Tearsheet

Aurora Innovation (AUR)


Market Price (5/10/2026): $7.0 | Market Cap: $13.6 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Automotive Parts & Equipment

Aurora Innovation (AUR)


Market Price (5/10/2026): $7.0
Market Cap: $13.6 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Automotive Parts & Equipment

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, Future of Freight, and Autonomous Technologies. Themes include Autonomous Driving Technology, Show more.

Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 11.71

Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -934 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -23350%

Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 3,448x

Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 5000%

Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -14950%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -16150%

Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -10%

Key risks
AUR key risks include [1] a high cash burn rate necessitating continuous funding amid minimal revenue, Show more.

0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, Future of Freight, and Autonomous Technologies. Themes include Autonomous Driving Technology, Show more.
1 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 11.71
2 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -934 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -23350%
3 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 3,448x
4 Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 5000%
5 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -14950%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -16150%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -10%
7 Key risks
AUR key risks include [1] a high cash burn rate necessitating continuous funding amid minimal revenue, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Aurora Innovation (AUR) stock has gained about 70% since 1/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Positive Earnings and Robust 2026 Outlook.

Aurora Innovation reported better-than-expected earnings per share (EPS) for both Q4 2025 and Q1 2026, surpassing analyst estimates by 8.33% and 9.09% respectively. Crucially, the company projected significant revenue growth for full-year 2026, anticipating a 400% year-over-year increase to a midpoint of $15 million, with an expected $80 million revenue run-rate by year-end, supported by a target of over 200 driverless trucks in operation.

2. Major Commercial Traction through Expanded Partnerships.

Aurora significantly expanded its commercial footprint by signing a non-binding Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) with Hirschbach Motor Lines on April 30, 2026, for Hirschbach to acquire 500 Aurora Driver-powered trucks beginning in 2027. This agreement is projected to generate a multi-year revenue stream for Aurora valued in the hundreds of millions of dollars and enable 500 million driverless miles. Further strengthening its market position, Aurora also announced new partnerships in May 2026 with Volvo to launch autonomous truck routes and with McLane Company to integrate autonomous trucks into the U.S. restaurant supply chain.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 66.7% change in AUR stock from 1/31/2026 to 5/10/2026 was primarily driven by a 100.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)13120265102026Change
Stock Price ($)4.207.0066.7%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)24100.0%
P/S Multiple3,971.13,409.0-14.2%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1,8911,948-2.9%
Cumulative Contribution66.7%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2026 to 5/10/2026
ReturnCorrelation
AUR68.6% 
Market (SPY)3.6%61.2%
Sector (XLY)-0.6%52.2%

Fundamental Drivers

The 33.6% change in AUR stock from 10/31/2025 to 5/10/2026 was primarily driven by a 100.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)103120255102026Change
Stock Price ($)5.247.0033.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)24100.0%
P/S Multiple4,954.43,409.0-31.2%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1,8911,948-2.9%
Cumulative Contribution33.6%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

10/31/2025 to 5/10/2026
ReturnCorrelation
AUR35.1% 
Market (SPY)5.5%54.6%
Sector (XLY)0.6%45.4%

Fundamental Drivers

The -3.3% change in AUR stock from 4/30/2025 to 5/10/2026 was primarily driven by a null change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)43020255102026Change
Stock Price ($)7.247.00-3.3%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)049.2233720368547763E17%
P/S Multiple3,409.0 
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1,7261,948-11.4%
Cumulative Contribution0.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2025 to 5/10/2026
ReturnCorrelation
AUR-2.2% 
Market (SPY)30.4%52.8%
Sector (XLY)22.8%43.5%

Fundamental Drivers

The 389.5% change in AUR stock from 4/30/2023 to 5/10/2026 was primarily driven by a 13862.6% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)43020235102026Change
Stock Price ($)1.437.00389.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)684-94.1%
P/S Multiple24.43,409.013862.6%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1,1611,948-40.4%
Cumulative Contribution389.5%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2023 to 5/10/2026
ReturnCorrelation
AUR395.1% 
Market (SPY)78.7%42.6%
Sector (XLY)66.6%43.5%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
AUR Return13%-89%261%44%-39%86%-29%
Peers Return47%-32%45%3%21%-8%67%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%7%95%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
AUR Win Rate62%25%50%50%33%80% 
Peers Win Rate72%33%58%50%55%36% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%60% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
AUR Max Drawdown-4%-90%-5%-51%-40%-2% 
Peers Max Drawdown-8%-44%-13%-42%-33%-28% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%-7% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: KDK, GOOGL, MBLY, APTV, TSLA.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 5/8/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventAURS&P 500
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-44.1%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven79.0%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven44 days24 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-36.1%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven56.5%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven79 days31 days

Compare to KDK, GOOGL, MBLY, APTV, TSLA

In The Past

Aurora Innovation's stock fell 0.0% during the 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind. Such a loss loss requires a 0.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventAURS&P 500
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-44.1%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven79.0%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven44 days24 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-36.1%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven56.5%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven79 days31 days

Compare to KDK, GOOGL, MBLY, APTV, TSLA

In The Past

Aurora Innovation's stock fell 0.0% during the 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind. Such a loss loss requires a 0.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Aurora Innovation (AUR)

Aurora Innovation, Inc. operates as a self-driving technology company in the United States. It focuses on developing Aurora Driver, a platform that brings a suite of self-driving hardware, software, and data services together to adapt and interoperate passenger vehicles, light commercial vehicles, and trucks. The company was founded in 2017 and is headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The Android for self-driving vehicles.

Like Waymo or Cruise, but specializing in autonomous trucks and commercial logistics.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Aurora Driver: A comprehensive self-driving technology platform that integrates hardware, software, and data services to enable autonomous operation across passenger vehicles, light commercial vehicles, and trucks.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Aurora Innovation (AUR) primarily sells its self-driving technology platform, Aurora Driver, to other companies. Its major customers and partners include:

  • PACCAR (PCAR)
  • Volvo Autonomous Solutions (part of Volvo Group, whose shares trade under ticker VOLVY in the US and VOLV B on Nasdaq Stockholm)
  • Uber Freight (part of Uber Technologies, UBER)
  • Toyota (TM)
  • FedEx (FDX)

AI Analysis | Feedback

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  • PACCAR Inc. (PCAR)
  • Volvo Group (VOLV-B)
  • Continental AG (CON)
  • NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA)
```

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Chris Urmson, Chief Executive Officer and Chairman

Chris Urmson is a co-founder of Aurora Innovation, established in 2017, and has served as its CEO and a director since its inception. Prior to co-founding Aurora, he was instrumental in building Google's self-driving program from 2009 to 2016, where he held the position of Chief Technology Officer. Urmson also has decades of experience leading automated vehicle programs, including serving as the Director of Technology for Carnegie Mellon's DARPA Grand and Urban Challenge Teams, which achieved significant placements, including first in 2007.

David Maday, Chief Financial Officer

David Maday has served as Aurora's Chief Financial Officer since June 2023. Before this role, he was the Senior Vice President of Business Development and Product Strategy at Aurora starting in August 2021, and Vice President of Business Development and Product Strategy from September 2020. Prior to joining Aurora, Maday spent over 20 years at General Motors (GM), where he held various senior leadership positions. His roles at GM included Vice President within the Corporate Development and Global Mergers & Acquisitions team from September 2019 to September 2020, and Executive Director from January 2016 to September 2019, where he developed and executed multi-billion dollar partnerships.

James Andrew Bagnell, Co-Founder and Chief Scientist

James Andrew Bagnell is a co-founder of Aurora and currently serves as Chief Scientist. He served as Chief Technical Officer of Aurora from December 2016 until July 2020 and has led software engineering throughout much of Aurora's history. With over two decades of experience at the intersection of machine learning and robotics in industrial and academic roles, he also holds a position as a Consulting Professor at Carnegie Mellon University's Robotics Institute and Machine Learning Department. Before co-founding Aurora, Bagnell was the Head of Perception and Autonomy Architect at Uber's Advanced Technology Group from January 2015 to December 2016 and a professor at Carnegie Mellon from 2004-2018.

Ossa Fisher, President

Ossa Fisher has served as President at Aurora since February 2023. She brings over 20 years of leadership experience in strategy, operations, and business functions across a diverse range of technology organizations. Before joining Aurora, Ms. Fisher was President and Chief Operating Officer at Istation from 2019 to 2022, overseeing various functions including engineering, product, sales, marketing, and customer success.

Nolan Shenai, General Counsel & Secretary

Nolan Shenai holds the position of General Counsel & Secretary at Aurora Innovation. Additional detailed background information on previous companies founded or managed, company sales to acquirers, or a pattern of managing private equity-backed companies was not readily available in the search results.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The key risks to Aurora Innovation (AUR) primarily revolve around the significant financial demands of developing and commercializing autonomous vehicle technology, coupled with the complex regulatory landscape and intense competition.

  1. Financial Challenges and Capital Requirements: Aurora Innovation faces substantial ongoing operating losses and a high cash burn rate due to the capital-intensive nature of developing self-driving technology. The company has minimal revenue and consistently requires significant additional capital to fund its research and development, as well as its commercialization efforts. This continuous need for financing poses a risk of dilution for shareholders and questions regarding long-term financial sustainability.
  2. Regulatory Hurdles and Market Adoption: The autonomous vehicle industry is subject to evolving and potentially inconsistent regulations across different jurisdictions, which can significantly impact the deployment and commercialization of Aurora's technology. Beyond regulatory approvals, there's also the challenge of achieving widespread public trust and market acceptance for self-driving vehicles, particularly given ongoing safety concerns. Delays in establishing clear regulatory frameworks or slower-than-anticipated adoption rates could impede Aurora's growth and profitability.
  3. Intense Competition and Execution Risk: Aurora operates in a highly competitive market with numerous well-funded companies, including other technology firms and established automotive manufacturers, all vying to develop and deploy autonomous driving solutions. The company also faces significant execution risks in scaling its driverless operations from pilot programs to large-scale commercial networks. This includes challenges in complex integration, real-world validation, and potentially eroding partnerships, which could impact its ability to maintain a competitive edge and achieve its operational targets.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The clear emerging threat to Aurora Innovation is the potential for dominant autonomous vehicle companies, particularly those backed by major tech giants or automotive OEMs (such as Waymo or GM's Cruise), to achieve significant market penetration through a vertically integrated strategy. These entities develop their own full-stack self-driving technology, often control or deeply integrate with their vehicle fleets, and operate their own commercial services (e.g., ride-hailing, trucking). If this integrated model becomes the prevailing and most successful pathway to commercialization, it could significantly diminish the market opportunity for a pure-play technology provider like Aurora, which aims to license its "Aurora Driver" platform to external partners. This approach could reduce the need for potential customers to license third-party self-driving software, as they might instead partner with or be supplanted by these fully integrated competitors.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Aurora Innovation (NASDAQ: AUR) is developing self-driving technology for the trucking and ride-hailing industries, addressing significant market opportunities in these sectors. For autonomous trucking, Aurora Innovation's management characterizes the total addressable market as approximately $1 trillion. Specifically within the U.S., the self-driving truck technology market is projected to reach a valuation of $5,135.9 billion in 2024 and is anticipated to grow to $14,357.1 billion by 2033. Another estimate for the U.S. autonomous long-haul trucking market valued it at $1.3 billion in 2024 and forecasts growth to $42.6 billion by 2034. The North American autonomous trucks market is projected to reach $65.4 billion by 2035. In the ride-hailing sector, Aurora's management identifies the U.S. ride-hailing market as a $60-$70 billion opportunity. The U.S. robo taxi market was estimated at $0.45 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow significantly from 2025 to 2030. By 2030, autonomous vehicles are expected to generate $7 billion in annual revenue and capture about 8% of the U.S. rideshare market. The North American autonomous ride-sharing fleets market is expected to surpass $25.1 billion by 2032.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Aurora Innovation (NASDAQ: AUR) is anticipated to drive future revenue growth over the next two to three years through several key initiatives in its self-driving technology platform.

  1. Scaling of Commercial Driverless Trucking Operations (Aurora Horizon): The primary driver for near-term revenue growth is the expansion of Aurora's driverless trucking operations. Having launched its first driverless commercial trucking operations in 2025, the company plans to deploy over 200 driverless trucks by the end of 2026. This expansion is expected to nearly triple the addressable market to over 3.6 billion vehicle miles traveled by opening seven additional driverless lanes. Aurora forecasts a 400% year-over-year revenue growth at the midpoint for 2026, targeting $14 million to $16 million. The "Driver-as-a-Service" model will be priced similarly to human driver equivalents.
  2. Expansion of Operational Design Domain (ODD) and Route Network: Aurora's ability to expand its operational routes beyond initial deployments in the Sunbelt (e.g., Dallas to Houston, and Phoenix in 2025) will fuel revenue growth. Future expansion will be guided by customer demand, extending to the Midwest and both coasts. New capabilities in handling adverse weather conditions such as rain, fog, and heavy wind, as well as multi-lane and endpoint deliveries, are critical for enabling broader route expansion and increasing service availability.
  3. Launch of Second-Generation Hardware Kit for Cost Reduction: While not a direct revenue driver, the introduction of a second-generation hardware kit, with production planned by Continental to start in 2027, is expected to significantly reduce hardware costs by over 50%. This substantial cost reduction is anticipated to enhance profitability and potentially allow for more competitive pricing, indirectly stimulating customer adoption and revenue growth in the long run.
  4. Growth in Strategic Partnerships and Customer Acquisition: Aurora's existing partnerships with industry leaders like PACCAR, Toyota, Volvo Trucks, FedEx, Uber Freight, Werner, and Schneider are crucial for scaling. The company has already secured contracts for its anticipated launch capacity, and further customer acquisition, such as the new agreement with Detmar Logistics, will directly lead to the deployment of more driverless trucks and the expansion of service lanes, thereby increasing revenue.
  5. Diversification into Autonomous Ride-Hailing (Aurora Connect): Beyond trucking, Aurora is establishing a foundation for diversification into autonomous ride-hailing services. The integration of the Aurora Driver system into Toyota Sienna minivans is underway, with a commercial launch projected for late 2026. Analysts anticipate initial revenue of $1 million from this segment in 2026, with significant growth expected by 2030, marking a new revenue stream for the company.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Issuance

  • In 2023, Aurora completed a private placement to institutional and strategic investors, raising $600 million.
  • In July 2023, the company also completed a public offering, raising approximately $220 million.
  • In 2024, Aurora completed another public offering, raising $466 million.
  • An at-the-market (ATM) offering in Q3 2025 raised a net of $460 million through the issuance of approximately 80 million shares.

Inbound Investments

  • Aurora received a $600 million investment through a Post IPO private placement round in July 2023, with participation from strategic investors including Uber.

Capital Expenditures

  • Aurora's net cash used in operating activities was $581 million in 2025, reflecting substantial investment in technology, operations, and commercialization.
  • The company's net investment was -$245 million in FY2025.
  • Anticipated average quarterly cash use for 2026 is projected to be $190–$220 million, which will include capital expenditures for ongoing development and commercialization efforts.
  • A primary focus of capital allocation has been on developing the Aurora Driver, including its next-generation sensing suite with proprietary FirstLight Lidar, and a truck program to provide driverless capacity.

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Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

AURKDKGOOGLMBLYAPTVTSLAMedian
NameAurora I.Kodiak AIAlphabet Mobileye.Aptiv Tesla  
Mkt Price7.006.97399.509.2357.76427.9833.49
Mkt Cap13.61.24,833.67.512.31,384.113.0
Rev LTM44422,4992,01420,65997,87911,336
Op Inc LTM-934-132138,129-4311,9725,297920
FCF LTM-646-13364,4294731,0917,000782
FCF 3Y Avg-639-69,4743461,3505,0541,350
CFO LTM-598-107174,3535681,76916,5281,168
CFO 3Y Avg-604-138,0134332,13114,7832,131

Growth & Margins

AURKDKGOOGLMBLYAPTVTSLAMedian
NameAurora I.Kodiak AIAlphabet Mobileye.Aptiv Tesla  
Rev Chg LTM--74.0%17.5%8.7%5.2%2.3%5.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg--14.1%1.5%4.6%4.5%4.5%
Rev Chg Q-24.4%21.8%27.4%5.4%15.8%21.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM33.3%9.5%4.9%6.3%1.3%3.2%5.6%
Op Inc Chg LTM-16.2%-108.4%17.5%-5.4%-4.4%-25.2%-10.8%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg-5.4%-24.3%-94.8%12.3%-24.0%-5.4%
Op Mgn LTM-23,350.0%-3,173.2%32.7%-21.4%9.5%5.4%-8.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg--31.5%-17.9%9.8%6.9%8.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM6,683.3%-207.0%0.7%1.8%-0.3%0.3%0.5%
CFO/Rev LTM-14,950.0%-2,584.9%41.3%28.2%8.6%16.9%12.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg--37.3%22.6%10.6%15.4%19.0%
FCF/Rev LTM-16,150.0%-3,192.2%15.2%23.5%5.3%7.2%6.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg--19.3%18.0%6.7%5.2%12.4%

Valuation

AURKDKGOOGLMBLYAPTVTSLAMedian
NameAurora I.Kodiak AIAlphabet Mobileye.Aptiv Tesla  
Mkt Cap13.61.24,833.67.512.31,384.113.0
P/S3,409.0296.011.43.70.614.112.8
P/Op Inc-14.6-9.335.0-17.56.2261.3-1.5
P/EBIT-14.6-2.924.7-17.510.2239.63.7
P/E-16.4-2.930.2-1.833.7358.414.2
P/CFO-22.8-11.427.713.37.083.710.1
Total Yield-6.0%-33.7%3.5%-54.7%3.0%0.3%-2.9%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.2%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-9.4%-3.2%4.2%8.5%0.5%3.2%
D/E0.00.00.00.00.80.00.0
Net D/E-0.1-0.0-0.0-0.20.5-0.0-0.0

Returns

AURKDKGOOGLMBLYAPTVTSLAMedian
NameAurora I.Kodiak AIAlphabet Mobileye.Aptiv Tesla  
1M Rtn68.7%-8.8%25.9%27.5%-3.2%22.6%24.3%
3M Rtn63.6%-23.8%23.8%6.0%-29.9%4.1%5.0%
6M Rtn62.0%-10.5%43.5%-26.8%-31.0%-0.4%-5.4%
12M Rtn-3.8%-6.1%162.4%-43.4%-6.8%43.5%-5.0%
3Y Rtn379.5%-6.1%245.5%-76.3%-38.7%148.7%71.3%
1M Excs Rtn65.4%-18.6%17.0%19.6%-12.3%15.4%16.2%
3M Excs Rtn56.9%-30.3%17.1%-0.8%-36.6%-2.6%-1.7%
6M Excs Rtn48.2%-18.9%31.9%-37.3%-39.8%-16.2%-17.6%
12M Excs Rtn-35.3%-36.3%133.5%-69.0%-33.3%23.6%-34.3%
3Y Excs Rtn342.4%-83.9%201.5%-155.6%-122.8%85.7%0.9%

Comparison Analyses

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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil2025202420232022
Single Segment0  82
Total0  82


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil2025202420232022
Single Segment-748   
Total-748   


Assets by Segment
$ Mil2025202420232022
Single Segment 2,2352,001 
Total 2,2352,001 


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$7.08 
Market Cap ($ Bil)13.7 
First Trading Date05/10/2021 
Distance from 52W High-10.7% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$4.80$4.94
DMA Trenddownup
Distance from DMA47.6%43.3%
 3M1YR
Volatility68.6%59.3%
Downside Capture0.301.21
Upside Capture280.68163.78
Correlation (SPY)50.3%48.2%
AUR Betas & Captures as of 4/30/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta2.002.282.622.552.542.49
Up Beta2.372.442.822.823.262.22
Down Beta7.400.811.431.991.892.34
Up Capture255%285%370%345%267%10472%
Bmk +ve Days15223166141428
Stock +ve Days14223463122370
Down Capture460%247%235%208%189%113%
Bmk -ve Days4183056108321
Stock -ve Days8213060126366

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with AUR
AUR-2.0%60.3%0.19-
Sector ETF (XLY)21.8%18.7%0.9243.0%
Equity (SPY)29.0%12.5%1.8352.3%
Gold (GLD)39.8%27.0%1.2219.4%
Commodities (DBC)50.6%18.0%2.21-2.6%
Real Estate (VNQ)13.0%13.5%0.6625.1%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-17.4%42.1%-0.3439.4%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with AUR
AUR-5.8%90.1%0.33-
Sector ETF (XLY)7.1%23.8%0.2647.4%
Equity (SPY)12.8%17.1%0.5943.3%
Gold (GLD)20.9%17.9%0.9511.3%
Commodities (DBC)13.8%19.1%0.596.7%
Real Estate (VNQ)3.4%18.8%0.0832.2%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)7.0%56.0%0.3425.2%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with AUR
AUR-2.9%90.1%0.33-
Sector ETF (XLY)12.9%22.0%0.5447.4%
Equity (SPY)15.1%17.9%0.7243.3%
Gold (GLD)13.4%15.9%0.6911.3%
Commodities (DBC)9.3%17.8%0.446.7%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.8%20.7%0.2432.2%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)67.8%66.9%1.0725.2%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date4152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity190.6 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 33120262.1%
Average Daily Volume16.3 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest11.7 days
Basic Shares Quantity1,948.0 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares9.8%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
5/6/2026-1.8%  
2/11/2026-3.2%11.5%-6.4%
10/28/2025-1.9%-13.7%-22.1%
7/30/20250.3%4.3%-0.3%
5/8/2025-6.1%-12.0%-24.1%
2/12/202546.0%28.8%8.1%
10/30/2024-21.8%-14.0%-2.6%
7/31/20241.8%-17.2%11.7%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive866
# Negative101111
Median Positive3.9%10.2%7.8%
Median Negative-4.1%-14.0%-24.1%
Max Positive46.0%28.8%33.7%
Max Negative-21.8%-22.5%-32.1%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202605/06/202610-Q
12/31/202502/11/202610-K
09/30/202510/28/202510-Q
06/30/202507/30/202510-Q
03/31/202505/08/202510-Q
12/31/202402/14/202510-K
09/30/202410/31/202410-Q
06/30/202407/31/202410-Q
03/31/202405/09/202410-Q
12/31/202302/15/202410-K
09/30/202311/02/202310-Q
06/30/202308/03/202310-Q
03/31/202305/04/202310-Q
12/31/202202/21/202310-K
09/30/202211/03/202210-Q
06/30/202208/12/202210-Q

Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]

Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/6/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Revenue14.00 Mil15.00 Mil16.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 15.00 Mil for 2026
2026 TaaS Revenue Run-rate 80.00 Mil 0 AffirmedGuidance: 80.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Quarterly Cash Use190.00 Mil205.00 Mil220.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 205.00 Mil for 2026

Prior: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/11/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Revenue14.00 Mil15.00 Mil16.00 Mil   
2026 Revenue Growth 400.0%    
2026 Driverless Trucks in Operation 200    
2026 Revenue Run-rate 80.00 Mil    
2026 Hardware Cost Reduction 0.5    
2026 Quarterly Cash Use190.00 Mil205.00 Mil220.00 Mil13.9% RaisedGuidance: 180.00 Mil for Q4 2025

Insider Activity

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#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Urmson, ChristopherChief Executive OfficerHeld by the Urmson Family Revocable TrustBuy112620253.88258,0001,000,6271,000,627Form
2Bagley, Brittany DirectSell100220255.3950,000269,6752,148,619Form
3Donahoe, John J Held by the Donahoe Living TrustBuy80720256.10162,337989,460989,460Form
4Boyland, Gloria R DirectSell60920255.9246,097272,6731,954,530Form