Ur-Energy (URG)
Market Price (11/13/2025): $1.3 | Market Cap: $477.3 MilSector: Energy | Industry: Coal & Consumable Fuels
Ur-Energy (URG)
Market Price (11/13/2025): $1.3Market Cap: $477.3 MilSector: EnergyIndustry: Coal & Consumable Fuels
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -10% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -71%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -81% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -75 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -190% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 139% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 12x | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Energy Transition & Decarbonization, US Energy Independence, and Datacenter Power. Themes include Nuclear Energy Generation, Show more. | Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -1.2% | |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -162%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -206% | ||
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 129% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -21% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -10% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 139% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Energy Transition & Decarbonization, US Energy Independence, and Datacenter Power. Themes include Nuclear Energy Generation, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -71%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -81% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -75 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -190% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 12x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -1.2% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -162%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -206% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 129% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -21% |
Market Valuation & Key Metrics
URG Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Ur-Energy (URG) experienced an 8.3% stock movement from July 31, 2025, to November 11, 2025, influenced by several key factors:
1. Continued Advancement of Shirley Basin Project: Throughout the period, Ur-Energy provided consistent updates on the construction progress at its Shirley Basin project, confirming it remained on schedule for early 2026 production. This continued development of a major future production asset likely bolstered investor confidence in the company's long-term growth prospects.
2. Positive Analyst Sentiment and Price Targets: Several financial analysts maintained or initiated "Buy" or "Strong Buy" ratings for Ur-Energy's stock. These positive recommendations, coupled with average 12-month price targets indicating significant potential upside, contributed to a favorable outlook among investors.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| URG Return | 36% | 52% | -6% | 34% | -25% | 14% | 123% |
| Peers Return | 63% | 62% | -2% | 813% | 3% | 106% | 4950% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| URG Win Rate | 42% | 58% | 50% | 42% | 58% | 60% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 42% | 48% | 37% | 65% | 48% | 72% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| URG Max Drawdown | -51% | -5% | -18% | -28% | -37% | -51% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -51% | -11% | -25% | -15% | -27% | -31% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: EU, NC, CCJ, UEC, LEU.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/12/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | URG | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -60.7% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 154.2% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 903 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -50.7% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 103.0% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 30 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -44.6% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 80.6% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 407 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -85.0% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 565.5% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 760 days | 1480 days |
Compare to EU, NC, CCJ, UEC, LEU
In The Past
Ur-Energy's stock fell -60.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/8/2021. A -60.7% loss requires a 154.2% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| With Ur-Energy Stock Sliding, Have You Assessed The Risk? | Return |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to URG. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10172025 | OVV | Ovintiv | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.3% | 6.3% | 0.0% |
| 10102025 | COP | ConocoPhillips | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.6% | 1.6% | -2.3% |
| 10102025 | HAL | Halliburton | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 22.6% | 22.6% | -0.7% |
| 10102025 | OXY | Occidental Petroleum | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -0.5% | -0.5% | -5.7% |
| 10102025 | SLB | SLB | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 13.7% | 13.7% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10172025 | OVV | Ovintiv | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.3% | 6.3% | 0.0% |
| 10102025 | COP | ConocoPhillips | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.6% | 1.6% | -2.3% |
| 10102025 | HAL | Halliburton | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 22.6% | 22.6% | -0.7% |
| 10102025 | OXY | Occidental Petroleum | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -0.5% | -0.5% | -5.7% |
| 10102025 | SLB | SLB | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 13.7% | 13.7% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Ur-Energy
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 31.32 |
| Mkt Cap | 2.8 |
| Rev LTM | 174 |
| Op Inc LTM | -59 |
| FCF LTM | -24 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -19 |
| CFO LTM | 21 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 6 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 24.6% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 24.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | -1.2% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -0.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -63.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -126.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -1.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -14.0% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 16.6% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -51.4% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 4.6% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 2.8 |
| P/S | 11.5 |
| P/EBIT | 5.7 |
| P/E | 3.4 |
| P/CFO | -0.9 |
| Total Yield | -0.1% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -1.5% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -23.0% |
| 3M Rtn | 21.5% |
| 6M Rtn | 76.0% |
| 12M Rtn | 62.9% |
| 3Y Rtn | 242.2% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -27.0% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 15.4% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 59.7% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 44.7% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 170.5% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/4/2025 | -4.9% | ||
| 8/5/2025 | 0.0% | -3.2% | 24.0% |
| 5/12/2025 | 1.1% | -5.0% | 33.0% |
| 2/11/2025 | -1.0% | -5.0% | -23.1% |
| 11/8/2024 | -0.8% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| 7/17/2024 | -4.2% | -7.0% | -25.4% |
| 4/24/2024 | 1.2% | 8.7% | 6.2% |
| 1/30/2024 | -0.5% | 5.4% | -14.1% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 8 | 9 | 13 |
| # Negative | 13 | 12 | 8 |
| Median Positive | 3.4% | 6.3% | 8.4% |
| Median Negative | -1.3% | -3.7% | -15.5% |
| Max Positive | 10.3% | 16.7% | 33.0% |
| Max Negative | -8.6% | -7.0% | -25.4% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11032025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8052025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5082025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 4112025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11062024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8092024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5062024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3062024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10302023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8072023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5012023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3062023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11012022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8022022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5022022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3092022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |