Tearsheet

Western Digital (WDC)


Market Price (12/15/2025): $176.56 | Market Cap: $61.8 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals

Western Digital (WDC)


Market Price (12/15/2025): $176.56
Market Cap: $61.8 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 39%
Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 217%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 264%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%
Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 175%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, and Cloud Computing. Themes include Data Centers & Infrastructure, Hybrid Cloud Solutions, Show more.
 
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 39%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, and Cloud Computing. Themes include Data Centers & Infrastructure, Hybrid Cloud Solutions, Show more.
3 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 217%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 264%
4 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 175%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

WDC Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining significant positive movement in Western Digital (WDC) stock based on recent information: 1. 1. Strong Financial Performance and Positive Outlook: Western Digital has consistently reported robust financial results, with sequential revenue growth, improved gross margins, and non-GAAP earnings per share (EPS) often exceeding analyst expectations. For example, in its fiscal first quarter 2025, the company reported $4.10 billion in revenue, up 9% sequentially, and non-GAAP EPS of $1.78, with forecasts for continued revenue and EPS growth in the subsequent quarter. More recently, Q1 Fiscal Year 2026 results (reported October 30, 2025) showed revenue of $2.82 billion, up 27% year over year, with GAAP diluted EPS of $3.07 and non-GAAP diluted EPS of $1.78, surpassing guidance. The company also reported strong free cash flow generation.

2. 2. Emergence of the AI Data Cycle and Increased Demand: The company is strategically positioned to benefit from the "AI Data Cycle," which is driving a substantial increase in demand for data storage solutions. This trend is leading to fundamental shifts across end markets, particularly for cloud providers expanding their data centers, creating new demand drivers for both Flash and HDD products. Western Digital anticipates a 23% compound annual growth rate (CAGR) in installed cloud storage from 2024 to 2028.

3.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
WDC Return-11%18%-52%66%14%321%304%
Peers Return16%49%-30%60%24%103%383%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%111%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
WDC Win Rate42%50%42%58%67%92% 
Peers Win Rate57%63%38%63%57%68% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
WDC Max Drawdown-54%-11%-54%-0%-6%-32% 
Peers Max Drawdown-41%-6%-40%-5%-6%-32% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: STX, MU, DELL, HPE, NTAP. See WDC Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/12/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventWDCS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-60.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven155.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven518 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-58.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven143.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven348 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-67.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven203.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven2461 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-75.2%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven302.6%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven391 days1480 days

Compare to NVDA, AMD, MU, STX, NTAP


In The Past

Western Digital's stock fell -60.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/4/2021. A -60.9% loss requires a 155.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Western Digital (WDC)

Better Bets than Western Digital (WDC)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to WDC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.7%11.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.5%15.5%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.8%5.8%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.6%11.6%0.0%
WDC_9302022_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG09302022WDCWestern DigitalDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
15.7%40.2%-7.2%
WDC_3312019_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy03312019WDCWestern DigitalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
27.3%-6.9%-37.5%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.7%11.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.5%15.5%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.8%5.8%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.6%11.6%0.0%
WDC_9302022_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG09302022WDCWestern DigitalDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
15.7%40.2%-7.2%
WDC_3312019_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy03312019WDCWestern DigitalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
27.3%-6.9%-37.5%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Western Digital

Peers to compare with:

Financials

WDCSTXMUDELLHPENTAPMedian
NameWestern .Seagate .Micron T.Dell Tec.Hewlett .NetApp  
Mkt Price176.34287.64241.14129.9823.87115.66153.16
Mkt Cap61.761.8270.695.131.623.661.8
Rev LTM13,2799,09737,378104,09033,0756,63723,177
Op Inc LTM2,8061,9159,8096,9242,0351,5002,420
FCF LTM1,2798181,6684,4492251,6761,474
FCF 3Y Avg-244703-1,4434,7811,4711,3601,032
CFO LTM1,6911,08317,5257,0962,4841,8602,172
CFO 3Y Avg3309819,1977,4744,0861,5342,810

Growth & Margins

WDCSTXMUDELLHPENTAPMedian
NameWestern .Seagate .Micron T.Dell Tec.Hewlett .NetApp  
Rev Chg LTM39.2%38.9%48.9%10.8%14.0%2.5%26.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg8.3%-3.0%20.3%0.2%5.9%0.6%3.3%
Rev Chg Q30.0%29.5%46.0%10.8%18.5%2.8%24.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM4.7%6.5%10.5%2.6%4.5%0.7%4.6%
Op Mgn LTM21.1%21.1%26.2%6.7%6.2%22.6%21.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg3.7%9.4%-1.1%6.1%7.6%20.8%6.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM2.4%1.8%3.7%0.2%-0.8%0.8%1.3%
CFO/Rev LTM12.7%11.9%46.9%6.8%7.5%28.0%12.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg1.0%12.9%30.3%7.8%13.6%23.8%13.3%
FCF/Rev LTM9.6%9.0%4.5%4.3%0.7%25.3%6.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-6.1%9.2%-11.5%5.0%5.0%21.1%5.0%

Valuation

WDCSTXMUDELLHPENTAPMedian
NameWestern .Seagate .Micron T.Dell Tec.Hewlett .NetApp  
Mkt Cap61.761.8270.695.131.623.661.8
P/S3.25.65.00.90.83.63.4
P/EBIT19.627.718.5-13.1-19.0
P/E22.534.522.018.321.720.021.8
P/CFO24.846.910.713.410.912.713.0
Total Yield4.4%4.1%4.8%7.0%7.1%6.8%5.8%
Dividend Yield0.0%1.2%0.3%1.5%2.5%1.8%1.3%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-3.0%3.0%-2.4%-5.8%-0.3%
D/E0.10.10.1-0.9-0.1
Net D/E0.10.10.0-0.7-0.1

Returns

WDCSTXMUDELLHPENTAPMedian
NameWestern .Seagate .Micron T.Dell Tec.Hewlett .NetApp  
1M Rtn11.8%11.4%-2.3%-2.8%4.6%5.7%5.1%
3M Rtn80.7%47.2%53.5%4.3%-3.5%-6.3%25.8%
6M Rtn217.2%127.9%108.9%19.5%37.0%16.2%72.9%
12M Rtn263.5%205.4%136.2%11.7%12.3%-3.2%74.3%
3Y Rtn635.0%507.4%371.0%251.4%63.8%101.7%311.2%
1M Excs Rtn6.6%1.9%-1.2%-7.3%2.0%4.0%1.9%
3M Excs Rtn69.2%33.5%49.7%-0.3%-7.1%-9.6%16.6%
6M Excs Rtn203.0%113.7%94.7%5.3%22.7%1.9%58.7%
12M Excs Rtn230.9%188.8%133.7%0.2%-1.3%-15.8%66.9%
3Y Excs Rtn519.9%431.5%281.9%156.6%-11.7%23.0%219.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Hard disk drives (HDD)6,3176,2559,0408,2168,967
Flash-based products (Flash) 6,0639,7538,7067,769
Total6,31712,31818,79316,92216,736


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Hard disk drives (HDD)-765    
Total-765    


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity30,825,377
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-8.3%
Average Daily Volume7,839,656
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.93
Basic Shares Quantity350,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares8.8%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/30/20258.7%18.4%15.9%
7/30/202510.2%3.3%14.9%
4/30/20258.0%9.0%29.4%
1/29/20254.7%3.1%4.2%
10/24/20244.7%-1.5%0.2%
7/31/2024-9.7%-16.1%-6.0%
4/25/20242.8%0.4%7.7%
1/25/2024-3.5%-4.9%-5.4%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive111214
# Negative12119
Median Positive4.7%5.4%15.4%
Median Negative-3.1%-2.9%-6.0%
Max Positive10.2%18.4%37.2%
Max Negative-12.2%-16.1%-16.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251031202510-Q 10/3/2025
6302025814202510-K 6/27/2025
3312025502202510-Q 3/28/2025
12312024131202510-Q 12/27/2024
93020241031202410-Q 9/27/2024
6302024820202410-K 6/28/2024
3312024430202410-Q 3/29/2024
12312023212202410-Q 12/29/2023
93020231107202310-Q 9/29/2023
6302023822202310-K 6/30/2023
3312023510202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022203202310-Q 12/30/2022
93020221102202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022825202210-K 7/1/2022
3312022504202210-Q 4/1/2022
12312021203202210-Q 12/31/2021

Industry Resources

Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals Resources
The Verge
TechRadar
Tom’s Hardware
PCMag
CNET