PennyMac Financial Services (PFSI)
Market Price (2/5/2026): $95.0 | Market Cap: $4.9 BilSector: Financials | Industry: Commercial & Residential Mortgage Finance
PennyMac Financial Services (PFSI)
Market Price (2/5/2026): $95.0Market Cap: $4.9 BilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Commercial & Residential Mortgage Finance
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.2% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -29%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -21% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 377% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 51% | Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -53%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -54% | |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -28% | Key risksPFSI key risks include [1] earnings volatility from the dual sensitivity of its production and MSR portfolio to interest rate changes, Show more. | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 47% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, Smart Buildings & Proptech, and AI in Financial Services. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.2% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 51% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -28% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 47% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, Smart Buildings & Proptech, and AI in Financial Services. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -29%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -21% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 377% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -53%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -54% |
| Key risksPFSI key risks include [1] earnings volatility from the dual sensitivity of its production and MSR portfolio to interest rate changes, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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1. Q4 2025 Earnings Significantly Missed Analyst Expectations.PennyMac Financial Services (PFSI) reported diluted earnings per share of $1.97 for the fourth quarter of 2025, substantially below the analyst consensus of $3.12. Additionally, the company's revenue of $538 million fell short of forecasts, which anticipated $637.49 million. This significant miss on both top and bottom lines negatively impacted investor confidence.
2. Disappointing Return on Equity (ROE) Below Guidance.For the fourth quarter of 2025, PennyMac Financial Services reported an annualized return on equity (ROE) of only 10%. This figure was considerably lower than the company's previous guidance, which projected ROE to be in the "high-teens to low twenties," signaling a struggle to meet profitability targets.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -23.5% change in PFSI stock from 10/31/2025 to 2/4/2026 was primarily driven by a -23.5% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 10312025 | 2042026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 125.51 | 96.08 | -23.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 3,582 | 3,582 | 0.0% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 13.9% | 13.9% | 0.0% |
| P/E Multiple | 13.0 | 10.0 | -23.5% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 52 | 52 | 0.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -23.5% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 2/4/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| PFSI | -23.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 0.6% | 21.1% |
| Sector (XLF) | 3.0% | 18.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 3.7% change in PFSI stock from 7/31/2025 to 2/4/2026 was primarily driven by a 19.9% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 7312025 | 2042026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 92.65 | 96.08 | 3.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 3,329 | 3,582 | 7.6% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 11.6% | 13.9% | 19.9% |
| P/E Multiple | 12.4 | 10.0 | -19.5% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 52 | 52 | -0.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 3.7% |
Market Drivers
7/31/2025 to 2/4/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| PFSI | 3.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 8.9% | 16.8% |
| Sector (XLF) | 3.4% | 19.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -7.2% change in PFSI stock from 1/31/2025 to 2/4/2026 was primarily driven by a -68.0% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 1312025 | 2042026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 103.51 | 96.08 | -7.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 2,377 | 3,582 | 50.7% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 7.2% | 13.9% | 94.5% |
| P/E Multiple | 31.1 | 10.0 | -68.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 51 | 52 | -1.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -7.2% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2025 to 2/4/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| PFSI | -7.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 15.0% | 24.3% |
| Sector (XLF) | 5.9% | 26.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 47.4% change in PFSI stock from 1/31/2023 to 2/4/2026 was primarily driven by a 79.0% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 1312023 | 2042026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 65.19 | 96.08 | 47.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 2,337 | 3,582 | 53.3% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 26.1% | 13.9% | -46.8% |
| P/E Multiple | 5.6 | 10.0 | 79.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 52 | 52 | 0.9% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 47.4% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2023 to 2/4/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| PFSI | 47.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 75.1% | 35.7% |
| Sector (XLF) | 54.3% | 35.9% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| PFSI Return | 8% | -17% | 58% | 17% | 31% | -29% | 51% |
| Peers Return | -15% | -42% | 89% | -15% | 8% | 5% | -11% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 1% | 84% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| PFSI Win Rate | 67% | 33% | 58% | 58% | 50% | 0% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 49% | 37% | 55% | 50% | 43% | 70% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| PFSI Max Drawdown | -14% | -43% | -1% | -6% | -12% | -29% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -37% | -50% | -11% | -24% | -27% | -2% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -1% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: RKT, UWMC, RITM, WD, LDI.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 2/4/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | PFSI | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -43.7% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 77.6% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 231 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -56.6% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 130.6% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 88 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -22.9% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 29.8% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 367 days | 120 days |
Compare to RKT, UWMC, RITM, WD, LDI
In The Past
PennyMac Financial Services's stock fell -43.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/30/2021. A -43.7% loss requires a 77.6% gain to breakeven.
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About PennyMac Financial Services (PFSI)
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Here are 1-2 brief analogies for PennyMac Financial Services (PFSI):
A non-bank mortgage giant, akin to Rocket Mortgage in its focus on lending and servicing.
Essentially, the mortgage business of a large bank like Wells Fargo or JPMorgan Chase, but as a standalone, specialized company.
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Here are the major services provided by PennyMac Financial Services (PFSI):- Mortgage Origination: This financial service involves generating new residential mortgage loans for homebuyers and those refinancing existing mortgages.
- Mortgage Servicing: PFSI manages and collects payments, handles escrow accounts, and administers other aspects of residential mortgage loans on behalf of investors.
- Investment in Mortgage-Related Assets: The company invests in mortgage-backed securities (MBS) and other residential mortgage-related assets for income and capital appreciation.
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PennyMac Financial Services (PFSI) primarily sells to other companies and institutional investors in the secondary mortgage market.
Its major customers, to whom it sells originated mortgage loans and provides servicing, include:
- Fannie Mae (Federal National Mortgage Association) - OTC: FNMA (Fannie Mae is a government-sponsored enterprise with preferred shares traded on the OTC market.)
- Freddie Mac (Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation) - OTC: FMCC (Freddie Mac is a government-sponsored enterprise with preferred shares traded on the OTC market.)
- Ginnie Mae (Government National Mortgage Association) - (Ginnie Mae is a wholly owned government corporation and does not have a public company symbol.)
- Various other institutional investors (for portfolio loans, mortgage-backed securities, and investment management services).
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- JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM)
- Bank of America Corporation (BAC)
- Wells Fargo & Company (WFC)
- Citigroup Inc. (C)
- Morgan Stanley (MS)
- Deutsche Bank AG (DB)
- HSBC Holdings plc (HSBC)
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David A. Spector, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer
David A. Spector has been the Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of PennyMac Financial Services, Inc. since February 2021. He joined Private National Mortgage Acceptance Company, LLC (PNMAC), PennyMac's parent company, at its founding in January 2008, holding various executive positions, including President and Chief Executive Officer from January 2017 to February 2021. Prior to joining PNMAC, Mr. Spector was Co-Head of Global Residential Mortgages for Morgan Stanley in London. From May 1990 to August 2006, he served as Senior Managing Director, Secondary Marketing, at Countrywide Financial Corporation.
Daniel S. Perotti, Senior Managing Director and Chief Financial Officer
Daniel S. Perotti has served as Senior Managing Director and Chief Financial Officer of PennyMac Financial Services, Inc. since January 1, 2021. He previously held the role of Deputy Chief Financial Officer from January 2017 to December 2020 and served as Chief Asset and Liability Management Officer, among other executive positions, since joining the company in 2008. Before his tenure at PNMAC, Mr. Perotti was employed at BlackRock, Inc.
Doug Jones, President and Chief Mortgage Banking Officer
Doug Jones has been the President and Chief Mortgage Banking Officer of PennyMac Financial Services, Inc. since March 2021 and a member of its Board of Directors since March 2023. He has held various executive positions at PennyMac since 2011, including Chief Correspondent Lending Officer and Chief Institutional Mortgage Banking Officer. Prior to joining PennyMac, Mr. Jones worked in several executive positions at Countrywide Financial Corporation and Bank of America Corporation (as its successor) from 1997 to 2011, where he was responsible for correspondent and warehouse lending, and managed retail sales and other mortgage businesses.
James Follette, Senior Managing Director and Chief Digital Officer
James Follette has served as Senior Managing Director and Chief Digital Officer of PennyMac Financial Services, Inc. since November 2023. He joined PennyMac in June 2011 and has held various leadership roles, including Senior Managing Director and Chief Mortgage Operations Officer from October 2022 to November 2023, and Senior Managing Director and Chief Mortgage Fulfillment Officer from February 2018 to October 2022. Before PennyMac, Mr. Follette was a Senior Vice President at Bank of America Home Loans and Managing Director, Risk Management, at Countrywide Financial Corporation from 2003 to 2011. He was also President of Flood for Landsafe.
Mark Elbaum, Senior Managing Director and Chief Capital Markets Officer
Mark Elbaum is the Senior Managing Director and Chief Capital Markets Officer at PennyMac Financial Services, Inc., bringing over 25 years of experience in the mortgage industry. Before joining PennyMac, he served as Chief Financial Officer at Home Point Financial from 2020 to 2023 and at Marlette Funding, LLC from 2018 to 2020. Mr. Elbaum also held the position of Chief Financial Officer of Merrill Lynch, Bank of America's Wealth Management division, from 2011 to 2017, and was CFO of Bank of America's mortgage lending division and the Residential Lending Division at Countrywide Financial Corporation.
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Here are the key risks to PennyMac Financial Services (PFSI):- Interest Rate Volatility and Elevated Rates: PennyMac Financial Services' business is highly sensitive to fluctuations in interest rates. Prolonged high mortgage interest rates significantly reduce mortgage origination volumes, directly impacting the high-margin production segment as fewer homeowners refinance and potential buyers face higher borrowing costs. Conversely, the company's substantial Mortgage Servicing Rights (MSR) portfolio is also highly sensitive to rate changes; a decline in interest rates reduces the value of MSRs due to increased refinancing, which extinguishes the servicing asset. While the company utilizes hedging programs to mitigate this risk, their effectiveness can vary, leading to earnings volatility.
- Intense Competition and Margin Pressure: The mortgage servicing sector in which PennyMac operates is highly competitive. This fierce competition, coupled with the diminishing financial benefits from loan recapture, puts constant pressure on profit margins and market share within the servicing segment.
- Operational Expenses and Risk Management Effectiveness: PennyMac Financial Services has encountered challenges with elevated operational expenses, particularly within its production segment. These increased costs can compress profit margins and negatively affect overall profitability if not managed efficiently. Furthermore, the company faces risks related to the effectiveness of its comprehensive risk management framework, especially as it rapidly expands into new business areas, potentially exposing it to unforeseen or heightened existing risks.
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PennyMac Financial Services (PFSI) operates primarily in two main market segments: Mortgage Production and Mortgage Servicing, both within the United States.
Mortgage Production (U.S.)
The addressable market for mortgage production in the U.S. is projected to be approximately $2.3 trillion in 2025, with forecasts indicating it will exceed $2 trillion in 2026.
Mortgage Servicing (U.S.)
The addressable market for mortgage servicing in the U.S. is represented by the total outstanding mortgage debt, which stood at $12.94 trillion as of the second quarter of 2025.
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Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for PennyMac Financial Services (PFSI) over the next 2-3 years:
- Expansion in Correspondent Lending and Broker Direct Channels: PennyMac Financial Services aims to expand its market share in both its correspondent lending and broker direct channels. The company has a strong presence in correspondent lending and is actively working to significantly grow its broker direct market share to over 10% by the end of 2026. This strategy leverages partnerships with independent mortgage originators and direct lending to consumers.
- Growth and Optimization of the Servicing Portfolio: The company anticipates revenue growth through the continued expansion of its mortgage servicing rights (MSR) portfolio. PennyMac has demonstrated a consistent ability to grow its servicing portfolio. Additionally, strategic MSR sales allow for reinvestment into new, higher-coupon MSRs, which offer greater recapture and return potential.
- Technological Advancement and AI Implementation: PennyMac is investing in technology and process innovation, including the widespread implementation of artificial intelligence (AI) across its production and servicing operations. These strategic advancements are expected to drive significant efficiency gains, reduce costs, and enhance operational excellence.
- Introduction of New Products and Market Expansion: The launch of new products, such as PennyMac's non-Qualified Mortgage (non-QM) offerings, is expected to expand the company's market reach. This diversification in product offerings allows PFSI to capitalize on projected mortgage industry growth by broadening its product portfolio and potentially reaching underserved market segments.
- Stable Mortgage Rate Environment: A stable macroeconomic environment, particularly with mortgage rates remaining within a specific range (e.g., 6% to 6.5%), is projected to support PennyMac's profitability. This stability is expected to contribute to annualized operating returns on equity in the high teens to low 20s through 2026, with potential for further upside if overall origination market volumes increase.
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PennyMac Financial Services (PFSI) has made several capital allocation decisions over the last 3-5 years, focusing primarily on significant share repurchases and strategic investments in its core mortgage business, including its partnership with PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust (PMT).Share Repurchases
- In June 2020, PennyMac Financial Services repurchased 6,975,323 shares of common stock from The BlackRock Foundation for $237 million.
- The company's Board of Directors increased its stock repurchase authorization to $500 million in June 2020, with approximately $244 million remaining for future repurchases after the BlackRock transaction. This authorization was further increased by $1.0 billion in conjunction with the second quarter of 2021 earnings.
- PennyMac Financial has consistently executed repurchases, including approximately $257 million for 4.2 million shares in Q3 2021, $141.4 million for 2.3 million shares in Q1 2022, $45.3 million for 0.8 million shares in Q1 2023, and $71 million for 1.2 million shares in full-year 2023. A buyback program initiated in 2017 has led to the retirement of more than half of PennyMac's outstanding shares.
Share Issuance
- PennyMac Financial Services did not undertake significant common stock issuances for capital raising purposes during the last 3-5 years. The company's outstanding shares fluctuated due to repurchases and stock-based compensation.
- The company has, however, issued senior unsecured notes to strengthen its balance sheet and for liquidity, including $1.3 billion in late 2020 and early 2021, $1.5 billion in new long-term debt in 2023, which included $750 million in unsecured senior notes, and $500 million of 10-year senior unsecured notes in Q3 2021.
Inbound Investments
- No significant inbound investments by third parties (such as strategic partners or private equity firms) into PennyMac Financial Services were identified within the last 3-5 years. The repurchase of shares from The BlackRock Foundation in June 2020 represented a divestment by an initial investor, rather than a new inbound investment.
Outbound Investments
- PennyMac Financial Services serves as the external manager of PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust (PMT), which acts as a capital partner by investing in mortgage-related assets, including mortgage servicing rights (MSRs), credit risk transfer investments, and subordinate bonds from private label securitizations.
- PFSI facilitates PMT's investments by initially acquiring loans and then PMT purchasing a portion of the production. For example, PMT is expected to retain all jumbo production and 15-25% of conventional conforming correspondent production in Q1 2025.
- In 2024, PMT retained $169 million in new subordinate credit and mezzanine bond investments.
Capital Expenditures
- PennyMac Financial Services has emphasized ongoing investments in technology and operations to enhance efficiency and support growth.
- These investments aim to improve the consumer and broker experience, boost productivity in sales and operations, and enable higher volumes with reduced origination costs.
- Specific dollar amounts for capital expenditures as a distinct financial line item for PFSI were not explicitly available in the provided search results for the last 3-5 years.
Latest Trefis Analyses
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| ARTICLES |
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 15.39 |
| Mkt Cap | 3.6 |
| Rev LTM | 2,174 |
| Op Inc LTM | 341 |
| FCF LTM | -1,606 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -1,508 |
| CFO LTM | -1,424 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -1,274 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 33.7% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -3.0% |
| Rev Chg Q | 28.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 5.9% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 13.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 13.3% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 1.8% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -64.6% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -45.1% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -65.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -47.6% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 3.6 |
| P/S | 1.6 |
| P/EBIT | 12.6 |
| P/E | 8.3 |
| P/CFO | -2.4 |
| Total Yield | 6.3% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.4% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -58.9% |
| D/E | 3.7 |
| Net D/E | 3.3 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -3.5% |
| 3M Rtn | -12.9% |
| 6M Rtn | 4.1% |
| 12M Rtn | -2.0% |
| 3Y Rtn | 41.8% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -3.2% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -15.0% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -5.1% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -15.0% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -26.0% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Servicing | 715 | 1,080 | 817 | 841 | 441 |
| Production | 645 | 865 | 2,307 | 2,825 | 994 |
| Corporate and other | 42 | ||||
| Investment Management | 40 | 43 | 40 | 43 | |
| Total | 1,402 | 1,986 | 3,167 | 3,706 | 1,477 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Servicing | 14,036 | 12,929 | 9,821 | 23,709 | 5,348 |
| Production | 4,560 | 3,867 | 8,934 | 7,870 | 4,836 |
| Corporate and other | 248 | ||||
| Investment Management | 26 | 21 | 18 | 20 | |
| Total | 18,845 | 16,823 | 18,777 | 31,598 | 10,204 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $96.08 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 5.0 | |
| First Trading Date | 05/09/2013 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -39.7% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $134.41 | $114.58 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | -28.5% | -16.1% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 75.5% | 46.5% |
| Downside Capture | 276.46 | 101.84 |
| Upside Capture | 104.20 | 79.43 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 22.6% | 24.3% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 3.59 | 2.50 | 1.60 | 1.07 | 0.62 | 0.88 |
| Up Beta | 2.51 | 3.15 | 1.79 | 2.08 | 0.44 | 0.67 |
| Down Beta | 2.30 | 1.67 | 0.60 | 0.19 | 0.35 | 0.60 |
| Up Capture | 204% | 140% | 147% | 119% | 85% | 153% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 11 | 22 | 34 | 71 | 142 | 430 |
| Stock +ve Days | 12 | 19 | 29 | 61 | 126 | 379 |
| Down Capture | 875% | 457% | 259% | 136% | 112% | 105% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 9 | 19 | 27 | 54 | 109 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 8 | 21 | 31 | 63 | 124 | 369 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with PFSI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PFSI | -4.4% | 46.5% | 0.08 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 6.4% | 19.1% | 0.20 | 26.1% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.9% | 19.2% | 0.64 | 24.1% |
| Gold (GLD) | 76.1% | 24.5% | 2.27 | 31.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 9.3% | 16.5% | 0.36 | 20.1% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.6% | 16.5% | 0.10 | 37.8% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -24.7% | 40.5% | -0.60 | 18.4% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with PFSI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PFSI | 11.4% | 36.9% | 0.39 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 14.7% | 18.7% | 0.64 | 43.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.2% | 17.0% | 0.66 | 46.4% |
| Gold (GLD) | 21.5% | 16.8% | 1.04 | 20.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 12.1% | 18.9% | 0.52 | 11.3% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.0% | 18.8% | 0.17 | 49.7% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 18.0% | 57.4% | 0.52 | 20.2% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with PFSI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PFSI | 24.9% | 39.6% | 0.70 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 14.2% | 22.2% | 0.59 | 41.6% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.7% | 17.9% | 0.75 | 44.7% |
| Gold (GLD) | 15.6% | 15.5% | 0.84 | 14.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.3% | 17.6% | 0.39 | 15.0% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.9% | 20.8% | 0.25 | 46.2% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 69.3% | 66.5% | 1.09 | 12.9% |
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Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 1/29/2026 | |||
| 10/21/2025 | 7.2% | 7.7% | 3.2% |
| 7/22/2025 | -7.4% | -8.9% | 1.3% |
| 4/22/2025 | -2.8% | -0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1/30/2025 | -8.8% | -8.4% | -9.5% |
| 10/22/2024 | -3.5% | -1.2% | -0.6% |
| 7/23/2024 | -3.8% | -2.0% | -0.6% |
| 4/24/2024 | -6.4% | -6.4% | -1.9% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 12 | 11 | 13 |
| # Negative | 12 | 13 | 11 |
| Median Positive | 4.9% | 2.2% | 3.2% |
| Median Negative | -4.5% | -6.8% | -4.6% |
| Max Positive | 16.9% | 11.2% | 26.2% |
| Max Negative | -8.8% | -13.2% | -14.0% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 09/30/2025 | 10/28/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 07/29/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 04/29/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/19/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 10/29/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 07/31/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/01/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/21/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 10/31/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/03/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/03/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/22/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/02/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/05/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/05/2022 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2021 | 02/23/2022 | 10-K |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hendry, Gregory L | MD, Chief Accounting Officer | Direct | Sell | 12192025 | 131.64 | 3,530 | 464,689 | 6,402,048 | Form |
| 2 | Spector, David | Chairman & CEO | ST Family Investment Company LLC | Sell | 12182025 | 129.81 | 5,000 | 649,030 | 14,357,066 | Form |
| 3 | Jones, Doug | Director, President & CMBO | GR Family Investments LLC | Sell | 11262025 | 132.63 | 20,000 | 2,652,541 | 57,029,633 | Form |
| 4 | Perotti, Daniel Stanley | Chief Financial Officer | The Perotti Family Trust | Sell | 11182025 | 126.67 | 8,775 | 1,111,520 | 27,420,648 | Form |
| 5 | Spector, David | Chairman & CEO | ST Family Investment Company LLC | Sell | 11132025 | 129.26 | 5,000 | 646,322 | 14,943,471 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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