Triumph Financial (TFIN)
Market Price (5/22/2026): $66.53 | Market Cap: $1.6 BilSector: Financials | Industry: Regional Banks
Triumph Financial (TFIN)
Market Price (5/22/2026): $66.53Market Cap: $1.6 BilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Regional Banks
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -33% Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18% Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 46% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and Future of Freight. Themes include Digital Payments, Online Banking & Lending, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -53%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -46% Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 21x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 50x Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -3.4% Key risksTFIN key risks include [1] heightened credit risk from its deep concentration in the transportation sector, Show more. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -33% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 46% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and Future of Freight. Themes include Digital Payments, Online Banking & Lending, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -53%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -46% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 21x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 50x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -3.4% |
| Key risksTFIN key risks include [1] heightened credit risk from its deep concentration in the transportation sector, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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1. Mixed First Quarter 2026 Earnings Results. Triumph Financial (TFIN) released its first-quarter 2026 financial results on April 21, 2026, reporting diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.23, which surpassed analysts' consensus estimates of $0.15 by $0.08. However, the company's quarterly revenue of $105.80 million fell slightly short of the consensus estimate of $106.88 million. This combination of an earnings beat and a revenue miss presented a mixed financial picture, likely contributing to the stock's largely unchanged level.
2. Neutral Analyst Sentiment and Price Targets. Throughout the specified period, Wall Street analysts maintained a predominantly "Hold" consensus rating for TFIN. As of May 8, 2026, the average price target from analysts was $66.20, implying a minor forecasted decrease of -0.48% from its then-current price of $66.52 over the subsequent year. This neutral outlook from the analyst community suggests that experts did not anticipate significant upward or downward movement for the stock, reinforcing its stable trend.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 5.7% change in TFIN stock from 1/31/2026 to 5/21/2026 was primarily driven by a 213.3% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 1312026 | 5212026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 63.09 | 66.66 | 5.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 421 | 427 | 1.3% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 2.4% | 7.4% | 213.3% |
| P/E Multiple | 150.1 | 50.0 | -66.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 24 | 24 | -0.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 5.7% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2026 to 5/21/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TFIN | 5.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 7.6% | 43.0% |
| Sector (XLF) | -2.7% | 61.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 22.4% change in TFIN stock from 10/31/2025 to 5/21/2026 was primarily driven by a 213.3% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 10312025 | 5212026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 54.46 | 66.66 | 22.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 421 | 427 | 1.3% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 2.4% | 7.4% | 213.3% |
| P/E Multiple | 129.6 | 50.0 | -61.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 24 | 24 | -0.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 22.4% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 5/21/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TFIN | 22.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.5% | 38.1% |
| Sector (XLF) | -0.4% | 60.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 24.8% change in TFIN stock from 4/30/2025 to 5/21/2026 was primarily driven by a 157.8% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 4302025 | 5212026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 53.42 | 66.66 | 24.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 415 | 427 | 2.9% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 2.9% | 7.4% | 157.8% |
| P/E Multiple | 104.4 | 50.0 | -52.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 23 | 24 | -1.8% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 24.8% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2025 to 5/21/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TFIN | 24.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 35.5% | 38.5% |
| Sector (XLF) | 7.7% | 50.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 28.3% change in TFIN stock from 4/30/2023 to 5/21/2026 was primarily driven by a 266.7% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 4302023 | 5212026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 51.96 | 66.66 | 28.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 477 | 427 | -10.5% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 18.6% | 7.4% | -60.2% |
| P/E Multiple | 13.6 | 50.0 | 266.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 23 | 24 | -1.8% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 28.3% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2023 to 5/21/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TFIN | 28.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 85.6% | 47.3% |
| Sector (XLF) | 63.7% | 55.6% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| TFIN Return | 145% | -59% | 64% | 13% | -31% | 5% | 35% |
| Peers Return | 54% | -16% | 31% | -7% | -10% | 23% | 73% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 9% | 98% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| TFIN Win Rate | 75% | 33% | 58% | 58% | 50% | 60% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 57% | 47% | 55% | 50% | 57% | 52% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 60% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| TFIN Max Drawdown | -27% | -63% | -28% | -22% | -49% | -22% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -30% | -38% | -31% | -28% | -36% | -21% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: WEX, CASS, LOB, SNDR, ARCB.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 5/21/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | TFIN | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -16.7% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 20.0% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 26 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -25.6% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 34.5% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 64 days | 31 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -53.5% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 114.9% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 214 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -28.0% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 39.0% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 354 days | 105 days |
| 2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -10.9% | -12.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 12.2% | 13.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 22 days | 62 days |
In The Past
Triumph Financial's stock fell -4.8% during the 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind. Such a loss loss requires a 5.1% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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| Event | TFIN | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -25.6% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 34.5% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 64 days | 31 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -53.5% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 114.9% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 214 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -28.0% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 39.0% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 354 days | 105 days |
In The Past
Triumph Financial's stock fell -4.8% during the 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind. Such a loss loss requires a 5.1% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Triumph Financial (TFIN)
AI Analysis | Feedback
- It's a regional bank similar to PNC or Truist, but with a significant specialized focus on commercial finance, especially factoring services for small-to-mid-sized businesses.
- Think of it as a financial partner highly specialized in the trucking and transportation industry, like a KeyCorp that's become the go-to for transporters' banking and factoring needs.
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- Depository Products: Triumph Financial offers various depository products including checking, savings, money market accounts, and certificates of deposit.
- Commercial & Industrial Loans: The company provides loans to businesses for working capital, operational purposes, capital equipment purchases, and other commercial needs.
- Commercial Real Estate Loans: Triumph Financial offers financing for commercial properties, including construction, land, and land development projects.
- Factoring Services: The company provides factoring services, purchasing accounts receivable from businesses primarily in the transportation and non-transportation sectors.
- Residential Real Estate Loans: Triumph Financial offers loans to individuals for the purchase or refinancing of residential properties.
- Consumer Loans: The company provides various loans directly to consumers for personal expenses and needs.
- Treasury Management & Electronic Banking Services: Businesses can utilize electronic banking, trust, and treasury management services to manage their finances efficiently.
- Debit Cards: Triumph Financial issues debit cards to facilitate electronic transactions and access funds from customer accounts.
- Insurance Brokerage Services: The company offers insurance brokerage services to help clients find and secure appropriate insurance coverage.
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Triumph Financial (symbol: TFIN) does not have a few specific "major customers" that are large, identifiable companies. As a financial holding company operating a bank and commercial finance services, its customer base is highly diversified, consisting of numerous individuals and small-to-mid-sized businesses across various sectors. Therefore, its customers are best described by categories rather than specific names.
Based on the company description, Triumph Financial primarily serves the following customer categories:
- Individual Consumers (Retail Customers): This category includes individuals who utilize the bank's services such as checking, savings, and money market accounts, certificates of deposit, residential real estate loans, and other consumer loans.
- Small to Mid-sized Businesses (General Commercial): This broad category encompasses a wide array of businesses that seek commercial and industrial loans, capital equipment financing, working capital loans, asset-based loans, commercial real estate loans, and treasury management services for their operational and growth needs.
- Businesses in Specialized Commercial Sectors: Triumph Financial also targets specific business segments with tailored financial products. This includes companies in the transportation and non-transportation sectors utilizing factoring services, agriculture businesses seeking agriculture loans, commercial construction and land development companies, and mortgage originators requiring mortgage warehouse loans.
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Here is the management team for Triumph Financial: Aaron P. Graft, Chief Executive Officer and President Mr. Graft is the Founder, Vice Chairman, and Chief Executive Officer of Triumph Financial, Inc. He also holds positions as Vice Chairman, Chief Executive Officer, and Public Information Officer of TBK Bank, SSB, Chairman of Triumph Financial Services LLC, and Vice Chairman of Triumph Insurance Group, Inc.. Before establishing Triumph Financial, Mr. Graft served as the Founder and President of Triumph Land and Capital Management, LLC, where he managed various multi-family and commercial real estate projects in receivership and led the acquisition of distressed debt portfolios secured by multi-family assets.. Earlier in his career, he worked at Fulbright & Jaworski, LLP (now Norton Rose Fulbright LLP), specializing in distressed loan workouts.. Mr. Graft led a team of investors to acquire EJ Financial and its banking arm, Equity Bank, in 2010, which was a pivotal moment in the company's formation and rebranding to Triumph Bancorp.. W. Bradley Voss, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer Mr. Voss is the Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of Triumph Financial, Inc. and TBK Bank, SSB.. He joined Triumph in a consulting capacity in 2011 and has served in various finance roles since joining full-time in 2012, becoming CFO in 2021.. Prior to his current role, he led balance sheet strategy, capital issuance, investments, liquidity, and funding as the company's Senior Vice President and Treasurer from 2015 to 2019, and Executive Vice President and Treasurer from 2019 to 2021.. Before joining Triumph, Mr. Voss was a Senior Vice President and Portfolio Manager at CSG Investments, an affiliate of Beal Bank, where he focused on sourcing, analyzing, and executing investments in distressed securities.. He also served as a Portfolio Manager for Highland Capital Management, L.P.. Edward J. Schreyer, Executive Vice President, Chief Operating Officer Mr. Schreyer serves as the Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer for Triumph Financial, Inc. and TBK Bank, SSB.. Todd Ritterbusch, President, Payments & Banking Mr. Ritterbusch holds the title of President, Payments and Banking at Triumph Financial, Inc. and is also President of TBK Bank, SSB.. He joined TBK Bank in 2019 as Chief Lending Officer and has over 20 years of banking experience.. Before his time at TBK Bank, Mr. Ritterbusch was a managing director and market executive in JPMorgan Chase's commercial bank, where he managed a team of commercial bankers serving middle market clients.. Adam D. Nelson, Executive Vice President, General Counsel, and Secretary Mr. Nelson is the Executive Vice President, General Counsel, and Secretary for Triumph Financial, Inc. and TBK Bank, SSB..AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks for Triumph Financial (TFIN) primarily stem from its specialized exposure to the transportation sector, coupled with inherent financial industry risks.
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Freight Cycle Volatility and Dependence on the Transportation Sector: Triumph Financial has a significant portion of its business, particularly its Factoring and Payments segments, deeply embedded in the for-hire trucking ecosystem. Prolonged periods of soft freight rates, reduced tender rejections, or other downturns in the transportation industry can directly impact carrier liquidity and elevate credit losses for Triumph Financial. This volatility can also lead to slower revenue growth or even declines, as companies in the sector become less likely to invest in new services or require factoring.
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Credit Risk: As a financial institution offering various commercial and industrial loans, real estate loans, and factoring services, Triumph Financial is inherently exposed to credit risk. Economic downturns or specific challenges within the industries it serves, such as the transportation sector, can lead to increased loan defaults and credit losses. A notable example involved a significant loan exposure to Tricolor Holdings, LLC, which filed for Chapter 7 bankruptcy, highlighting the company's vulnerability to such events.
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Interest Rate and Funding Risk: Like other financial holding companies, Triumph Financial's profitability is sensitive to fluctuations in interest rates. Changes in interest rates can compress net interest margins, impact the cost of its funding, and affect the valuation of its assets and liabilities. This risk is a consistent factor for banking operations and can influence overall financial performance.
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Disruptive fintech platforms and digital payment solutions targeting the supply chain finance and factoring market. These emerging platforms aim to streamline payments, offer instant financing directly to businesses (particularly in logistics and transportation), and reduce the need for traditional factoring services through automation, real-time payment capabilities, and improved supply chain transparency. This could disintermediate Triumph Financial's significant Factoring segment by providing a more efficient, lower-cost, and digitally integrated alternative for working capital management.
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Here are the addressable market sizes for Triumph Financial's main products and services in the United States:- Commercial Banking: The U.S. commercial banking market was estimated to be between approximately $732.5 billion in 2025 and $1.6 trillion in 2025, with projections to reach between $915.45 billion by 2030 and $1.6 trillion in 2026, respectively.
- Retail Banking: The U.S. retail banking market was valued at around $0.87 trillion in 2025, with other estimates placing it at $1.28 trillion in 2025. It is projected to grow to approximately $1.08 trillion by 2030 or $1.11 trillion by 2031.
- Commercial Real Estate Lending: Total commercial real estate mortgage borrowing and lending in the U.S. was estimated at $498 billion in 2024.
- Factoring Services: The U.S. factoring services market size was valued at approximately $171.98 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach between $287.61 billion and $300.59 billion by 2030. The transportation and logistics sector alone accounted for a 33.47% revenue share in the U.S. factoring services market in 2024, with an estimated $90 billion annually for trucking companies and brokerages.
- Payments (Digital Payments): The United States digital payment market was valued at approximately $3.06 trillion in 2024 and is expected to grow to $9.29 trillion by 2033. Another estimate places the U.S. payments market size at $1.5 trillion in 2025, projected to reach $3.35 trillion by 2031.
- Asset-Based Lending: The U.S. asset-based lending market was estimated at $191 billion in 2024. The broader asset-based lending market (globally or including a broader scope) was valued at approximately $701 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach $1.3 trillion by 2030.
- Equipment Finance: The U.S. equipment finance industry was estimated to be $1.34 trillion in 2023 and is projected to grow to $1.4 trillion in 2024, with expectations to reach nearly $1.5 trillion in the next three years.
- Insurance Brokerage Services: The market size of Insurance Brokers & Agencies in the U.S. was $260.1 billion in 2024, with projections to reach $261.7 billion in 2025.
For Premium Finance Loans, specific addressable market size data was not identified and therefore is returned as null.
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Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for Triumph Financial (TFIN) over the next 2-3 years:
- Growth and Repricing within the Payments Segment: Triumph Financial anticipates significant revenue growth from its Payments segment, particularly through its TriumphPay and LoadPay offerings. This growth is expected to be driven by acquiring new customers, including large freight logistics companies, and by implementing enhanced pricing strategies for legacy clients. LoadPay, in particular, is projected to triple its annualized revenue in 2026 by increasing both the number of accounts and the revenue generated per account. The company expects its core payments business to see continued revenue growth as it holds expenses relatively flat while expanding its customer base.
- Expansion and Cross-selling of Intelligence Segment Solutions: The Intelligence segment is forecast to be the fastest-growing part of Triumph Financial's transportation businesses on a percentage basis. A key driver here is the substantial opportunity for cross-selling intelligence solutions to existing audit and payment customers, as currently only a small percentage utilize these services. The integration of acquisitions like Greenscreens also contributes to transactional volume and intelligence revenue.
- Factoring Segment Growth through Automation and Organic Customer Acquisition: Triumph Financial aims for a 20% annual growth rate in its Factoring revenue. This growth will be supported by technological advancements such as automation and instant decision models, which improve efficiency and margin expansion. The company also expects to achieve this by organically increasing its customer base and deepening relationships with existing clients, even in a flat freight market.
- Enhanced Monetization of the Integrated Transportation Financial Network: Triumph Financial's strategic focus on an integrated ecosystem across its Factoring, Payments, and Intelligence segments allows it to monetize each transaction multiple times. This comprehensive approach is designed to capture various revenue streams, including fee revenue, financing revenue, float revenue, spend revenue, and subscription revenue, by leveraging the density and synergies within its network. This integrated strategy is fundamental to achieving the company's target of 20% annual revenue growth across its transportation businesses.
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Share Repurchases
- On October 15, 2025, Triumph Financial's board of directors authorized a share repurchase program, allowing the company to buy back up to $30 million of its outstanding common stock. As of December 31, 2025, no shares had been repurchased under this program.
- The company completed an accelerated share repurchase transaction on April 28, 2023, repurchasing 1,209,327 shares of its common stock for a total cost of $70 million.
- Following the completion of the accelerated share repurchase in 2023, the board authorized a new share repurchase program on May 4, 2023, allowing for the repurchase of up to an additional $50 million of common stock.
Share Issuance
- In 2025, the number of outstanding shares for Triumph Financial increased to 23.75 million, up from 23.33 million in 2024.
- As part of the acquisition of Greenscreens.ai in February 2025, Triumph Financial issued $20 million in TFIN stock.
Outbound Investments
- In February 2025, Triumph Financial announced an agreement to acquire Greenscreens.ai for $160 million, comprising $140 million in cash and $20 million in TFIN stock, to enhance its freight pricing intelligence solutions.
- The company also acquired Isometric Technologies Inc. in 2024, alongside Greenscreens.ai in 2025, as strategic moves to bolster its data intelligence capabilities.
Capital Expenditures
- Triumph Financial invested $2.0 million in capital expenditures during the third quarter of 2025.
- In the last 12 months leading up to March 2026, capital expenditures were reported at -$16.45 million, resulting in a free cash flow of $50.62 million.
- In December 2025, Triumph Financial sold a building in Dallas, Texas, originally intended for its headquarters, for $64.0 million in cash, resulting in an $8.7 million gain on sale.
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04302026 | EEFT | Euronet Worldwide | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 04242026 | HOMB | Home BancShares | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| 03312026 | HBAN | Huntington Bancshares | Insider | Insider Buys 45DStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days | 7.1% | 7.1% | 0.0% |
| 03312026 | NP | Neptune Insurance | Insider | Insider Buys 45DStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days | 3.9% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| 03272026 | JKHY | Jack Henry & Associates | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.3% | 0.3% | -4.0% |
| 04302025 | TFIN | Triumph Financial | Insider | Insider Buys 45DStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days | 4.6% | 26.7% | -12.1% |
| 02282023 | TFIN | Triumph Financial | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.0% | 22.2% | -21.9% |
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 56.58 |
| Mkt Cap | 2.3 |
| Rev LTM | 1,628 |
| Op Inc LTM | 160 |
| FCF LTM | 198 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 78 |
| CFO LTM | 268 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 209 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 4.1% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -1.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | 4.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.0% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | -10.3% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | -29.7% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 2.8% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 3.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 17.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 16.9% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 11.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 7.5% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 2.3 |
| P/S | 2.5 |
| P/Op Inc | 28.8 |
| P/EBIT | 30.4 |
| P/E | 33.4 |
| P/CFO | 9.9 |
| Total Yield | 4.4% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.4% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.1% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | -0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 1.0% |
| 3M Rtn | 6.3% |
| 6M Rtn | 29.6% |
| 12M Rtn | 27.0% |
| 3Y Rtn | 30.9% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -0.2% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -1.9% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 15.4% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -2.9% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -45.9% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $66.66 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 1.6 | |
| First Trading Date | 11/07/2014 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -5.8% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $62.45 | $59.77 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | 6.7% | 11.5% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 44.0% | 45.8% |
| Downside Capture | 104.97 | 136.18 |
| Upside Capture | 99.36 | 111.24 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 37.5% | 37.3% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.79 | 0.81 | 1.36 | 1.27 | 1.41 | 1.32 |
| Up Beta | 1.27 | 1.28 | 1.60 | 1.47 | 1.85 | 1.34 |
| Down Beta | -6.79 | 1.15 | 2.16 | 1.36 | 1.39 | 1.24 |
| Up Capture | 106% | 107% | 120% | 147% | 124% | 208% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 15 | 22 | 31 | 66 | 141 | 428 |
| Stock +ve Days | 15 | 24 | 36 | 67 | 128 | 374 |
| Down Capture | -357% | -7% | 98% | 98% | 119% | 108% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 4 | 18 | 30 | 56 | 108 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 7 | 19 | 28 | 58 | 123 | 377 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with TFIN | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TFIN | 6.4% | 46.2% | 0.27 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 2.3% | 14.6% | -0.06 | 50.3% |
| Equity (SPY) | 26.8% | 12.1% | 1.67 | 37.7% |
| Gold (GLD) | 37.5% | 26.8% | 1.16 | 6.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 43.5% | 18.6% | 1.80 | -11.0% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 12.0% | 13.4% | 0.59 | 41.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -27.2% | 41.8% | -0.65 | 18.3% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with TFIN | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TFIN | -5.6% | 43.6% | 0.00 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 8.3% | 18.6% | 0.33 | 59.3% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.8% | 17.0% | 0.64 | 53.6% |
| Gold (GLD) | 19.3% | 18.0% | 0.87 | 3.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 10.8% | 19.4% | 0.44 | 7.3% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.8% | 18.8% | 0.10 | 46.4% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 9.3% | 55.6% | 0.37 | 24.0% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with TFIN | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TFIN | 15.8% | 43.4% | 0.49 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 12.7% | 22.2% | 0.53 | 63.9% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.5% | 17.9% | 0.74 | 55.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 13.2% | 16.0% | 0.68 | -2.0% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.8% | 17.9% | 0.35 | 16.1% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.4% | 20.7% | 0.22 | 48.4% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 67.3% | 66.9% | 1.06 | 17.9% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 4/21/2026 | -6.3% | 0.8% | -2.4% |
| 1/26/2026 | -7.2% | -9.3% | -17.1% |
| 10/15/2025 | 7.1% | 27.3% | 10.7% |
| 7/16/2025 | -2.5% | 1.0% | -13.1% |
| 4/16/2025 | -2.7% | 4.0% | 22.8% |
| 1/22/2025 | -14.3% | -15.9% | -26.6% |
| 10/16/2024 | 4.8% | 6.8% | 21.1% |
| 7/17/2024 | -12.0% | -7.2% | -10.8% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 8 | 12 | 14 |
| # Negative | 15 | 11 | 9 |
| Median Positive | 4.4% | 4.6% | 14.7% |
| Median Negative | -6.3% | -6.2% | -10.8% |
| Max Positive | 15.6% | 27.3% | 30.0% |
| Max Negative | -14.3% | -23.0% | -26.6% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 04/21/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/11/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 10/15/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 07/16/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 04/16/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/11/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 10/16/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 07/17/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 04/17/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/13/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 10/19/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 07/20/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 04/25/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/15/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 10/19/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 07/20/2022 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 4/21/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q4 2026 Incremental Annualized Revenue | 10.00 Mil | Higher New | |||||
| Q2 2026 Expenses | 97.00 Mil | -2.0% | Lower New | Guidance: 99.00 Mil for Q1 2026 | |||
| 2026 Factoring Revenue Growth | 11.5% | -11.5% | -1.5% | Lowered | Guidance: 13.0% for 2026 | ||
| 2026 Factoring Operating Margin | 40.0% | Higher New | |||||
| 2026 Core Payments Revenue Growth | 20.0% | -20.0% | -5.0% | Lowered | Guidance: 25.0% for 2026 | ||
| 2026 Core Payments EBITDA Margin | 40.0% | 33.3% | 10.0% | Higher New | Guidance: 30.0% for Q1 2026 | ||
| 2026 LoadPay Account Growth | 120.0% | Higher New | |||||
| 2026 LoadPay Revenue Growth | 150.0% | -25.0% | -50.0% | Lowered | Guidance: 200.0% for 2026 | ||
| 2026 Intelligence Gross Margin | 85.0% | Higher New | |||||
| 2026 Loan Growth | 0.0% | Same New | |||||
Prior: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 1/26/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q1 2026 Payments Revenue Growth | 5.0% | Higher New | |||||
| Q1 2026 Payments EBITDA Margin (ex-LoadPay) | 30.0% | Higher New | |||||
| Q1 2026 Expenses | 99.00 Mil | Higher New | |||||
| Q4 2026 Expenses | 96.50 Mil | Higher New | |||||
| 2026 Transportation Revenue Growth | 20.0% | 0 | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 20.0% for 2025 | ||
| 2026 Factoring Revenue Growth | 13.0% | Higher New | |||||
| 2026 Payments Revenue Growth | 25.0% | Higher New | |||||
| 2026 Intelligence Revenue Growth | 50.0% | Higher New | |||||
| 2026 LoadPay Revenue Growth | 200.0% | Higher New | |||||
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ritterbusch, Todd | President - TBK Bank, SSB | Direct | Buy | 5112026 | 67.01 | 7,000 | 469,070 | 1,528,096 | Form |
| 2 | Voss, William B | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 3122026 | 59.57 | 427 | 25,436 | 759,934 | Form |
| 3 | Graft, Aaron P | President & CEO | Direct | Buy | 3022026 | 55.87 | 8,949 | 499,981 | 8,334,798 | Form |
| 4 | Nelson, Adam D | EVP and General Counsel | Direct | Sell | 12192025 | 65.18 | 3,000 | 195,540 | 1,618,550 | Form |
| 5 | Schreyer, Edward Joseph | EVP, Chief Operating Officer | Direct | Sell | 9042025 | 60.43 | 7,275 | 439,628 | 1,082,845 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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