loanDepot (LDI)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $2.7 | Market Cap: $570.9 MilSector: Financials | Industry: Commercial & Residential Mortgage Finance
loanDepot (LDI)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $2.7Market Cap: $570.9 MilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Commercial & Residential Mortgage Finance
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -5.6% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 612% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Banking & Lending. | Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 113% | |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -11% | ||
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.2%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -6.0% | ||
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 148% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -15% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Banking & Lending. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -5.6% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 612% |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 113% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -11% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.2%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -6.0% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 148% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -15% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
LDI Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points highlighting the factors that likely influenced loanDepot's (LDI) stock movement from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:
1. Stronger-than-Expected Q3 2025 Financial Results.
On November 6, 2025, loanDepot announced its third-quarter 2025 financial results, reporting an adjusted net loss of $0.01 per share, which surpassed analysts' expectations of a -$0.03 loss per share. The company also exceeded revenue estimates, reporting $323.3 million against an anticipated $316.1 million. This positive earnings surprise generally contributes to significant stock movement.
2. Significant Narrowing of Net Loss and Improved Adjusted EBITDA.
loanDepot's net loss for Q3 2025 substantially narrowed to $8.7 million, representing a 65% improvement from the $25.3 million loss reported in the second quarter of 2025. Furthermore, Adjusted EBITDA nearly doubled to $48.8 million compared to the prior quarter. These improvements in key profitability metrics signal an enhanced operational performance.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| LDI Return | - | - | -65% | 113% | -42% | 29% | -44% |
| Peers Return | 36% | 14% | -28% | 56% | 6% | 15% | 113% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| LDI Win Rate | - | 30% | 25% | 50% | 42% | 40% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 58% | 65% | 38% | 55% | 53% | 48% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| LDI Max Drawdown | - | - | -73% | -28% | -57% | -50% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -41% | -13% | -39% | -9% | -16% | -18% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ESNT, WD, SNFCA, RKT, PFSI.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | LDI | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -96.3% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 2567.8% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
Compare to ESNT, WD, SNFCA, RKT, PFSI
In The Past
loanDepot's stock fell -96.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/12/2021. A -96.3% loss requires a 2567.8% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ARTICLES | |||
| LoanDepot Stock Jumps 35% In A Week, Time To Buy? | September 18th, 2025 |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to LDI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.4% | 3.4% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 9.5% | 9.5% | 0.0% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.1% | 0.1% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.1% | -0.1% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -7.7% | -7.7% | -11.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.4% | 3.4% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 9.5% | 9.5% | 0.0% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.1% | 0.1% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.1% | -0.1% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -7.7% | -7.7% | -11.0% |
Research & Analysis
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Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for loanDepot
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 40.80 |
| Mkt Cap | 4.1 |
| Rev LTM | 1,263 |
| Op Inc LTM | 341 |
| FCF LTM | -501 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -165 |
| CFO LTM | -441 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -153 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 18.9% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -1.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | 15.6% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 4.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 13.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 13.3% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 1.8% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -9.4% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -8.9% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -14.5% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -14.2% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 4.1 |
| P/S | 2.0 |
| P/EBIT | 9.5 |
| P/E | 9.8 |
| P/CFO | -3.2 |
| Total Yield | 6.4% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.3% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -12.9% |
| D/E | 0.8 |
| Net D/E | 0.5 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 3.9% |
| 3M Rtn | 7.4% |
| 6M Rtn | 25.3% |
| 12M Rtn | 16.9% |
| 3Y Rtn | 66.8% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 4.0% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -1.5% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 10.6% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 1.6% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -0.8% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11072025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8082025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5082025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3132025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11122024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8082024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5092024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3152024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11092023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8102023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5112023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3162023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11102022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8112022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5132022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3182022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |