Tearsheet

loanDepot (LDI)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $2.225 | Market Cap: $470.5 Mil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Commercial & Residential Mortgage Finance

loanDepot (LDI)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $2.225
Market Cap: $470.5 Mil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Commercial & Residential Mortgage Finance

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Banking & Lending.
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -41%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -41%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 612%
1   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -11%
2   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.2%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -6.0%
3   Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 148%
4   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -15%
5   Key risks
LDI key risks include [1] losing market share to intense competition and [2] sharp stock declines driven by regulatory uncertainty.
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Banking & Lending.
1 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -41%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -41%
2 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 612%
3 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -11%
4 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.2%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -6.0%
5 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 148%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -15%
7 Key risks
LDI key risks include [1] losing market share to intense competition and [2] sharp stock declines driven by regulatory uncertainty.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

LDI Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

From approximately August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025, loanDepot's (LDI) stock experienced a 4.2% movement, influenced by several key factors.

1. Positive Assessment from Citron Research: In early September 2025, Citron Research issued a bullish assessment of loanDepot, suggesting the market was significantly undervaluing the company's mortgage servicing portfolio, which reportedly led to a substantial increase in the stock price.

2. Anticipation of Favorable Macroeconomic Conditions: The stock's movement was also influenced by expectations of decreased interest rates following a lackluster August jobs report, a macroeconomic outlook that tends to benefit mortgage lenders by potentially stimulating demand for new loans and refinancing.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
LDI Return-65%113%-42%18%
Peers Return-34%-42%71%34%19%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
LDI Win Rate30%25%50%42%33% 
Peers Win Rate58%40%38%52%50%48% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
LDI Max Drawdown-73%-28%-57%-50% 
Peers Max Drawdown-41%-53%-11%-26%-22% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: RKT, UWMC, PFSI, FOA.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventLDIS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-96.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven2567.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days

Compare to ESNT, WD, SNFCA, RKT, PFSI


In The Past

loanDepot's stock fell -96.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/12/2021. A -96.3% loss requires a 2567.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About loanDepot (LDI)

Better Bets than loanDepot (LDI)

Latest Trefis Analyses

TitleTopicDate
0ARTICLES  
1LoanDepot Stock Jumps 35% In A Week, Time To Buy? September 18th, 2025
Title
0DASHBOARDS

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to LDI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.1%5.1%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.4%-2.4%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.6%4.6%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-9.0%-9.0%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.1%5.1%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.4%-2.4%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.6%4.6%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-9.0%-9.0%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for loanDepot

Peers to compare with:

Financials

LDIRKTUWMCPFSIFOAMedian
NameloanDepotRocket C.UWM PennyMac.Finance . 
Mkt Price2.2318.164.75130.1922.9818.16
Mkt Cap0.538.21.16.70.21.1
Rev LTM8885,4861,3673,5822261,367
Op Inc LTM---549-549
FCF LTM-53-1,264-3,355-1,947-445-1,264
FCF 3Y Avg-378-1,756-3,832-1,830-164-1,756
CFO LTM-28-854-3,295-1,911-445-854
CFO 3Y Avg-354-1,333-3,791-1,796-162-1,333

Growth & Margins

LDIRKTUWMCPFSIFOAMedian
NameloanDepotRocket C.UWM PennyMac.Finance . 
Rev Chg LTM21.9%41.7%63.6%50.7%-65.9%41.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-11.0%-0.3%-3.7%17.6%175.1%-0.3%
Rev Chg Q15.7%141.3%6.4%40.3%-82.9%15.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM4.1%18.6%1.5%7.6%-50.3%4.1%
Op Mgn LTM---15.3%-15.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg---15.2%-15.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM---3.1%-3.1%
CFO/Rev LTM-3.2%-15.6%-241.0%-53.4%-196.8%-53.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-48.3%-32.3%-378.8%-67.8%--58.1%
FCF/Rev LTM-6.0%-23.0%-245.4%-54.4%-196.8%-54.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-51.4%-42.4%-382.5%-69.1%--60.2%

Valuation

LDIRKTUWMCPFSIFOAMedian
NameloanDepotRocket C.UWM PennyMac.Finance . 
Mkt Cap0.538.21.16.70.21.1
P/S0.77.41.01.80.91.0
P/EBIT---11.7-11.7
P/E-8.8-399.679.812.8-60.0-8.8
P/CFO-22.9-47.8-0.4-3.4-0.5-3.4
Total Yield-10.8%-0.3%6.2%8.8%-1.7%-0.3%
Dividend Yield0.6%0.0%4.9%1.0%0.0%0.6%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-71.4%-54.6%-473.7%-37.1%-84.3%-71.4%
D/E6.80.23.03.0144.43.0
Net D/E6.10.12.32.9143.82.9

Returns

LDIRKTUWMCPFSIFOAMedian
NameloanDepotRocket C.UWM PennyMac.Finance . 
1M Rtn-10.4%10.6%-3.1%4.6%1.5%1.5%
3M Rtn-51.1%-14.2%-29.3%3.4%-6.7%-14.2%
6M Rtn57.0%31.7%21.5%38.3%7.6%31.7%
12M Rtn4.7%58.2%-14.1%27.0%-12.3%4.7%
3Y Rtn38.5%141.1%34.1%140.4%71.5%71.5%
1M Excs Rtn-11.2%9.9%-3.8%3.9%0.7%0.7%
3M Excs Rtn-47.1%-15.4%-29.1%1.3%-12.3%-15.4%
6M Excs Rtn44.7%19.3%9.1%25.9%-4.8%19.3%
12M Excs Rtn-3.3%47.4%-26.0%15.0%-16.4%-3.3%
3Y Excs Rtn-41.0%57.6%-45.6%64.4%-3.1%-3.1%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment7391,1373,4594,1651,202
Total7391,1373,4594,1651,202


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity14,788,929
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-5.2%
Average Daily Volume3,651,039
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.05
Basic Shares Quantity211,442,981
Short % of Basic Shares7.0%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/6/20253.8%-1.1%-0.4%
3/11/2025-8.7%-11.8%-28.0%
11/5/202419.5%28.8%5.6%
8/6/202411.1%17.4%22.7%
3/12/2024-7.9%-13.4%-1.2%
11/7/20238.4%13.3%46.2%
8/8/20230.5%-9.9%-10.4%
3/8/2023-4.8%-5.3%-22.2%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive844
# Negative81212
Median Positive6.4%15.3%16.8%
Median Negative-7.7%-10.9%-14.1%
Max Positive22.0%28.8%46.2%
Max Negative-11.9%-24.7%-28.0%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251107202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025808202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024313202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241112202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023315202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023810202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023511202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022316202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221110202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022811202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022513202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021318202210-K 12/31/2021