Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include Nuclear Fuel Supply, and Nuclear Power Generation.
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12%
Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
1   Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -90 Mil
2   Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 143%
3   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -8.3%
4   Key risks
NXE key risks include [1] potential delays, Show more.
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include Nuclear Fuel Supply, and Nuclear Power Generation.
1 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12%
2 Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -90 Mil
4 Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 143%
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -8.3%
6 Key risks
NXE key risks include [1] potential delays, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

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NexGen Energy (NXE) stock has gained about 25% since 11/30/2025 because of the following key factors:

1. Final Federal Approval for Rook I Uranium Project.

NexGen Energy achieved a significant company-specific regulatory milestone by securing Final Federal Approval for its Rook I Uranium Project on March 5, 2026. This followed the completion of Canadian Nuclear Safety Commission hearings in November 2025 and February 2026, where staff formally recommended approval, paving the way for the project's advancement towards construction. This approval is critical for bringing one of the world's largest uranium deposits into production.

2. Surging Uranium Prices and Market Tightness.

The stock benefited from a dramatically improved macroeconomic backdrop in the uranium market. Uranium spot prices rose from approximately $75.80 per pound on November 30, 2025, to $86.95 per pound by February 28, 2026, trading around $84.30 per pound on March 26, 2026, and remaining 31% higher than a year prior. This surge is attributed to structural supply tightness, with the 2025 spot market representing about 40% of mine supply, and increasing demand from new nuclear power plants and power-hungry data centers driven by artificial intelligence.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 23.2% change in NXE stock from 11/30/2025 to 3/29/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)113020253292026Change
Stock Price ($)8.9611.0423.2%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)000.0%
P/S Multiple0.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)573640-10.4%
Cumulative Contribution0.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

11/30/2025 to 3/29/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NXE23.2% 
Market (SPY)-5.3%41.0%
Sector (XLE)39.5%15.8%

Fundamental Drivers

The 40.1% change in NXE stock from 8/31/2025 to 3/29/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)83120253292026Change
Stock Price ($)7.8811.0440.1%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)000.0%
P/S Multiple0.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)570640-10.9%
Cumulative Contribution0.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

8/31/2025 to 3/29/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NXE40.1% 
Market (SPY)0.6%39.0%
Sector (XLE)40.8%9.5%

Fundamental Drivers

The 108.7% change in NXE stock from 2/28/2025 to 3/29/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)22820253292026Change
Stock Price ($)5.2911.04108.7%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)000.0%
P/S Multiple0.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)565640-11.7%
Cumulative Contribution0.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

2/28/2025 to 3/29/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NXE108.7% 
Market (SPY)9.8%44.7%
Sector (XLE)42.1%27.3%

Fundamental Drivers

The 162.2% change in NXE stock from 2/28/2023 to 3/29/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)22820233292026Change
Stock Price ($)4.2111.04162.2%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)000.0%
P/S Multiple0.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)481640-24.9%
Cumulative Contribution0.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

2/28/2023 to 3/29/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NXE162.2% 
Market (SPY)69.4%40.8%
Sector (XLE)65.5%27.9%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
NXE Return58%1%58%-6%39%20%301%
Peers Return26%3%983%-2%30%-28%1192%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%-5%72%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
NXE Win Rate75%50%75%50%58%67% 
Peers Win Rate31%27%50%35%48%33% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%33% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
NXE Max Drawdown-6%-20%-20%-24%-38%0% 
Peers Max Drawdown-7%-9%-5%-16%-24%-35% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%-5% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: NC, EU, JAGU, NUCL, CCJ.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 3/27/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventNXES&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-45.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven84.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven503 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-57.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven134.9%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven31 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-59.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven148.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven479 days120 days

Compare to NC, EU, JAGU, NUCL, CCJ

In The Past

NexGen Energy's stock fell -45.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/9/2021. A -45.7% loss requires a 84.0% gain to breakeven.

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About NexGen Energy (NXE)

NexGen Energy Ltd., an exploration and development stage company, engages in the acquisition, exploration, and evaluation and development of uranium properties in Canada. Its principal asset is the Rook I project comprising 32 contiguous mineral claims totaling an area of 35,065 hectares located in the southwestern Athabasca Basin of Saskatchewan. The company is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

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The next Cameco.

Like a development-stage Cameco.

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  • Uranium Property Acquisition: Identifying and acquiring mineral claims with potential for uranium deposits.
  • Uranium Exploration: Conducting geological surveys and drilling to discover and delineate uranium resources.
  • Uranium Property Evaluation: Assessing the technical and economic feasibility of extracting uranium from discovered deposits.
  • Uranium Property Development: Advancing discovered uranium resources towards potential future production.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Based on the provided company description, NexGen Energy Ltd. is an "exploration and development stage company." This means the company is currently focused on acquiring, exploring, evaluating, and developing uranium properties, primarily its Rook I project. As such, it is not yet in the production phase and therefore does not have major customers for uranium sales.

Exploration and development stage companies typically do not generate revenue from product sales but rather incur expenses related to advancing their projects. Their funding often comes from equity financing, debt, or strategic partnerships, not from product customers.

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Leigh R. Curyer Chief Executive Officer and Director

Mr. Curyer is the founder, President & Chief Executive Officer of NexGen Energy Ltd.. He has over 20 years of experience in the resources and corporate sector. Prior to founding NexGen, he was the Chief Financial Officer and Head of Corporate Development for Southern Cross Resources (now Uranium One). He also served as Head of Corporate Development for Accord Nuclear Resource Management, where he assessed uranium projects worldwide for First Reserve Corporation, a global energy-focused private equity and infrastructure investment firm. Mr. Curyer has raised over $1 billion in equity in North America, the US, Europe, and Australia.

Benjamin Salter Chief Financial Officer

Mr. Salter is an experienced Chartered Professional Accountant (CPA, CA) with over 15 years of experience in various industries, focusing on the energy and commodities sectors. He previously held the role of NexGen's Vice President, Finance. Before joining NexGen, Mr. Salter held multiple positions at Methanex Corporation, where he managed a team responsible for financial reporting, internal controls, and global budgeting.

Travis G. McPherson Chief Commercial Officer

Mr. McPherson is a Canadian-born entrepreneur with over 15 years of experience in the global natural resources sector. He joined NexGen in early 2014 and has played a key role in the company's growth, including raising $1.5 billion in equity and structuring strategic financings, as well as creating IsoEnergy Ltd. He began his career in investment banking at Haywood Securities Inc. and later moved to the owner's side in gold mining and development in Latin America.

Graeme Johnson Chief Project Officer

Mr. Johnson possesses more than 30 years of international experience in the mining and metals industry across Australia, Africa, and Canada. He is a proven leader with extensive experience in engineering, project management, community relations, and permitting. His career started in a brown coal-fired power station, followed by over a decade with a global smelting technology company before transitioning into leadership roles with major EPCM firms and top mining operators in copper and gold.

Troy Boisjoli Vice President, Operations & Project Development

Mr. Boisjoli holds the position of Vice President, Operations & Project Development at NexGen Energy Ltd..

AI Analysis | Feedback

The key risks to NexGen Energy (NXE) are primarily associated with its status as an exploration and development stage company focused on bringing its principal asset, the Rook I project, into production.

1. Project Execution and Funding Risk

NexGen Energy, being a pre-revenue company, faces substantial risks related to the execution and funding of its Rook I project. The project has a significant pre-production capital cost of C$2.2 billion, and the company has incurred substantial net losses due to aggressive development spending. While NexGen recently secured the final Canadian Nuclear Safety Commission (CNSC) license for construction, initiating in summer 2026, there remains a risk of capital cost overruns, schedule slippage, and the ongoing need for sizeable equity and convertible financings, which could lead to further dilution for existing shareholders.

2. Uranium Price Volatility

The economic viability and future profitability of NexGen's Rook I project are highly sensitive to the volatility of uranium prices and foreign exchange rates. Although the uranium market has shown strength, sustained high prices are crucial for the project to deliver its projected returns. Any significant downturn in uranium prices could materially adversely affect the company's financial condition, results of operations, and the valuation of its assets.

3. Environmental and Regulatory Compliance Risk

Uranium exploration, development, and mining activities are inherently associated with environmental and health risks, including potential radiological and heavy-metal contamination, as well as exposure to radon gas. NexGen is subject to stringent governmental policies and environmental regulations. Changes to these regulations, or issues related to environmental degradation and compliance, could lead to increased operating costs, project delays, or reputational damage.

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NexGen Energy Ltd. (NXE) is an exploration and development stage company primarily focused on uranium properties, with its principal asset being the Rook I project in Saskatchewan, Canada. Therefore, its main product is uranium. The addressable market for NexGen Energy's main product, uranium, is global. The global uranium market was valued at approximately US$9.30 billion in 2024. This market is projected to grow to approximately US$13.59 billion by 2032, exhibiting a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of about 4.86% during the forecast period of 2025-2032. Another estimate places the global uranium market size at USD 15.57 billion in 2024, poised to reach USD 21.78 billion by 2033, with a CAGR of 3.8% from 2026–2033.

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NexGen Energy Ltd. (NXE) is an exploration and development stage company primarily focused on its Rook I uranium project in Canada. As such, the company does not currently generate significant operational revenue. Over the next 2-3 years (2026-2029), its future revenue growth will be driven by key developments related to its flagship project and the broader uranium market. The expected drivers of future revenue growth for NexGen Energy are:
  1. Advancement of the Rook I Project Towards Production: NexGen Energy received final federal regulatory approval for its Rook I project in March 2026, with construction slated to commence in the summer of 2026. The project is expected to undergo a four-year construction period, targeting first uranium production around 2030. While direct revenue from uranium sales will occur beyond the immediate 2-3 year horizon, the successful execution of construction milestones, adherence to timelines, and overall de-risking of the project during this phase will significantly enhance the company's future revenue-generating potential and market valuation.
  2. Favorable Uranium Market Pricing and Demand: The global uranium market is currently experiencing a "long-duration structural bull market" driven by increasing demand for nuclear energy, including from emerging sectors like artificial intelligence (AI) and data centers, coupled with persistent supply constraints. Strong spot and long-term uranium prices are crucial for the economic viability and profitability of future uranium production from the Rook I project. Continued upward trends in uranium prices will positively impact the perceived value of NexGen's future output.
  3. Securing Long-Term Off-take Agreements: Entering into long-term contracts for uranium supply with utility companies or other end-users would provide revenue certainty for NexGen's future production. Such off-take agreements often involve agreed-upon pricing mechanisms, de-risking future revenue streams and potentially assisting in project financing. NexGen's management has indicated engaging in preliminary discussions regarding securing financing for the new mine, which may involve future off-take opportunities.

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Share Issuance

  • NexGen Energy successfully completed an approximately CAD 1 billion equity raise in 2025.
  • This included a CAD 950 million capital raise in 2025, with CAD 600 million coming from Australian investors.
  • The number of shares outstanding increased from 0.48 billion in 2022 to 0.529 billion in 2023, and further to 0.555 billion in 2024.

Inbound Investments

  • A significant portion of the CAD 950 million capital raise in 2025, specifically CAD 600 million, was contributed by Australian investors.
  • NexGen Energy's inclusion in the S&P/ASX 200 index on December 22, 2025, boosted market capitalization, liquidity, and Australian institutional ownership.

Capital Expenditures

  • The company has a cumulative investment of approximately CAD 786 million in Saskatchewan, primarily for the Rook I project.
  • Initial capital expenditure for the Rook I project is estimated at CAD 2.2 billion, with roughly CAD 300 million anticipated in the first 12 months of construction.
  • Annual capital expenditures were $95.608 million USD in 2024, an increase of 12.85% from $84.725 million USD in 2023, primarily focused on the Rook I project development.

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to NXE.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
TPL_12262025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy12262025TPLTexas Pacific LandDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
82.3%82.3%-2.1%
NOV_12122025_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE_V212122025NOVNOVInsiderInsider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider Buying
Companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
23.6%23.6%-6.5%
RIG_12122025_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE_V212122025RIGTransoceanInsiderInsider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider Buying
Companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
56.9%56.9%-7.0%
WHD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
31.6%31.6%0.0%
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
41.7%41.7%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

NXENCEUJAGUNUCLCCJMedian
NameNexGen E.NACCO In.enCore E.Jaguar U.Eagle Nu.Cameco  
Mkt Price11.0451.301.791.956.66103.928.85
Mkt Cap7.10.40.3--45.23.7
Rev LTM027744003,48222
Op Inc LTM-90-41-69-3-5641-23
FCF LTM-2332-59--1,075-28
FCF 3Y Avg-185-7-53--768-30
CFO LTM-4851-38--1,4087
CFO 3Y Avg-4143-37--1,0013

Growth & Margins

NXENCEUJAGUNUCLCCJMedian
NameNexGen E.NACCO In.enCore E.Jaguar U.Eagle Nu.Cameco  
Rev Chg LTM-16.6%-34.2%--11.0%11.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-5.4%---23.6%14.5%
Rev Chg Q--5.2%-4.1%--1.5%-4.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM--1.3%-0.9%--0.5%-0.9%
Op Mgn LTM--14.6%-155.2%--18.4%-14.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg--19.8%-360.4%--15.4%-19.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.6%6.1%---0.2%1.6%
CFO/Rev LTM-18.4%-85.0%--40.4%18.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-17.7%160.4%--32.0%32.0%
FCF/Rev LTM-0.8%-133.4%--30.9%0.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg--2.9%65.5%--24.6%24.6%

Valuation

NXENCEUJAGUNUCLCCJMedian
NameNexGen E.NACCO In.enCore E.Jaguar U.Eagle Nu.Cameco  
Mkt Cap7.10.40.3--45.23.7
P/S-1.47.6--13.07.6
P/EBIT-28.420.2-5.9--50.77.2
P/E-22.821.7-6.5--76.77.6
P/CFO-148.77.5-8.9--32.1-0.7
Total Yield-4.4%6.5%-15.4%--1.3%-1.5%
Dividend Yield0.0%1.9%0.0%--0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-4.2%-3.6%-9.4%--2.9%-3.9%
D/E0.10.30.3--0.00.2
Net D/E-0.10.2-0.0---0.0-0.0

Returns

NXENCEUJAGUNUCLCCJMedian
NameNexGen E.NACCO In.enCore E.Jaguar U.Eagle Nu.Cameco  
1M Rtn-13.6%-10.6%-33.7%-20.7%38.3%-12.2%-12.9%
3M Rtn19.4%5.8%-26.9%-36.5%-81.6%11.9%-10.6%
6M Rtn21.3%18.2%-41.9%-36.5%-81.6%21.8%-9.2%
12M Rtn142.6%55.4%36.6%-36.5%-81.6%149.1%46.0%
3Y Rtn183.8%49.4%-16.4%-36.5%-81.6%298.7%16.5%
1M Excs Rtn-5.7%-1.2%-27.3%-15.7%11.9%-4.3%-5.0%
3M Excs Rtn24.9%13.8%-20.3%-28.4%-73.5%19.5%-3.3%
6M Excs Rtn26.9%26.9%-40.3%-32.9%-78.0%25.2%-3.8%
12M Excs Rtn112.0%44.7%11.1%-48.0%-93.1%129.4%27.9%
3Y Excs Rtn137.4%-12.2%-69.0%-98.3%-143.3%263.5%-40.6%

Comparison Analyses

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Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Acquisition, exploration and evaluation and development of uranium properties1,6571,007555547357
Total1,6571,007555547357


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$11.04 
Market Cap ($ Bil)6.3 
First Trading Date10/31/2013 
Distance from 52W High-20.7% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$12.15$9.15
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA-9.1%20.6%
 3M1YR
Volatility55.7%55.7%
Downside Capture0.930.92
Upside Capture325.74203.03
Correlation (SPY)36.6%43.4%
NXE Betas & Captures as of 2/28/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta1.421.221.721.791.261.40
Up Beta-0.72-1.50-1.040.451.161.25
Down Beta1.331.251.351.391.091.42
Up Capture169%393%469%415%318%458%
Bmk +ve Days9203170142431
Stock +ve Days11273871134373
Down Capture239%50%144%164%110%108%
Bmk -ve Days12213054109320
Stock -ve Days9132252112357

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with NXE
NXE123.5%55.9%1.65-
Sector ETF (XLE)37.0%24.9%1.2226.6%
Equity (SPY)14.5%18.9%0.5943.4%
Gold (GLD)50.2%27.7%1.4632.4%
Commodities (DBC)17.8%17.6%0.8529.3%
Real Estate (VNQ)0.4%16.4%-0.1521.1%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-23.7%44.2%-0.4929.0%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with NXE
NXE23.8%58.7%0.60-
Sector ETF (XLE)25.3%26.1%0.8639.9%
Equity (SPY)11.8%17.0%0.5446.5%
Gold (GLD)20.7%17.7%0.9627.1%
Commodities (DBC)11.6%18.9%0.5033.5%
Real Estate (VNQ)3.0%18.8%0.0728.1%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)4.0%56.6%0.2923.9%

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Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with NXE
NXE16.9%61.5%0.54-
Sector ETF (XLE)11.4%29.4%0.4236.6%
Equity (SPY)14.0%17.9%0.6740.6%
Gold (GLD)13.3%15.8%0.7020.3%
Commodities (DBC)8.2%17.6%0.3931.6%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.7%20.7%0.1927.8%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)66.4%66.8%1.0616.5%

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Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date3132026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity75.8 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 22820260.1%
Average Daily Volume8.2 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest9.2 days
Basic Shares Quantity639.8 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares11.9%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive000
# Negative000
Median Positive   
Median Negative   
Max Positive   
Max Negative   

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
12/31/202503/04/202640-F
09/30/202511/06/20256-K
06/30/202508/06/20256-K
03/31/202505/13/20256-K
12/31/202403/04/202540-F
09/30/202411/08/20246-K
06/30/202408/07/20246-K
03/31/202405/08/20246-K
12/31/202303/07/202440-F
09/30/202311/03/20236-K
06/30/202308/09/20236-K
03/31/202305/04/20236-K
12/31/202202/24/202340-F
09/30/202211/04/20226-K
06/30/202208/05/20226-K
03/31/202205/05/20226-K