Tearsheet

Ambiq Micro (AMBQ)


Market Price (12/14/2025): $29.15 | Market Cap: $363.3 Mil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Semiconductors

Ambiq Micro (AMBQ)


Market Price (12/14/2025): $29.15
Market Cap: $363.3 Mil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Semiconductors

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, and Digital Health & Telemedicine. Themes include Edge AI, Wearable Health Devices, Show more.
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -38 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -53%
1  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -10%
2  Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -21%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -30%
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, and Digital Health & Telemedicine. Themes include Edge AI, Wearable Health Devices, Show more.
1 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -38 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -53%
2 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -10%
3 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -21%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -30%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

AMBQ Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points highlighting why Ambiq Micro (AMBQ) stock experienced a significant movement around the approximate period from August 31, 2025, to December 15, 2025: 1. Overvaluation and AI Hype Concerns

Following its initial public offering (IPO) in the summer of 2025, Ambiq Micro's valuation surged, driven by excitement around artificial intelligence (AI). Despite a subsequent pullback, analysts and market observers expressed concerns that the stock remained overvalued, suggesting that fundamentals did not fully justify the AI-driven hype surrounding the company. 2. Weak Fundamentals and Stalling Revenue Growth

The company faced challenges with its underlying financial performance, including weak fundamentals and a stalling in revenue growth. While Q3 2025 revenues exceeded analyst expectations, earnings per share (EPS) lagged behind estimates, and the company continued to report operating losses. Overall revenue growth was reported as minimal or flat on a sequential basis, with annual revenues declining.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
AMBQ Return
Peers Return34%29%-26%14%1%5%55%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%111%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
AMBQ Win Rate40% 
Peers Win Rate65%58%32%55%42%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
AMBQ Max Drawdown 
Peers Max Drawdown-37%-4%-37%-17%-23%-31% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: SLAB, NXPI, MCHP, TXN, CEVA.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/12/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

AMBQ has limited trading history. Below is the Information Technology sector ETF (XLK) in its place.

Unique KeyEventXLKS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-34.0%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven51.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven278 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-31.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven46.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven79 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-24.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven31.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven105 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-53.6%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven115.3%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1183 days1480 days

Compare to


In The Past

SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -34.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/27/2021. A -34.0% loss requires a 51.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Ambiq Micro (AMBQ)

Better Bets than Ambiq Micro (AMBQ)

Latest Trefis Analyses

TitleTopic
0DASHBOARDS 
1Ambiq Micro Earnings Notes 
Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to AMBQ. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.7%11.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.5%15.5%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.8%5.8%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.6%11.6%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.7%11.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.5%15.5%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.8%5.8%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.6%11.6%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Ambiq Micro

Peers to compare with:

Financials

AMBQSLABNXPIMCHPTXNCEVAMedian
NameAmbiq Mi.Silicon .NXP Semi.Microchi.Texas In.CEVA  
Mkt Price29.15136.21229.6367.14179.7221.84101.68
Mkt Cap0.44.557.936.3163.40.520.4
Rev LTM7274312,0454,21217,2661082,478
Op Inc LTM-38-963,0011556,012-1172
FCF LTM-21741,7707542,080-6414
FCF 3Y Avg--12,2551,8071,732-61,732
CFO LTM-15972,3208416,897-4469
CFO 3Y Avg-193,1002,0476,560-42,047

Growth & Margins

AMBQSLABNXPIMCHPTXNCEVAMedian
NameAmbiq Mi.Silicon .NXP Semi.Microchi.Texas In.CEVA  
Rev Chg LTM-47.1%-6.8%-23.4%9.9%5.5%5.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg--0.7%-2.3%-14.9%-4.6%-3.9%-3.9%
Rev Chg Q-10.4%23.8%-2.4%-2.0%14.2%4.3%1.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-2.8%5.6%-0.6%-0.6%3.5%1.1%0.3%
Op Mgn LTM-52.6%-12.9%24.9%3.7%34.8%-10.1%-3.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg--15.6%27.2%21.0%38.0%-9.9%21.0%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.4%3.2%-0.7%-1.2%-0.1%0.6%-0.4%
CFO/Rev LTM-21.2%13.1%19.3%20.0%39.9%-3.8%16.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-2.8%24.3%30.4%38.6%-3.7%24.3%
FCF/Rev LTM-29.8%9.9%14.7%17.9%12.0%-6.0%11.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-0.1%17.7%26.9%10.2%-6.2%10.2%

Valuation

AMBQSLABNXPIMCHPTXNCEVAMedian
NameAmbiq Mi.Silicon .NXP Semi.Microchi.Texas In.CEVA  
Mkt Cap0.44.557.936.3163.40.520.4
P/S5.25.84.88.29.74.95.5
P/EBIT--52.318.9731.226.9-58.218.9
P/E-10.4-50.028.0-187.233.2-46.4-28.4
P/CFO-24.444.124.941.224.3-129.524.6
Total Yield-9.6%-2.0%5.4%1.6%6.0%-2.2%-0.2%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%1.8%2.1%3.0%0.0%0.9%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg--0.1%4.0%4.4%1.1%-1.2%1.1%
D/E-0.00.20.20.10.00.1
Net D/E--0.10.10.10.1-0.20.1

Returns

AMBQSLABNXPIMCHPTXNCEVAMedian
NameAmbiq Mi.Silicon .NXP Semi.Microchi.Texas In.CEVA  
1M Rtn18.2%11.7%17.0%26.7%12.8%-11.1%14.9%
3M Rtn-15.4%1.8%5.9%4.7%-0.7%-7.5%0.6%
6M Rtn--1.2%10.4%3.8%-6.3%9.8%3.8%
12M Rtn-6.2%7.9%15.6%-3.1%-33.1%6.2%
3Y Rtn--0.1%47.1%-0.7%15.8%-22.8%-0.1%
1M Excs Rtn4.3%7.6%13.4%22.1%10.5%-19.6%9.1%
3M Excs Rtn-19.2%-2.0%2.5%4.0%-1.5%-14.2%-1.7%
6M Excs Rtn--15.4%-3.9%-10.4%-20.6%-4.4%-10.4%
12M Excs Rtn--2.8%-5.9%-1.3%-15.6%-43.2%-5.9%
3Y Excs Rtn--75.8%-25.1%-77.5%-60.4%-91.5%-75.8%

Financials

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity395,244
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520250.6%
Average Daily Volume82,000
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.82
Basic Shares Quantity12,464,236
Short % of Basic Shares3.2%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
9/4/2025-15.2%-9.9%-26.5%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive000
# Negative111
Median Positive   
Median Negative-15.2%-9.9%-26.5%
Max Positive   
Max Negative-15.2%-9.9%-26.5%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025904202510-Q 6/30/2025
123120247312025424B4 12/31/2024
123120232132025DRS/A 12/31/2023
1231202111172022DRS/A 12/31/2021