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Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include Nuclear Fuel Supply, and Nuclear Power Generation.
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -4.8%, Dist 3Y High is -4.8%
Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
1  Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -3.4%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -78 Mil
2  Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 16%
Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -11%
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include Nuclear Fuel Supply, and Nuclear Power Generation.
1 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -4.8%, Dist 3Y High is -4.8%
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -3.4%
3 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 16%
4 Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
5 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -78 Mil
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -11%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

NXE Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

NexGen Energy (NXE) experienced an increase in stock value due to several key developments between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025.

1. Record-High Uranium Grades at Patterson Corridor East: On December 1, 2025, NexGen Energy announced its highest-grade uranium assay results to date at its wholly-owned Patterson Corridor East (PCE) project. Drill hole RK-25-256 returned 5.5 meters at 21.4% U3O8, including 2.5 meters at 46.1% U3O8 and 0.5 meters at 74.8% U3O8. This discovery significantly extended the interpreted high-grade uranium mineralization along a minimum of 215 meters of dip extent, indicating substantial resource potential. This announcement coincided with an 11.58% surge in NexGen's stock over the preceding week.

2. Advancement of the Rook I Project and Regulatory Approvals: NexGen Energy continued to advance its flagship Rook I Project, entering the final regulatory approval process in November 2025. Public license hearings with the Canadian Nuclear Safety Commission (CNSC) were underway, marking the culmination of extensive environmental studies. The company aims to commence construction upon approval, with estimates for the project to supply up to 30 million pounds of low-cost uranium per year upon completion. The CNSC had previously approved the project's environmental impact statement in January 2025.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
NXE Return116%58%1%58%-6%37%607%
Peers Return39%51%6%811%-2%44%2729%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
NXE Win Rate50%75%50%75%50%60% 
Peers Win Rate38%53%40%67%48%68% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
NXE Max Drawdown-57%-6%-20%-20%-24%-38% 
Peers Max Drawdown-54%-9%-17%-16%-24%-35% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: EU, NC, CCJ, UEC, NXE.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventNXES&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-45.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven84.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven503 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-57.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven134.9%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven31 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-59.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven148.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven479 days120 days

Compare to EU, NC, CCJ, UEC, NXE


In The Past

NexGen Energy's stock fell -45.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/9/2021. A -45.7% loss requires a 84.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About NexGen Energy (NXE)

Better Bets than NexGen Energy (NXE)

Latest Trefis Analyses

TitleTopic
0DASHBOARDS 
1Fundamental Metrics: ... 
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Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to NXE. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WHD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
8.3%8.3%0.0%
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.3%13.3%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.8%2.8%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
22.5%22.5%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.4%-0.4%-5.7%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WHD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
8.3%8.3%0.0%
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.3%13.3%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.8%2.8%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
22.5%22.5%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.4%-0.4%-5.7%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for NexGen Energy

Peers to compare with:

Financials

NXEEUNCCCJUECMedian
NameNexGen E.enCore E.NACCO In.Cameco Uranium . 
Mkt Price9.312.8346.7089.4512.9512.95
Mkt Cap5.30.50.338.95.85.3
Rev LTM0452813,4646767
Op Inc LTM-78-90-46646-73-73
FCF LTM-190-556973-70-55
FCF 3Y Avg-164-52-2593-36-36
CFO LTM-32-23651,261-64-23
CFO 3Y Avg-35-3243801-33-32

Growth & Margins

NXEEUNCCCJUECMedian
NameNexGen E.enCore E.NACCO In.Cameco Uranium . 
Rev Chg LTM--23.1%25.3%23.9%29,737.9%24.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg--8.0%24.2%10,082.6%24.2%
Rev Chg Q--31.1%24.3%-14.7%--14.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM--3.6%5.6%-3.0%0.0%-1.5%
Op Mgn LTM--202.9%-16.2%18.6%-109.9%-63.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg--357.2%-18.2%13.3%-8,450.6%-187.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.7%0.8%0.3%-20.6%0.5%
CFO/Rev LTM--51.0%23.0%36.4%-96.4%-14.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-133.4%17.4%27.3%-15,863.7%22.3%
FCF/Rev LTM--122.7%2.3%28.1%-105.0%-51.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-10.3%-1.0%20.1%-16,376.8%4.6%

Valuation

NXEEUNCCCJUECMedian
NameNexGen E.enCore E.NACCO In.Cameco Uranium . 
Mkt Cap5.30.50.338.95.85.3
P/S-12.01.110.545.311.3
P/EBIT-18.8-5.814.146.8-34.1-5.8
P/E-15.4-6.810.869.4-34.6-6.8
P/CFO-160.1-23.54.929.0-47.0-23.5
Total Yield-6.5%-14.7%11.5%1.4%-2.9%-2.9%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%2.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-4.3%-7.2%-2.6%2.3%-0.4%-2.6%
D/E0.10.00.30.00.00.0
Net D/E0.1-0.10.10.0-0.00.0

Returns

NXEEUNCCCJUECMedian
NameNexGen E.enCore E.NACCO In.Cameco Uranium . 
1M Rtn1.9%-1.4%11.1%-11.1%-7.5%-1.4%
3M Rtn18.3%19.9%24.3%16.2%12.5%18.3%
6M Rtn45.5%32.9%31.4%49.6%110.6%45.5%
12M Rtn14.7%-21.6%50.8%51.0%58.1%50.8%
3Y Rtn107.3%2,738.5%8.9%278.8%247.2%247.2%
1M Excs Rtn1.9%-1.4%11.1%-11.0%-7.5%-1.4%
3M Excs Rtn17.2%16.6%12.7%12.2%9.5%12.7%
6M Excs Rtn30.7%18.1%16.7%34.9%95.8%30.7%
12M Excs Rtn-3.2%-38.7%36.3%37.3%42.3%36.3%
3Y Excs Rtn45.7%2,665.7%-57.5%219.0%185.9%185.9%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Acquisition, exploration and development of uranium properties1,6571,007555547357
Total1,6571,007555547357


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity90,644,872
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120251.6%
Average Daily Volume9,152,886
Days-to-Cover Short Interest9.90
Basic Shares Quantity573,112,202
Short % of Basic Shares15.8%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
9302025110620256-K 9/30/2025
630202580620256-K 6/30/2025
331202551320256-K 3/31/2025
12312024304202540-F 12/31/2024
9302024110820246-K 9/30/2024
630202480720246-K 6/30/2024
331202450820246-K 3/31/2024
12312023307202440-F 12/31/2023
9302023110320236-K 9/30/2023
630202380920236-K 6/30/2023
331202350420236-K 3/31/2023
12312022224202340-F 12/31/2022
9302022110420226-K 9/30/2022
630202280520226-K 6/30/2022
331202250520226-K 3/31/2022
12312021225202240-F 12/31/2021