Via Transportation (VIA)
Market Price (12/21/2025): $33.0 | Market Cap: $816.1 MilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Application Software
Via Transportation (VIA)
Market Price (12/21/2025): $33.0Market Cap: $816.1 MilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Application Software
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -41% | Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -43% | Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 203%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 203% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Future of Mobility, and Cloud Computing. Themes include On-Demand Transit, Shared Mobility Platforms, Show more. | High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 352% | |
| Key risksVIA key risks include [1] its ongoing operating losses and an unclear path to profitability and [2] a heavy reliance on large public sector contracts. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -41% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Future of Mobility, and Cloud Computing. Themes include On-Demand Transit, Shared Mobility Platforms, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -43% |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 203%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 203% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 352% |
| Key risksVIA key risks include [1] its ongoing operating losses and an unclear path to profitability and [2] a heavy reliance on large public sector contracts. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
VIA Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points for why Via Transportation (VIA) stock moved by 203% during the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 21, 2025:
1. Initial Public Offering (IPO) and Market Debut
Via Transportation priced its initial public offering (IPO) at $46.00 per share on September 11, 2025, and its shares began trading on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) on September 12, 2025, under the ticker symbol "VIA". This transition from a private to a public company represents a fundamental and significant revaluation, providing a public market for its shares and attracting new investors. Although the stock opened slightly below its offering price, the IPO itself was a major catalyst for the stock's overall movement during the period.
2. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results
Via announced robust third-quarter 2025 financial results on November 13, 2025, which likely bolstered investor confidence. The company reported revenue of $110 million and a Platform Annual Run-Rate Revenue of $439 million, marking a 32% increase year-over-year. Furthermore, Via's customer count grew by 11% year-over-year to 713, and its Adjusted EBITDA Margin showed significant improvement, narrowing to (8)% from (17)% in the third quarter of 2024. These positive financial indicators exceeded expectations, contributing to upward stock movement.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| VIA Return | 12% | 28% | -51% | -62% | 17% | 202% | -7% |
| Peers Return | 15% | 13% | -5% | 36% | 28% | -10% | 92% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| VIA Win Rate | 67% | 58% | 42% | 50% | 33% | 17% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 53% | 50% | 44% | 67% | 58% | 50% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| VIA Max Drawdown | -40% | 0% | -53% | -78% | 0% | 0% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -49% | -7% | -24% | -11% | -6% | -27% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: TRMB, PSN, VRRM.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | VIA | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -91.1% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 1027.3% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -48.3% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 93.3% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 279 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -68.1% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 213.7% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
Compare to BMR, BTTC, CCC, FUSE, GIT
In The Past
Via Transportation's stock fell -91.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/17/2021. A -91.1% loss requires a 1027.3% gain to breakeven.
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to VIA. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 15.3% | 15.3% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.2% | 10.2% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.6% | 14.6% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.6% | 9.6% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 8.4% | 8.4% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 15.3% | 15.3% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.2% | 10.2% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.6% | 14.6% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.6% | 9.6% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 8.4% | 8.4% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Via Transportation
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 47.34 |
| Mkt Cap | 5.0 |
| Rev LTM | 3,601 |
| Op Inc LTM | 411 |
| FCF LTM | 315 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 398 |
| CFO LTM | 341 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 444 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -0.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 9.1% |
| Rev Chg Q | 2.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.7% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 15.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 13.5% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 9.5% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 13.3% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 8.8% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 12.4% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 5.0 |
| P/S | 3.7 |
| P/EBIT | 20.5 |
| P/E | 53.9 |
| P/CFO | 15.0 |
| Total Yield | 1.9% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.4% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -2.0% |
| 3M Rtn | -17.2% |
| 6M Rtn | 2.1% |
| 12M Rtn | 3.2% |
| 3Y Rtn | 46.3% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -6.6% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -19.2% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -11.6% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -11.3% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -32.1% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11142025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 12312024 | 9152025 | 424B4 12/31/2024 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |