Tearsheet

First Solar (FSLR)


Market Price (12/14/2025): $257.69 | Market Cap: $27.6 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Semiconductors

First Solar (FSLR)


Market Price (12/14/2025): $257.69
Market Cap: $27.6 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Semiconductors

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.3%
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -8.9%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 79x
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, Sustainable Infrastructure, and Smart Grids & Grid Modernization. Themes include Solar Energy Generation, Show more.
  Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -22%
2   Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 69%
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.3%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, Sustainable Infrastructure, and Smart Grids & Grid Modernization. Themes include Solar Energy Generation, Show more.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -8.9%
3 Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 79x
4 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -22%
5 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 69%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

FSLR Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The First Solar (FSLR) stock has experienced significant volatility and various influencing factors during the approximate period from August 31, 2025, to December 14, 2025. While some forecasts predicted a downward trend or slight dip in value for parts of this period, other analyst ratings and company guidance indicated potential for growth due to strategic moves and market conditions.

1. Policy and Demand Tailwinds: First Solar's performance in 2025 has been influenced by ongoing sustainability policies, incentives from the Inflation Reduction Act, and strong global demand for high-efficiency solar panels. Its U.S. manufacturing base and focus on advanced thin-film technology have helped to manage margin pressures and position the company for continued growth.

2. Strategic Expansion and Production: The company has been expanding its manufacturing capacity, including commissioning an Alabama facility and progressing construction of a new Louisiana facility. First Solar's domestic annual manufacturing capacity is projected to increase significantly by 2026. Strategic agreements, such as a supply agreement for 2GW of solar modules with Swift Current Energy for 2025 and 2026, have also contributed to investor confidence.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
FSLR Return77%-12%72%15%2%55%388%
Peers Return
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%111%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
FSLR Win Rate67%50%50%50%58%58% 
Peers Win Rate48% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
FSLR Max Drawdown-46%-30%-30%-12%-19%-32% 
Peers Max Drawdown 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: RUN, ENPH, SEDG, CSIQ, AMBQ. See FSLR Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/12/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventFSLRS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-49.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven97.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven105 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-49.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven96.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven118 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-52.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven111.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven667 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-72.0%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven256.7%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days1480 days

Compare to RUN, ENPH, SEDG, CSIQ, AMBQ


In The Past

First Solar's stock fell -49.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/1/2021. A -49.3% loss requires a 97.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About First Solar (FSLR)

Better Bets than First Solar (FSLR)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to FSLR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.7%11.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.5%15.5%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.8%5.8%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.6%11.6%0.0%
FSLR_5312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy05312025FSLRFirst SolarDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
72.6%61.2%-9.1%
FSLR_10312024_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312024FSLRFirst SolarDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-34.9%37.3%-38.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.7%11.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.5%15.5%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.8%5.8%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.6%11.6%0.0%
FSLR_5312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy05312025FSLRFirst SolarDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
72.6%61.2%-9.1%
FSLR_10312024_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312024FSLRFirst SolarDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-34.9%37.3%-38.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for First Solar

Peers to compare with:

Financials

FSLRRUNENPHSEDGCSIQAMBQMedian
NameFirst So.Sunrun Enphase .SolarEdg.Canadian.Ambiq Mi. 
Mkt Price254.8017.9332.1829.5322.6529.1229.33
Mkt Cap27.34.14.21.81.50.42.9
Rev LTM4,3432,3171,5121,0455,899721,915
Op Inc LTM1,362-358207-471-20-38-29
FCF LTM-943-3,66121763-1,734-21-482
FCF 3Y Avg-557-3,443454-229-1,575--557
CFO LTM299-77725689-121-1537
CFO 3Y Avg762-803518-1102-2

Growth & Margins

FSLRRUNENPHSEDGCSIQAMBQMedian
NameFirst So.Sunrun Enphase .SolarEdg.Canadian.Ambiq Mi. 
Rev Chg LTM15.4%13.8%21.0%2.4%-4.5%-13.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg20.6%3.3%0.5%-13.6%-4.6%-0.5%
Rev Chg Q8.6%34.9%7.8%44.5%-1.3%-10.4%8.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.0%8.8%2.0%11.1%-0.3%-2.8%2.0%
Op Mgn LTM31.3%-15.4%13.7%-45.1%-0.3%-52.6%-7.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg22.9%-27.1%12.9%-57.7%2.9%-2.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.9%7.5%0.9%95.1%0.6%-1.4%0.7%
CFO/Rev LTM6.9%-33.5%16.9%8.6%-2.1%-21.2%2.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg21.7%-35.7%27.1%-12.5%-1.0%--1.0%
FCF/Rev LTM-21.7%-158.0%14.4%6.0%-29.4%-29.8%-25.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-14.8%-154.2%23.7%-19.9%-25.5%--19.9%

Valuation

FSLRRUNENPHSEDGCSIQAMBQMedian
NameFirst So.Sunrun Enphase .SolarEdg.Canadian.Ambiq Mi. 
Mkt Cap27.34.14.21.81.50.42.9
P/S5.41.73.12.10.35.22.6
P/EBIT17.1-1.219.1-3.2-203.1--1.2
P/E18.8-1.623.7-3.995.0-10.48.6
P/CFO79.1-5.118.124.5-12.6-24.46.5
Total Yield5.3%-61.8%4.2%-25.6%1.1%-9.6%-4.3%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-2.6%-99.4%3.9%-15.8%-150.6%--15.8%
D/E0.03.70.30.28.4-0.3
Net D/E-0.03.5-0.1-0.06.4--0.0

Returns

FSLRRUNENPHSEDGCSIQAMBQMedian
NameFirst So.Sunrun Enphase .SolarEdg.Canadian.Ambiq Mi. 
1M Rtn-0.7%-5.0%11.3%-18.9%-20.9%12.6%-2.8%
3M Rtn26.3%11.6%-14.5%1.9%108.0%-15.5%6.8%
6M Rtn45.4%79.3%-29.4%26.7%105.2%-45.4%
12M Rtn27.6%77.2%-56.4%121.2%78.5%-77.2%
3Y Rtn59.2%-45.2%-90.3%-91.2%-35.7%--45.2%
1M Excs Rtn-4.4%-7.4%5.1%-30.2%-20.1%4.2%-5.9%
3M Excs Rtn19.9%5.8%-18.5%-6.7%85.4%-19.3%-0.4%
6M Excs Rtn31.2%65.1%-43.7%12.5%90.9%-31.2%
12M Excs Rtn12.4%57.0%-69.9%96.4%65.9%-57.0%
3Y Excs Rtn-8.9%-111.1%-163.4%-164.1%-106.0%--111.1%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Modules3,2972,4282,3311,7361,460
Other22191592  
Systems   9751,603
Total3,3192,6192,9232,7113,063


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity9,993,728
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520257.6%
Average Daily Volume1,718,538
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.82
Basic Shares Quantity107,245,000
Short % of Basic Shares9.3%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/30/202514.3%16.4%12.4%
7/31/20255.3%6.2%11.7%
2/20/2025-5.3%-14.0%-20.0%
10/29/2024-1.1%8.1%-3.6%
7/30/20242.4%-0.2%8.4%
2/27/20242.9%9.7%15.5%
10/31/20230.3%1.3%10.8%
7/27/20234.8%-1.3%-10.7%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121214
# Negative775
Median Positive5.1%9.6%12.3%
Median Negative-1.1%-7.4%-15.0%
Max Positive15.7%26.7%37.6%
Max Negative-14.7%-25.4%-43.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251030202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025731202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025429202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024225202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241029202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024730202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024501202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023227202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231031202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023727202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023427202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022228202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221028202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022729202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022429202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021301202210-K 12/31/2021