Tearsheet

Volkswagen (VWAGY)


Market Price (11/18/2025): $0 | Market Cap: $0
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Automobile Manufacturers

Volkswagen (VWAGY)


Market Price (11/18/2025): $0
Market Cap: $0
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Automobile Manufacturers

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 13%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 9.0%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -48%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -87%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 221%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO LTM is 15 Bil
  Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.3%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 32%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, Battery Technology & Metals, Future of Freight, and Renewable Energy Transition. Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 13%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 9.0%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO LTM is 15 Bil
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 32%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, Battery Technology & Metals, Future of Freight, and Renewable Energy Transition. Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -48%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -87%
5 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 221%
6 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.3%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

VWAGY Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points highlighting why Volkswagen (VWAGY) stock moved during the approximate time period from July 31, 2025, to November 18, 2025:

1. Volkswagen reported a net loss of EUR 313 million for the third quarter of 2025, missing analyst consensus for earnings per share.

2. The company adjusted its 2025 forecast on September 19, 2025, anticipating a negative impact of approximately €5.1 billion on its operating result for the fiscal year, which included a €3 billion non-cash impairment charge related to Porsche.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
VWAGY Return12%42%-37%-12%-23%28%-13%
Peers Return5%40%-22%12%-9%-6%9%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%13%107%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
VWAGY Win Rate50%67%33%42%33%50% 
Peers Win Rate30%42%22%37%37%52% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
VWAGY Max Drawdown-45%-3%-45%-24%-29%-2% 
Peers Max Drawdown-26%-3%-25%-6%-24%-30% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: TM, GM, F, AIIO, CJET. See VWAGY Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventVWAGYS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-73.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven279.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-47.2%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven89.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven271 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-18.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven22.1%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven128 days120 days

Compare to TM, GM, F, AIIO, CJET


In The Past

Volkswagen's stock fell -73.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/17/2021. A -73.6% loss requires a 279.0% gain to breakeven.

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About Volkswagen (VWAGY)

Better Bets than Volkswagen (VWAGY)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to VWAGY. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
LRN_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.8%-7.8%-7.8%
DECK_10312025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10312025DECKDeckers OutdoorDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-1.0%-1.0%-2.4%
ATGE_10312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10312025ATGEAdtalem Global EducationQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-4.3%-4.3%-5.9%
GNTX_10242025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10242025GNTXGentexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.3%-5.3%-5.3%
LNW_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025LNWLight & WonderDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.4%12.4%-6.2%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
LRN_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.8%-7.8%-7.8%
DECK_10312025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10312025DECKDeckers OutdoorDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-1.0%-1.0%-2.4%
ATGE_10312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10312025ATGEAdtalem Global EducationQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-4.3%-4.3%-5.9%
GNTX_10242025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10242025GNTXGentexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.3%-5.3%-5.3%
LNW_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025LNWLight & WonderDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.4%12.4%-6.2%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Volkswagen

Financials

VWAGYTMGMFAIIOCJETMedian
NameVolkswag.Toyota M.General .Ford Mot.Robo.ai Chijet M. 
Mkt Price11.24199.0067.9112.880.572.4412.06
Mkt Cap56.3259.464.151.3--60.2
Rev LTM326,04849,385,007187,435189,588--257,818
Op Inc LTM14,6644,337,0618,0783,619--11,371
FCF LTM-10,865-16,039-1,74911,897---6,307
FCF 3Y Avg-9,835-852,639-2,9497,967---6,392
CFO LTM15,3954,824,36624,21220,426--22,319
CFO 3Y Avg16,0624,048,06522,25216,306--19,279

Growth & Margins

VWAGYTMGMFAIIOCJETMedian
NameVolkswag.Toyota M.General .Ford Mot.Robo.ai Chijet M. 
Rev Chg LTM0.5%6.4%2.6%3.7%--3.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg7.2%13.9%8.6%7.8%--8.2%
Rev Chg Q2.3%8.2%-0.3%9.4%--5.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.6%1.9%-0.1%2.3%--1.2%
Op Mgn LTM4.5%8.8%4.3%1.9%--4.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg5.7%10.0%5.8%2.7%--5.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.3%-0.8%-1.4%0.3%---1.1%
CFO/Rev LTM4.7%9.8%12.9%10.8%--10.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg5.0%8.8%12.3%8.9%--8.9%
FCF/Rev LTM-3.3%-0.0%-0.9%6.3%---0.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-3.1%-1.9%-1.6%4.3%---1.8%

Valuation

VWAGYTMGMFAIIOCJETMedian
NameVolkswag.Toyota M.General .Ford Mot.Robo.ai Chijet M. 
Mkt Cap56.3259.464.151.3--60.2
P/S0.20.00.30.3--0.2
P/EBIT4.30.011.57.9--6.1
P/E7.60.121.110.9--9.3
P/CFO3.70.12.62.5--2.6
Total Yield13.1%2,240.0%5.8%12.7%--12.9%
Dividend Yield0.0%454.4%1.0%3.5%--2.3%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-16.7%-355.7%-5.8%17.2%---11.3%
D/E3.4153.72.13.2--3.3
Net D/E2.288.51.62.4--2.3

Returns

VWAGYTMGMFAIIOCJETMedian
NameVolkswag.Toyota M.General .Ford Mot.Robo.ai Chijet M. 
1M Rtn2.9%0.6%16.3%9.3%-61.2%-76.3%1.8%
3M Rtn-4.1%0.6%21.1%13.7%--98.6%0.6%
6M Rtn-5.1%7.4%36.5%22.8%--98.8%7.4%
12M Rtn30.9%15.1%20.3%25.6%--98.7%20.3%
3Y Rtn-21.3%39.0%76.2%16.8%--27.9%
1M Excs Rtn2.8%0.5%16.2%9.2%-61.3%-76.4%1.6%
3M Excs Rtn-9.7%-3.9%15.3%8.4%--102.6%-3.9%
6M Excs Rtn-17.0%-4.5%24.6%10.9%--110.6%-4.5%
12M Excs Rtn22.2%4.0%7.4%13.1%--110.3%7.4%
3Y Excs Rtn-87.1%-27.0%7.7%-52.2%---39.6%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Passenger Cars and Light Commercial Vehicles245,680210,378192,767175,984202,273
Financial Services54,12846,65743,96340,77840,160
Commercial Vehicles45,73139,51630,09222,15626,444
Power Engineering4,0443,5653,2783,6403,997
Reconciliation-27,300-21,067-19,899-19,673-20,242
Total322,283279,049250,201222,885252,632


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Passenger Cars and Light Commercial Vehicles19,43217,15614,6148,38115,610
Financial Services3,7865,6386,0453,0123,212
Commercial Vehicles3,7141,588134-791,653
Power Engineering36628145-482-93
Reconciliation-4,769-2,553-1,563-1,157-3,422
Total22,52922,11019,2759,67516,960


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10312025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity211,300
Short Interest: % Change Since 10152025-48.6%
Average Daily Volume608,235
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1
Basic Shares Quantity5,012,952,630
Short % of Basic Shares0.0%

SEC Filings

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Report Date

Insider Activity

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