Tearsheet

VirTra (VTSI)


Market Price (12/20/2025): $4.42 | Market Cap: $49.8 Mil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Application Software

VirTra (VTSI)


Market Price (12/20/2025): $4.42
Market Cap: $49.8 Mil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Application Software

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -26%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -92%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -66%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 305x
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21%
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -22%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.8%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -29%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Future of Training, and Public Safety & Security. Themes include Advanced Simulation & Immersive Training, Tactical Skill Development, Show more.
  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.8%
3   Key risks
VTSI key risks include [1] its heavy reliance on government contracts, Show more.
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -26%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Future of Training, and Public Safety & Security. Themes include Advanced Simulation & Immersive Training, Tactical Skill Development, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -92%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -66%
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 305x
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -22%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.8%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -29%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.8%
7 Key risks
VTSI key risks include [1] its heavy reliance on government contracts, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

VTSI Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

VirTra (VTSI) experienced a notable decline of -26.4% in its stock price approximately between August 31, 2025, and December 20, 2025, primarily due to the following key factors: 1. Significant Q3 2025 Earnings Miss

VirTra Inc. reported a substantial miss on its third-quarter 2025 financial results. The company's reported revenue of $5.35 million fell considerably short of the analyst estimate of $7.13 million. Additionally, VirTra posted a non-GAAP earnings per share (EPS) of -$0.03, in stark contrast to the anticipated positive earnings of $0.04 per share, triggering a sharp negative reaction in after-hours trading.

2. Decline in Revenue and Gross Profit

Total revenue for the third quarter of 2025 decreased by 29% to $5.3 million compared to $7.5 million in the same period of the prior year. This revenue decline was accompanied by a 36% decrease in gross profit, which fell to $3.5 million, and a reduction in gross margin from 73% to 66%.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
VTSI Return-28%99%-33%102%-29%-36%-11%
Peers Return20%-4%-22%51%34%44%162%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
VTSI Win Rate42%58%33%42%42%42% 
Peers Win Rate57%45%42%62%58%57% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
VTSI Max Drawdown-57%-3%-41%-21%-37%-45% 
Peers Max Drawdown-43%-17%-44%-10%-22%-20% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: AXON, CAE, KTOS, WRAP, CACI.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventVTSIS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-69.5%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven228.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven299 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-59.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven148.6%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven279 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-66.7%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven200.0%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven594 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-90.0%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven900.0%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven307 days1,480 days

Compare to ADSK, HIT, BMR, BTTC, CCC


In The Past

VirTra's stock fell -69.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 10/12/2021. A -69.5% loss requires a 228.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About VirTra (VTSI)

Better Bets than VirTra (VTSI)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to VTSI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
15.3%15.3%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.2%10.2%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.6%14.6%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
9.6%9.6%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
8.4%8.4%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
15.3%15.3%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.2%10.2%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.6%14.6%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
9.6%9.6%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
8.4%8.4%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for VirTra

Peers to compare with:

Financials

VTSIAXONCAEKTOSWRAPCACIMedian
NameVirTra Axon Ent.CAE Kratos D.Wrap Tec.CACI Int. 
Mkt Price4.40594.2030.1575.392.28556.6152.77
Mkt Cap0.046.69.712.90.112.211.0
Rev LTM252,5584,8341,28548,8591,921
Op Inc LTM1-2862224-1479713
FCF LTM2145468-93-961273
FCF 3Y Avg2166238-42-1342084
CFO LTM5244946-9-9683125
CFO 3Y Avg424169822-12486132

Growth & Margins

VTSIAXONCAEKTOSWRAPCACIMedian
NameVirTra Axon Ent.CAE Kratos D.Wrap Tec.CACI Int. 
Rev Chg LTM-21.5%32.0%9.1%14.0%-2.3%12.6%10.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-1.8%33.7%9.1%14.3%-8.0%11.9%10.5%
Rev Chg Q-28.5%30.6%8.8%26.0%151.4%11.2%18.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-7.9%7.0%2.1%5.9%27.8%2.7%4.3%
Op Mgn LTM5.2%-1.1%12.9%1.9%-342.9%9.0%3.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg16.1%4.8%11.9%2.6%-310.0%8.7%6.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-4.0%-1.0%-0.1%-0.1%121.9%0.1%-0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM20.8%9.5%19.6%-0.7%-213.6%7.7%8.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg14.5%12.4%15.4%2.0%-215.7%6.0%9.2%
FCF/Rev LTM7.1%5.7%9.7%-7.3%-220.4%6.9%6.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg6.2%8.7%5.1%-3.5%-224.9%5.2%5.2%

Valuation

VTSIAXONCAEKTOSWRAPCACIMedian
NameVirTra Axon Ent.CAE Kratos D.Wrap Tec.CACI Int. 
Mkt Cap0.046.69.712.90.112.211.0
P/S2.018.22.010.028.21.46.0
P/EBIT38.4196.612.5391.9-8.215.426.9
P/E305.2181.222.2642.7-8.324.3102.8
P/CFO9.6190.810.2-1,494.7-13.217.99.9
Total Yield0.3%0.6%4.5%0.2%-12.0%4.1%0.4%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg3.0%0.6%2.9%-0.8%-17.3%4.2%1.7%
D/E0.20.00.30.00.00.30.1
Net D/E-0.3-0.00.3-0.0-0.00.3-0.0

Returns

VTSIAXONCAEKTOSWRAPCACIMedian
NameVirTra Axon Ent.CAE Kratos D.Wrap Tec.CACI Int. 
1M Rtn-10.2%11.9%16.2%6.7%15.2%-7.7%9.3%
3M Rtn-18.1%-23.3%7.9%-6.7%-12.0%11.6%-9.3%
6M Rtn-27.5%-23.6%15.1%74.9%52.0%22.7%18.9%
12M Rtn-31.5%-3.5%32.1%194.5%45.2%39.2%35.6%
3Y Rtn4.0%246.7%56.5%691.9%9.1%86.7%71.6%
1M Excs Rtn-13.1%9.0%13.3%3.8%12.3%-10.6%6.4%
3M Excs Rtn-20.6%-25.5%5.8%-8.7%-13.0%8.8%-10.9%
6M Excs Rtn-46.2%-37.6%1.3%59.4%32.7%8.2%4.8%
12M Excs Rtn-48.5%-19.5%14.8%163.7%24.4%21.1%18.0%
3Y Excs Rtn-65.8%171.4%-26.2%620.8%-76.8%11.6%-7.3%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Simulators and accessories2224191414
Design & Prototyping70   
Extended service-type warranties43332
Subscription Training Equipment Partnership (STEP)4    
Customized software and content11122
Installation and training11111
Licensing and royalties 0000
Total3928241919


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Corporate Assets38    
Simulators and accessories30    
Subscription Training Equipment Partnership (STEP)1    
Design & Prototyping1    
Customized software and content0    
Extended service-type warranties0    
Installation and training0    
Total70    


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity126,027
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-4.6%
Average Daily Volume43,184
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.92
Basic Shares Quantity11,269,164
Short % of Basic Shares1.1%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/10/2025-7.9%-8.3%-10.1%
8/11/2025-25.0%-22.3%-23.4%
3/27/2025-17.3%-14.4%-19.1%
11/12/202422.9%11.1%5.0%
8/12/2024-4.5%-3.6%-15.0%
4/1/202437.7%40.5%65.2%
11/14/202313.9%56.7%73.9%
8/14/202314.5%2.2%-3.5%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive998
# Negative9910
Median Positive14.5%11.1%20.4%
Median Negative-7.6%-11.1%-10.2%
Max Positive66.7%56.7%73.9%
Max Negative-25.0%-28.0%-23.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251110202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025811202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025512202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024327202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241112202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024812202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024514202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023401202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231114202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023814202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023515202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022331202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221114202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022819202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022811202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021802202210-K 12/31/2021