Tearsheet

American Financial (AFG)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $131.78 | Market Cap: $11.0 Bil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Multi-line Insurance

American Financial (AFG)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $131.78
Market Cap: $11.0 Bil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Multi-line Insurance

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 13%, Dividend Yield is 6.3%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 8.7%, FCF Yield is 12%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -16%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -60%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -2.5%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%
  
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 24%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include AI in Financial Services, and Digital Transformation in Insurance. Themes include AI for Fraud Detection, Digital Underwriting, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 13%, Dividend Yield is 6.3%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 8.7%, FCF Yield is 12%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 24%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include AI in Financial Services, and Digital Transformation in Insurance. Themes include AI for Fraud Detection, Digital Underwriting, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -16%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -60%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -2.5%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

AFG Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

I cannot fulfill this request. The requested time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, is in the future. I do not have access to future market data or events.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
AFG Return-16%94%11%-8%24%3%112%
Peers Return-4%29%15%4%29%11%109%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
AFG Win Rate50%92%33%50%67%50% 
Peers Win Rate57%58%57%63%68%56% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
AFG Max Drawdown-57%-9%-8%-19%-1%-13% 
Peers Max Drawdown-46%-3%-8%-17%-0%-7% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CB, TRV, MET, HIG, CNA. See AFG Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventAFGS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-28.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven40.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven399 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-59.0%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven143.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven355 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-29.2%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven41.3%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven849 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-64.3%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven179.9%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1003 days1480 days

Compare to CB, TRV, MET, HIG, CNA


In The Past

American Financial's stock fell -28.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/10/2022. A -28.6% loss requires a 40.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About American Financial (AFG)

Better Bets than American Financial (AFG)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to AFG. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for American Financial

Peers to compare with:

Financials

AFGCBTRVMETHIGCNAMedian
NameAmerican.Chubb Traveler.MetLife Hartford.CNA Fina. 
Mkt Price131.70295.05284.2777.51133.0446.01132.37
Mkt Cap11.0117.263.751.537.412.544.4
Rev LTM8,22558,90048,40970,76027,69214,56938,050
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM1,42313,3219,98514,6275,8652,5277,925
FCF 3Y Avg1,32713,4098,68213,5454,9222,3456,802
CFO LTM1,42313,3219,98514,6275,9882,6237,986
CFO 3Y Avg1,32713,4098,68213,5455,1092,4296,896

Growth & Margins

AFGCBTRVMETHIGCNAMedian
NameAmerican.Chubb Traveler.MetLife Hartford.CNA Fina. 
Rev Chg LTM0.1%6.7%6.7%0.2%6.9%5.4%6.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg8.2%12.2%10.1%1.3%8.6%7.5%8.4%
Rev Chg Q-2.5%8.2%4.8%-7.7%6.4%5.6%5.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.7%2.2%1.2%-2.0%1.6%1.4%1.3%
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM17.3%22.6%20.6%20.7%21.6%18.0%20.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg16.6%24.8%19.4%19.6%19.6%17.7%19.5%
FCF/Rev LTM17.3%22.6%20.6%20.7%21.2%17.3%20.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg16.6%24.8%19.4%19.6%18.9%17.1%19.1%

Valuation

AFGCBTRVMETHIGCNAMedian
NameAmerican.Chubb Traveler.MetLife Hartford.CNA Fina. 
Mkt Cap11.0117.263.751.537.412.544.4
P/S1.51.91.30.81.40.91.3
P/EBIT11.18.58.19.28.19.08.8
P/E15.211.610.714.310.512.612.1
P/CFO8.58.46.33.76.34.86.3
Total Yield12.9%10.0%10.2%9.8%11.1%16.2%10.6%
Dividend Yield6.3%1.3%0.8%2.8%1.6%8.3%2.2%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg12.2%12.9%17.2%25.3%15.8%19.4%16.5%
D/E0.10.20.10.40.10.30.2
Net D/E-0.1-0.2-1.4-1.7-0.5-0.0-0.3

Returns

AFGCBTRVMETHIGCNAMedian
NameAmerican.Chubb Traveler.MetLife Hartford.CNA Fina. 
1M Rtn2.5%6.0%6.2%-2.1%7.5%5.5%5.8%
3M Rtn-2.2%6.4%3.2%-3.1%0.4%-5.0%-0.9%
6M Rtn9.3%1.8%5.4%-0.2%4.9%-0.3%3.3%
12M Rtn-2.0%4.5%10.9%-7.0%12.0%0.9%2.7%
3Y Rtn12.5%40.7%58.9%10.6%85.9%37.8%39.3%
1M Excs Rtn2.5%6.1%6.2%-2.1%7.6%5.5%5.8%
3M Excs Rtn-9.1%0.4%-3.2%-9.8%-6.1%-10.4%-7.6%
6M Excs Rtn-5.4%-12.9%-9.3%-14.9%-9.9%-15.0%-11.4%
12M Excs Rtn-18.8%-10.0%-4.9%-23.2%-3.4%-14.7%-12.4%
3Y Excs Rtn-59.9%-29.7%-11.1%-60.5%16.1%-36.0%-32.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Property and casualty insurance7,2766,7806,0945,5065,668
Other591376293266370
Realized gains (losses) on subsidiaries-40423 
Realized gains (losses) on securities-36-116110-75287
Real estate-related entities  5149 
Annuity    1,912
Total7,8277,0406,5525,7698,237


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Property and casualty insurance24,47522,22521,31219,62019,098
Other5,3126,6067,6196,2055,958
Assets of discontinued annuity operations   47,885 
Annuity    45,074
Total29,78728,83128,93173,71070,130


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,466,748
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202530.6%
Average Daily Volume567,055
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.59
Basic Shares Quantity83,400,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024225202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241108202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024503202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023223202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231103202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023804202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023505202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022224202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221104202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022805202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022509202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021225202210-K 12/31/2021