Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD)
Market Price (6/25/2026): $118.0 | Market Cap: $196.0 BilSector: Financials | Industry: Diversified Banks
Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD)
Market Price (6/25/2026): $118.0Market Cap: $196.0 BilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Diversified Banks
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.6%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.3% Stock buyback supportStock Buyback 3Y Total is 60 Bil Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 17% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, AI in Financial Services, Sustainable Finance, Digital & Alternative Assets, Show more. | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -0.6%, Dist 3Y High is -0.6% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 116% Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -13%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -17% Key risksTD key risks include [1] systemic anti-money laundering failures incurring massive financial penalties and a blocked U.S. Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.6%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.3% |
| Stock buyback supportStock Buyback 3Y Total is 60 Bil |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 17% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, AI in Financial Services, Sustainable Finance, Digital & Alternative Assets, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -0.6%, Dist 3Y High is -0.6% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 116% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -13%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -17% |
| Key risksTD key risks include [1] systemic anti-money laundering failures incurring massive financial penalties and a blocked U.S. Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD) stock has gained about 25% since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Strong Fiscal Q2 2026 Earnings Exceeding Expectations. Toronto-Dominion Bank reported robust adjusted earnings for its fiscal second quarter ended April 30, 2026, with adjusted diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $2.38, surpassing the analyst consensus of $2.25 by 5.78% and representing a 21% increase year-over-year. Adjusted net income rose 15% year-over-year to $4.2 billion. This strong performance was broad-based, with record earnings in Canadian Personal & Commercial Banking, Wealth Management & Insurance, and Wholesale Banking, and significant momentum in U.S. Banking, which saw adjusted net income increase by 12% in U.S. dollars.
2. Ongoing Share Repurchase Program and Increased Dividend. The bank continued its commitment to returning capital to shareholders, repurchasing approximately 19 million shares during fiscal Q2 2026 as part of its normal course issuer bid. Furthermore, TD announced a 4% increase in its dividend per share, signaling confidence in its financial health and future earnings capability. This consistent return of capital contributed positively to shareholder value.
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Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD) stock has gained about 25% since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Strong Fiscal Q2 2026 Earnings Exceeding Expectations. Toronto-Dominion Bank reported robust adjusted earnings for its fiscal second quarter ended April 30, 2026, with adjusted diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $2.38, surpassing the analyst consensus of $2.25 by 5.78% and representing a 21% increase year-over-year. Adjusted net income rose 15% year-over-year to $4.2 billion. This strong performance was broad-based, with record earnings in Canadian Personal & Commercial Banking, Wealth Management & Insurance, and Wholesale Banking, and significant momentum in U.S. Banking, which saw adjusted net income increase by 12% in U.S. dollars.
2. Ongoing Share Repurchase Program and Increased Dividend. The bank continued its commitment to returning capital to shareholders, repurchasing approximately 19 million shares during fiscal Q2 2026 as part of its normal course issuer bid. Furthermore, TD announced a 4% increase in its dividend per share, signaling confidence in its financial health and future earnings capability. This consistent return of capital contributed positively to shareholder value.
3. Progress on Anti-Money Laundering (AML) Remediation. TD Bank demonstrated significant progress in addressing its U.S. Bank Secrecy Act/Anti-Money Laundering (BSA/AML) remediation efforts. While the bank expects to incur approximately US$500 million in pre-tax spending in fiscal 2026 for these initiatives, the continued advancements and milestones towards resolving these regulatory issues provided clarity and improved investor confidence by mitigating a significant operational overhang.
4. Stable Canadian Interest Rate Environment. The Bank of Canada maintained its policy interest rate at 2.25% through the period, including a decision on June 10, 2026, providing a stable and predictable operating environment for Canadian banks. This stability, coupled with expectations for a modest net interest margin (NIM) increase in U.S. Banking for fiscal Q3 2026, supported the bank's profitability outlook.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 23.0% change in TD stock from 2/28/2026 to 6/24/2026 was primarily driven by a 77.7% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 2282026 | 6242026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 96.60 | 118.82 | 23.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 62,881 | 63,777 | 1.4% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 34.6% | 23.4% | -32.5% |
| P/E Multiple | 7.4 | 13.2 | 77.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 1,680 | 1,661 | 1.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 23.0% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2026 to 6/24/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TD | 23.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 7.2% | 64.4% |
| Sector (XLF) | 5.0% | 62.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 43.9% change in TD stock from 11/30/2025 to 6/24/2026 was primarily driven by a 95.0% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 11302025 | 6242026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 82.59 | 118.82 | 43.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 60,130 | 63,777 | 6.1% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 34.7% | 23.4% | -32.7% |
| P/E Multiple | 6.8 | 13.2 | 95.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 1,717 | 1,661 | 3.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 43.9% |
Market Drivers
11/30/2025 to 6/24/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TD | 43.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 7.9% | 58.9% |
| Sector (XLF) | 1.6% | 56.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 78.4% change in TD stock from 5/31/2025 to 6/24/2026 was primarily driven by a 98.3% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 5312025 | 6242026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 66.61 | 118.82 | 78.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 58,761 | 63,777 | 8.5% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 29.6% | 23.4% | -20.9% |
| P/E Multiple | 6.7 | 13.2 | 98.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 1,740 | 1,661 | 4.8% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 78.4% |
Market Drivers
5/31/2025 to 6/24/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TD | 78.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 25.8% | 51.6% |
| Sector (XLF) | 7.0% | 53.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 140.6% change in TD stock from 5/31/2023 to 6/24/2026 was primarily driven by a 116.5% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 5312023 | 6242026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 49.39 | 118.82 | 140.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 48,874 | 63,777 | 30.5% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 30.2% | 23.4% | -22.7% |
| P/E Multiple | 6.1 | 13.2 | 116.5% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 1,828 | 1,661 | 10.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 140.6% |
Market Drivers
5/31/2023 to 6/24/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TD | 140.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 82.4% | 44.9% |
| Sector (XLF) | 77.5% | 49.7% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| TD Return | 41% | -12% | 5% | -13% | 85% | 29% | 168% |
| Peers Return | 38% | -18% | 18% | 25% | 43% | 22% | 194% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 8% | 96% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| TD Win Rate | 67% | 50% | 50% | 42% | 100% | 83% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 62% | 45% | 53% | 58% | 77% | 67% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| TD Max Drawdown | -12% | -29% | -20% | -19% | -9% | -8% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -11% | -33% | -21% | -11% | -16% | -12% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: RY, JPM, BMO, BNS, CM.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 6/24/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | TD | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -14.1% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 16.4% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 56 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -19.6% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 24.4% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 767 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -21.7% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 27.8% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 953 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -40.8% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 68.8% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 255 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -19.2% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 23.7% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 189 days | 105 days |
| 2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -12.2% | -12.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 13.9% | 13.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 46 days | 62 days |
In The Past
Toronto-Dominion Bank's stock fell -7.4% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 7.9% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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| Event | TD | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -21.7% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 27.8% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 953 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -40.8% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 68.8% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 255 days | 140 days |
| 2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse | ||
| % Loss | -31.6% | -6.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 46.3% | 7.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 327 days | 15 days |
| 2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion | ||
| % Loss | -20.2% | -17.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 25.4% | 21.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 161 days | 123 days |
| 2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -60.7% | -53.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 154.5% | 114.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 268 days | 1085 days |
In The Past
Toronto-Dominion Bank's stock fell -7.4% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 7.9% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD)
The Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD) is a major North American financial institution offering a comprehensive suite of financial products and services across Canada, the United States, and internationally. The company operates through three primary segments: Canadian Retail, U.S. Retail, and Wholesale Banking, reflecting its significant presence in both consumer and corporate markets across these regions.
For individual and business customers, TD provides core retail banking services including chequing, savings, and investment accounts, along with a wide array of lending options such as mortgages, auto finance, consumer loans, and credit cards. The bank also offers wealth and asset management products and advisory services for both retail and institutional clients, alongside property and casualty, as well as life and health insurance products to meet diverse financial needs.
Beyond its extensive retail operations, TD's Wholesale Banking segment caters to corporations, governments, and institutions globally. This includes capital markets activities like underwriting and distributing new debt and equity issues, providing strategic advice on mergers and acquisitions, and offering various trading, funding, and investment services. TD delivers its services through a vast network of physical branches and ATMs, complemented by robust telephone, digital, and mobile banking platforms.
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Canada's JPMorgan Chase or Bank of America.
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- Personal Deposit Products: Provides chequing, savings, and investment accounts for individual customers.
- Business Banking Services: Offers financing, investment, cash management, international trade, and day-to-day banking services to businesses.
- Lending Services: Includes real estate secured lending (mortgages), auto finance, consumer loans, and point-of-sale financing for various purchases.
- Credit Cards and Payment Solutions: Issues credit cards and provides payment processing services for both consumers and businesses.
- Wealth and Asset Management: Delivers investment products, financial advice, and asset management services to retail and institutional clients.
- Insurance Products: Offers property and casualty, as well as life and health insurance coverage.
- Capital Markets and Investment Banking: Provides underwriting, M&A advisory, trading, funding, and investment services to corporations, governments, and institutions.
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The Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD) primarily serves individuals, small to large businesses, and institutional clients. Given the emphasis in the description on "personal deposits," "financing options to customers at point of sale," "credit cards," "real estate secured lending, auto finance, and consumer lending services," "wealth and asset management products, and advice to retail and institutional clients," and its "Canadian Retail" and "U.S. Retail" segments, a significant portion of its customer base consists of individuals. Therefore, its major individual customer categories are:
- Everyday Banking and Lending Customers: This category includes individuals utilizing TD's services for personal chequing, savings, and investment products, as well as those seeking credit cards, real estate secured lending (mortgages), auto finance, and other consumer lending services.
- Wealth and Investment Clients: These are retail clients and high-net-worth individuals who receive wealth and asset management products, as well as financial advice, through TD's direct investing, advice-based, and asset management businesses.
- Insurance Policyholders: Individuals who purchase various insurance products from TD, including property and casualty insurance, as well as life and health insurance.
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- Visa Inc. (V)
- Mastercard Incorporated (MA)
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Raymond Chun Group President and Chief Executive Officer
Raymond Chun was appointed Group President and Chief Executive Officer of TD Bank Group on February 1, 2025, having previously served as Chief Operating Officer of TD Bank Group and Group Head of Canadian Personal Banking. He began his career with TD in 1992 through a management associate program and has since held various senior leadership roles across different areas of the bank, including Canadian retail banking, wealth management, and insurance. Born in Korea and raised in Canada, he holds a Bachelor of Arts from the University of Western Ontario and an MBA from Queen's University.
Kelvin Tran Group Head and Chief Financial Officer
Kelvin Tran is the Group Head and Chief Financial Officer of TD Bank Group, overseeing Finance, Treasury, Corporate Development, the Chief Accountant's Department, Investor Relations, and TD Economics. He joined TD more than 25 years ago and has held progressively senior roles, including Head of Enterprise Finance, CFO for TD Bank (America's Most Convenient Bank), CFO for TD Securities, and Chief Auditor. Born in Saigon, Vietnam, he is of Chinese descent and his family fled Vietnam in the 1970s. He is the Founding President of Ascend Canada, a non-profit organization dedicated to developing Pan-Asian leaders. Kelvin holds a Bachelor of Commerce from Concordia University and is a Chartered Professional Accountant, Chartered Accountant, and Chartered Financial Analyst.
Ajai Bambawale Group Head and Chief Risk Officer
Ajai Bambawale is the Group Head and Chief Risk Officer for TD Bank Group, responsible for overseeing Risk Management across TD's global operations. He joined TD in 1993 and has held numerous senior positions in Commercial Banking, Risk, and Corporate and Investment Banking. His prior roles include Chief Risk Officer for TD Bank, America's Most Convenient Bank, and Vice Chair and Head of the Europe and Asia-Pacific Division for TD Securities, where he was involved in establishing TD's branch office in India. He holds a Bachelor of Commerce from Delhi University and an MBA from Duke University.
Leo Salom Group Head, U.S. Retail & President/CEO, TD Bank, America's Most Convenient Bank
Leo Salom serves as Group Head, U.S. Retail and President and CEO of TD Bank, America's Most Convenient Bank. He joined TD in 2011 and brings over 30 years of experience in retail banking and investment management. Before joining TD, he was the CEO of Barclays Western European Retail and Commercial Banking group in London, England, and spent nearly 19 years at Citibank, where he managed the Retail Banking division across Europe, the Middle East, and Northern Africa. Leo holds a Bachelor of Business Administration in Finance from the University of Miami and an MBA from Harvard Business School.
Tim Wiggan Group Head, Wealth Management and Insurance
Tim Wiggan was appointed Group Head, Wealth Management and Insurance, and joined the Senior Executive Team on December 11, 2023. With over 25 years at TD, he has held progressively senior leadership roles, including Vice Chair, TD Securities (TDS) and Co-Head of Global Investment Banking. His experience also includes serving as Co-Head of Global Markets and Head of Equities and Commodities at TD Securities.
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The Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD) faces significant key risks, primarily stemming from its regulatory compliance framework.
The most significant key risk to TD Bank is its ongoing challenges with anti-money laundering (AML) compliance, particularly within its U.S. operations. For nearly a decade, between 2014 and October 2023, TD Bank has had pervasive and systemic deficiencies in its U.S. AML policies, procedures, and controls. This has led to substantial financial penalties, including a staggering $3 billion penalty for breaches of the Bank Secrecy Act (BSA) and money laundering regulations. Investigations have revealed that the bank's leadership neglected escalating AML risks, prioritizing cost-cutting over robust compliance measures, which resulted in a failure to monitor a significant portion of its transaction volume (approximately 92%, totaling around $18.3 trillion, over a six-year period). These failures enabled criminal networks to launder over $670 million through TD Bank accounts. The regulatory missteps have also caused significant reputational damage, strained its North American growth ambitions, and led to a failed attempt to acquire U.S. lender First Horizon. TD is currently under a consent order from the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) and faces an asset cap on its U.S. subsidiary banks, highlighting the severity of its operational risk management failures. The bank is in the process of a multi-year remediation plan to strengthen its AML program, which is expected to incur increased expenses and impact its efficiency ratios.
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The Toronto-Dominion Bank faces several clear emerging threats:
- Digital-only banks (neobanks) and innovative FinTech companies: These entities leverage technology to offer highly competitive products with lower fees, superior digital user experiences, and specialized services. They directly challenge TD's traditional retail banking segments, including deposits, lending, and payments, potentially eroding its customer base, particularly among younger and digitally-savvy consumers, and diminishing the value of its extensive physical branch and ATM network.
- Expansion of Big Tech companies into financial services: Companies like Apple, Google, and Amazon are leveraging their vast user bases, data insights, and technological capabilities to offer a growing array of financial products and services. These include payment solutions (digital wallets, real-time payment initiatives), buy now, pay later (BNPL) offerings (e.g., Apple Pay Later), and potentially other lending or banking-like services. This trend threatens to disintermediate traditional banks from direct customer relationships, commoditize core banking services, and capture significant portions of payment processing and consumer credit.
- Proliferation of Buy Now, Pay Later (BNPL) platforms: These services offer short-term, interest-free installment financing at the point of sale. They directly compete with TD's traditional credit card and consumer lending products, capturing a rapidly growing share of consumer spending and potentially impacting TD's interest and fee revenue from its credit card and loan portfolios.
- Growth of robo-advisors and automated investment platforms: These low-cost, algorithm-driven platforms provide automated investment advice and portfolio management. They pose a significant threat to TD's wealth and asset management businesses by offering an accessible and often more affordable alternative, particularly for mass-market and digitally-inclined investors.
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Canadian Retail Segment
- Retail Banking: The Canadian retail banking market generated a revenue of USD 102.1 billion in 2024, projected to reach USD 174.1 billion by 2033.
- Credit Cards: The transaction value in the Canada Credit Cards Market is expected to reach USD 605 billion in annual spend in 2025.
- Auto Finance (Outstanding Loans): The Canadian auto finance market reached a valuation of CAD 145 billion in outstanding auto loans as of 2023.
- Life Insurance: The Canadian life insurance market had total gross written premiums of $71.7 billion in 2022.
- Health Insurance: The Canada health insurance market size is estimated at USD 81.25 billion in 2026, with a forecast to reach USD 133.19 billion by 2031.
- Property & Casualty Insurance: The Canada property and casualty insurance market is estimated at USD 60.50 billion in 2026, and is expected to grow to USD 82.7 billion by 2035.
U.S. Retail Segment
- Retail Banking: The United States retail banking market was valued at USD 870 billion in 2025 and is estimated to grow to USD 1,112.2 billion by 2031.
- Credit Card Balances: Credit card balances in the U.S. stood at $1.28 trillion.
- Home Mortgage Originations (Single-Family): Total single-family mortgage origination volume in the U.S. is expected to increase to $2.2 trillion in 2026 from $2.0 trillion in 2025.
- Auto Loans: The U.S. Auto Loan Market size is projected to be USD 676.20 billion in 2025, and is expected to reach USD 899.17 billion by 2031.
- Private Banking (Wealth Management): The United States private banking market is valued at USD 59.54 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 94.89 billion by 2030.
- Life Insurance: The U.S. life insurance market size was estimated at USD 1.93 trillion in 2024.
- Health Insurance: The U.S. healthcare insurance market generated a revenue of approximately USD 1.23 trillion in 2025, expected to reach approximately USD 1.80 trillion by 2033.
- Commercial Banking (Revenue): The U.S. Commercial Banking Market size is estimated at USD 226.44 billion in 2024, and is expected to reach USD 269.28 billion by 2029.
Wholesale Banking Segment
- Investment Banking (North America): The North American investment banking market had a valuation of USD 44.72 billion in 2025.
- Investment Banking (Global): The global investment banking market size was valued at USD 111.0 billion in 2024 and is poised to grow to USD 221.89 billion by 2033.
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- Strategic Cost Management and Operational Efficiency: TD is implementing significant cost-saving initiatives and aiming for improved operating leverage. This includes a comprehensive restructuring program designed to deliver C$2.0 billion to C$2.5 billion in annualized cost savings over the medium term, with targets of C$1.1 billion in cost reductions for fiscal years 2027 and 2028. Additionally, the bank anticipates generating approximately C$500 million annually in value from AI and process automation, which will contribute to a more efficient operating model.
- Continued Growth in Canadian Personal and Commercial Banking: This core segment consistently demonstrates strong performance. Drivers include increasing loan and deposit volumes, as well as higher loan margins. The bank reported record revenue and volume growth in Canadian Personal and Commercial Banking in recent quarters.
- Expansion of Wealth Management and Insurance Businesses: TD is focused on growing its wealth and asset management products and advice, as well as its property and casualty, and life and health insurance offerings. This segment has shown record assets, strong transaction revenue, and growth in insurance premiums, supported by strategic moves such as unifying discretionary businesses within Private Wealth Management.
- Robust Performance in Wholesale Banking and Capital Markets: The Wholesale Banking segment is a significant revenue driver, demonstrating broad-based strength across Global Markets and Corporate and Investment Banking. This includes robust fee and trading income, and the strategic leveraging of an integrated platform to deepen client relationships and diversify revenue.
- Leveraging Digital Transformation and Artificial Intelligence (AI): TD is investing in digital capabilities and harnessing AI to enhance the client experience, increase revenue, and drive efficiency. The bank aims to leverage AI to not only decrease costs but also increase revenue, projecting a combined annual boost of C$1 billion from AI initiatives.
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Share Repurchases
- Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD) announced a new normal course issuer bid (NCIB) to repurchase up to C$7 billion of its common shares, not exceeding 61 million shares, commencing January 20, 2026, and scheduled to terminate by January 15, 2027.
- This new NCIB followed the completion of an existing NCIB, under which TD repurchased 76.58 million common shares for approximately $7.53 billion (out of an authorized $8 billion) by December 31, 2025.
- The previous NCIB, authorizing the repurchase of up to 100 million common shares, commenced on March 3, 2025, and TD intended to deploy $8 billion from the sale of its Charles Schwab Corporation equity investment towards this program.
Share Issuance
- In July 2021, TD announced an offering of C$1.75 billion of 3.600% Non-Viability Contingent Capital (NVCC) Additional Tier 1 (AT1) Limited Recourse Capital Notes Series 1.
- In September 2022, TD announced an offering of C$1.5 billion of 7.283% NVCC AT1 Limited Recourse Capital Notes Series 2.
- In October 2022, TD announced an offering of US$1.75 billion of 8.125% NVCC AT1 Limited Recourse Capital Notes Series 3.
Outbound Investments
- TD made a US$13.4 billion offer for First Horizon Corp. on February 28, 2022, but the acquisition was mutually terminated on May 4, 2023, due to regulatory uncertainty. TD paid a $200 million termination fee and a $25 million fee reimbursement to First Horizon.
- In August 2022, TD acquired the US brokerage firm Cowen for US$1.3 billion in an all-cash transaction.
- In February 2025, TD announced its intention to sell its remaining 10.1% stake in The Charles Schwab Corporation for approximately US$14.6 billion, providing capital for strategic investments and share buybacks.
Capital Expenditures
- TD Bank's capital expenditures averaged $1.28 billion annually from fiscal years ending October 2021 to 2025.
- Capital expenditures peaked at $1.564 billion in October 2024 and reached a five-year low of $912.1 million in October 2021.
- For fiscal 2025, TD is prioritizing investments in its risk and control infrastructure and supporting business growth, including significant investments in technology and process improvements and new digital capabilities and AI.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 145.59 |
| Mkt Cap | 159.7 |
| Rev LTM | 51,090 |
| Op Inc LTM | - |
| FCF LTM | 9,920 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 10,806 |
| CFO LTM | 11,401 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 12,185 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 9.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 11.4% |
| Rev Chg Q | 8.8% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.1% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | - |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | - |
| Op Mgn LTM | - |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | - |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | - |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 34.9% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 40.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 30.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 36.0% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Canadian Personal and Commercial Banking | 20,686 | 19,790 | 18,317 | 16,586 | |
| Wealth Management and Insurance | 14,562 | 13,535 | 11,280 | 10,860 | |
| U.S. Retail | 12,305 | 13,713 | 14,442 | 12,425 | 10,758 |
| Corporate | 11,832 | 2,899 | 635 | 4,330 | 1,729 |
| Wholesale Banking | 8,392 | 7,286 | 5,818 | 4,831 | 4,700 |
| Brokerage-related and sub-advisory fees | -408 | -427 | |||
| Canadian Retail | 25,506 | ||||
| Total | 67,777 | 57,223 | 50,492 | 48,624 | 42,266 |
| $ Mil | 2015 | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 | 2011 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Canadian Retail | 7,891 | 6,944 | |||
| U.S. Retail | 2,506 | 2,217 | |||
| Wholesale Banking | 1,207 | 1,080 | 840 | 1,037 | 1,012 |
| Corporate | -2,434 | -1,166 | -1,142 | -867 | -1,270 |
| Canadian Personal and Commercial Banking | 4,975 | 4,513 | 4,938 | ||
| U.S. Personal and Commercial Banking | 1,800 | 1,227 | 1,576 | ||
| Wealth and Insurance | 1,060 | 1,419 | |||
| Wealth Management | 790 | ||||
| Total | 9,170 | 9,075 | 7,533 | 7,329 | 7,046 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Canadian Personal and Commercial Banking | 7,317 | 7,219 | 6,688 | 6,558 | |
| Corporate | 6,881 | -1,525 | -4,389 | 1,531 | -738 |
| Wealth Management and Insurance | 2,789 | 1,955 | 2,118 | 2,395 | |
| U.S. Retail | 1,941 | 75 | 5,595 | 5,620 | 4,985 |
| Wholesale Banking | 1,610 | 1,118 | 770 | 1,325 | 1,570 |
| Canadian Retail | 8,481 | ||||
| Total | 20,538 | 8,842 | 10,782 | 17,429 | 14,298 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wholesale Banking | 754,391 | 686,795 | 673,398 | 635,094 | 514,681 |
| Canadian Personal and Commercial Banking | 616,115 | 584,468 | 560,303 | 526,374 | |
| U.S. Retail | 530,729 | 606,572 | 560,585 | 585,297 | 559,503 |
| Corporate | 168,092 | 160,699 | 138,560 | 147,042 | 145,052 |
| Wealth Management and Insurance | 25,231 | 23,217 | 22,293 | 23,721 | |
| Canadian Retail | 509,436 | ||||
| Total | 2,094,558 | 2,061,751 | 1,955,139 | 1,917,528 | 1,728,672 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $118.82 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 197.3 | |
| First Trading Date | 08/30/1996 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -0.6% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $110.37 | $93.27 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | 7.7% | 27.4% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 17.2% | 16.6% |
| Downside Capture | 30.57 | 53.31 |
| Upside Capture | 102.97 | 104.95 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 57.0% | 52.0% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.93 | 0.89 | 0.98 | 0.92 | 0.74 | 0.55 |
| Up Beta | 1.49 | 0.91 | 0.73 | 0.65 | 0.58 | 0.44 |
| Down Beta | 0.69 | 0.85 | 1.18 | 0.87 | 0.67 | 0.37 |
| Up Capture | 90% | 114% | 118% | 139% | 106% | 54% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 13 | 28 | 36 | 67 | 141 | 432 |
| Stock +ve Days | 10 | 26 | 35 | 69 | 146 | 420 |
| Down Capture | 66% | 40% | 90% | 77% | 66% | 84% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 7 | 13 | 27 | 57 | 109 | 318 |
| Stock -ve Days | 10 | 14 | 27 | 54 | 100 | 323 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with TD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TD | 73.4% | 16.6% | 3.14 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 7.0% | 14.6% | 0.25 | 54.2% |
| Equity (SPY) | 23.3% | 12.5% | 1.40 | 51.7% |
| Gold (GLD) | 17.7% | 27.7% | 0.57 | 25.4% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 18.2% | 18.6% | 0.76 | -13.9% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 11.6% | 13.8% | 0.56 | 42.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -40.6% | 42.4% | -1.11 | 27.1% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with TD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TD | 15.5% | 19.8% | 0.65 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 9.5% | 18.6% | 0.39 | 63.0% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.2% | 17.1% | 0.60 | 54.7% |
| Gold (GLD) | 16.4% | 18.3% | 0.73 | 16.3% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 6.9% | 19.5% | 0.26 | 21.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 2.7% | 18.9% | 0.04 | 48.6% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 10.4% | 54.1% | 0.39 | 20.6% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with TD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TD | 15.3% | 21.7% | 0.63 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 13.4% | 22.1% | 0.55 | 73.2% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.3% | 18.0% | 0.73 | 65.4% |
| Gold (GLD) | 11.5% | 16.1% | 0.59 | 7.3% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 5.7% | 18.0% | 0.24 | 31.5% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.6% | 20.7% | 0.23 | 58.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 57.2% | 66.5% | 0.97 | 17.1% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Earnings Returns History
Updated 6/2/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| # Negative | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Median Positive | |||
| Median Negative | |||
| Max Positive | |||
| Max Negative | |||
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| # Negative | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Median Positive | |||
| Median Negative | |||
| Max Positive | |||
| Max Negative | |||
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 04/30/2021 | 05/27/2021 | 6-K |
| 01/31/2021 | 02/25/2021 | 6-K |
| 10/31/2020 | 12/03/2020 | 40-F |
| 07/31/2020 | 08/27/2020 | 6-K |
| 04/30/2020 | 05/28/2020 | 6-K |
| 01/31/2020 | 02/27/2020 | 6-K |
| 07/31/2019 | 08/29/2019 | 6-K |
| 04/30/2019 | 05/23/2019 | 6-K |
| 01/31/2019 | 02/28/2019 | 6-K |
| 07/31/2018 | 08/30/2018 | 6-K |
| 04/30/2018 | 05/24/2018 | 6-K |
| 01/31/2018 | 03/01/2018 | 6-K |
| 07/31/2017 | 08/31/2017 | 6-K |
| 04/30/2017 | 05/25/2017 | 6-K |
| 01/31/2017 | 03/02/2017 | 6-K |
| 07/31/2016 | 08/25/2016 | 6-K |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 04/30/2021 | 05/27/2021 | 6-K |
| 01/31/2021 | 02/25/2021 | 6-K |
| 10/31/2020 | 12/03/2020 | 40-F |
| 07/31/2020 | 08/27/2020 | 6-K |
| 04/30/2020 | 05/28/2020 | 6-K |
| 01/31/2020 | 02/27/2020 | 6-K |
| 07/31/2019 | 08/29/2019 | 6-K |
| 04/30/2019 | 05/23/2019 | 6-K |
| 01/31/2019 | 02/28/2019 | 6-K |
| 07/31/2018 | 08/30/2018 | 6-K |
| 04/30/2018 | 05/24/2018 | 6-K |
| 01/31/2018 | 03/01/2018 | 6-K |
| 07/31/2017 | 08/31/2017 | 6-K |
| 04/30/2017 | 05/25/2017 | 6-K |
| 01/31/2017 | 03/02/2017 | 6-K |
| 07/31/2016 | 08/25/2016 | 6-K |
| 04/30/2016 | 05/26/2016 | 6-K |
| 01/31/2016 | 02/25/2016 | 6-K |
| 07/31/2015 | 08/27/2015 | 6-K |
| 04/30/2015 | 05/28/2015 | 6-K |
| 01/31/2015 | 02/26/2015 | 6-K |
| 07/31/2014 | 08/28/2014 | 6-K |
| 04/30/2014 | 05/22/2014 | 6-K |
| 01/31/2014 | 02/27/2014 | 6-K |
| 07/31/2013 | 08/29/2013 | 6-K |
| 04/30/2013 | 05/23/2013 | 6-K |
| 01/31/2013 | 02/28/2013 | 6-K |
| 07/31/2012 | 08/30/2012 | 6-K |
Industry Resources
| Financials Resources |
| Federal Reserve Economic Data |
| Federal Reserve |
| FDIC Data |
| American Banker |
| The Banker |
| Banking Technology |
| Diversified Banks Resources |
| Retail Banker International |
| International Banker |
| Global Finance Magazine |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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