Ur-Energy (URG)
Market Price (12/21/2025): $1.495 | Market Cap: $548.9 MilSector: Energy | Industry: Coal & Consumable Fuels
Ur-Energy (URG)
Market Price (12/21/2025): $1.495Market Cap: $548.9 MilSector: EnergyIndustry: Coal & Consumable Fuels
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 139% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -47%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -45% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -75 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -190% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Energy Transition & Decarbonization, US Energy Independence, and Datacenter Power. Themes include Nuclear Energy Generation, Show more. | Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 14x | |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -1.2% | ||
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -162%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -206% | ||
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 129% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -19% | ||
| Key risksURG key risks include [1] precarious financial health, Show more. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 139% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Energy Transition & Decarbonization, US Energy Independence, and Datacenter Power. Themes include Nuclear Energy Generation, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -47%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -45% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -75 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -190% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 14x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -1.2% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -162%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -206% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 129% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -19% |
| Key risksURG key risks include [1] precarious financial health, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
URG Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points explaining Ur-Energy's (URG) stock movements for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 21, 2025:
1. Successful US$120 Million Convertible Senior Notes Offering.
Ur-Energy announced the proposed, pricing, and eventual closing of a US$120 million offering of 4.75% Convertible Senior Notes Due 2031 in December 2025. This substantial capital raise, aimed at funding key project developments like the Lost Creek ramp-up and Shirley Basin construction, was met with a positive investor reaction, contributing to the stock trading up by 9.38% on December 15, 2025.
2. Strong Q2 2025 Operational Performance and New Uranium Sales Contract.
In August 2025, Ur-Energy reported robust Q2 2025 financial and operational results, including a 35% increase in uranium production compared to the first quarter of 2025. The company also secured an eighth multi-year uranium sales contract for 100,000 pounds of U3O8 annually from 2028 through 2030 at an escalated fixed price, signaling strong market positioning and future revenue stability.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| URG Return | 36% | 52% | -6% | 34% | -25% | 22% | 138% |
| Peers Return | 60% | 69% | -3% | 813% | -3% | 67% | 3759% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| URG Win Rate | 42% | 58% | 50% | 42% | 58% | 58% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 40% | 48% | 33% | 63% | 50% | 60% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| URG Max Drawdown | -51% | -5% | -18% | -28% | -37% | -51% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -52% | -6% | -22% | -15% | -26% | -41% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: UEC, UUUU, EU, CCJ, DNN.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | URG | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -60.7% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 154.2% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 903 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -50.7% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 103.0% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 30 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -44.6% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 80.6% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 407 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -85.0% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 565.5% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 760 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to EU, NC, CCJ, UEC, NXE
In The Past
Ur-Energy's stock fell -60.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/8/2021. A -60.7% loss requires a 154.2% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Ur-Energy Earnings Notes | ||
| Ur-Energy Stock Jump Looks Great, But How Secure Is That Gain? | Return |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to URG. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WHD | Cactus | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 11.2% | 11.2% | 0.0% |
| 10172025 | OVV | Ovintiv | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.7% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
| 10102025 | COP | ConocoPhillips | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.9% | 5.9% | -2.3% |
| 10102025 | HAL | Halliburton | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 27.0% | 27.0% | -0.7% |
| 10102025 | OXY | Occidental Petroleum | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -5.5% | -5.5% | -7.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WHD | Cactus | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 11.2% | 11.2% | 0.0% |
| 10172025 | OVV | Ovintiv | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.7% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
| 10102025 | COP | ConocoPhillips | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.9% | 5.9% | -2.3% |
| 10102025 | HAL | Halliburton | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 27.0% | 27.0% | -0.7% |
| 10102025 | OXY | Occidental Petroleum | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -5.5% | -5.5% | -7.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Ur-Energy
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 7.57 |
| Mkt Cap | 3.0 |
| Rev LTM | 47 |
| Op Inc LTM | -79 |
| FCF LTM | -85 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -55 |
| CFO LTM | -66 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -43 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 63.8% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 46.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | -2.7% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -0.5% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -168.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -175.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -4.4% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -150.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -84.6% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -185.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -164.2% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 3.0 |
| P/S | 29.1 |
| P/EBIT | -10.6 |
| P/E | -11.2 |
| P/CFO | -22.7 |
| Total Yield | -5.4% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -4.0% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 13.1% |
| 3M Rtn | 0.9% |
| 6M Rtn | 50.3% |
| 12M Rtn | 58.5% |
| 3Y Rtn | 188.6% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 1.1% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -7.5% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 34.4% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 36.7% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 141.4% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/4/2025 | -4.9% | -9.7% | -4.2% |
| 8/5/2025 | 0.0% | -3.2% | 24.0% |
| 5/12/2025 | 1.1% | -5.0% | 33.0% |
| 2/11/2025 | -1.0% | -5.0% | -23.1% |
| 11/8/2024 | -0.8% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| 7/17/2024 | -4.2% | -7.0% | -25.4% |
| 4/24/2024 | 1.2% | 8.7% | 6.2% |
| 1/30/2024 | -0.5% | 5.4% | -14.1% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 8 | 9 | 13 |
| # Negative | 13 | 12 | 8 |
| Median Positive | 3.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% |
| Median Negative | -1.1% | -5.0% | -14.6% |
| Max Positive | 4.6% | 16.7% | 33.0% |
| Max Negative | -8.8% | -9.7% | -25.4% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11032025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8052025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5082025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 4112025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11062024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8092024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5062024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3062024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10302023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8072023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5012023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3062023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11012022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8022022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5022022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3092022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |