Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -1.2%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -7.9 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -0.9%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands, Show more.
  Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 30x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 4,526x
2   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.1%
3   Key risks
WRBY key risks include [1] its history of net losses driven by persistently high marketing and administrative expenses.
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands, Show more.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -1.2%
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -7.9 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -0.9%
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 30x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 4,526x
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.1%
6 Key risks
WRBY key risks include [1] its history of net losses driven by persistently high marketing and administrative expenses.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

WRBY Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Warby Parker's Mixed Q3 2025 Earnings Report. On November 6, 2025, Warby Parker announced its third-quarter 2025 results, reporting net revenue of $221.7 million, which missed analyst consensus estimates, despite a 15.2% year-over-year increase. The reported EPS of $0.06 also fell short of the consensus estimate of $0.09. The company updated its full-year 2025 revenue guidance to a range below analyst expectations, contributing to negative market sentiment and downward pressure on the stock following the announcement.

2. Partnership Announcement for AI Glasses with Google. In early December 2025, Warby Parker announced a collaboration with Google to develop lightweight artificial intelligence (AI) glasses, with an anticipated launch in 2026. This news generated significant positive market attention, with the stock gaining 5.6% on the initial disclosure.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
WRBY Return-71%5%72%10%
Peers Return-7%-16%51%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
WRBY Win Rate33%50%50%58%67% 
Peers Win Rate50%50%44%56% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
WRBY Max Drawdown-76%-28%-19%-42% 
Peers Max Drawdown-25%-28%-23% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: EYE, BLCO, COO.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventWRBYS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-83.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven514.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days

Compare to LMAT, CNMD, GPRO, DAVI, EMI


In The Past

Warby Parker's stock fell -83.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/17/2021. A -83.7% loss requires a 514.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Warby Parker (WRBY)

Better Bets than Warby Parker (WRBY)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to WRBY. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
17.4%17.4%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-6.7%-6.7%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.9%10.9%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
2.7%2.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
11.4%11.4%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
17.4%17.4%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-6.7%-6.7%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.9%10.9%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
2.7%2.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
11.4%11.4%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Warby Parker

Peers to compare with:

Financials

WRBYEYEBLCOCOOMedian
NameWarby Pa.National.Bausch &.Cooper C. 
Mkt Price26.3928.6316.9882.7527.51
Mkt Cap3.22.36.016.44.6
Rev LTM8511,9214,9764,0923,007
Op Inc LTM-84911668383
FCF LTM3883-19643460
FCF 3Y Avg2951-9131240
CFO LTM107163169796166
CFO 3Y Avg90146174704160

Growth & Margins

WRBYEYEBLCOCOOMedian
NameWarby Pa.National.Bausch &.Cooper C. 
Rev Chg LTM14.6%6.3%6.2%5.1%6.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg13.3%0.4%9.8%7.4%8.6%
Rev Chg Q15.2%7.9%7.1%4.6%7.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM3.6%1.9%1.7%1.2%1.8%
Op Mgn LTM-0.9%2.6%2.3%16.7%2.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-5.9%1.7%3.7%16.5%2.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.3%0.2%0.3%-1.6%0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM12.6%8.5%3.4%19.5%10.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg12.0%8.5%3.8%18.2%10.2%
FCF/Rev LTM4.4%4.3%-3.9%10.6%4.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg3.8%2.9%-1.9%8.0%3.3%

Valuation

WRBYEYEBLCOCOOMedian
NameWarby Pa.National.Bausch &.Cooper C. 
Mkt Cap3.22.36.016.44.6
P/S3.81.21.24.02.5
P/EBIT-410.885.274.324.549.4
P/E4,525.8-982.7-19.743.611.9
P/CFO30.213.935.620.525.4
Total Yield0.0%-0.1%-5.1%2.3%-0.0%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg1.3%3.3%-1.6%2.0%1.6%
D/E0.10.30.80.20.2
Net D/E-0.00.30.80.10.2

Returns

WRBYEYEBLCOCOOMedian
NameWarby Pa.National.Bausch &.Cooper C. 
1M Rtn51.7%15.8%16.1%14.7%16.0%
3M Rtn-7.3%6.4%11.8%21.4%9.1%
6M Rtn21.4%25.1%44.8%19.1%23.3%
12M Rtn8.8%158.6%-5.4%-10.0%1.7%
3Y Rtn93.8%-24.4%16.8%3.5%10.1%
1M Excs Rtn48.8%12.9%13.2%11.8%13.1%
3M Excs Rtn-9.7%5.5%9.2%19.6%7.4%
6M Excs Rtn6.8%12.7%28.1%5.6%9.8%
12M Excs Rtn-4.3%138.2%-22.9%-25.4%-13.6%
3Y Excs Rtn-1.2%-98.9%-61.4%-69.2%-65.3%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil2024202320222021
Eyewear641569523382
Vision care29   
Services and Other 291812
Total670598541394


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity11,385,609
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520254.1%
Average Daily Volume2,661,235
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.28
Basic Shares Quantity122,963,000
Short % of Basic Shares9.3%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/6/2025-11.1%-8.2%11.6%
8/7/2025-3.4%10.3%7.1%
5/8/20252.8%8.2%33.5%
2/27/20252.3%-1.1%-20.0%
11/7/20241.8%11.3%25.4%
8/8/2024-0.1%-9.0%-6.8%
5/9/202418.0%26.4%33.7%
2/28/2024-15.0%-19.4%-11.9%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive778
# Negative887
Median Positive2.8%11.3%24.7%
Median Negative-3.5%-9.0%-15.4%
Max Positive19.2%26.8%33.7%
Max Negative-24.0%-21.0%-23.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025808202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024227202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023229202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231108202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023809202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022228202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221110202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022811202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022516202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021318202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Briggs Teresa8132025Sell23.566,000141,3601,057,349Form
1Moon Youngme E5272025Sell19.9033,073658,1531,071,993Form
2Miller Steven CliveChief Financial Officer12132024Sell23.857,016167,3324,343,800Form