820196-K 1/31/2019
731201883020186-K 7/31/2018
430201852420186-K 4/30/2018
131201830120186-K 1/31/2018
731201783120176-K 7/31/2017
430201752520176-K 4/30/2017
131201730220176-K 1/31/2017
731201682520166-K 7/31/2016

Insider Activity

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