Triumph Financial (TFIN)
Market Price (7/8/2026): $77.03 | Market Cap: $1.8 BilSector: Financials | Industry: Regional Banks
Triumph Financial (TFIN)
Market Price (7/8/2026): $77.03Market Cap: $1.8 BilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Regional Banks
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -29% Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18% Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 45% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and Future of Freight. Themes include Digital Payments, Online Banking & Lending, Show more. | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -2.4% Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -40%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -45% Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 12.81, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 24x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 58x Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -3.4% Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.3% Key risksTFIN key risks include [1] heightened credit risk from its deep concentration in the transportation sector, Show more. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -29% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 45% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and Future of Freight. Themes include Digital Payments, Online Banking & Lending, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -2.4% |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -40%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -45% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 12.81, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 24x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 58x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -3.4% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.3% |
| Key risksTFIN key risks include [1] heightened credit risk from its deep concentration in the transportation sector, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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Triumph Financial (TFIN) stock has gained about 30% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Triumph Financial reported strong fiscal Q1 2026 earnings that significantly beat analyst expectations.
On April 21, 2026, the company announced earnings per share (EPS) of $0.23, surpassing the consensus estimate of $0.15 by $0.08, representing a surprise of over 50%. This positive earnings surprise led to a favorable market reaction, with the stock rising approximately 3.95% in the trading session following the announcement.
2. The company demonstrated robust performance and a positive outlook in its transportation-focused segments.
Triumph Financial reported approximately 23% year-over-year growth in transportation revenue for fiscal Q1 2026, with management projecting at least 20% growth for the full fiscal year 2026. The factoring operating margin improved by about 80% compared to the previous year, with a target of achieving approximately 40% for the factoring business by the end of the fiscal year. Additionally, the average invoice price in factoring increased from $1,769 a year ago to $1,897 at the close of Q1 2026, and further to $2,011 quarter-to-date (April-June 2026).
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Triumph Financial (TFIN) stock has gained about 30% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Triumph Financial reported strong fiscal Q1 2026 earnings that significantly beat analyst expectations.
On April 21, 2026, the company announced earnings per share (EPS) of $0.23, surpassing the consensus estimate of $0.15 by $0.08, representing a surprise of over 50%. This positive earnings surprise led to a favorable market reaction, with the stock rising approximately 3.95% in the trading session following the announcement.
2. The company demonstrated robust performance and a positive outlook in its transportation-focused segments.
Triumph Financial reported approximately 23% year-over-year growth in transportation revenue for fiscal Q1 2026, with management projecting at least 20% growth for the full fiscal year 2026. The factoring operating margin improved by about 80% compared to the previous year, with a target of achieving approximately 40% for the factoring business by the end of the fiscal year. Additionally, the average invoice price in factoring increased from $1,769 a year ago to $1,897 at the close of Q1 2026, and further to $2,011 quarter-to-date (April-June 2026).
3. A key analyst upgrade contributed to positive investor sentiment.
On April 23, 2026, Raymond James upgraded Triumph Financial's stock rating to "Outperform" and set a new price target of $72.00. This upgrade from a notable financial institution provided a strong endorsement of the company's prospects, likely bolstering investor confidence and contributing to the stock's upward trend.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 29.8% change in TFIN stock from 3/31/2026 to 7/7/2026 was primarily driven by a 23.8% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 3312026 | 7072026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 59.66 | 77.41 | 29.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 423 | 427 | 1.0% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 6.0% | 7.4% | 23.8% |
| P/E Multiple | 55.9 | 58.1 | 3.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 24 | 24 | -0.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 29.8% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2026 to 7/7/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TFIN | 29.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 15.0% | 21.4% |
| Sector (XLF) | 13.5% | 34.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 23.6% change in TFIN stock from 12/31/2025 to 7/7/2026 was primarily driven by a 213.3% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 12312025 | 7072026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 62.63 | 77.41 | 23.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 421 | 427 | 1.3% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 2.4% | 7.4% | 213.3% |
| P/E Multiple | 149.0 | 58.1 | -61.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 24 | 24 | -0.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 23.6% |
Market Drivers
12/31/2025 to 7/7/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TFIN | 23.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.9% | 36.6% |
| Sector (XLF) | 2.9% | 57.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 40.5% change in TFIN stock from 6/30/2025 to 7/7/2026 was primarily driven by a 157.8% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 6302025 | 7072026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 55.11 | 77.41 | 40.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 415 | 427 | 2.9% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 2.9% | 7.4% | 157.8% |
| P/E Multiple | 107.7 | 58.1 | -46.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 23 | 24 | -1.8% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 40.5% |
Market Drivers
6/30/2025 to 7/7/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TFIN | 40.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 22.0% | 32.5% |
| Sector (XLF) | 8.3% | 47.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 27.5% change in TFIN stock from 6/30/2023 to 7/7/2026 was primarily driven by a 264.4% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 6302023 | 7072026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 60.72 | 77.41 | 27.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 477 | 427 | -10.5% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 18.6% | 7.4% | -60.2% |
| P/E Multiple | 15.9 | 58.1 | 264.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 23 | 24 | -1.8% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 27.5% |
Market Drivers
6/30/2023 to 7/7/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TFIN | 27.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 74.6% | 46.9% |
| Sector (XLF) | 73.7% | 54.6% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| TFIN Return | 145% | -59% | 64% | 13% | -31% | 26% | 62% |
| Peers Return | 54% | -16% | 31% | -7% | -10% | 36% | 91% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 10% | 101% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| TFIN Win Rate | 75% | 33% | 58% | 58% | 50% | 86% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 57% | 47% | 55% | 50% | 57% | 63% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 57% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| TFIN Max Drawdown | -27% | -63% | -28% | -22% | -49% | -22% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -30% | -38% | -31% | -28% | -36% | -22% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: WEX, CASS, LOB, SNDR, ARCB.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 7/7/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | TFIN | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -35.0% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 53.8% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 407 days | 79 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -16.7% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 20.0% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 26 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -25.6% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 34.5% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 64 days | 31 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -53.5% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 114.9% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 214 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -28.0% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 39.0% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 354 days | 105 days |
| 2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -10.9% | -12.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 12.2% | 13.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 22 days | 62 days |
In The Past
Triumph Financial's stock fell -35.0% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 53.8% gain to breakeven.
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| Event | TFIN | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -35.0% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 53.8% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 407 days | 79 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -25.6% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 34.5% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 64 days | 31 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -53.5% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 114.9% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 214 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -28.0% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 39.0% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 354 days | 105 days |
In The Past
Triumph Financial's stock fell -35.0% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 53.8% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Triumph Financial (TFIN)
Triumph Financial (TFIN) operates as a financial holding company primarily through its subsidiary, TBK Bank, SSB. The company specializes in providing a broad array of banking and commercial finance products and services. Its primary customer base includes retail customers and small-to-mid-sized businesses located throughout the United States, addressing their diverse financial needs.
The company's core offerings encompass traditional banking services, including various depository products such as checking, savings, money market accounts, and certificates of deposit. On the lending side, Triumph Financial extends commercial and industrial loans, loans for capital equipment, working capital, and asset-based financing. It also provides a range of real estate loans for commercial properties, construction, and land development, alongside agriculture, residential, mortgage warehouse, and consumer loans.
Beyond conventional banking, TFIN offers specialized financial solutions like factoring services for both the transportation and non-transportation sectors, assisting businesses with their accounts receivable. Additional services include debit cards, electronic banking, trust, treasury management, and insurance brokerage. The company maintains a physical presence through a network of branches across Iowa, Illinois, Colorado, New Mexico, and Kansas, complemented by a deposit-gathering office in Dallas, Texas.
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- It's a regional bank similar to PNC or Truist, but with a significant specialized focus on commercial finance, especially factoring services for small-to-mid-sized businesses.
- Think of it as a financial partner highly specialized in the trucking and transportation industry, like a KeyCorp that's become the go-to for transporters' banking and factoring needs.
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- Depository Products: Triumph Financial offers various depository products including checking, savings, money market accounts, and certificates of deposit.
- Commercial & Industrial Loans: The company provides loans to businesses for working capital, operational purposes, capital equipment purchases, and other commercial needs.
- Commercial Real Estate Loans: Triumph Financial offers financing for commercial properties, including construction, land, and land development projects.
- Factoring Services: The company provides factoring services, purchasing accounts receivable from businesses primarily in the transportation and non-transportation sectors.
- Residential Real Estate Loans: Triumph Financial offers loans to individuals for the purchase or refinancing of residential properties.
- Consumer Loans: The company provides various loans directly to consumers for personal expenses and needs.
- Treasury Management & Electronic Banking Services: Businesses can utilize electronic banking, trust, and treasury management services to manage their finances efficiently.
- Debit Cards: Triumph Financial issues debit cards to facilitate electronic transactions and access funds from customer accounts.
- Insurance Brokerage Services: The company offers insurance brokerage services to help clients find and secure appropriate insurance coverage.
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Triumph Financial (symbol: TFIN) does not have a few specific "major customers" that are large, identifiable companies. As a financial holding company operating a bank and commercial finance services, its customer base is highly diversified, consisting of numerous individuals and small-to-mid-sized businesses across various sectors. Therefore, its customers are best described by categories rather than specific names.
Based on the company description, Triumph Financial primarily serves the following customer categories:
- Individual Consumers (Retail Customers): This category includes individuals who utilize the bank's services such as checking, savings, and money market accounts, certificates of deposit, residential real estate loans, and other consumer loans.
- Small to Mid-sized Businesses (General Commercial): This broad category encompasses a wide array of businesses that seek commercial and industrial loans, capital equipment financing, working capital loans, asset-based loans, commercial real estate loans, and treasury management services for their operational and growth needs.
- Businesses in Specialized Commercial Sectors: Triumph Financial also targets specific business segments with tailored financial products. This includes companies in the transportation and non-transportation sectors utilizing factoring services, agriculture businesses seeking agriculture loans, commercial construction and land development companies, and mortgage originators requiring mortgage warehouse loans.
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The key risks for Triumph Financial (TFIN) primarily stem from its specialized exposure to the transportation sector, coupled with inherent financial industry risks.
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Freight Cycle Volatility and Dependence on the Transportation Sector: Triumph Financial has a significant portion of its business, particularly its Factoring and Payments segments, deeply embedded in the for-hire trucking ecosystem. Prolonged periods of soft freight rates, reduced tender rejections, or other downturns in the transportation industry can directly impact carrier liquidity and elevate credit losses for Triumph Financial. This volatility can also lead to slower revenue growth or even declines, as companies in the sector become less likely to invest in new services or require factoring.
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Credit Risk: As a financial institution offering various commercial and industrial loans, real estate loans, and factoring services, Triumph Financial is inherently exposed to credit risk. Economic downturns or specific challenges within the industries it serves, such as the transportation sector, can lead to increased loan defaults and credit losses. A notable example involved a significant loan exposure to Tricolor Holdings, LLC, which filed for Chapter 7 bankruptcy, highlighting the company's vulnerability to such events.
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Interest Rate and Funding Risk: Like other financial holding companies, Triumph Financial's profitability is sensitive to fluctuations in interest rates. Changes in interest rates can compress net interest margins, impact the cost of its funding, and affect the valuation of its assets and liabilities. This risk is a consistent factor for banking operations and can influence overall financial performance.
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Disruptive fintech platforms and digital payment solutions targeting the supply chain finance and factoring market. These emerging platforms aim to streamline payments, offer instant financing directly to businesses (particularly in logistics and transportation), and reduce the need for traditional factoring services through automation, real-time payment capabilities, and improved supply chain transparency. This could disintermediate Triumph Financial's significant Factoring segment by providing a more efficient, lower-cost, and digitally integrated alternative for working capital management.
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- Commercial Banking: The U.S. commercial banking market was estimated to be between approximately $732.5 billion in 2025 and $1.6 trillion in 2025, with projections to reach between $915.45 billion by 2030 and $1.6 trillion in 2026, respectively.
- Retail Banking: The U.S. retail banking market was valued at around $0.87 trillion in 2025, with other estimates placing it at $1.28 trillion in 2025. It is projected to grow to approximately $1.08 trillion by 2030 or $1.11 trillion by 2031.
- Commercial Real Estate Lending: Total commercial real estate mortgage borrowing and lending in the U.S. was estimated at $498 billion in 2024.
- Factoring Services: The U.S. factoring services market size was valued at approximately $171.98 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach between $287.61 billion and $300.59 billion by 2030. The transportation and logistics sector alone accounted for a 33.47% revenue share in the U.S. factoring services market in 2024, with an estimated $90 billion annually for trucking companies and brokerages.
- Payments (Digital Payments): The United States digital payment market was valued at approximately $3.06 trillion in 2024 and is expected to grow to $9.29 trillion by 2033. Another estimate places the U.S. payments market size at $1.5 trillion in 2025, projected to reach $3.35 trillion by 2031.
- Asset-Based Lending: The U.S. asset-based lending market was estimated at $191 billion in 2024. The broader asset-based lending market (globally or including a broader scope) was valued at approximately $701 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach $1.3 trillion by 2030.
- Equipment Finance: The U.S. equipment finance industry was estimated to be $1.34 trillion in 2023 and is projected to grow to $1.4 trillion in 2024, with expectations to reach nearly $1.5 trillion in the next three years.
- Insurance Brokerage Services: The market size of Insurance Brokers & Agencies in the U.S. was $260.1 billion in 2024, with projections to reach $261.7 billion in 2025.
For Premium Finance Loans, specific addressable market size data was not identified and therefore is returned as null.
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Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for Triumph Financial (TFIN) over the next 2-3 years:
- Growth and Repricing within the Payments Segment: Triumph Financial anticipates significant revenue growth from its Payments segment, particularly through its TriumphPay and LoadPay offerings. This growth is expected to be driven by acquiring new customers, including large freight logistics companies, and by implementing enhanced pricing strategies for legacy clients. LoadPay, in particular, is projected to triple its annualized revenue in 2026 by increasing both the number of accounts and the revenue generated per account. The company expects its core payments business to see continued revenue growth as it holds expenses relatively flat while expanding its customer base.
- Expansion and Cross-selling of Intelligence Segment Solutions: The Intelligence segment is forecast to be the fastest-growing part of Triumph Financial's transportation businesses on a percentage basis. A key driver here is the substantial opportunity for cross-selling intelligence solutions to existing audit and payment customers, as currently only a small percentage utilize these services. The integration of acquisitions like Greenscreens also contributes to transactional volume and intelligence revenue.
- Factoring Segment Growth through Automation and Organic Customer Acquisition: Triumph Financial aims for a 20% annual growth rate in its Factoring revenue. This growth will be supported by technological advancements such as automation and instant decision models, which improve efficiency and margin expansion. The company also expects to achieve this by organically increasing its customer base and deepening relationships with existing clients, even in a flat freight market.
- Enhanced Monetization of the Integrated Transportation Financial Network: Triumph Financial's strategic focus on an integrated ecosystem across its Factoring, Payments, and Intelligence segments allows it to monetize each transaction multiple times. This comprehensive approach is designed to capture various revenue streams, including fee revenue, financing revenue, float revenue, spend revenue, and subscription revenue, by leveraging the density and synergies within its network. This integrated strategy is fundamental to achieving the company's target of 20% annual revenue growth across its transportation businesses.
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Share Repurchases
- On October 15, 2025, Triumph Financial's board of directors authorized a share repurchase program, allowing the company to buy back up to $30 million of its outstanding common stock. As of December 31, 2025, no shares had been repurchased under this program.
- The company completed an accelerated share repurchase transaction on April 28, 2023, repurchasing 1,209,327 shares of its common stock for a total cost of $70 million.
- Following the completion of the accelerated share repurchase in 2023, the board authorized a new share repurchase program on May 4, 2023, allowing for the repurchase of up to an additional $50 million of common stock.
Share Issuance
- In 2025, the number of outstanding shares for Triumph Financial increased to 23.75 million, up from 23.33 million in 2024.
- As part of the acquisition of Greenscreens.ai in February 2025, Triumph Financial issued $20 million in TFIN stock.
Outbound Investments
- In February 2025, Triumph Financial announced an agreement to acquire Greenscreens.ai for $160 million, comprising $140 million in cash and $20 million in TFIN stock, to enhance its freight pricing intelligence solutions.
- The company also acquired Isometric Technologies Inc. in 2024, alongside Greenscreens.ai in 2025, as strategic moves to bolster its data intelligence capabilities.
Capital Expenditures
- Triumph Financial invested $2.0 million in capital expenditures during the third quarter of 2025.
- In the last 12 months leading up to March 2026, capital expenditures were reported at -$16.45 million, resulting in a free cash flow of $50.62 million.
- In December 2025, Triumph Financial sold a building in Dallas, Texas, originally intended for its headquarters, for $64.0 million in cash, resulting in an $8.7 million gain on sale.
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Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 65.00 |
| Mkt Cap | 2.6 |
| Rev LTM | 1,628 |
| Op Inc LTM | 160 |
| FCF LTM | 198 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 78 |
| CFO LTM | 268 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 209 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 4.1% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -1.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | 4.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.0% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | -10.3% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | -29.7% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 2.8% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 3.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 17.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 16.9% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 11.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 7.5% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Banking | 234 | 254 | 272 | 236 | 223 |
| Factoring | 119 | 111 | 114 | 220 | 189 |
| Payments | 68 | 56 | 41 | 37 | 19 |
| Corporate and Other | 11 | -5 | -9 | -8 | -8 |
| Intelligence | 7 | 0 | |||
| Total | 439 | 416 | 418 | 485 | 424 |
| $ Mil | 2015 | 2014 | 2013 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Banking | 17 | 29 | 6 |
| Asset Management | 14 | ||
| Factoring | 12 | 8 | 5 |
| Corporate and Other | -5 | -7 | 4 |
| Total | 38 | 30 | 16 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Banking | 4,480 | 5,443 | 4,919 | 4,911 | 5,569 |
| Factoring | 1,335 | 1,186 | 1,077 | 1,260 | 1,679 |
| Corporate and Other | 1,089 | 1,120 | 1,057 | 1,062 | 1,010 |
| Payments | 775 | 590 | 547 | 372 | 293 |
| Intelligence | 120 | 10 | |||
| Eliminations | -1,419 | -2,401 | -2,252 | -2,271 | -2,595 |
| Total | 6,381 | 5,949 | 5,347 | 5,334 | 5,956 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $77.41 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 1.8 | |
| First Trading Date | 11/07/2014 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -2.4% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $69.98 | $62.04 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | 10.6% | 24.8% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 37.8% | 44.8% |
| Downside Capture | 36.90 | 117.49 |
| Upside Capture | 108.17 | 113.71 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 21.3% | 33.5% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.37 | 0.62 | 0.72 | 1.12 | 1.17 | 1.28 |
| Up Beta | -0.97 | -0.34 | 0.68 | 1.29 | 1.60 | 1.28 |
| Down Beta | 0.45 | 0.76 | 0.66 | 1.29 | 1.11 | 1.23 |
| Up Capture | 122% | 119% | 115% | 116% | 116% | 181% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 11 | 24 | 40 | 67 | 140 | 429 |
| Stock +ve Days | 15 | 25 | 40 | 71 | 132 | 377 |
| Down Capture | 34% | 58% | 35% | 91% | 99% | 107% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 10 | 17 | 23 | 58 | 112 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 6 | 16 | 23 | 54 | 119 | 372 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with TFIN | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TFIN | 21.8% | 44.8% | 0.57 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 6.7% | 14.7% | 0.22 | 48.5% |
| Equity (SPY) | 20.7% | 12.5% | 1.22 | 33.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 23.0% | 27.8% | 0.73 | 8.4% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 22.9% | 18.6% | 0.97 | -11.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 13.6% | 13.8% | 0.68 | 37.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -41.8% | 42.8% | -1.14 | 18.0% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with TFIN | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TFIN | -0.1% | 43.5% | 0.13 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 10.7% | 18.6% | 0.44 | 58.6% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.3% | 17.1% | 0.60 | 53.4% |
| Gold (GLD) | 17.8% | 18.3% | 0.79 | 3.0% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.6% | 19.5% | 0.29 | 6.2% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.1% | 18.9% | 0.06 | 46.4% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 13.2% | 53.5% | 0.43 | 26.0% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with TFIN | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TFIN | 16.4% | 43.5% | 0.50 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 14.1% | 22.1% | 0.58 | 63.9% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.7% | 17.9% | 0.75 | 55.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 11.6% | 16.1% | 0.59 | -1.5% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 6.2% | 18.0% | 0.27 | 15.7% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.6% | 20.7% | 0.23 | 48.4% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 57.9% | 66.2% | 0.98 | 17.8% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Updated 6/2/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 4/21/2026 | -6.3% | 0.8% | -2.4% |
| 1/26/2026 | -7.2% | -9.3% | -17.1% |
| 10/15/2025 | 7.1% | 27.3% | 10.7% |
| 7/16/2025 | -2.5% | 1.0% | -13.1% |
| 4/16/2025 | -2.7% | 4.0% | 22.8% |
| 1/22/2025 | -14.3% | -15.9% | -26.6% |
| 10/16/2024 | 4.8% | 6.8% | 21.1% |
| 7/17/2024 | -12.0% | -7.2% | -10.8% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 8 | 12 | 14 |
| # Negative | 16 | 12 | 10 |
| Median Positive | 4.4% | 4.6% | 14.7% |
| Median Negative | -4.9% | -5.4% | -11.0% |
| Max Positive | 15.6% | 27.3% | 30.0% |
| Max Negative | -14.3% | -23.0% | -26.6% |
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 4/21/2026 | -6.3% | 0.8% | -2.4% |
| 1/26/2026 | -7.2% | -9.3% | -17.1% |
| 10/15/2025 | 7.1% | 27.3% | 10.7% |
| 7/16/2025 | -2.5% | 1.0% | -13.1% |
| 4/16/2025 | -2.7% | 4.0% | 22.8% |
| 1/22/2025 | -14.3% | -15.9% | -26.6% |
| 10/16/2024 | 4.8% | 6.8% | 21.1% |
| 7/17/2024 | -12.0% | -7.2% | -10.8% |
| 4/17/2024 | -8.1% | -4.6% | 3.2% |
| 1/23/2024 | -3.6% | -4.3% | -0.8% |
| 10/19/2023 | 5.7% | 5.1% | 22.7% |
| 7/20/2023 | -2.6% | 3.6% | -4.8% |
| 4/25/2023 | -1.5% | -3.2% | 4.4% |
| 1/25/2023 | 4.0% | 12.2% | 17.6% |
| 10/19/2022 | -8.0% | -6.2% | 7.1% |
| 7/20/2022 | 3.2% | 4.6% | 8.5% |
| 4/20/2022 | -7.4% | -13.8% | -18.3% |
| 1/20/2022 | -9.1% | -23.0% | -10.7% |
| 10/20/2021 | -2.3% | 0.2% | 17.6% |
| 7/21/2021 | -0.5% | -1.0% | 6.0% |
| 4/21/2021 | -2.8% | -1.0% | -11.3% |
| 1/21/2021 | 2.0% | -0.7% | 30.0% |
| 10/19/2020 | 2.5% | 4.6% | 12.0% |
| 7/20/2020 | 15.6% | 15.6% | 17.4% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 8 | 12 | 14 |
| # Negative | 16 | 12 | 10 |
| Median Positive | 4.4% | 4.6% | 14.7% |
| Median Negative | -4.9% | -5.4% | -11.0% |
| Max Positive | 15.6% | 27.3% | 30.0% |
| Max Negative | -14.3% | -23.0% | -26.6% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 04/21/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/11/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 10/15/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 07/16/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 04/16/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/11/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 10/16/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 07/17/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 04/17/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/13/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 10/19/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 07/20/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 04/25/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/15/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 10/19/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 07/20/2022 | 10-Q |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 04/21/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/11/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 10/15/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 07/16/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 04/16/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/11/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 10/16/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 07/17/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 04/17/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/13/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 10/19/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 07/20/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 04/25/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/15/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 10/19/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 07/20/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 04/20/2022 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2021 | 02/14/2022 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2021 | 10/20/2021 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2021 | 07/21/2021 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2021 | 04/21/2021 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2020 | 02/12/2021 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2020 | 10/20/2020 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2020 | 08/10/2020 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2020 | 04/21/2020 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2019 | 02/11/2020 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2019 | 10/18/2019 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2019 | 07/19/2019 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance
Updated 7/1/2026Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 4/21/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q4 2026 Incremental Annualized Revenue | 10.00 Mil | Higher New | |||||
| Q2 2026 Expenses | 97.00 Mil | -2.0% | Lower New | Guidance: 99.00 Mil for Q1 2026 | |||
| 2026 Factoring Revenue Growth | 11.5% | -11.5% | -1.5% | Lowered | Guidance: 13.0% for 2026 | ||
| 2026 Factoring Operating Margin | 40.0% | Higher New | |||||
| 2026 Core Payments Revenue Growth | 20.0% | -20.0% | -5.0% | Lowered | Guidance: 25.0% for 2026 | ||
| 2026 Core Payments EBITDA Margin | 40.0% | 33.3% | 10.0% | Higher New | Guidance: 30.0% for Q1 2026 | ||
| 2026 LoadPay Account Growth | 120.0% | Higher New | |||||
| 2026 LoadPay Revenue Growth | 150.0% | -25.0% | -50.0% | Lowered | Guidance: 200.0% for 2026 | ||
| 2026 Intelligence Gross Margin | 85.0% | Higher New | |||||
| 2026 Loan Growth | 0.0% | Same New | |||||
Prior: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 1/26/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q1 2026 Payments Revenue Growth | 5.0% | Higher New | |||||
| Q1 2026 Payments EBITDA Margin (ex-LoadPay) | 30.0% | Higher New | |||||
| Q1 2026 Expenses | 99.00 Mil | Higher New | |||||
| Q4 2026 Expenses | 96.50 Mil | Higher New | |||||
| 2026 Transportation Revenue Growth | 20.0% | 0 | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 20.0% for 2025 | ||
| 2026 Factoring Revenue Growth | 13.0% | Higher New | |||||
| 2026 Payments Revenue Growth | 25.0% | Higher New | |||||
| 2026 Intelligence Revenue Growth | 50.0% | Higher New | |||||
| 2026 LoadPay Revenue Growth | 200.0% | Higher New | |||||
Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 10/15/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q4 2025 Noninterest Expense | 96.50 Mil | ||||||
| 2025 Transportation Revenue Growth | 20.0% | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 20.0% for 2025 | |||
| 2025 LoadPay Accounts | 5,000 | 7,500 | 10,000 | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 7,500 for 2025 | |
Insider Activity
Updated 5/26/2026| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Schreyer, Edward Joseph | EVP, Chief Operating Officer | Direct | Sell | 5262026 | 66.70 | 2,900 | 193,430 | 1,229,548 | Form |
| 2 | Ritterbusch, Todd | President - TBK Bank, SSB | Direct | Buy | 5112026 | 67.01 | 7,000 | 469,070 | 1,528,096 | Form |
| 3 | Voss, William B | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 3122026 | 59.57 | 427 | 25,436 | 759,934 | Form |
| 4 | Graft, Aaron P | President & CEO | Direct | Buy | 3022026 | 55.87 | 8,949 | 499,981 | 8,334,798 | Form |
| 5 | Nelson, Adam D | EVP and General Counsel | Direct | Sell | 12192025 | 65.18 | 3,000 | 195,540 | 1,618,550 | Form |
| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Schreyer, Edward Joseph | EVP, Chief Operating Officer | Direct | Sell | 5262026 | 66.70 | 2,900 | 193,430 | 1,229,548 | Form |
| 2 | Ritterbusch, Todd | President - TBK Bank, SSB | Direct | Buy | 5112026 | 67.01 | 7,000 | 469,070 | 1,528,096 | Form |
| 3 | Voss, William B | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 3122026 | 59.57 | 427 | 25,436 | 759,934 | Form |
| 4 | Graft, Aaron P | President & CEO | Direct | Buy | 3022026 | 55.87 | 8,949 | 499,981 | 8,334,798 | Form |
| 5 | Nelson, Adam D | EVP and General Counsel | Direct | Sell | 12192025 | 65.18 | 3,000 | 195,540 | 1,618,550 | Form |
| 6 | Schreyer, Edward Joseph | EVP, Chief Operating Officer | Direct | Sell | 9042025 | 60.43 | 7,275 | 439,628 | 1,082,845 | Form |
| 7 | Nelson, Adam D | EVP and General Counsel | Direct | Sell | 8262025 | 60.39 | 3,500 | 211,365 | 1,680,774 | Form |
| 8 | Graft, Aaron P | President & CEO | Direct | Sell | 8262025 | 60.18 | 6,500 | 391,170 | 8,699,500 | Form |
| 9 | Nelson, Adam D | EVP and General Counsel | Direct | Sell | 7022025 | 60.16 | 3,500 | 210,560 | 1,884,933 | Form |
| 10 | Schreyer, Edward Joseph | EVP, Chief Operating Officer | Direct | Sell | 6102025 | 60.00 | 7,275 | 436,500 | 1,511,640 | Form |
| 11 | Graft, Aaron P | President & CEO | Direct | Sell | 6102025 | 60.15 | 6,500 | 390,975 | 9,086,139 | Form |
| 12 | Deadman, Davis R | Direct | Buy | 5052025 | 21.50 | 399 | 8,578 | 569,750 | Form | |
| 13 | Deadman, Davis R | Direct | Buy | 5052025 | 21.70 | 601 | 13,042 | 566,392 | Form | |
| 14 | Rafferty, Michael P | Direct | Buy | 5052025 | 21.50 | 688 | 14,792 | 200,767 | Form | |
| 15 | Rafferty, Michael P | Direct | Buy | 5052025 | 21.27 | 650 | 13,826 | 183,986 | Form | |
| 16 | Barnes, Harrison B | Direct | Buy | 4302025 | 53.65 | 1,000 | 53,650 | 1,156,962 | Form |
Industry Resources
| Financials Resources |
| Federal Reserve Economic Data |
| Federal Reserve |
| FDIC Data |
| American Banker |
| The Banker |
| Banking Technology |
| Regional Banks Resources |
| Bank Director |
| Independent Banker |
| S&P Global Market Intelligence |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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