Aurora Innovation (AUR)
Market Price (3/21/2026): $4.16 | Market Cap: $8.0 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Research & Consulting Services
Aurora Innovation (AUR)
Market Price (3/21/2026): $4.16Market Cap: $8.0 BilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Research & Consulting Services
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -15% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -901 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -30033% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -48% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 2,664x |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, Future of Freight, and Autonomous Technologies. Themes include Autonomous Driving Technology, Show more. | Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 6267% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -19367%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -20400% | |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -14% | |
| Key risksAUR key risks include [1] a high cash burn rate necessitating continuous funding amid minimal revenue, Show more. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -15% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -48% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, Future of Freight, and Autonomous Technologies. Themes include Autonomous Driving Technology, Show more. |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -901 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -30033% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 2,664x |
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 6267% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -19367%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -20400% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -14% |
| Key risksAUR key risks include [1] a high cash burn rate necessitating continuous funding amid minimal revenue, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Aurora Innovation's Q4 2025 financial results presented a mixed picture, marked by continued substantial losses and high cash burn, offsetting an earnings beat. The company reported an EPS of -$0.11 for Q4 2025, exceeding analysts' expectations of -$0.12 by 8.33%. However, revenue for the quarter was $1 million, falling short of the $1.69 million projection by 40.83%. Aurora's Q4 operating loss reached $238 million, with full-year 2025 operating cash use at $581 million. Looking ahead, the company anticipates an average quarterly cash burn of approximately $190 million to $220 million in 2026, and expects to achieve positive free cash flow by 2028. This persistent cash utilization likely tempered investor enthusiasm despite the positive EPS surprise.
2. Significant operational expansion and an ambitious outlook for 2026 provided a foundational level of support for the stock. Aurora expanded its driverless network to 10 routes, effectively tripling its addressable market to 3.6 billion vehicle miles, including the introduction of a 1,000-mile lane between Fort Worth, Texas, and Phoenix, Arizona. The company is on track to launch a new fleet with second-generation hardware in Q2 2026 and aims to have over 200 driverless trucks in operation by the end of 2026. Aurora projects a substantial increase in revenue for 2026, targeting between $14 million and $16 million, representing a potential 400% year-over-year growth from 2025's $3 million. Furthermore, the company expects to reach an $80 million revenue run rate by the end of 2026. These advancements and future growth projections likely instilled confidence, preventing a sharper decline in stock value.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -1.4% change in AUR stock from 11/30/2025 to 3/20/2026 was primarily driven by a -32.8% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 11302025 | 3202026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 4.19 | 4.13 | -1.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 2 | 3 | 50.0% |
| P/S Multiple | 3,961.6 | 2,663.8 | -32.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 1,891 | 1,935 | -2.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -1.4% |
Market Drivers
11/30/2025 to 3/20/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| AUR | -1.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | -4.8% | 49.8% |
| Sector (XLI) | 5.2% | 44.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -26.6% change in AUR stock from 8/31/2025 to 3/20/2026 was primarily driven by a -73.5% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 8312025 | 3202026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 5.63 | 4.13 | -26.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1 | 3 | 200.0% |
| P/S Multiple | 10,049.5 | 2,663.8 | -73.5% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 1,785 | 1,935 | -7.8% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -26.6% |
Market Drivers
8/31/2025 to 3/20/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| AUR | -26.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 1.1% | 51.3% |
| Sector (XLI) | 6.8% | 49.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -43.2% change in AUR stock from 2/28/2025 to 3/20/2026 was primarily driven by a null change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 2282025 | 3202026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 7.27 | 4.13 | -43.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 0 | 3 | 9.2233720368547763E17% |
| P/S Multiple | ∞ | 2,663.8 | |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 1,726 | 1,935 | -10.8% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2025 to 3/20/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| AUR | -43.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 10.4% | 60.4% |
| Sector (XLI) | 19.8% | 59.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 164.7% change in AUR stock from 2/28/2023 to 3/20/2026 was primarily driven by a 9901.4% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 2282023 | 3202026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 1.56 | 4.13 | 164.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 68 | 3 | -95.6% |
| P/S Multiple | 26.6 | 2,663.8 | 9901.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 1,161 | 1,935 | -40.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 164.7% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2023 to 3/20/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| AUR | 164.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 70.3% | 42.0% |
| Sector (XLI) | 67.1% | 40.7% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| AUR Return | 13% | -89% | 261% | 44% | -39% | 9% | -58% |
| Peers Return | 47% | -32% | 45% | 3% | 21% | -16% | 52% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -3% | 76% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| AUR Win Rate | 62% | 25% | 50% | 50% | 33% | 67% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 72% | 33% | 58% | 50% | 55% | 7% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 33% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| AUR Max Drawdown | -4% | -90% | -5% | -51% | -40% | -2% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -8% | -44% | -13% | -42% | -33% | -17% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -3% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: KDK, GOOGL, MBLY, APTV, TSLA.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 3/20/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | AUR | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -93.3% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 1400.9% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
Compare to KDK, GOOGL, MBLY, APTV, TSLA
In The Past
Aurora Innovation's stock fell -93.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/19/2021. A -93.3% loss requires a 1400.9% gain to breakeven.
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About Aurora Innovation (AUR)
AI Analysis | Feedback
The Android for self-driving vehicles.
Like Waymo or Cruise, but specializing in autonomous trucks and commercial logistics.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Aurora Driver: A comprehensive self-driving technology platform that integrates hardware, software, and data services to enable autonomous operation across passenger vehicles, light commercial vehicles, and trucks.
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Aurora Innovation (AUR) primarily sells its self-driving technology platform, Aurora Driver, to other companies. Its major customers and partners include:
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```html- PACCAR Inc. (PCAR)
- Volvo Group (VOLV-B)
- Continental AG (CON)
- NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA)
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Chris Urmson, Chief Executive Officer and Chairman
Chris Urmson is a co-founder of Aurora Innovation, established in 2017, and has served as its CEO and a director since its inception. Prior to co-founding Aurora, he was instrumental in building Google's self-driving program from 2009 to 2016, where he held the position of Chief Technology Officer. Urmson also has decades of experience leading automated vehicle programs, including serving as the Director of Technology for Carnegie Mellon's DARPA Grand and Urban Challenge Teams, which achieved significant placements, including first in 2007.
David Maday, Chief Financial Officer
David Maday has served as Aurora's Chief Financial Officer since June 2023. Before this role, he was the Senior Vice President of Business Development and Product Strategy at Aurora starting in August 2021, and Vice President of Business Development and Product Strategy from September 2020. Prior to joining Aurora, Maday spent over 20 years at General Motors (GM), where he held various senior leadership positions. His roles at GM included Vice President within the Corporate Development and Global Mergers & Acquisitions team from September 2019 to September 2020, and Executive Director from January 2016 to September 2019, where he developed and executed multi-billion dollar partnerships.
James Andrew Bagnell, Co-Founder and Chief Scientist
James Andrew Bagnell is a co-founder of Aurora and currently serves as Chief Scientist. He served as Chief Technical Officer of Aurora from December 2016 until July 2020 and has led software engineering throughout much of Aurora's history. With over two decades of experience at the intersection of machine learning and robotics in industrial and academic roles, he also holds a position as a Consulting Professor at Carnegie Mellon University's Robotics Institute and Machine Learning Department. Before co-founding Aurora, Bagnell was the Head of Perception and Autonomy Architect at Uber's Advanced Technology Group from January 2015 to December 2016 and a professor at Carnegie Mellon from 2004-2018.
Ossa Fisher, President
Ossa Fisher has served as President at Aurora since February 2023. She brings over 20 years of leadership experience in strategy, operations, and business functions across a diverse range of technology organizations. Before joining Aurora, Ms. Fisher was President and Chief Operating Officer at Istation from 2019 to 2022, overseeing various functions including engineering, product, sales, marketing, and customer success.
Nolan Shenai, General Counsel & Secretary
Nolan Shenai holds the position of General Counsel & Secretary at Aurora Innovation. Additional detailed background information on previous companies founded or managed, company sales to acquirers, or a pattern of managing private equity-backed companies was not readily available in the search results.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to Aurora Innovation (AUR) primarily revolve around the significant financial demands of developing and commercializing autonomous vehicle technology, coupled with the complex regulatory landscape and intense competition.
- Financial Challenges and Capital Requirements: Aurora Innovation faces substantial ongoing operating losses and a high cash burn rate due to the capital-intensive nature of developing self-driving technology. The company has minimal revenue and consistently requires significant additional capital to fund its research and development, as well as its commercialization efforts. This continuous need for financing poses a risk of dilution for shareholders and questions regarding long-term financial sustainability.
- Regulatory Hurdles and Market Adoption: The autonomous vehicle industry is subject to evolving and potentially inconsistent regulations across different jurisdictions, which can significantly impact the deployment and commercialization of Aurora's technology. Beyond regulatory approvals, there's also the challenge of achieving widespread public trust and market acceptance for self-driving vehicles, particularly given ongoing safety concerns. Delays in establishing clear regulatory frameworks or slower-than-anticipated adoption rates could impede Aurora's growth and profitability.
- Intense Competition and Execution Risk: Aurora operates in a highly competitive market with numerous well-funded companies, including other technology firms and established automotive manufacturers, all vying to develop and deploy autonomous driving solutions. The company also faces significant execution risks in scaling its driverless operations from pilot programs to large-scale commercial networks. This includes challenges in complex integration, real-world validation, and potentially eroding partnerships, which could impact its ability to maintain a competitive edge and achieve its operational targets.
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The clear emerging threat to Aurora Innovation is the potential for dominant autonomous vehicle companies, particularly those backed by major tech giants or automotive OEMs (such as Waymo or GM's Cruise), to achieve significant market penetration through a vertically integrated strategy. These entities develop their own full-stack self-driving technology, often control or deeply integrate with their vehicle fleets, and operate their own commercial services (e.g., ride-hailing, trucking). If this integrated model becomes the prevailing and most successful pathway to commercialization, it could significantly diminish the market opportunity for a pure-play technology provider like Aurora, which aims to license its "Aurora Driver" platform to external partners. This approach could reduce the need for potential customers to license third-party self-driving software, as they might instead partner with or be supplanted by these fully integrated competitors.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Aurora Innovation (NASDAQ: AUR) is developing self-driving technology for the trucking and ride-hailing industries, addressing significant market opportunities in these sectors. For autonomous trucking, Aurora Innovation's management characterizes the total addressable market as approximately $1 trillion. Specifically within the U.S., the self-driving truck technology market is projected to reach a valuation of $5,135.9 billion in 2024 and is anticipated to grow to $14,357.1 billion by 2033. Another estimate for the U.S. autonomous long-haul trucking market valued it at $1.3 billion in 2024 and forecasts growth to $42.6 billion by 2034. The North American autonomous trucks market is projected to reach $65.4 billion by 2035. In the ride-hailing sector, Aurora's management identifies the U.S. ride-hailing market as a $60-$70 billion opportunity. The U.S. robo taxi market was estimated at $0.45 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow significantly from 2025 to 2030. By 2030, autonomous vehicles are expected to generate $7 billion in annual revenue and capture about 8% of the U.S. rideshare market. The North American autonomous ride-sharing fleets market is expected to surpass $25.1 billion by 2032.AI Analysis | Feedback
Aurora Innovation (NASDAQ: AUR) is anticipated to drive future revenue growth over the next two to three years through several key initiatives in its self-driving technology platform.
- Scaling of Commercial Driverless Trucking Operations (Aurora Horizon): The primary driver for near-term revenue growth is the expansion of Aurora's driverless trucking operations. Having launched its first driverless commercial trucking operations in 2025, the company plans to deploy over 200 driverless trucks by the end of 2026. This expansion is expected to nearly triple the addressable market to over 3.6 billion vehicle miles traveled by opening seven additional driverless lanes. Aurora forecasts a 400% year-over-year revenue growth at the midpoint for 2026, targeting $14 million to $16 million. The "Driver-as-a-Service" model will be priced similarly to human driver equivalents.
- Expansion of Operational Design Domain (ODD) and Route Network: Aurora's ability to expand its operational routes beyond initial deployments in the Sunbelt (e.g., Dallas to Houston, and Phoenix in 2025) will fuel revenue growth. Future expansion will be guided by customer demand, extending to the Midwest and both coasts. New capabilities in handling adverse weather conditions such as rain, fog, and heavy wind, as well as multi-lane and endpoint deliveries, are critical for enabling broader route expansion and increasing service availability.
- Launch of Second-Generation Hardware Kit for Cost Reduction: While not a direct revenue driver, the introduction of a second-generation hardware kit, with production planned by Continental to start in 2027, is expected to significantly reduce hardware costs by over 50%. This substantial cost reduction is anticipated to enhance profitability and potentially allow for more competitive pricing, indirectly stimulating customer adoption and revenue growth in the long run.
- Growth in Strategic Partnerships and Customer Acquisition: Aurora's existing partnerships with industry leaders like PACCAR, Toyota, Volvo Trucks, FedEx, Uber Freight, Werner, and Schneider are crucial for scaling. The company has already secured contracts for its anticipated launch capacity, and further customer acquisition, such as the new agreement with Detmar Logistics, will directly lead to the deployment of more driverless trucks and the expansion of service lanes, thereby increasing revenue.
- Diversification into Autonomous Ride-Hailing (Aurora Connect): Beyond trucking, Aurora is establishing a foundation for diversification into autonomous ride-hailing services. The integration of the Aurora Driver system into Toyota Sienna minivans is underway, with a commercial launch projected for late 2026. Analysts anticipate initial revenue of $1 million from this segment in 2026, with significant growth expected by 2030, marking a new revenue stream for the company.
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Share Issuance
- In 2023, Aurora completed a private placement to institutional and strategic investors, raising $600 million.
- In July 2023, the company also completed a public offering, raising approximately $220 million.
- In 2024, Aurora completed another public offering, raising $466 million.
- An at-the-market (ATM) offering in Q3 2025 raised a net of $460 million through the issuance of approximately 80 million shares.
Inbound Investments
- Aurora received a $600 million investment through a Post IPO private placement round in July 2023, with participation from strategic investors including Uber.
Capital Expenditures
- Aurora's net cash used in operating activities was $581 million in 2025, reflecting substantial investment in technology, operations, and commercialization.
- The company's net investment was -$245 million in FY2025.
- Anticipated average quarterly cash use for 2026 is projected to be $190–$220 million, which will include capital expenditures for ongoing development and commercialization efforts.
- A primary focus of capital allocation has been on developing the Aurora Driver, including its next-generation sensing suite with proprietary FirstLight Lidar, and a truck program to provide driverless capacity.
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Research & Analysis
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 37.86 |
| Mkt Cap | 11.3 |
| Rev LTM | 11,146 |
| Op Inc LTM | 952 |
| FCF LTM | 1,026 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 1,378 |
| CFO LTM | 1,394 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 2,176 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 3.5% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 5.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | -3.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.2% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -9.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 8.5% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.4% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 13.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 19.9% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 7.0% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 13.6% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 11.3 |
| P/S | 10.8 |
| P/EBIT | 4.6 |
| P/E | 12.6 |
| P/CFO | 8.5 |
| Total Yield | -3.0% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.0% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -14.4% |
| 3M Rtn | -18.3% |
| 6M Rtn | -16.9% |
| 12M Rtn | 4.8% |
| 3Y Rtn | 43.5% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -9.8% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -9.8% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -14.1% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -10.0% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -14.9% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $4.13 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 8.0 | |
| First Trading Date | 05/10/2021 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -49.3% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $4.48 | $5.05 |
| DMA Trend | down | up |
| Distance from DMA | -7.7% | -18.1% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 60.6% | 64.8% |
| Downside Capture | 200.24 | 275.83 |
| Upside Capture | 260.26 | 176.68 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 53.6% | 59.2% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 3.75 | 3.23 | 3.13 | 2.55 | 2.09 | 2.48 |
| Up Beta | 5.18 | 6.25 | 5.24 | 3.57 | 2.00 | 2.21 |
| Down Beta | 2.91 | 3.04 | 2.58 | 2.44 | 1.92 | 2.39 |
| Up Capture | 461% | 374% | 368% | 215% | 320% | 8720% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 9 | 20 | 31 | 70 | 142 | 431 |
| Stock +ve Days | 12 | 24 | 32 | 63 | 124 | 372 |
| Down Capture | 268% | 148% | 220% | 218% | 159% | 113% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 12 | 21 | 30 | 54 | 109 | 320 |
| Stock -ve Days | 9 | 17 | 28 | 59 | 122 | 363 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with AUR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AUR | -44.1% | 65.0% | -0.64 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 22.3% | 19.1% | 0.93 | 59.2% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.8% | 18.9% | 0.64 | 59.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 48.2% | 27.0% | 1.45 | 14.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 17.8% | 17.4% | 0.83 | 21.7% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 1.0% | 16.4% | -0.11 | 37.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -19.0% | 44.2% | -0.35 | 38.0% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with AUR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AUR | -15.4% | 90.3% | 0.20 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 12.3% | 17.1% | 0.56 | 38.3% |
| Equity (SPY) | 11.8% | 17.0% | 0.54 | 43.1% |
| Gold (GLD) | 20.7% | 17.5% | 0.97 | 10.9% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 10.9% | 19.0% | 0.46 | 8.3% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 2.8% | 18.8% | 0.06 | 32.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 4.7% | 56.7% | 0.30 | 25.2% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with AUR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AUR | -8.0% | 90.3% | 0.20 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 13.5% | 19.8% | 0.60 | 38.3% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.2% | 17.9% | 0.68 | 43.1% |
| Gold (GLD) | 13.3% | 15.7% | 0.70 | 10.9% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.3% | 17.6% | 0.39 | 8.3% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.0% | 20.7% | 0.21 | 32.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 66.9% | 66.8% | 1.06 | 25.2% |
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Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 2/11/2026 | -3.2% | 11.5% | -6.4% |
| 10/28/2025 | -1.9% | -13.7% | -22.1% |
| 7/30/2025 | 0.3% | 4.3% | -0.3% |
| 5/8/2025 | -6.1% | -12.0% | -24.1% |
| 2/12/2025 | 46.0% | 28.8% | 8.1% |
| 10/30/2024 | -21.8% | -14.0% | -2.6% |
| 7/31/2024 | 1.8% | -17.2% | 11.7% |
| 5/8/2024 | 7.4% | -13.1% | -32.1% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 8 | 6 | 6 |
| # Negative | 9 | 11 | 11 |
| Median Positive | 3.9% | 10.2% | 7.8% |
| Median Negative | -5.0% | -14.0% | -24.1% |
| Max Positive | 46.0% | 28.8% | 33.7% |
| Max Negative | -21.8% | -22.5% | -32.1% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2025 | 02/11/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 10/28/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 07/30/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/08/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/14/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 10/31/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 07/31/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/09/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/15/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/02/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/03/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/04/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/21/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/03/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/12/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/12/2022 | 10-Q |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Urmson, Christopher | Chief Executive Officer | Held by the Urmson Family Revocable Trust | Buy | 11262025 | 3.88 | 258,000 | 1,000,627 | 1,000,627 | Form |
| 2 | Bagley, Brittany | Direct | Sell | 10022025 | 5.39 | 50,000 | 269,675 | 2,148,619 | Form | |
| 3 | Donahoe, John J | Held by the Donahoe Living Trust | Buy | 8072025 | 6.10 | 162,337 | 989,460 | 989,460 | Form | |
| 4 | Boyland, Gloria R | Direct | Sell | 6092025 | 5.92 | 46,097 | 272,673 | 1,954,530 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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