Tearsheet

VinFast Auto (VFS)


Market Price (10/31/2025): $3.26 | Market Cap: $7.6 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Automobile Manufacturers

VinFast Auto (VFS)


Market Price (10/31/2025): $3.26
Market Cap: $7.6 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Automobile Manufacturers

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 86%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -106%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -56 Tril, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -90%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -37%
  Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 869986%
2   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -60%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -89%
3   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -1072736%
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 86%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -37%
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -106%
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -56 Tril, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -90%
4 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 869986%
5 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -60%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -89%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -1072736%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

VFS Stock


Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
VFS Return-----52%-19%-62%
Peers Return-0%28%-25%7%-38%-22%-51%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%110%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
VFS Win Rate---25%33%22% 
Peers Win Rate22%38%23%43%32%62% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%67% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
VFS Max Drawdown-----71%-33% 
Peers Max Drawdown-17%-2%-28%-7%-43%-43% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: F, HMC, GGR, AIIO, CJET.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 10/30/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

VFS has limited trading history. Below is the Consumer Discretionary sector ETF (XLY) in its place.

Unique KeyEventXLYS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-40.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven67.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven680 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-33.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven51.3%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven82 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-21.9%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven28.1%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven105 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-60.1%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven150.8%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven779 days1480 days

Compare to


In The Past

SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -40.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/19/2021. A -40.3% loss requires a 67.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About VinFast Auto (VFS)

Better Bets than VinFast Auto (VFS)

Latest Trefis Analyses

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1Fundamental Metrics: ... 
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Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to VFS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ANF_9302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302025ANFAbercrombie & FitchDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-15.6%-15.6%-22.1%
DECK_9302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302025DECKDeckers OutdoorDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-20.2%-20.2%-20.2%
CHH_9302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302025CHHChoice Hotels InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-13.4%-13.4%-13.4%
VAC_9302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302025VACMarriott Vacations WorldwideDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.7%-1.7%-6.1%
FUN_9302025_Short_Squeeze09302025FUNSix Flags EntertainmentSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-0.6%-0.6%-11.7%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ANF_9302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302025ANFAbercrombie & FitchDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-15.6%-15.6%-22.1%
DECK_9302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302025DECKDeckers OutdoorDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-20.2%-20.2%-20.2%
CHH_9302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302025CHHChoice Hotels InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-13.4%-13.4%-13.4%
VAC_9302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302025VACMarriott Vacations WorldwideDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.7%-1.7%-6.1%
FUN_9302025_Short_Squeeze09302025FUNSix Flags EntertainmentSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-0.6%-0.6%-11.7%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for VinFast Auto

Financials

VFSFHMCGGRAIIOCJETMedian
NameVinFast .Ford Mot.Honda Mo.Gogoro Robo.ai Chijet M. 
Mkt Price3.2613.0631.073.660.730.053.46
Mkt Cap7.652.043.50.1--25.6
Rev LTM61,738,598189,58821,624,177305--10,906,882
Op Inc LTM-55,816,3343,619972,951-89--1,765
FCF LTM-55,090,23711,897-381,342-108---190,725
FCF 3Y Avg-69,226,7917,967160,898-112--3,928
CFO LTM-36,865,21420,426459,0740--10,213
CFO 3Y Avg-46,570,66616,306878,66110--8,158

Growth & Margins

VFSFHMCGGRAIIOCJETMedian
NameVinFast .Ford Mot.Honda Mo.Gogoro Robo.ai Chijet M. 
Rev Chg LTM86.1%3.7%2.0%-10.5%--2.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-7.8%13.8%-8.8%--7.8%
Rev Chg Q91.6%9.4%-1.2%-8.7%--4.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM14.8%2.3%-0.3%-2.0%--1.0%
Op Mgn LTM-90.4%1.9%4.5%-29.2%---13.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-165.3%2.7%5.6%-43.9%---20.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM13.9%0.3%-1.1%1.7%--1.0%
CFO/Rev LTM-59.7%10.8%2.1%0.0%--1.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-173.5%8.9%4.7%3.2%--3.9%
FCF/Rev LTM-89.2%6.3%-1.8%-35.4%---18.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-266.1%4.3%1.1%-32.8%---15.8%

Valuation

VFSFHMCGGRAIIOCJETMedian
NameVinFast .Ford Mot.Honda Mo.Gogoro Robo.ai Chijet M. 
Mkt Cap7.652.043.50.1--25.6
P/S0.00.30.00.2--0.1
P/EBIT-0.08.00.0-0.5--0.0
P/E-0.011.10.1-0.4--0.0
P/CFO-0.02.50.1506.3--1.3
Total Yield-1,072,731.6%12.5%2,171.7%-243.4%---115.5%
Dividend Yield0.0%3.4%706.2%0.0%--1.7%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-17.2%263.4%-1,335.8%--17.2%
D/E10,835.73.20.07.8--5.5
Net D/E8,699.92.3-95.96.0--4.2

Returns

VFSFHMCGGRAIIOCJETMedian
NameVinFast .Ford Mot.Honda Mo.Gogoro Robo.ai Chijet M. 
1M Rtn1.2%9.2%0.9%-39.1%-72.2%-66.5%-19.1%
3M Rtn-4.7%19.6%-0.5%-48.5%--97.9%-4.7%
6M Rtn-5.0%31.9%2.4%-29.5%--97.2%-5.0%
12M Rtn-17.7%34.2%0.9%-63.6%--97.5%-17.7%
3Y Rtn-23.8%38.5%-94.1%--23.8%
1M Excs Rtn0.1%4.8%-0.9%-40.6%-72.4%-66.6%-20.7%
3M Excs Rtn-13.2%13.0%-10.2%-56.2%--107.3%-13.2%
6M Excs Rtn-26.7%10.2%-19.3%-51.3%--119.0%-26.7%
12M Excs Rtn-34.4%6.4%-16.9%-80.3%--114.4%-34.4%
3Y Excs Rtn--47.8%-36.5%-171.0%---47.8%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10152025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2,076,105
Short Interest: % Change Since 9302025-26.6%
Average Daily Volume561,873
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.69
Basic Shares Quantity2,338,812,676
Short % of Basic Shares0.1%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
630202590420256-K 6/30/2025
331202560920256-K 3/31/2025
12312024428202520-F 12/31/2024
9302024112620246-K 9/30/2024
630202492020246-K 6/30/2024
331202441720246-K 3/31/2024
12312023425202420-F 12/31/2023
9302023100520236-K 9/30/2023
630202392120236-K 6/30/2023
123120227282023424B3 12/31/2022
1231202112062022F-1 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

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