Tearsheet

American Financial (AFG)


Market Price (12/28/2025): $138.135 | Market Cap: $11.5 Bil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Multi-line Insurance

American Financial (AFG)


Market Price (12/28/2025): $138.135
Market Cap: $11.5 Bil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Multi-line Insurance

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 14%, Dividend Yield is 6.7%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 9.5%, FCF Yield is 12%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -14%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -57%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -2.5%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%
  Key risks
AFG key risks include [1] regulatory and competitive threats to its niche market in specialized commercial products, Show more.
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 24%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include AI in Financial Services, and Digital Transformation in Insurance. Themes include AI for Fraud Detection, Digital Underwriting, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 14%, Dividend Yield is 6.7%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 9.5%, FCF Yield is 12%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 24%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include AI in Financial Services, and Digital Transformation in Insurance. Themes include AI for Fraud Detection, Digital Underwriting, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -14%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -57%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -2.5%
6 Key risks
AFG key risks include [1] regulatory and competitive threats to its niche market in specialized commercial products, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

AFG Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

The following key points highlight recent developments for American Financial Group (AFG) based on the latest available information:

<b>1. American Financial Group reported an increase in its Fourth Quarter 2024 core net operating earnings.</b> The company's core net operating earnings reached $262 million, or $3.12 per share, for the fourth quarter of 2024, up from $238 million, or $2.84 per share, in the same period of 2023.

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<b>2. The company also saw growth in its full-year 2024 net and core operating earnings.</b> Net earnings per share for the full year 2024 were $10.57, an increase from $10.05 in 2023. Core net operating earnings per share for the full year 2024 rose to $10.75, compared to $10.56 in 2023.

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<b>3. Higher net investment income significantly contributed to the improved earnings.</b> The year-over-year increase in core net operating earnings for Q4 2024 was primarily attributed to higher Property & Casualty (P&C) net investment income, including better returns from alternative investments.

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<b>4. AFG returned substantial capital to shareholders, including significant special dividends.</b> In the full year 2024, American Financial Group returned approximately $791 million in capital to its shareholders. This included $545 million, or $6.50 per share, in special dividends.

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<b>5. The company achieved record premium growth and strong renewal rates in 2024.</b> For the full year 2024, gross written premiums increased by 9% and net written premiums by 7%, setting new records for premium production. Additionally, the average renewal pricing across the P&C Group, excluding workers' compensation, increased by approximately 8% in the fourth quarter of 2024.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -2.9% change in AFG stock from 9/28/2025 to 12/28/2025 was primarily driven by a -7.2% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
928202512282025Change
Stock Price ($)142.31138.13-2.93%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)8284.008225.00-0.71%
Net Income Margin (%)9.22%9.70%5.20%
P/E Multiple15.5514.44-7.18%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)83.5083.400.12%
Cumulative Contribution-2.93%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/28/2025 to 12/28/2025
ReturnCorrelation
AFG-2.9% 
Market (SPY)4.3%6.2%
Sector (XLF)3.3%43.1%

Fundamental Drivers

The 13.6% change in AFG stock from 6/29/2025 to 12/28/2025 was primarily driven by a 13.2% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
629202512282025Change
Stock Price ($)121.63138.1313.57%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)8240.008225.00-0.18%
Net Income Margin (%)9.70%9.70%0.06%
P/E Multiple12.7614.4413.17%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)83.8083.400.48%
Cumulative Contribution13.56%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/29/2025 to 12/28/2025
ReturnCorrelation
AFG13.6% 
Market (SPY)12.6%21.9%
Sector (XLF)7.4%51.3%

Fundamental Drivers

The 6.5% change in AFG stock from 12/28/2024 to 12/28/2025 was primarily driven by a 18.7% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
1228202412282025Change
Stock Price ($)129.69138.136.51%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)8216.008225.000.11%
Net Income Margin (%)10.89%9.70%-10.94%
P/E Multiple12.1614.4418.75%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)83.9083.400.60%
Cumulative Contribution6.51%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/28/2024 to 12/28/2025
ReturnCorrelation
AFG6.5% 
Market (SPY)17.0%40.2%
Sector (XLF)15.3%56.8%

Fundamental Drivers

The 21.6% change in AFG stock from 12/29/2022 to 12/28/2025 was primarily driven by a 45.7% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
1229202212282025Change
Stock Price ($)113.62138.1321.58%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)6524.008225.0026.07%
Net Income Margin (%)14.98%9.70%-35.21%
P/E Multiple9.9114.4445.70%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)85.2083.402.11%
Cumulative Contribution21.52%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/29/2023 to 12/28/2025
ReturnCorrelation
AFG31.9% 
Market (SPY)48.4%39.0%
Sector (XLF)51.8%60.8%

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
AFG Return-16%94%11%-8%24%7%120%
Peers Return16%38%-12%21%26%16%150%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%18%114%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
AFG Win Rate50%92%33%50%67%58% 
Peers Win Rate52%65%42%68%57%52% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
AFG Max Drawdown-57%-9%-8%-19%-1%-13% 
Peers Max Drawdown-34%-5%-26%-7%-9%-23% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HPQ, HPE, IBM, CSCO, AAPL. See AFG Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/26/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventAFGS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-28.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven40.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven399 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-59.0%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven143.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven355 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-29.2%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven41.3%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven849 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-64.3%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven179.9%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,003 days1,480 days

Compare to HPQ, HPE, IBM, CSCO, AAPL

In The Past

American Financial's stock fell -28.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/10/2022. A -28.6% loss requires a 40.1% gain to breakeven.

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About American Financial (AFG)

American Financial Group, Inc., an insurance holding company, provides specialty property and casualty insurance products in the United States. It offers property and transportation insurance products, such as physical damage and liability coverage for buses and trucks, inland and ocean marine, agricultural-related products, and other commercial property and specialty transportation coverages; specialty casualty insurance, including primarily excess and surplus, executive and professional liability, general liability, umbrella and excess liability, and specialty coverage in targeted markets, as well as customized programs for small to mid-sized businesses and workers' compensation insurance; and specialty financial insurance products comprising risk management insurance programs for lending and leasing institutions, fidelity and surety products, and trade credit insurance. The company sells its property and casualty insurance products through independent insurance agents and brokers. American Financial Group, Inc. was founded in 1872 and is headquartered in Cincinnati, Ohio.

AI Analysis | Feedback

1. Chubb for highly niche commercial insurance.

2. The Berkshire Hathaway of specialized insurance.

3. Like Travelers, but focused on very specific commercial risks.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Property & Casualty Insurance: Provides coverage for physical property (e.g., auto, home, commercial property) and protection against legal liability resulting from accidents or damages to others.
  • Annuities: Offers financial products that provide a guaranteed stream of income, often for retirement, in exchange for a lump-sum payment or series of payments.

AI Analysis | Feedback

American Financial (symbol: AFG) primarily sells insurance products to other companies.

For an insurance holding company like American Financial Group, which specializes in commercial property and casualty insurance, its customer base consists of a vast and diversified array of businesses across numerous industries. Therefore, AFG does not have "major customer companies" in the sense of a few identifiable entities that contribute a significant portion of its revenue, nor does it publicly disclose the names of its corporate policyholders due to the nature of its business and client confidentiality.

Consequently, it is not possible to list specific customer company names with symbols as they are neither applicable (due to revenue diversification) nor publicly available for an insurer of this type.

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Carl H. Lindner III Co-Chief Executive Officer and Director

Carl H. Lindner III was elected Co-Chief Executive Officer of American Financial Group in January 2005. He has served as Co-President and a director since March 1996 and has been principally responsible for the property and casualty insurance operations since 1987. Mr. Lindner began working at American Financial Group in 1975, which his father, Carl H. Lindner Jr., acquired two years prior. He has been Chairman of Great American Insurance Company since 1987. In 2015, he co-founded FC Cincinnati and serves as its chief executive officer and majority owner.

S. Craig Lindner Co-Chief Executive Officer and Director

S. Craig Lindner was elected Co-Chief Executive Officer of American Financial Group in January 2005. He has served as Co-President and a director since March 1996. From 1999 until the sale of the business in May 2021, he served as Chief Executive Officer of Great American Financial Resources, Inc., a wholly-owned subsidiary of AFG that marketed traditional fixed and indexed annuities. Mr. Lindner also oversees the investment portfolios of AFG and its affiliated companies and has worked in various roles within the AFG affiliated companies since 1977. He previously served as president of American Money Management Corporation and on the boards of directors of several public companies, including National City Corporation, Provident Financial Group, Inc., Citicasters, Inc., and Spelling Entertainment Group, Inc.

Brian S. Hertzman Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Brian S. Hertzman was elected Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of American Financial Group in August 2020. Prior to this role, he served as Vice President and Controller of AFG, with responsibility for oversight of accounting policies and procedures and financial reporting. Mr. Hertzman joined AFG in 1991 and has held positions of increasing responsibility within the company's finance and accounting areas during his over 30-year tenure. He is a Certified Public Accountant (CPA) in the State of Ohio (inactive).

John B. Berding President and Director

John B. Berding was elected President of American Financial Group in June 2023. He has also served as President of American Money Management Corporation (AMMC) since January 2011, AFG’s subsidiary providing investment management services. Mr. Berding has spent his entire career of over 35 years as an investment professional with the company and its affiliates, holding various investment-related executive positions with AMMC and other AFG subsidiaries.

Michelle A. Gillis Senior Vice President, Chief Human Resources Officer and Chief Administrative Officer

Michelle A. Gillis was appointed Chief Human Resources Officer in 2022 and elected Senior Vice President of American Financial Group in March 2013. Since March 2012, she has served as Vice President and Chief Administrative Officer, with responsibilities for Human Resources, Corporate Communications, Real Estate, and various shared service areas. Ms. Gillis joined Great American Insurance Company in 2004 and held various senior human resource management positions. Prior to joining AFG, she served in senior human resources leadership roles with Fifth Third Bank.

AI Analysis | Feedback

American Financial Group (AFG) faces several key risks inherent to its specialized property and casualty insurance operations and investment activities.

The most significant risks include:

  1. Catastrophe Losses and Climate Change: As a property and casualty insurer, AFG's operating results can be significantly affected by unpredictable catastrophe losses, including natural disasters such as hurricanes, severe storms, earthquakes, tornadoes, and floods, as well as other major incidents like explosions, civil disorder, terrorist events, and fires. While AFG aims to reduce its exposure to catastrophes through risk selection, including minimizing coastal exposures, the increasing frequency and severity of secondary perils like floods and wildfires are a growing area of focus. Environmental risks are also incorporated into credit rating agencies' evaluations of AFG's capital adequacy.
  2. Investment Market Fluctuations: AFG's financial performance is influenced by its investment portfolio, which includes a significant portion of investment-grade fixed maturity securities and alternative investments. Fluctuations in interest rates can impact net investment income, as evidenced by higher interest rates contributing to increased income in their P&C insurance operations. Weakness in alternative investments and a faltering investment environment could undermine optimistic outlooks for the company.
  3. Regulatory, Legislative, and Competitive Risks: Given AFG's niche-focused market in specialized commercial products for businesses and annuities, the company is exposed to increased regulatory, legislative, and competitive risks. Changes in regulations or new legislation could impact their specialized product offerings, and an evolving competitive landscape could affect their market position and pricing power.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The following clear emerging threats have been identified for American Financial Group (AFG):

1. Emergence of AI-driven, Direct-to-Business Specialty Insurance Platforms: This threat involves new entrants or digitally agile incumbent competitors leveraging advanced artificial intelligence, machine learning, and big data analytics to offer highly efficient, precise, and potentially lower-cost underwriting and claims management for specialty commercial risks. These platforms could bypass traditional broker networks and AFG's established, expertise-driven underwriting model, directly targeting AFG's niche markets such as transportation, agriculture, or professional liability. Evidence includes significant venture capital investment in commercial insurtechs (e.g., Coalition for cyber, At-Bay for tech E&O), pilot programs demonstrating efficiency gains, and a growing emphasis on alternative data sources for risk assessment, which could erode AFG's competitive advantage in its specialized segments.

2. Shift towards Digital-First, Low-Cost Retirement Income Solutions: This threat concerns the increasing consumer preference for transparent, low-cost, and digitally accessible retirement income solutions that may offer alternatives to traditional fixed and indexed annuities. The rise of sophisticated robo-advisors, integrated financial planning platforms, and new retirement income products with simpler fee structures could divert assets away from AFG's annuity business. Evidence includes the sustained growth of digital investment platforms, the increasing market share of low-cost index funds and ETFs, and a demographic shift towards younger retirees who are more comfortable with digital financial tools and skeptical of complex, commission-based products, potentially impacting AFG's traditional distribution channels and product appeal.

AI Analysis | Feedback

American Financial Group (AFG) primarily operates in the property and casualty (P&C) insurance and annuity markets. The company focuses on providing specialized commercial products for businesses through its Great American Insurance Group, offering a wide range of coverages including property and transportation, specialty casualty, and specialty financial products.

Here are the addressable market sizes for AFG's main products and services:

  • U.S. Property and Casualty (P&C) Insurance Market: The U.S. property and casualty insurance market was valued at approximately USD 1.10 trillion in 2025. This market is projected to grow to USD 1.33 trillion by 2030, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 3.96%. Another estimate placed the U.S. P&C insurance market at USD 1.0 trillion in 2025. The broader global property and casualty insurance market was valued at USD 3.97 trillion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 8.81 trillion by 2034.

  • U.S. Specialty Insurance Market: The U.S. specialty insurance market is estimated to reach USD 29.15 billion in 2025. Globally, the specialty insurance market was valued at USD 101.15 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to USD 112.77 billion in 2025, with a projected CAGR of 13.1% to reach USD 266.15 billion by 2032. Another source indicates the global specialty insurance market stood at USD 134.6 billion in 2025 and is expected to expand to USD 215.8 billion by 2030.

  • U.S. Annuity Market: Total annuity sales in the U.S. reached a record USD 432.4 billion in 2024. Projections for total annuity sales in 2025 range between USD 364 billion and USD 410 billion. The U.S. annuity market value is expected to reach USD 388.42 billion by 2029, growing at a CAGR of 5.98%.

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Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for American Financial Group (AFG) over the next 2-3 years:
  1. Growth in Net Written Premiums from Specialty Property & Casualty Businesses: American Financial Group projects a 5% increase in net written premiums for 2025, building on strong performance in its Specialty Property and Casualty Insurance segments. The company's focus on specialized commercial products for businesses is a core part of this strategy.
  2. Disciplined Underwriting and Pricing Strength: AFG consistently emphasizes disciplined underwriting and pricing strength. This is evidenced by 37 consecutive quarters of renewal rate increases, contributing to revenue growth.
  3. Strategic Investments, Acquisitions, and Organic Growth in Specialty Niche Markets: The company remains optimistic about future growth opportunities through strategic investments and acquisitions in its core businesses. AFG also aims for profitable organic growth and expansion in specialty niche markets.
  4. New Business Opportunities and Favorable Renewal Pricing: Primary drivers of growth include new business opportunities and favorable renewal pricing in several of AFG's targeted marketed businesses. Additionally, an increase in M&A activity has contributed to growth in its mergers and acquisitions business.
  5. Rebound in Premium Growth from New Business Units and Underwriting Actions: American Financial Group anticipates a rebound in premium growth for 2026, with optimism driven by new business units and underwriting actions.

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Share Repurchases

  • American Financial Group repurchased approximately $50 million of its common stock year-to-date through February 27, 2025, at an average price of $123.83 per share.
  • During 2021, the company repurchased 2,777,684 shares of its Common Stock for $319 million.
  • In May 2021, AFG's Board of Directors authorized the repurchase of five million additional shares.

Share Issuance

  • The number of shares outstanding has generally declined, with 0.084 billion shares outstanding as of June 30, 2025, a 0.48% decline year-over-year.
  • American Financial Group's shares outstanding decreased by 1.06% in 2024 from 2023, and by 0.59% in 2023 from 2022.

Outbound Investments

  • AFG strategically deploys capital into its core businesses to identify potential for healthy, profitable organic growth and opportunities to expand specialty niche businesses through acquisitions and start-ups.
  • The company's capital management strategy includes seeking to grow through bolt-on or start-up businesses and making strategic acquisitions.
  • Premium growth in 2024 was bolstered by crop insurance acquisitions.

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to AFG. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.5%14.5%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.5%-1.5%-1.5%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.5%-4.5%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
7.6%7.6%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-11.1%-11.1%-12.1%

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for American Financial

Peers to compare with:

Financials

AFGHPQHPEIBMCSCOAAPLMedian
NameAmerican.HP Hewlett .Internat.Cisco Sy.Apple  
Mkt Price138.1323.3024.36305.0978.02273.00108.08
Mkt Cap11.521.932.5284.9308.64,068.5158.7
Rev LTM8,22555,29534,29665,40257,696408,62556,496
Op Inc LTM-3,6241,64411,54412,991130,21411,544
FCF LTM1,4232,80062711,85412,73396,1847,327
FCF 3Y Avg1,3272,9781,40011,75313,879100,5037,366
CFO LTM1,4233,6972,91913,48313,744108,5658,590
CFO 3Y Avg1,3273,6723,89613,49814,736111,5598,697

Growth & Margins

AFGHPQHPEIBMCSCOAAPLMedian
NameAmerican.HP Hewlett .Internat.Cisco Sy.Apple  
Rev Chg LTM0.1%3.2%13.8%4.5%8.9%6.0%5.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg8.2%-3.9%6.5%2.6%3.7%1.8%3.2%
Rev Chg Q-2.5%4.2%14.4%9.1%7.5%9.6%8.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.7%1.1%3.7%2.1%1.8%2.1%2.0%
Op Mgn LTM-6.6%4.8%17.7%22.5%31.9%17.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-7.4%7.2%16.4%24.2%30.8%16.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM--0.2%-1.4%0.6%0.4%0.1%0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM17.3%6.7%8.5%20.6%23.8%26.6%19.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg16.6%6.8%12.7%21.4%26.1%28.4%19.0%
FCF/Rev LTM17.3%5.1%1.8%18.1%22.1%23.5%17.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg16.6%5.5%4.6%18.6%24.6%25.6%17.6%

Valuation

AFGHPQHPEIBMCSCOAAPLMedian
NameAmerican.HP Hewlett .Internat.Cisco Sy.Apple  
Mkt Cap11.521.932.5284.9308.64,068.5158.7
P/S1.40.40.94.45.310.02.9
P/EBIT10.66.819.825.122.431.221.1
P/E14.48.7569.736.029.941.033.0
P/CFO8.15.911.121.122.537.516.1
Total Yield13.6%14.1%2.3%5.0%5.4%2.8%5.2%
Dividend Yield6.7%2.5%2.1%2.2%2.1%0.4%2.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg12.2%10.6%5.5%6.4%6.0%3.1%6.2%
D/E0.20.50.70.20.10.00.2
Net D/E-0.10.30.60.20.00.00.1

Returns

AFGHPQHPEIBMCSCOAAPLMedian
NameAmerican.HP Hewlett .Internat.Cisco Sy.Apple  
1M Rtn0.3%-3.5%12.1%-1.1%1.4%-2.1%-0.4%
3M Rtn-2.9%-11.7%2.1%7.9%16.8%7.0%4.5%
6M Rtn13.6%-3.9%33.8%6.6%15.0%36.1%14.3%
12M Rtn6.5%-26.9%15.5%40.5%34.3%7.3%11.4%
3Y Rtn21.6%-3.6%66.4%141.3%79.3%113.8%72.9%
1M Excs Rtn-2.0%-5.5%12.3%-2.2%-0.2%-3.9%-2.1%
3M Excs Rtn-7.2%-16.0%-2.2%3.6%12.5%2.7%0.2%
6M Excs Rtn1.3%-16.1%21.6%-5.7%2.8%23.8%2.0%
12M Excs Rtn-9.7%-42.8%-1.3%25.0%19.7%-8.5%-4.9%
3Y Excs Rtn-56.9%-83.5%-11.7%59.6%-1.4%28.2%-6.6%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Property and casualty insurance7,2766,7806,0945,5065,668
Other591376293266370
Realized gains (losses) on subsidiaries-40423 
Realized gains (losses) on securities-36-116110-75287
Real estate-related entities  5149 
Annuity    1,912
Total7,8277,0406,5525,7698,237


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Property and casualty insurance24,47522,22521,31219,62019,098
Other5,3126,6067,6196,2055,958
Assets of discontinued annuity operations   47,885 
Annuity    45,074
Total29,78728,83128,93173,71070,130


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$138.16 
Market Cap ($ Bil)11.5 
First Trading Date04/06/1983 
Distance from 52W High-5.2% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$134.93$128.74
DMA Trendupdown
Distance from DMA2.4%7.3%
 3M1YR
Volatility21.9%23.8%
Downside Capture10.3437.48
Upside Capture-5.9837.74
Correlation (SPY)7.0%40.4%
AFG Betas & Captures as of 11/30/2025

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta-0.440.150.240.530.510.58
Up Beta-0.63-0.040.130.600.700.69
Down Beta-0.960.650.520.420.430.43
Up Capture21%-14%20%57%24%23%
Bmk +ve Days12253873141426
Stock +ve Days10213468129398
Down Capture-65%13%10%51%53%83%
Bmk -ve Days7162452107323
Stock -ve Days9202857119350

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
 Comparison of AFG With Other Asset Classes (Last 1Y)
 AFGSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return6.5%16.3%17.8%72.1%8.6%4.4%-8.2%
Annualized Volatility23.6%19.0%19.4%19.3%15.2%17.0%35.0%
Sharpe Ratio0.210.670.722.700.340.09-0.08
Correlation With Other Assets 57.0%40.5%8.4%17.8%53.1%12.8%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLF, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
 Comparison of AFG With Other Asset Classes (Last 5Y)
 AFGSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return22.0%16.1%14.7%18.7%11.5%4.6%30.8%
Annualized Volatility25.0%18.9%17.1%15.5%18.7%18.9%48.6%
Sharpe Ratio0.790.710.700.970.500.160.57
Correlation With Other Assets 63.4%45.2%3.3%13.2%43.8%21.2%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLF, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
 Comparison of AFG With Other Asset Classes (Last 10Y)
 AFGSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return14.9%13.2%14.8%15.3%7.0%5.3%69.2%
Annualized Volatility30.2%22.3%18.0%14.7%17.6%20.8%55.8%
Sharpe Ratio0.520.550.710.860.320.220.90
Correlation With Other Assets 73.5%58.9%-1.7%24.1%59.1%14.6%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLF, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date12152025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,356,792
Short Interest: % Change Since 1130202512.3%
Average Daily Volume403,197
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.37
Basic Shares Quantity83,400,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.6%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/5/20252.8%8.3%2.2%
8/6/20252.7%5.2%12.4%
5/7/2025-6.1%-4.4%-5.3%
2/5/2025-6.2%-6.5%-5.9%
11/6/20245.0%12.6%16.6%
8/7/2024-0.7%1.8%7.0%
5/2/2024-0.8%1.4%0.9%
2/7/20242.1%0.8%9.6%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive141617
# Negative1087
Median Positive2.4%4.1%6.8%
Median Negative-3.5%-4.4%-5.6%
Max Positive5.0%13.9%26.6%
Max Negative-8.1%-8.7%-12.8%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024225202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241108202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024503202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023223202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231103202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023804202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023505202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022224202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221104202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022805202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022509202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021225202210-K 12/31/2021