UWM (UWMC)
Market Price (4/7/2026): $3.745 | Market Cap: $964.0 MilSector: Financials | Industry: Commercial & Residential Mortgage Finance
UWM (UWMC)
Market Price (4/7/2026): $3.745Market Cap: $964.0 MilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Commercial & Residential Mortgage Finance
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, Dividend Yield is 8.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.0% Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -37% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and Smart Buildings & Proptech. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, and Real Estate Data Analytics. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -60%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -68% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 403% Expensive valuation multiplesP/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 35x Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -170%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -175% Significant short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 20% Key risksUWMC key risks include [1] regulatory challenges, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, Dividend Yield is 8.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.0% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -37% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and Smart Buildings & Proptech. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, and Real Estate Data Analytics. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -60%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -68% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 403% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 35x |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -170%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -175% |
| Significant short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 20% |
| Key risksUWMC key risks include [1] regulatory challenges, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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1. Q4 2025 Earnings Miss and Reduced Transparency. The company reported a Q4 2025 earnings per share (EPS) of $0.08 on February 25, 2026, missing the consensus estimate of $0.09 by $0.01. This EPS miss, coupled with a full-year 2025 net income decline to $244 million from $329 million in 2024, partly due to a $435 million write-down of mortgage servicing rights, contributed to negative investor sentiment. Furthermore, management's unusual decision to forgo the customary live question-and-answer session during the earnings call raised red flags and immediately led to a 9.21% stock drop on February 25, 2026, signaling a perceived lack of transparency.
2. Termination of Two Harbors Acquisition. UWM's proposed acquisition of Two Harbors Investment Corp (TWO) was terminated on March 27, 2026, when Two Harbors opted for a "superior" cash offer of $10.80 per share from CrossCountry Mortgage. This strategic setback involved a previously announced all-stock deal valued at $11.94 per share of TWO in December 2025 and resulted in UWM receiving a $25.4 million termination fee. The failed acquisition, despite UWM's public criticism of Two Harbors' board, indicated a setback in UWM's strategic growth plans and likely impacted investor confidence in its M&A execution.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -12.0% change in UWMC stock from 12/31/2025 to 4/6/2026 was primarily driven by a -36.9% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 12312025 | 4062026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 4.26 | 3.75 | -12.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,367 | 1,553 | 13.6% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 1.2% | 1.8% | 42.7% |
| P/E Multiple | 55.9 | 35.3 | -36.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 221 | 257 | -14.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -12.0% |
Market Drivers
12/31/2025 to 4/6/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| UWMC | -12.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | -5.4% | 11.9% |
| Sector (XLF) | -8.9% | 15.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -35.4% change in UWMC stock from 9/30/2025 to 4/6/2026 was primarily driven by a -64.4% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 9302025 | 4062026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 5.80 | 3.75 | -35.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,347 | 1,553 | 15.3% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 0.9% | 1.8% | 100.3% |
| P/E Multiple | 98.9 | 35.3 | -64.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 202 | 257 | -21.5% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -35.4% |
Market Drivers
9/30/2025 to 4/6/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| UWMC | -35.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | -2.9% | 26.9% |
| Sector (XLF) | -7.1% | 22.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -24.9% change in UWMC stock from 3/31/2025 to 4/6/2026 was primarily driven by a -39.4% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 3312025 | 4062026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 5.00 | 3.75 | -24.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,415 | 1,553 | 9.8% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 1.0% | 1.8% | 73.2% |
| P/E Multiple | 54.1 | 35.3 | -34.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 156 | 257 | -39.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -24.9% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2025 to 4/6/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| UWMC | -24.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 16.3% | 27.3% |
| Sector (XLF) | 1.2% | 26.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -5.4% change in UWMC stock from 3/31/2023 to 4/6/2026 was primarily driven by a -97.6% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 3312023 | 4062026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 3.97 | 3.75 | -5.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 4,683 | 1,553 | -66.8% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 72.2% | 1.8% | -97.6% |
| P/E Multiple | 0.1 | 35.3 | 29070.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 103 | 257 | -59.9% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -5.4% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2023 to 4/6/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| UWMC | -5.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 63.3% | 29.5% |
| Sector (XLF) | 62.0% | 30.4% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| UWMC Return | -56% | -38% | 132% | -13% | -19% | -13% | -61% |
| Peers Return | -32% | -43% | 93% | -16% | 38% | -28% | -37% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -4% | 75% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| UWMC Win Rate | 33% | 42% | 58% | 42% | 42% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 48% | 33% | 53% | 47% | 50% | 42% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| UWMC Max Drawdown | -59% | -47% | 0% | -16% | -32% | -20% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -40% | -56% | -10% | -29% | -24% | -34% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -7% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: RKT, PFSI, LDI.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 4/6/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | UWMC | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -79.7% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 391.6% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -12.8% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 14.6% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 102 days | 148 days |
Compare to RKT, PFSI, LDI
In The Past
UWM's stock fell -79.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/1/2021. A -79.7% loss requires a 391.6% gain to breakeven.
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About UWM (UWMC)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-3 brief analogies for UWM (UWMC):
- Intel for independent mortgage brokers: UWM provides the core mortgage products and services that independent brokers then offer to their clients, much like Intel provides the chips for various computer brands.
- The wholesale counterpart to a direct-to-consumer mortgage lender like Rocket Mortgage: While companies like Rocket Mortgage lend directly to consumers, UWM focuses exclusively on providing mortgages through independent mortgage brokers.
- AWS for mortgage brokers: UWM offers the essential backend platform and services that allow independent mortgage brokers to originate and process loans, similar to how AWS provides infrastructure for countless online businesses.
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Conforming Mortgage Loans: UWM originates mortgage loans that adhere to the underwriting guidelines and loan limits set by government-sponsored enterprises like Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.
Government Mortgage Loans: UWM originates mortgage loans insured or guaranteed by U.S. government agencies such as the Federal Housing Administration (FHA), Department of Veterans Affairs (VA), and U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA).
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Major Customers of UWM Holdings Corporation (UWMC)
UWM Holdings Corporation (UWMC) primarily sells its services to other companies, not directly to individuals. As described in its business model, UWM operates through the wholesale channel in residential mortgage lending.
The major customers of UWM are independent mortgage brokers and brokerages. These are businesses that act as intermediaries between individual borrowers and wholesale lenders like UWM. Mortgage brokers originate loan applications from individuals and then submit these applications to UWM, which underwrites and funds the mortgage loans.
Due to the nature of the wholesale mortgage industry, UWM's customer base consists of a vast network of numerous, often smaller, independent mortgage broker companies. These brokerages are typically privately held, and their individual names and public symbols are generally not available or relevant in the same way as major corporate clients for other B2B businesses.
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```htmlMat Ishbia, Chairman, Chief Executive Officer and President
Mat Ishbia joined UWM, a company founded by his father, in 2003 and became its CEO in 2013. [2, 3, 7, 10] Under his leadership, UWM became the leading wholesale mortgage lender in the United States in 2015. [2, 10] He led the company's public offering through a $16 billion reverse merger in 2021. [4, 7] Ishbia is also the controlling owner and governor of the NBA's Phoenix Suns and WNBA's Phoenix Mercury, a position he assumed in February 2023. [3, 7, 10] He authored "Running the Corporate Offense: Lessons in Effective Leadership from the Bench to the Board Room." [2, 3, 10]
Rami Hasani, Chief Financial Officer
Rami Hasani was appointed Chief Financial Officer of UWM Holdings Corporation, effective April 1, 2025. [1, 2, 4, 6, 7] He joined UWM in November 2020, initially serving as the Vice President of Financial Reporting and Compliance. [1, 6, 7, 8] Prior to his time at UWM, Hasani accumulated over 15 years of experience at Deloitte & Touche, LLP, where he most recently held the position of Senior Manager in the Advisory practice. [1, 8] He is a Certified Public Accountant since 2004 and holds a B.S. degree in accounting from Oakland University. [1]
Melinda Wilner, Executive Vice President, Chief Operating Officer
Melinda Wilner has served as UWM's Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer since August 2015. [10] She joined the company in October 2011, holding various roles including Head of Underwriting and Underwriting Manager. [10, 13] Before joining UWM, Wilner was a Mortgage Branch Manager and Underwriter for Bank of Ann Arbor's Wholesale Division from February 2009 to October 2011. [10, 13] She holds a B.A. in economics from Vanderbilt University. [10, 13]
Alex Elezaj, Executive Vice President, Chief Strategy Officer
Alex Elezaj has been the Executive Vice President and Chief Strategy Officer of UWM since April 2018. [10] Before joining UWM, he was the Chief Executive Officer of Class Appraisal, Inc., an appraisal management company, from April 2015 to April 2018. [9, 10, 16] During his tenure, Class Appraisal was sold to private equity in 2018. [16, 17] Elezaj also previously served as Chief Operating Officer of Whitlam Group, a labeling and packaging solutions company, from December 2010 to March 2015. [10] He also founded Black Mountain Capital, a private mortgage banking firm. [6, 10]
Laura Lawson, Executive Vice President, Chief People Officer
Laura Lawson has served as the Executive Vice President, Chief People Officer of UWM Holdings Corporation since August 2014. [10] She previously held various roles in UWM's Marketing Department from July 2011 to August 2014. [10] Before her career at UWM, Lawson was a Staff Supervisor at Taubman Company, a real estate firm, from May 2009 to July 2010. [10] She earned her bachelor's degree in advertising from Michigan State University. [10]
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```htmlHere are the key risks to UWM Holdings Corporation (UWMC):
-
Interest Rate Volatility and Market Conditions: As a residential mortgage lender, UWM Holdings Corporation's business is highly sensitive to fluctuations in interest rates. A renewed rise in mortgage rates could significantly dampen loan origination volumes, directly impacting the company's core revenue stream. This volatility also affects the fair value of the company's mortgage servicing rights (MSR) portfolio, which is subject to market swings.
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Dependence on the Wholesale Channel and Broker Relationships: UWM Holdings Corporation exclusively originates mortgage loans through the wholesale channel, making it heavily reliant on its network of independent mortgage advisors and broker relationships. Should there be weaker origination activity from brokers or a shift of brokers to rival lenders, it could directly challenge UWM's business growth and market position.
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Regulatory and Compliance Risk: The mortgage lending industry is subject to complex and evolving state and federal laws and regulations. UWM Holdings Corporation faces the ongoing risk of needing to comply with these extensive regulations applicable to mortgage loan origination and servicing. Failure to adhere to these requirements can lead to heightened regulatory scrutiny, tighter operational rules, increased audits, significant fines, and potential litigation from borrowers, which could materially impact the company's financial performance and reputation.
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The addressable market for UWM Holdings Corporation (UWMC), which engages in residential mortgage lending through the wholesale channel, is within the U.S. residential mortgage market. The total U.S. home mortgage market size was approximately $180.91 billion in 2023. The wholesale lending channel accounted for just over 16% of all mortgages in the U.S. in 2023. Therefore, the addressable market for UWM's main products and services in the U.S. in 2023 was approximately $28.95 billion.AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for UWM Holdings Corporation (UWMC) over the next 2-3 years:- Expansion of Market Share in the Wholesale Channel: UWM consistently emphasizes its strategy to grow its market share within the wholesale mortgage channel, alongside increasing the channel's overall share of the mortgage market. This focus on deepening its presence in its core operating segment is a key driver.
- Increased Origination Volume Driven by Market Conditions: The company anticipates higher industry volumes and margins, with expectations for a better year in the mortgage industry. UWM has demonstrated strong performance in purchase originations and has seen significant growth in its refinance business, with a potential "refi boom" being mentioned as a future possibility. Declining mortgage rates are expected to enhance demand, particularly from first-time homebuyers.
- Strategic Investments in Technology and Operational Efficiency: UWM has made substantial investments in its technology platform, people, and processes to support continued growth. The implementation of artificial intelligence (AI), including a voice-enabled AI assistant named "Mia," is projected to significantly enhance team member efficiency and handle a large volume of calls, contributing to operational leverage and revenue growth.
- Launch and Growth of New Products and Services: The company expects to generate significant revenue from recently launched products and services such as TRAC+ and PA+, aiming for an annualized nine-figure run rate. An expanded rewards collaboration with Bilt is also cited as a lever for future earnings.
- Acquisition of Two Harbors Investment Corp.: The pending acquisition of Two Harbors Investment Corp. is a strategic move intended to build a closed-loop broker platform. This acquisition is expected to improve lead flow, enhance borrower retention, and strengthen UWM's leadership position, thereby acting as a lever for future earnings.
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Share Issuance
- During the six months ended June 30, 2025, UWM Holdings Corporation issued 989,098 shares of Class A common stock.
- In connection with the proposed acquisition of Two Harbors Investment Corp., UWM's public float is expected to materially increase to approximately 513 million shares, or $2.6 billion based on UWMC's closing price as of December 16, 2025.
Outbound Investments
- UWM Holdings Corporation is pursuing the acquisition of Two Harbors Investment Corp. (TWO) in an all-stock transaction, which is anticipated to close in the second quarter of 2026.
- Under the terms of the agreement, Two Harbors stockholders will receive 2.3328 shares of UWMC Class A Common Stock for each share of TWO common stock, valued at $11.94 per share based on UWMC's closing price as of December 16, 2025.
- The acquisition is expected to nearly double UWM's existing Mortgage Servicing Rights (MSR) portfolio to approximately $400 billion and is projected to create approximately $150 million of annual cost and revenue synergies.
Capital Expenditures
- UWM has made significant investments in AI and technology over the last three years to enhance efficiency and scale its operations.
- The company's voice-enabled AI assistant, Mia, is expected to handle over 12 million inbound and outbound calls in 2026, allowing UWM to manage two to three times its current volume without increasing headcount through natural attrition.
- These investments are anticipated to contribute to an annualized nine-figure run rate in revenue from new products and services such as TRAC+ and PA+.
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to UWMC.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03312026 | HBAN | Huntington Bancshares | Insider | Insider Buys 45DStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 03312026 | NP | Neptune Insurance | Insider | Insider Buys 45DStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 03272026 | JKHY | Jack Henry & Associates | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 3.1% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| 03202026 | MKTX | MarketAxess | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -5.2% | -5.2% | -5.7% |
| 03202026 | RYAN | Ryan Specialty | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | -2.7% | -2.7% | -8.5% |
| 10102025 | UWMC | UWM | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -29.0% | -29.0% | -32.9% |
Research & Analysis
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 9.39 |
| Mkt Cap | 2.8 |
| Rev LTM | 3,326 |
| Op Inc LTM | 551 |
| FCF LTM | -2,212 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -2,656 |
| CFO LTM | -2,150 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -2,369 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 25.1% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 9.6% |
| Rev Chg Q | 50.2% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 13.8% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 10.8% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 12.0% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -2.8% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -69.0% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -75.0% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -75.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -77.0% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 2.8 |
| P/S | 0.8 |
| P/EBIT | 8.5 |
| P/E | 2.1 |
| P/CFO | -1.6 |
| Total Yield | 5.4% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.1% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -105.7% |
| D/E | 4.7 |
| Net D/E | 4.4 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 0.2% |
| 3M Rtn | -30.6% |
| 6M Rtn | -26.5% |
| 12M Rtn | -7.1% |
| 3Y Rtn | 27.0% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -1.0% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -24.1% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -29.1% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -18.2% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -36.0% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $3.75 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 1.0 | |
| First Trading Date | 01/24/2020 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -42.2% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $4.27 | $4.80 |
| DMA Trend | indeterminate | down |
| Distance from DMA | -12.2% | -21.9% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 65.2% | 55.9% |
| Downside Capture | 0.53 | 1.04 |
| Upside Capture | 36.37 | 95.55 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 12.0% | 26.1% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.30 | -0.17 | 0.62 | 1.20 | 0.82 | 0.97 |
| Up Beta | 3.22 | -3.47 | -2.95 | 0.27 | 0.30 | 0.51 |
| Down Beta | 1.25 | 0.31 | 1.53 | 1.25 | 0.96 | 0.85 |
| Up Capture | -1% | -137% | 43% | 66% | 96% | 172% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 7 | 16 | 27 | 65 | 139 | 424 |
| Stock +ve Days | 8 | 16 | 31 | 61 | 124 | 360 |
| Down Capture | 175% | 154% | 117% | 167% | 133% | 109% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 12 | 23 | 33 | 58 | 110 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 13 | 25 | 31 | 63 | 123 | 372 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with UWMC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UWMC | -29.3% | 56.7% | -0.40 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 0.5% | 19.2% | -0.10 | 25.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.3% | 19.0% | 0.64 | 27.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 49.6% | 28.0% | 1.44 | 3.8% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 15.5% | 17.7% | 0.74 | -4.2% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.1% | 16.5% | 0.01 | 43.6% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -19.0% | 44.0% | -0.35 | 10.0% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with UWMC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UWMC | -7.2% | 50.7% | 0.04 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 9.7% | 18.7% | 0.40 | 31.5% |
| Equity (SPY) | 11.7% | 17.0% | 0.53 | 34.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 21.8% | 17.8% | 1.01 | 7.3% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.6% | 18.8% | 0.50 | 1.7% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.4% | 18.8% | 0.09 | 38.7% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 3.0% | 56.5% | 0.27 | 17.2% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with UWMC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UWMC | -6.3% | 49.7% | -0.03 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 12.7% | 22.2% | 0.53 | 21.6% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.0% | 17.9% | 0.67 | 26.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 14.0% | 15.9% | 0.73 | 6.5% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.4% | 17.6% | 0.39 | 2.3% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.1% | 20.7% | 0.21 | 27.3% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 65.9% | 66.9% | 1.05 | 14.6% |
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Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 2/25/2026 | -8.8% | -6.8% | -20.4% |
| 11/6/2025 | -10.1% | -2.7% | -0.4% |
| 8/7/2025 | 6.6% | 32.5% | 49.5% |
| 2/26/2025 | -5.8% | -2.6% | -12.5% |
| 11/7/2024 | -7.1% | -11.0% | -2.4% |
| 8/6/2024 | -2.7% | -5.6% | 5.9% |
| 5/9/2024 | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% |
| 2/28/2024 | -5.1% | -5.2% | 9.1% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 10 | 8 | 10 |
| # Negative | 10 | 12 | 10 |
| Median Positive | 5.8% | 12.7% | 14.9% |
| Median Negative | -6.4% | -5.4% | -9.4% |
| Max Positive | 20.1% | 34.6% | 49.8% |
| Max Negative | -18.0% | -20.1% | -23.7% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2025 | 02/25/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/26/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/06/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/09/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/28/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/08/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/10/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/01/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/04/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/09/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/10/2022 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/25/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q1 2026 Revenue | 650.00 Mil | 750.00 Mil | 850.00 Mil | ||||
Prior: Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/6/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q4 2025 Loan Origination Volume | 43.00 Bil | 46.50 Bil | 50.00 Bil | 27.4% | Raised | Guidance: 36.50 Bil for Q3 2025 | |
| Q4 2025 Total Gain Margin | 1.05% | 1.18% | 1.3% | 4.4% | 0.0% | Raised | Guidance: 1.13% for Q3 2025 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mat, Ishbia | President and CEO | See Footnote | Sell | 1072026 | 4.43 | 632,874 | 2,803,632 | 25,167,933 | Form |
| 2 | Mat, Ishbia | President and CEO | See Footnote | Sell | 1072026 | 4.45 | 632,874 | 2,816,289 | 22,465,269 | Form |
| 3 | Mat, Ishbia | President and CEO | See Footnote | Sell | 1072026 | 4.70 | 632,874 | 2,974,508 | 20,752,855 | Form |
| 4 | Mat, Ishbia | President and CEO | See Footnote | Sell | 1022026 | 4.43 | 632,874 | 2,803,632 | 4,340,829 | Form |
| 5 | Mat, Ishbia | President and CEO | See Footnote | Sell | 1022026 | 4.37 | 632,874 | 2,765,659 | 1,516,377 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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