Tearsheet

Tower Semiconductor (TSEM)


Market Price (11/18/2025): $95.0 | Market Cap: $10.6 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Semiconductors

Tower Semiconductor (TSEM)


Market Price (11/18/2025): $95.0
Market Cap: $10.6 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Semiconductors

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 30%
  Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 132%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 114%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, Autonomous Technologies, and 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Themes include Autonomous Driving Technology, Show more.
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -3.0%
2   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.5%
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 30%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, Autonomous Technologies, and 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Themes include Autonomous Driving Technology, Show more.
2 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 132%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 114%
3 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -3.0%
4 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.5%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

TSEM Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

During the approximate time period from July 31, 2025, to November 18, 2025, Tower Semiconductor (TSEM) experienced a significant stock movement, driven by several key developments:

1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results and Optimistic Fourth Quarter Outlook: Tower Semiconductor reported robust financial performance for the third quarter of 2025, with revenue of $396 million, surpassing market expectations, and a net profit of $54 million. The company further fueled investor confidence by providing an upbeat guidance for the fourth quarter of 2025, forecasting revenue of $440 million, which exceeded Wall Street consensus. This strong financial health and positive outlook contributed to a significant increase in its shares, including a 15% jump following the announcement and a year-to-date rise of over 63%.

2. Strategic Capacity Expansion for AI and Data Center Technologies: The company announced an additional investment of $300 million dedicated to expanding its Silicon Photonics (SiPho) and Silicon-Germanium (SiGe) capacities. These advanced technologies are critical for high-speed optical data transmission, particularly in the rapidly growing Artificial Intelligence (AI) and data center markets, indicating a strong strategic alignment with high-demand segments.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
TSEM Return7%54%9%-29%69%85%296%
Peers Return46%17%-5%13%-4%0%78%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%13%107%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
TSEM Win Rate50%75%33%42%75%70% 
Peers Win Rate52%42%32%42%35%47% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
TSEM Max Drawdown-44%-2%-20%-49%-7%-42% 
Peers Max Drawdown-27%-12%-30%-12%-16%-25% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: QCOM, FSLR, SLAB, POWI, AMBQ.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventTSEMS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-55.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven124.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven415 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-47.2%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven89.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven260 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-62.2%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven164.5%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1050 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-95.2%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1980.0%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven3198 days1480 days

Compare to QCOM, FSLR, SLAB, POWI, AMBQ


In The Past

Tower Semiconductor's stock fell -55.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/4/2022. A -55.4% loss requires a 124.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

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About Tower Semiconductor (TSEM)

Better Bets than Tower Semiconductor (TSEM)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to TSEM. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ZBRA_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025ZBRAZebra TechnologiesDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-13.6%-13.6%-13.6%
ACN_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ACNAccentureDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-3.5%-3.5%-3.5%
ADBE_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ADBEAdobeDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.5%-4.5%-4.5%
TXN_10312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10312025TXNTexas InstrumentsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-4.0%-4.0%-4.0%
MRVL_10242025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10242025MRVLMarvell TechnologyMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.8%-0.8%-0.8%
TSEM_9302023_Dip_Buyer_HighCashEquity_ExInd09302023TSEMTower SemiconductorDip BuyDB | Cash/EquityDip Buyer with High Net Cash % Equity
Buying dips for companies with significant net cash as a % of market cap along with meaningful cash flow generation
36.2%78.8%-10.8%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ZBRA_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025ZBRAZebra TechnologiesDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-13.6%-13.6%-13.6%
ACN_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ACNAccentureDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-3.5%-3.5%-3.5%
ADBE_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ADBEAdobeDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.5%-4.5%-4.5%
TXN_10312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10312025TXNTexas InstrumentsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-4.0%-4.0%-4.0%
MRVL_10242025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10242025MRVLMarvell TechnologyMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.8%-0.8%-0.8%
TSEM_9302023_Dip_Buyer_HighCashEquity_ExInd09302023TSEMTower SemiconductorDip BuyDB | Cash/EquityDip Buyer with High Net Cash % Equity
Buying dips for companies with significant net cash as a % of market cap along with meaningful cash flow generation
36.2%78.8%-10.8%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Tower Semiconductor

Financials

TSEMQCOMFSLRSLABPOWIAMBQMedian
NameTower Se.Qualcomm First So.Silicon .Power In.Ambiq Mi. 
Mkt Price95.37166.75253.54117.4232.2924.26106.40
Mkt Cap10.7179.827.23.91.8-10.7
Rev LTM1,48844,2844,343743446691,115
Op Inc LTM17512,3941,362-965-3890
FCF LTM-612,820-9437480-2134
FCF 3Y Avg13711,277-557-165-65
CFO LTM44214,01229997100-16199
CFO 3Y Avg53212,5047621985-532

Growth & Margins

TSEMQCOMFSLRSLABPOWIAMBQMedian
NameTower Se.Qualcomm First So.Silicon .Power In.Ambiq Mi. 
Rev Chg LTM7.2%13.7%15.4%47.1%10.5%-13.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-3.0%1.2%20.6%-0.7%-12.3%--0.7%
Rev Chg Q5.9%10.0%8.6%23.8%2.7%-8.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.4%2.4%2.0%5.6%0.7%-2.0%
Op Mgn LTM11.8%28.0%31.3%-12.9%1.2%-54.6%6.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg14.1%25.9%22.9%-15.6%5.4%-14.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.8%-0.2%-0.9%3.2%-3.5%--0.8%
CFO/Rev LTM29.7%31.6%6.9%13.1%22.5%-22.6%17.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg36.7%31.5%21.7%2.8%19.4%-21.7%
FCF/Rev LTM-0.4%28.9%-21.7%9.9%17.9%-29.7%4.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg9.6%28.4%-14.8%0.1%14.8%-9.6%

Valuation

TSEMQCOMFSLRSLABPOWIAMBQMedian
NameTower Se.Qualcomm First So.Silicon .Power In.Ambiq Mi. 
Mkt Cap10.7179.827.23.91.8-10.7
P/S7.24.16.35.24.0-5.2
P/EBIT50.513.519.7-46.9337.5-19.7
P/E54.332.421.6-44.8100.4-32.4
P/CFO24.112.891.039.518.0-24.1
Total Yield1.8%5.2%4.6%-2.2%3.6%-3.6%
Dividend Yield0.0%2.1%0.0%0.0%2.6%-0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg3.2%7.0%-2.6%-0.1%2.2%-2.2%
D/E0.00.10.00.00.0-0.0
Net D/E-0.10.0-0.0-0.1-0.1--0.1

Returns

TSEMQCOMFSLRSLABPOWIAMBQMedian
NameTower Se.Qualcomm First So.Silicon .Power In.Ambiq Mi. 
1M Rtn29.3%2.0%9.4%-13.7%-29.0%-20.1%-5.9%
3M Rtn93.8%5.5%15.6%-11.2%-29.9%-37.1%-2.9%
6M Rtn131.8%9.8%53.7%-8.1%-38.1%-9.8%
12M Rtn114.1%6.2%33.1%16.9%-45.4%-16.9%
3Y Rtn120.7%44.3%52.2%-16.5%-57.5%-44.3%
1M Excs Rtn29.2%1.9%9.2%-13.9%-29.1%-20.2%-6.0%
3M Excs Rtn85.5%3.3%16.1%-15.5%-34.3%-36.8%-6.1%
6M Excs Rtn119.9%-2.1%41.8%-20.0%-49.9%--2.1%
12M Excs Rtn85.5%-5.2%27.7%-0.6%-59.7%--0.6%
3Y Excs Rtn64.9%-20.6%-7.2%-83.9%-125.1%--20.6%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Analog foundry operations1,4231,678   
Single Segment  1,5081,2661,234
Total1,4231,6781,5081,2661,234


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10312025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,582,768
Short Interest: % Change Since 1015202513.5%
Average Daily Volume1,015,543
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.56
Basic Shares Quantity111,810,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.4%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
630202580420256-K 6/30/2025
331202551420256-K 3/31/2025
12312024430202520-F 12/31/2024
9302024111320246-K 9/30/2024
630202472920246-K 6/30/2024
331202450920246-K 3/31/2024
12312023422202420-F 12/31/2023
9302023111320236-K 9/30/2023
630202372720236-K 6/30/2023
331202351520236-K 3/31/2023
12312022516202320-F 12/31/2022
9302022111420226-K 9/30/2022
630202280820226-K 6/30/2022
331202251620226-K 3/31/2022
12312021429202220-F 12/31/2021
9302021110820216-K 9/30/2021

Insider Activity

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