Tearsheet

Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $91.17 | Market Cap: $154.8 Bil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Diversified Banks

Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $91.17
Market Cap: $154.8 Bil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Diversified Banks

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 15%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -1.0%, Dist 3Y High is -1.0%
Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -114%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -117%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 16%
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -11%
Key risks
TD key risks include [1] systemic anti-money laundering failures incurring massive financial penalties and a blocked U.S. Show more.
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, AI in Financial Services, Sustainable Finance, Digital & Alternative Assets, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 15%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 16%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, AI in Financial Services, Sustainable Finance, Digital & Alternative Assets, Show more.
3 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -1.0%, Dist 3Y High is -1.0%
4 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -11%
5 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -114%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -117%
6 Key risks
TD key risks include [1] systemic anti-money laundering failures incurring massive financial penalties and a blocked U.S. Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

TD Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

For the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025, key points contributing to Toronto-Dominion Bank's stock movement include:

1. Strong Q3 2025 Financial Performance: The Toronto-Dominion Bank reported robust third-quarter 2025 results, with net income of C$3.3 billion, a significant turnaround from a loss in the prior year's Q3. Adjusted earnings increased by 6% to C$3.9 billion, driven by record highs in Canadian banking revenue and deposits, a recovery in U.S. Retail, and a 63% surge in Wealth Management net income. Following these results, the stock experienced a pre-market surge of 9.28%.

2. Exceeding Q4 2025 Earnings Expectations and Dividend Increase: TD Bank announced strong fourth-quarter 2025 financial results, surpassing analyst expectations with adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of C$2.18 and revenue of C$16.03 billion. The bank also increased its quarterly dividend to C$1.08 per share and projected an adjusted EPS growth of 6–8% for 2026, signaling confidence in its outlook. This positive news led to a 1.8% increase in the stock price during pre-market trading.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
TD Return6%41%-12%5%-13%81%115%
Peers Return3%38%-18%18%25%43%148%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
TD Win Rate50%67%50%50%42%100% 
Peers Win Rate62%62%45%53%58%77% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
TD Max Drawdown-39%-0%-21%-12%-16%-0% 
Peers Max Drawdown-43%-1%-26%-11%-7%-11% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: RY, JPM, BMO, BNS, CM.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventTDS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-33.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven50.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven987 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-41.0%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven69.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven289 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-21.9%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven28.0%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven792 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-65.9%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven193.7%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven694 days1,480 days

Compare to C, JPM, BAC, WFC, RY


In The Past

Toronto-Dominion Bank's stock fell -33.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/16/2022. A -33.7% loss requires a 50.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD)

Better Bets than Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD)

Latest Trefis Analyses

TitleTopic
0DASHBOARDS 
1Fundamental Metrics: ... 
Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to TD. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.6%14.6%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.2%-4.2%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.4%4.4%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-10.5%-10.5%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.6%14.6%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.2%-4.2%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.4%4.4%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-10.5%-10.5%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Toronto-Dominion Bank

Peers to compare with:

Financials

TDRYJPMBMOBNSCMMedian
NameToronto-.Royal Ba.JPMorgan.Bank of .Bank of .Canadian. 
Mkt Price91.15165.29314.98128.4171.4891.59110.00
Mkt Cap135.8206.8870.192.988.774.2114.3
Rev LTM61,28166,532179,43036,09937,09729,01349,189
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM-71,79152,977-119,7488,5115,06012,7296,786
FCF 3Y Avg-28,72632,395-65,10713,85517,16811,28912,572
CFO LTM-69,64655,220-119,74810,2405,40713,8387,824
CFO 3Y Avg-26,67034,813-65,10715,51117,59412,36013,936

Growth & Margins

TDRYJPMBMOBNSCMMedian
NameToronto-.Royal Ba.JPMorgan.Bank of .Bank of .Canadian. 
Rev Chg LTM8.9%15.7%8.6%12.7%10.4%13.7%11.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg10.4%10.9%13.4%11.4%6.1%10.1%10.7%
Rev Chg Q7.8%14.2%8.8%11.3%12.9%14.4%12.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.9%3.3%2.1%2.7%3.0%3.4%2.9%
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM-113.7%83.0%-66.7%28.4%14.6%47.7%21.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-47.6%57.9%-36.4%47.5%53.7%47.8%47.6%
FCF/Rev LTM-117.2%79.6%-66.7%23.6%13.6%43.9%18.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-51.2%53.7%-36.4%42.5%52.5%43.6%43.1%

Valuation

TDRYJPMBMOBNSCMMedian
NameToronto-.Royal Ba.JPMorgan.Bank of .Bank of .Canadian. 
Mkt Cap135.8206.8870.192.988.774.2114.3
P/S2.23.14.92.62.42.62.6
P/EBIT-------
P/E6.610.215.010.711.48.810.4
P/CFO-1.93.7-7.39.116.45.44.6
Total Yield15.1%9.8%6.7%9.4%11.8%11.4%10.6%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%3.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg---7.5%-28.6%-10.5%
D/E--0.6-3.5-2.1
Net D/E---0.3-2.3-1.0

Returns

TDRYJPMBMOBNSCMMedian
NameToronto-.Royal Ba.JPMorgan.Bank of .Bank of .Canadian. 
1M Rtn11.9%12.3%4.9%5.2%6.1%5.5%5.8%
3M Rtn17.8%14.1%1.5%-0.1%11.9%15.5%13.0%
6M Rtn30.9%31.5%16.1%23.3%35.2%36.8%31.2%
12M Rtn82.4%38.6%34.9%36.6%38.1%45.6%38.4%
3Y Rtn66.9%98.8%162.3%67.8%80.3%165.0%89.5%
1M Excs Rtn11.2%11.6%4.1%4.4%5.4%4.7%5.1%
3M Excs Rtn16.5%12.9%-0.3%-1.2%10.6%13.9%11.8%
6M Excs Rtn18.5%19.1%3.7%10.9%22.8%24.4%18.8%
12M Excs Rtn68.9%26.6%23.0%24.3%25.4%33.7%26.0%
3Y Excs Rtn-10.7%23.1%84.3%-7.6%3.1%85.3%13.1%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Wholesale Banking686,795673,398635,094514,681512,886
U.S. Retail606,572560,585585,297559,503566,629
Canadian Personal and Commercial Banking584,468560,303526,374  
Corporate160,699138,560147,042145,052163,980
Wealth Management and Insurance23,21722,29323,721  
Canadian Retail   509,436472,370
Total2,061,7511,955,1391,917,5281,728,6721,715,865


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity8,500,943
Short Interest: % Change Since 1115202537.1%
Average Daily Volume1,730,425
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.91
Basic Shares Quantity1,698,100,000
Short % of Basic Shares0.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
430202152720216-K 4/30/2021
131202122520216-K 1/31/2021
103120201203202040-F 10/31/2020
731202082720206-K 7/31/2020
430202052820206-K 4/30/2020
131202022720206-K 1/31/2020
731201982920196-K 7/31/2019
430201952320196-K 4/30/2019
131201922820196-K 1/31/2019
731201883020186-K 7/31/2018
430201852420186-K 4/30/2018
131201830120186-K 1/31/2018
731201783120176-K 7/31/2017
430201752520176-K 4/30/2017
131201730220176-K 1/31/2017
731201682520166-K 7/31/2016