Tearsheet

UWM (UWMC)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $5.75 | Market Cap: $1.3 Bil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Commercial & Residential Mortgage Finance

UWM (UWMC)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $5.75
Market Cap: $1.3 Bil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Commercial & Residential Mortgage Finance

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.2%, Dividend Yield is 4.9%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -34%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -3.2%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 232%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 64%
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 15%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 80x
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and Smart Buildings & Proptech. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, and Real Estate Data Analytics.
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -3.7%
3   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -241%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -245%
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.2%, Dividend Yield is 4.9%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 64%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and Smart Buildings & Proptech. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, and Real Estate Data Analytics.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -34%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -3.2%
4 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 15%
5 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 232%
6 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 80x
7 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -3.7%
8 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -241%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -245%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

UWMC Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Mixed Q3 2025 Earnings Report

UWM Holdings Corporation announced its third-quarter 2025 results on November 6, 2025. The company reported a net income of $31.9 million for the quarter, with a loan origination volume of $39.5 billion. While revenue surpassed expectations at $843.25 million, the earnings per share (EPS) of $0.01 fell significantly short of the forecasted $0.0749, representing an 86.65% negative surprise in earnings. 2. Strong Operational Performance and AI Integration in Q3

Despite the EPS miss, the Q3 2025 earnings call highlighted robust operational achievements, including a record lock day in September, with $4.8 billion in locks. A notable success was the integration of "Mia," a generative AI loan officer assistant, which made over 400,000 calls and contributed to over 14,000 closings, exceeding expectations.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
UWMC Return--56%-38%132%-13%2%-44%
Peers Return36%14%-28%56%6%15%113%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
UWMC Win Rate64%33%42%58%42%40% 
Peers Win Rate58%65%38%55%53%48% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
UWMC Max Drawdown--59%-47%0%-16%-32% 
Peers Max Drawdown-41%-13%-39%-9%-16%-18% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ESNT, WD, SNFCA, RKT, PFSI.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventUWMCS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-79.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven391.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-12.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven14.6%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven102 days148 days

Compare to ESNT, WD, SNFCA, RKT, PFSI


In The Past

UWM's stock fell -79.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/1/2021. A -79.7% loss requires a 391.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About UWM (UWMC)

Better Bets than UWM (UWMC)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to UWMC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.5%7.5%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
15.2%15.2%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.5%-2.5%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-6.2%-6.2%-11.0%
UWMC_10102025_Short_Squeeze10102025UWMCUWMSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
6.0%6.0%-9.3%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.5%7.5%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
15.2%15.2%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.5%-2.5%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-6.2%-6.2%-11.0%
UWMC_10102025_Short_Squeeze10102025UWMCUWMSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
6.0%6.0%-9.3%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for UWM

Peers to compare with:

Financials

UWMCESNTWDSNFCARKTPFSIMedian
NameUWM Essent Walker &.Security.Rocket C.PennyMac. 
Mkt Price5.6761.8864.368.7919.71133.8640.80
Mkt Cap1.36.02.10.241.56.94.1
Rev LTM1,3671,2901,2363415,4863,5821,329
Op Inc LTM--134--549341
FCF LTM-3,355837-94948-1,264-1,947-1,107
FCF 3Y Avg-3,83279822347-1,756-1,830-854
CFO LTM-3,295854-93751-854-1,911-896
CFO 3Y Avg-3,79180823749-1,333-1,796-642

Growth & Margins

UWMCESNTWDSNFCARKTPFSIMedian
NameUWM Essent Walker &.Security.Rocket C.PennyMac. 
Rev Chg LTM63.6%2.1%16.0%5.6%41.7%50.7%28.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-3.7%8.2%-2.3%-7.0%-0.3%17.6%-1.3%
Rev Chg Q6.4%-1.3%15.5%4.2%141.3%40.3%11.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.5%-0.3%3.8%1.1%18.6%7.6%2.7%
Op Mgn LTM--10.8%--15.3%13.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg--11.4%--15.2%13.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM--0.4%--3.1%1.8%
CFO/Rev LTM-241.0%66.2%-75.8%15.0%-15.6%-53.4%-34.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-378.8%67.1%26.4%14.5%-32.3%-67.8%-8.9%
FCF/Rev LTM-245.4%64.8%-76.8%14.1%-23.0%-54.4%-38.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-382.5%66.4%25.2%13.9%-42.4%-69.1%-14.2%

Valuation

UWMCESNTWDSNFCARKTPFSIMedian
NameUWM Essent Walker &.Security.Rocket C.PennyMac. 
Mkt Cap1.36.02.10.241.56.94.1
P/S1.04.82.30.77.41.82.0
P/EBIT-7.220.97.3-11.79.5
P/E79.88.824.310.8-399.612.811.8
P/CFO-0.47.3-3.04.8-47.8-3.4-1.7
Total Yield6.2%13.3%4.1%9.3%-0.3%8.8%7.5%
Dividend Yield4.9%2.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%1.0%0.5%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-473.7%13.4%11.3%21.6%-54.6%-37.1%-12.9%
D/E3.00.11.10.50.23.00.8
Net D/E2.3-0.91.00.00.12.90.5

Returns

UWMCESNTWDSNFCARKTPFSIMedian
NameUWM Essent Walker &.Security.Rocket C.PennyMac. 
1M Rtn-3.1%2.1%-19.0%8.5%16.7%5.8%3.9%
3M Rtn1.3%-1.2%-20.7%4.6%10.2%18.9%3.0%
6M Rtn43.3%9.0%-3.3%-5.9%58.1%41.7%25.3%
12M Rtn-6.5%11.1%-38.9%-30.9%48.3%27.5%2.3%
3Y Rtn56.3%66.3%-19.6%57.0%147.7%133.9%61.6%
1M Excs Rtn-3.0%2.1%-18.9%8.6%16.7%5.8%4.0%
3M Excs Rtn-7.8%-7.9%-27.3%-0.6%-2.4%11.0%-5.1%
6M Excs Rtn28.6%-5.7%-18.0%-20.6%43.3%27.0%10.6%
12M Excs Rtn-19.7%-3.7%-53.0%-43.0%29.8%12.8%-11.7%
3Y Excs Rtn-3.2%-2.5%-87.8%-18.9%101.3%69.4%-2.8%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity32,311,483
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-7.6%
Average Daily Volume11,549,996
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.80
Basic Shares Quantity221,354,499
Short % of Basic Shares14.6%

Returns Analyses

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025506202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024226202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024806202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023228202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231108202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023809202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023510202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022301202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221104202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022809202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022510202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021301202210-K 12/31/2021