Tearsheet

PennyMac Financial Services (PFSI)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $133.88 | Market Cap: $6.9 Bil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Commercial & Residential Mortgage Finance

PennyMac Financial Services (PFSI)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $133.88
Market Cap: $6.9 Bil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Commercial & Residential Mortgage Finance

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.8%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.6%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -1.6%, Dist 3Y High is -1.6%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 292%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 51%
  Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -53%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -54%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 32%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, Smart Buildings & Proptech, and AI in Financial Services. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.8%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.6%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 51%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 32%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, Smart Buildings & Proptech, and AI in Financial Services. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, Show more.
4 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -1.6%, Dist 3Y High is -1.6%
5 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 292%
6 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -53%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -54%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

PFSI Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The requested time period for analyzing PennyMac Financial Services (PFSI) stock movement, from August 31, 2025, to today (December 4, 2025), is in the future. As such, information regarding specific stock performance and explanatory factors for this future period is not yet available.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
PFSI Return95%8%-17%58%17%31%319%
Peers Return4%17%-26%65%42%28%170%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
PFSI Win Rate75%67%33%58%58%50% 
Peers Win Rate55%63%38%57%50%40% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
PFSI Max Drawdown-50%-14%-43%-1%-6%-12% 
Peers Max Drawdown-53%-19%-34%-11%-18%-20% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ESNT, WD, SNFCA, GHI, FNMA.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventPFSIS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-43.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven77.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven231 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-56.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven130.6%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven88 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-22.9%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven29.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven367 days120 days

Compare to ESNT, WD, SNFCA, GHI, FNMA


In The Past

PennyMac Financial Services's stock fell -43.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/30/2021. A -43.7% loss requires a 77.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About PennyMac Financial Services (PFSI)

Better Bets than PennyMac Financial Services (PFSI)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to PFSI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for PennyMac Financial Services

Peers to compare with:

Financials

PFSIESNTWDSNFCAGHIFNMAMedian
NamePennyMac.Essent Walker &.Security.Greyston.Federal . 
Mkt Price133.8661.8864.368.79-10.2261.88
Mkt Cap6.96.02.10.20.260.04.1
Rev LTM3,5821,2901,2363413730,1001,263
Op Inc LTM549-134---341
FCF LTM-1,947837-94948345,61441
FCF 3Y Avg-1,83079822347249,925135
CFO LTM-1,911854-93751345,61442
CFO 3Y Avg-1,79680823749249,925143

Growth & Margins

PFSIESNTWDSNFCAGHIFNMAMedian
NamePennyMac.Essent Walker &.Security.Greyston.Federal . 
Rev Chg LTM50.7%2.1%16.0%5.6%0.2%-1.0%3.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg17.6%8.2%-2.3%-7.0%-23.9%-1.4%-1.9%
Rev Chg Q40.3%-1.3%15.5%4.2%2,767.0%-1.2%9.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM7.6%-0.3%3.8%1.1%23.9%-0.3%2.4%
Op Mgn LTM15.3%-10.8%---13.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg15.2%-11.4%---13.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM3.1%-0.4%---1.8%
CFO/Rev LTM-53.4%66.2%-75.8%15.0%91.6%18.7%16.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-67.8%67.1%26.4%14.5%56.6%33.2%29.8%
FCF/Rev LTM-54.4%64.8%-76.8%14.1%91.6%18.7%16.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-69.1%66.4%25.2%13.9%55.5%33.2%29.2%

Valuation

PFSIESNTWDSNFCAGHIFNMAMedian
NamePennyMac.Essent Walker &.Security.Greyston.Federal . 
Mkt Cap6.96.02.10.20.260.04.1
P/S1.84.82.30.76.52.32.3
P/EBIT11.77.220.97.3--9.5
P/E12.88.824.310.828.64.711.8
P/CFO-3.47.3-3.04.87.112.65.9
Total Yield8.8%13.3%4.1%9.3%19.0%21.2%11.3%
Dividend Yield1.0%2.0%0.0%0.0%15.5%0.0%0.5%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-37.1%13.4%11.3%21.6%8.4%207.4%12.3%
D/E3.00.11.10.54.559.52.1
Net D/E2.9-0.91.00.04.359.31.9

Returns

PFSIESNTWDSNFCAGHIFNMAMedian
NamePennyMac.Essent Walker &.Security.Greyston.Federal . 
1M Rtn5.8%2.1%-19.0%8.5%--9.6%2.1%
3M Rtn18.9%-1.2%-20.7%4.6%--14.5%-1.2%
6M Rtn41.7%9.0%-3.3%-5.9%-20.5%9.0%
12M Rtn27.5%11.1%-38.9%-30.9%-278.5%11.1%
3Y Rtn133.9%66.3%-19.6%57.0%-2,171.1%66.3%
1M Excs Rtn5.8%2.1%-18.9%8.6%--9.6%2.1%
3M Excs Rtn11.0%-7.9%-27.3%-0.6%--22.7%-7.9%
6M Excs Rtn27.0%-5.7%-18.0%-20.6%-5.8%-5.7%
12M Excs Rtn12.8%-3.7%-53.0%-43.0%-213.0%-3.7%
3Y Excs Rtn69.4%-2.5%-87.8%-18.9%-2,149.9%-2.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Servicing7151,080817841441
Production6458652,3072,825994
Corporate and other42    
Investment Management 40434043
Total1,4021,9863,1673,7061,477


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Servicing14,03612,9299,82123,7095,348
Production4,5603,8678,9347,8704,836
Corporate and other248    
Investment Management 26211820
Total18,84516,82318,77731,59810,204


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,863,090
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-0.0%
Average Daily Volume254,407
Days-to-Cover Short Interest7.32
Basic Shares Quantity51,730,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251028202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025729202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025429202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024219202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241029202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024731202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024501202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023221202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231031202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023503202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022222202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221102202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022805202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021223202210-K 12/31/2021