Axon Enterprise (AXON)
Market Price (6/14/2026): $442.08 | Market Cap: $35.4 BilInvestor Relations Sector: Industrials | Industry: Aerospace & Defense
Axon Enterprise (AXON)
Market Price (6/14/2026): $442.08Market Cap: $35.4 BilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Aerospace & Defense
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 34% Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -26% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Cloud Computing, Artificial Intelligence, and Advanced Aviation & Space. Themes include Software as a Service (SaaS), Show more. | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -24 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -0.8% Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 12x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 157x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 230x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 172x Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21% Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.7% Key risksAXON key risks include [1] antitrust challenges targeting its integrated hardware and software business model and [2] intensifying competition from large rivals and emerging alternative technologies. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 34% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -26% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Cloud Computing, Artificial Intelligence, and Advanced Aviation & Space. Themes include Software as a Service (SaaS), Show more. |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -24 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -0.8% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 12x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 157x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 230x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 172x |
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.7% |
| Key risksAXON key risks include [1] antitrust challenges targeting its integrated hardware and software business model and [2] intensifying competition from large rivals and emerging alternative technologies. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
Axon Enterprise (AXON) stock has lost about 20% since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Sustained High Valuation and Market Corrections: Axon Enterprise (AXON) maintained a notably high price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, reaching 179.76 as of June 11, 2026. This elevated valuation, despite strong fiscal Q4 2025 earnings that led to a 24% stock surge reported on February 24, 2026, made the stock particularly susceptible to broader market corrections or re-evaluations of high-growth companies. The stock had already fallen 46% from its 52-week high of $886 by May 15, 2026, trading around $388, indicating a significant adjustment from previous peaks.
2. Significant Insider Selling Activity: During the period, several key executives engaged in substantial selling of company shares. Notably, CEO Patrick W. Smith sold over $15 million in shares, President Joshua Isner sold over $18 million, and COO & CFO Brittany Bagley sold over $10 million in transactions from March through early June 2026. Such considerable insider selling, totaling over $29.43 million in the last 30 days (as of June 12, 2026), likely contributed to negative investor sentiment and increased selling pressure on the stock.
Show more
Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -18.6% change in AXON stock from 2/28/2026 to 6/14/2026 was primarily driven by a -50.0% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 2282026 | 6142026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 542.40 | 441.73 | -18.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 2,780 | 2,983 | 7.3% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 4.5% | 6.9% | 54.0% |
| P/E Multiple | 343.8 | 171.9 | -50.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 79 | 80 | -1.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -18.6% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2026 to 6/14/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| AXON | -18.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 8.4% | 28.9% |
| Sector (XLI) | -0.3% | 10.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -18.2% change in AXON stock from 11/30/2025 to 6/14/2026 was primarily driven by a -31.3% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 11302025 | 6142026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 540.14 | 441.73 | -18.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 2,558 | 2,983 | 16.6% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 10.1% | 6.9% | -31.3% |
| P/E Multiple | 164.7 | 171.9 | 4.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 78 | 80 | -2.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -18.2% |
Market Drivers
11/30/2025 to 6/14/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| AXON | -18.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.2% | 32.8% |
| Sector (XLI) | 15.3% | 15.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -41.1% change in AXON stock from 5/31/2025 to 6/14/2026 was primarily driven by a -53.7% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 5312025 | 6142026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 750.36 | 441.73 | -41.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 2,226 | 2,983 | 34.0% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 14.9% | 6.9% | -53.7% |
| P/E Multiple | 174.0 | 171.9 | -1.2% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 77 | 80 | -4.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -41.1% |
Market Drivers
5/31/2025 to 6/14/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| AXON | -41.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 27.3% | 26.0% |
| Sector (XLI) | 25.0% | 17.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 129.0% change in AXON stock from 5/31/2023 to 6/14/2026 was primarily driven by a 134.2% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 5312023 | 6142026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 192.91 | 441.73 | 129.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,274 | 2,983 | 134.2% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 10.8% | 6.9% | -35.9% |
| P/E Multiple | 102.1 | 171.9 | 68.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 73 | 80 | -9.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 129.0% |
Market Drivers
5/31/2023 to 6/14/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| AXON | 129.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 84.5% | 35.0% |
| Sector (XLI) | 90.2% | 32.6% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| AXON Return | 28% | 6% | 56% | 130% | -4% | -21% | 264% |
| Peers Return | 748% | -32% | 37% | 81% | -8% | -32% | 791% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 8% | 97% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| AXON Win Rate | 50% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 50% | 33% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 60% | 38% | 57% | 60% | 43% | 27% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| AXON Max Drawdown | -39% | -46% | -23% | -16% | -40% | -46% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -35% | -50% | -37% | -32% | -38% | -46% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: MSI, TYL, CDRE, BYRN, WRAP.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 6/12/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | AXON | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -16.3% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 19.5% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 59 days | 79 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -44.8% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 81.2% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 182 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -40.8% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 69.0% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 75 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -38.6% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 63.0% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 130 days | 105 days |
| 2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff | ||
| % Loss | -24.1% | -3.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 31.7% | 3.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 329 days | 6 days |
| 2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -40.3% | -12.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 67.5% | 13.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 163 days | 62 days |
In The Past
Axon Enterprise's stock fell -16.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 19.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
| Event | AXON | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -44.8% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 81.2% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 182 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -40.8% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 69.0% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 75 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -38.6% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 63.0% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 130 days | 105 days |
| 2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff | ||
| % Loss | -24.1% | -3.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 31.7% | 3.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 329 days | 6 days |
| 2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -40.3% | -12.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 67.5% | 13.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 163 days | 62 days |
| 2010 Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis / Flash Crash | ||
| % Loss | -22.4% | -15.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 28.9% | 18.2% |
| Time to Breakeven | 160 days | 125 days |
| 2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -82.4% | -53.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 469.8% | 114.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1776 days | 1085 days |
In The Past
Axon Enterprise's stock fell -16.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 19.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Axon Enterprise (AXON)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-3 brief analogies to describe Axon Enterprise:
The Apple of law enforcement technology.
A Microsoft for police departments.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- TASER Devices: Conducted energy devices (CEDs) under the TASER brand, including professional models like TASER 7, X26P, and X2, as well as consumer devices and related cartridges.
- Axon Body Cameras: On-officer body cameras designed to capture video and other digital evidence for law enforcement.
- Axon Fleet In-Car Systems: Integrated hardware and software solutions for vehicles, enabling in-car video capture and evidence management.
- Axon Evidence Software: A cloud-based digital evidence management platform for securely storing, managing, sharing, and analyzing video and other digital evidence.
- Axon Signal Devices: Hardware devices that automatically trigger Axon cameras to begin recording based on specific events.
AI Analysis | Feedback
nullAI Analysis | Feedback
nullAI Analysis | Feedback
Patrick W. Smith, Chief Executive Officer
Patrick W. Smith co-founded Axon (formerly TASER International) in 1993, driven by a personal tragedy that motivated him to develop less-lethal public safety technology. He has served as CEO and a director of the company since its inception. The initial capital for the company came from the founders' efforts and the Smith family. Mr. Smith was previously a Director at Guardian 8 Holdings and IOTACOMM, INC.
Brittany Bagley, Chief Operating Officer and Chief Financial Officer
Brittany Bagley joined Axon in September 2022, serving as both Chief Operating Officer and Chief Financial Officer. Before her role at Axon, she spent three and a half years as the Chief Financial Officer at Sonos. Prior to Sonos, Ms. Bagley dedicated 12 years to KKR, where she was a Managing Director within the Technology, Media, and Telecommunications (TMT) Private Equity team, serving on numerous boards during her tenure. This demonstrates a pattern of managing companies backed by private equity firms. She also served on the Sonos board of directors from 2017 to 2019, chairing its compensation committee. Ms. Bagley currently sits on the board of directors for Aurora Innovation, where she chairs the Audit Committee and is a member of the Compensation Committee. She began her career as an Analyst in Investment Banking at Goldman Sachs.
Josh Isner, President
Josh Isner joined Axon in 2009 as part of the company's leadership development program and has since established a strong track record of delivering results. He held various roles, including leading the domestic video and cloud sales team to a record year in 2014, and was later promoted to Executive Vice President of Global Sales. In 2018, he became Chief Revenue Officer, responsible for Axon's global growth, customer service, professional services, and sales operations. Mr. Isner was appointed President in 2022, overseeing the day-to-day operational excellence, execution, marketing, policies, and employees of the business. He is also a board member of the Phoenix Police Foundation.
Jeffrey Kunins, Chief Product Officer and Chief Technology Officer
Jeffrey Kunins joined Axon in September 2019 and leads the company's global Product Management, Software Engineering, Hardware Engineering, Artificial Intelligence, Design, and Security teams. With nearly 30 years of experience, he has led innovation and shipped products used by hundreds of millions of people. Prior to Axon, Mr. Kunins served as Vice President of Amazon's Alexa Entertainment and also led the global reading experience for Amazon Kindle. His background also includes roles as General Manager of Product and Design at Skype and General Manager of Windows Live Messenger at Microsoft. Notably, he spent eight years at Tellme Networks, a pioneer in cloud-based voice services, serving as VP of Product through its acquisition by Microsoft in 2007. Mr. Kunins holds Board of Directors observer seats with Flock Safety and RapidSOS and serves on the Board of the Seattle Police Foundation.
AI Analysis | Feedback
```htmlHere are the key risks for Axon Enterprise (AXON):
- Regulatory Pressure, Antitrust Investigations, and Legal Challenges: Axon faces significant regulatory scrutiny, including antitrust investigations and potential litigation, which could force changes to its business model, such as separating hardware and software sales, and impact monetization and margins. The public safety sector is highly sensitive to regulatory changes concerning data privacy, digital evidence management, and the ethical use of artificial intelligence (AI), particularly in technologies like automated license plate readers (ALPRs). Shifts in government procurement or new regulations could necessitate costly platform adjustments.
- Dependence on Government Financing and Budgets: Axon's primary customer base consists of municipal, state, and federal law enforcement and corrections agencies. Consequently, the company's financial performance is heavily dependent on government budgets, and any potential cuts in spending on law enforcement agencies could limit demand for Axon's solutions.
- Operational Risks and Margin Pressure from High Investments: Axon has been incurring substantial operating expenses due to aggressive spending on research and development (R&D), staff expansion, and the integration of acquired companies. These significant investments, including stock-based compensation, have led to margin compression and can be a headwind to GAAP profitability. The company's focus on new product development, expanding cloud infrastructure, and scaling production contributes to these increased costs.
AI Analysis | Feedback
nullAI Analysis | Feedback
Axon Enterprise (NASDAQ: AXON) operates within a substantial and expanding addressable market for its public safety technology solutions, encompassing both hardware and cloud-based software.
The company itself identifies its total addressable market (TAM) to be approximately $159 billion globally, as of November 2025. This comprehensive figure includes their existing product categories such as real-time operations, vehicle intelligence, air, and robotics, and has expanded due to recent acquisitions and strategic growth vectors including international expansion, federal contracts, enterprise safety, and civilian markets.
Breaking down the addressable markets for Axon's main products and services:
TASER (Conducted Energy Devices - CEDs)
- The global electroshock weapons market was valued at approximately $2.1 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach $3.1 billion by 2030. This market includes law enforcement, military, civilian, and private security end-users.
- Specifically for the USA, the conducted energy weapons market is projected to grow from $1.2 billion in 2025 to $2.8 billion by 2032. Law enforcement agencies held a significant share of the U.S. conducted energy weapons market in 2025.
Software and Sensors (Body Cameras, Digital Evidence Management, Law Enforcement Software)
- The global digital evidence management market, which includes solutions for collecting, storing, managing, and analyzing digital evidence, was valued at USD 9.53 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to USD 22.04 billion by 2034. North America is a significant region within this market, holding 38% of the global share. Other estimates place the global market at USD 8.75 billion in 2025, increasing to approximately USD 21.98 billion by 2035.
- The global body-worn camera market was estimated at approximately USD 1.5 billion in 2023, with projections to reach around USD 2.7 billion by 2029. Law enforcement agencies represent the primary end-user, dominating with a 70% market share. Another assessment values the global body-worn camera market at USD 1.29 billion in 2024, expecting it to reach USD 5.47 billion by 2032, with North America holding the largest revenue share in 2024.
- The global law enforcement software market, which supports various functions like crime prevention, investigation, and case management, is projected to grow from USD 20.25 billion in 2025 to USD 32.96 billion by 2030. North America held a 38.8% revenue share in the global law enforcement software market in 2024.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Axon Enterprise (AXON) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key strategies:
- Expansion of Software and Services, particularly AI-powered solutions: Axon's strategic shift to a cloud-based Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) model is a significant growth driver. The company's Axon Cloud & Services, including digital evidence management, are experiencing robust growth, with the software and services segment outpacing hardware growth. A key innovation is the mid-2024 launch of Axon Draft One, an AI-powered tool that automatically generates police reports from body-worn camera audio, significantly reducing administrative paperwork and positioning Axon to monetize data through a high-margin intelligence ecosystem. New product categories like AI and drone technologies are also contributing substantially to bookings and expansion.
- Aggressive International Market Expansion: International markets represent a primary growth frontier for Axon. The company aims to increase the contribution of international revenue from approximately 17% in 2024 to over 25% by 2027. This expansion includes targeted initiatives in Europe, Australia, the UK, Canada, and plans for 2025 initiatives in Western Europe and Japan, supported by localized sales teams and product adaptations.
- Launch and Growth of New Products and Product Categories: Axon continues to invest heavily in research and development to bring new offerings to market. This includes new hardware such as the TASER 10 and Axon Body 4, which are key revenue drivers. Beyond core devices, new product categories like Axon Air drones, counter-drone equipment (following the 2024 acquisition of Dedrone), VR training solutions, Axon Vehicle Intelligence, Axon Assistant, Axon Body Mini, and Axon 911 are expanding its ecosystem and driving demand.
- Expansion into New Customer Segments and Adjacent Markets: While historically strong in law enforcement, Axon is actively pursuing new verticals. This includes extending its software and digital evidence management capabilities into the broader justice system, targeting prosecutors, courts, and defense attorneys with platforms like Axon Justice. Furthermore, the company is pursuing federal agency contracts, aiming for penetration in fire services, corrections, and private enterprise markets.
- High Customer Retention and "Land-and-Expand" Strategy: Axon's business model is characterized by strong customer retention and a "land-and-expand" approach. The company consistently reports high net revenue retention (NRR) rates, often around 120-125%, and significant annual recurring revenue (ARR) growth. This indicates that existing customers are not only retaining Axon's services but are also adopting additional products and features within its integrated public safety ecosystem, leading to sustained revenue growth.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Repurchases
- Axon Enterprise reported no share buybacks for AXON stock as of March 12, 2026.
Share Issuance
- Axon's full-year 2026 guidance includes an estimated stock-based compensation expense of $590 million to $620 million.
- The company aims to limit annual dilution from stock-based compensation to less than 2.5% by 2028.
Outbound Investments
- Axon completed 10 acquisitions between 2020 and 2025, with 2 acquisitions in 2025, 2 in 2024, and 1 in 2023.
- In November 2025, Axon acquired Carbyne for $625 million, a provider of public safety and call management services, which is expected to close in the first quarter of 2026. This acquisition aims to merge Carbyne's platform with Axon's AI-driven insights to form "Axon 911".
- Axon also acquired Prepared, an AI-powered communications company, which, along with Carbyne, is expected to expand Axon's total addressable market by $5 billion.
Capital Expenditures
- Capital expenditures for 2025 reached $136.26 million, marking the highest over the past five years.
- For 2026, Axon anticipates capital expenditures to be in the range of $185 million to $215 million.
- The primary focus for 2026 capital expenditures includes long-term research and development projects, continued capacity expansion, global facility build-outs, and new product development costs. These plans exclude investments related to a new headquarters.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 164.64 |
| Mkt Cap | 7.0 |
| Rev LTM | 1,508 |
| Op Inc LTM | 41 |
| FCF LTM | 40 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 117 |
| CFO LTM | 111 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 169 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 20.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 9.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | 15.2% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 3.3% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 7.0% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 16.2% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 10.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 7.7% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 8.0% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 11.8% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 5.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 9.1% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 7.0 |
| P/S | 5.6 |
| P/Op Inc | 15.7 |
| P/EBIT | 20.7 |
| P/E | 33.9 |
| P/CFO | 18.5 |
| Total Yield | 3.3% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 1.7% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | 0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 3.5% |
| 3M Rtn | -13.7% |
| 6M Rtn | -32.2% |
| 12M Rtn | -34.1% |
| 3Y Rtn | 39.9% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 2.0% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -25.8% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -39.3% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -58.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -33.4% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connected Devices | 1,577 | 1,221 | |||
| Software and Services | 1,203 | 861 | |||
| Software and Sensors | 947 | 658 | 426 | ||
| TASER | 614 | 532 | 437 | ||
| Total | 2,780 | 2,083 | 1,561 | 1,190 | 863 |
| $ Mil | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | 2014 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TASER | 65 | 76 | 71 | ||
| Software and Sensors | -40 | -63 | -39 | ||
| AXON | -26 | -19 | |||
| TASER Weapons | 61 | 51 | |||
| Total | 25 | 13 | 32 | 35 | 33 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $441.73 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 35.4 | |
| First Trading Date | 06/19/2001 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -49.3% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $410.29 | $551.07 |
| DMA Trend | down | down |
| Distance from DMA | 7.7% | -19.8% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 64.9% | 56.1% |
| Downside Capture | 169.16 | 196.19 |
| Upside Capture | 60.44 | 75.06 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 30.4% | 26.4% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | -0.52 | 1.16 | 1.10 | 1.53 | 1.14 | 1.13 |
| Up Beta | 0.72 | 3.56 | 1.94 | 1.83 | 1.43 | 1.05 |
| Down Beta | 1.71 | 0.21 | 0.55 | 0.33 | 1.05 | 1.15 |
| Up Capture | 8% | -3% | 26% | 145% | 44% | 176% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 13 | 28 | 36 | 67 | 141 | 432 |
| Stock +ve Days | 10 | 22 | 31 | 60 | 128 | 398 |
| Down Capture | -398% | -142% | 149% | 194% | 141% | 104% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 7 | 13 | 27 | 57 | 109 | 318 |
| Stock -ve Days | 10 | 19 | 32 | 64 | 121 | 351 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with AXON | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AXON | -45.3% | 55.8% | -0.89 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 23.9% | 16.2% | 1.14 | 17.3% |
| Equity (SPY) | 24.9% | 12.3% | 1.52 | 27.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 25.5% | 27.4% | 0.81 | 3.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 30.1% | 19.0% | 1.25 | -3.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 13.5% | 13.5% | 0.69 | 3.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -41.7% | 42.2% | -1.16 | 18.4% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with AXON | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AXON | 23.8% | 48.0% | 0.61 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 12.7% | 17.5% | 0.56 | 36.9% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.5% | 17.1% | 0.61 | 41.9% |
| Gold (GLD) | 16.8% | 18.2% | 0.75 | 2.0% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.4% | 19.4% | 0.33 | 3.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 2.8% | 18.8% | 0.05 | 26.5% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 13.6% | 54.4% | 0.44 | 20.7% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with AXON | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AXON | 34.1% | 49.1% | 0.78 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 14.1% | 20.0% | 0.62 | 37.5% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.3% | 17.9% | 0.73 | 42.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 12.5% | 16.1% | 0.64 | 1.0% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 6.7% | 18.0% | 0.29 | 11.5% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.7% | 20.7% | 0.24 | 30.4% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 60.3% | 66.8% | 1.00 | 12.0% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Earnings Returns History
Updated 6/9/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 5/6/2026 | 10.6% | -2.3% | 26.0% |
| 2/24/2026 | 17.6% | 30.9% | 4.0% |
| 11/4/2025 | -9.4% | -19.0% | -22.0% |
| 8/4/2025 | 16.4% | 9.9% | -2.6% |
| 5/7/2025 | 14.1% | 21.1% | 31.6% |
| 2/25/2025 | 15.3% | 6.4% | 12.6% |
| 11/7/2024 | 28.7% | 29.0% | 37.1% |
| 8/6/2024 | 18.4% | 25.1% | 20.3% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 18 | 16 | 16 |
| # Negative | 6 | 8 | 8 |
| Median Positive | 13.4% | 13.2% | 13.1% |
| Median Negative | -7.1% | -8.9% | -12.8% |
| Max Positive | 28.7% | 30.9% | 37.1% |
| Max Negative | -15.1% | -19.0% | -22.0% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/07/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/25/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/05/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/05/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/28/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/27/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/07/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/08/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/28/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/09/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/09/2022 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance
Updated 5/31/2026Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/6/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Revenue Growth | 30.0% | 31.0% | 32.0% | 8.8% | 2.5% | Raised | Guidance: 28.5% for 2026 |
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA margin | 25.5% | 0 | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 25.5% for 2026 | ||
| 2026 Stock-based compensation | 590.00 Mil | 605.00 Mil | 620.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 605.00 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2026 CapEx | 160.00 Mil | 175.00 Mil | 190.00 Mil | -12.5% | Lowered | Guidance: 200.00 Mil for 2026 | |
Prior: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/24/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Revenue Growth | 27.0% | 28.5% | 30.0% | ||||
| 2026 Operating Margin | 25.5% | 2.0% | 0.5% | Higher New | Actual: 25.0% for 2025 | ||
| 2026 Stock-based compensation expense | 590.00 Mil | 605.00 Mil | 620.00 Mil | 0 | Same New | Actual: 605.00 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Capital Expenditures | 185.00 Mil | 200.00 Mil | 215.00 Mil | 14.3% | Higher New | Actual: 175.00 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2028 Revenue | 6.00 Bil | ||||||
| 2028 Operating Margin | 28.0% | 12.0% | 3.0% | Higher New | Actual: 25.0% for 2025 | ||
Insider Activity
Updated 6/8/2026| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Isner, Joshua | PRESIDENT | Direct | Sell | 6082026 | 488.45 | 13,000 | 6,349,888 | 82,609,417 | Form |
| 2 | Coughlin, Elizabeth Reid | Chief Human Officer | Direct | Sell | 6082026 | 485.00 | 1,554 | 753,690 | 16,501,559 | Form |
| 3 | Brooks, Cameron | CHIEF REVENUE OFFICER | Direct | Sell | 6082026 | 500.00 | 1,242 | 621,000 | 24,854,966 | Form |
| 4 | Smith, Patrick W | CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER | Direct | Sell | 6082026 | 500.00 | 20,000 | 10,000,000 | 1,530,498,500 | Form |
| 5 | Bagley, Brittany | COO & CFO | Direct | Sell | 6032026 | 485.00 | 5,969 | 2,894,965 | 37,385,972 | Form |
Industry Resources
| Industrials Resources |
| IndustryWeek |
| Manufacturing.net |
| Aviation Week |
| Aerospace & Defense Resources |
| Defense News |
| FlightGlobal |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
Prefer one of these to Trefis? Tell us why.