NexGen Energy (NXE)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $9.275 | Market Cap: $5.3 BilSector: Energy | Industry: Coal & Consumable Fuels
NexGen Energy (NXE)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $9.275Market Cap: $5.3 BilSector: EnergyIndustry: Coal & Consumable Fuels
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include Nuclear Fuel Supply, and Nuclear Power Generation. | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -4.8%, Dist 3Y High is -4.8% | Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -3.4% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -78 Mil | |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 16% | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -11% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include Nuclear Fuel Supply, and Nuclear Power Generation. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -4.8%, Dist 3Y High is -4.8% |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -3.4% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 16% |
| Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -78 Mil |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -11% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
NXE Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
NexGen Energy (NXE) experienced an increase in stock value due to several key developments between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025.
1. Record-High Uranium Grades at Patterson Corridor East: On December 1, 2025, NexGen Energy announced its highest-grade uranium assay results to date at its wholly-owned Patterson Corridor East (PCE) project. Drill hole RK-25-256 returned 5.5 meters at 21.4% U3O8, including 2.5 meters at 46.1% U3O8 and 0.5 meters at 74.8% U3O8. This discovery significantly extended the interpreted high-grade uranium mineralization along a minimum of 215 meters of dip extent, indicating substantial resource potential. This announcement coincided with an 11.58% surge in NexGen's stock over the preceding week.
2. Advancement of the Rook I Project and Regulatory Approvals: NexGen Energy continued to advance its flagship Rook I Project, entering the final regulatory approval process in November 2025. Public license hearings with the Canadian Nuclear Safety Commission (CNSC) were underway, marking the culmination of extensive environmental studies. The company aims to commence construction upon approval, with estimates for the project to supply up to 30 million pounds of low-cost uranium per year upon completion. The CNSC had previously approved the project's environmental impact statement in January 2025.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| NXE Return | 116% | 58% | 1% | 58% | -6% | 37% | 607% |
| Peers Return | 39% | 51% | 6% | 811% | -2% | 44% | 2729% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| NXE Win Rate | 50% | 75% | 50% | 75% | 50% | 60% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 38% | 53% | 40% | 67% | 48% | 68% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| NXE Max Drawdown | -57% | -6% | -20% | -20% | -24% | -38% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -54% | -9% | -17% | -16% | -24% | -35% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: EU, NC, CCJ, UEC, NXE.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | NXE | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -45.7% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 84.0% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 503 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -57.4% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 134.9% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 31 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -59.8% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 148.7% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 479 days | 120 days |
Compare to EU, NC, CCJ, UEC, NXE
In The Past
NexGen Energy's stock fell -45.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/9/2021. A -45.7% loss requires a 84.0% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to NXE. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WHD | Cactus | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 8.3% | 8.3% | 0.0% |
| 10172025 | OVV | Ovintiv | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 13.3% | 13.3% | 0.0% |
| 10102025 | COP | ConocoPhillips | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.8% | 2.8% | -2.3% |
| 10102025 | HAL | Halliburton | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 22.5% | 22.5% | -0.7% |
| 10102025 | OXY | Occidental Petroleum | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -0.4% | -0.4% | -5.7% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WHD | Cactus | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 8.3% | 8.3% | 0.0% |
| 10172025 | OVV | Ovintiv | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 13.3% | 13.3% | 0.0% |
| 10102025 | COP | ConocoPhillips | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.8% | 2.8% | -2.3% |
| 10102025 | HAL | Halliburton | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 22.5% | 22.5% | -0.7% |
| 10102025 | OXY | Occidental Petroleum | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -0.4% | -0.4% | -5.7% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for NexGen Energy
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 12.95 |
| Mkt Cap | 5.3 |
| Rev LTM | 67 |
| Op Inc LTM | -73 |
| FCF LTM | -55 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -36 |
| CFO LTM | -23 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -32 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 24.6% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 24.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | -14.7% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -1.5% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -63.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -187.7% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.5% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -14.0% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 22.3% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -51.4% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 4.6% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 5.3 |
| P/S | 11.3 |
| P/EBIT | -5.8 |
| P/E | -6.8 |
| P/CFO | -23.5 |
| Total Yield | -2.9% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -2.6% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | 0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -1.4% |
| 3M Rtn | 18.3% |
| 6M Rtn | 45.5% |
| 12M Rtn | 50.8% |
| 3Y Rtn | 247.2% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -1.4% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 12.7% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 30.7% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 36.3% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 185.9% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11062025 | 6-K 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8062025 | 6-K 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5132025 | 6-K 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3042025 | 40-F 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11082024 | 6-K 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8072024 | 6-K 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5082024 | 6-K 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3072024 | 40-F 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11032023 | 6-K 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8092023 | 6-K 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5042023 | 6-K 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2242023 | 40-F 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11042022 | 6-K 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8052022 | 6-K 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5052022 | 6-K 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2252022 | 40-F 12/31/2021 |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
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| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |