Spyre Therapeutics (SYRE)
Market Price (11/14/2025): $23.88 | Market Cap: $1.5 BilSector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology
Spyre Therapeutics (SYRE)
Market Price (11/14/2025): $23.88Market Cap: $1.5 BilSector: Health CareIndustry: Biotechnology
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -35% | Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -104% | Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, Targeted Therapies, and Inflammatory Bowel Disease Therapeutics. | Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 11.89 | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -224 Mil |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -15% | ||
| Significant short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 20% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -35% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, Targeted Therapies, and Inflammatory Bowel Disease Therapeutics. |
| Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -104% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 11.89 |
| Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -224 Mil |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -15% |
| Significant short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 20% |
Market Valuation & Key Metrics
SYRE Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
The stock of Spyre Therapeutics (SYRE) experienced a 33.4% movement from July 31, 2025, to November 14, 2025, driven by several key developments.
1. Positive Interim Phase 1 Clinical Trial Results for Key Programs.
On November 4, 2025, Spyre Therapeutics announced positive interim Phase 1 data for SPY003 (an IL-23 antibody), demonstrating a half-life of approximately 85 days, which supports quarterly or twice-annual maintenance dosing. Additionally, interim Phase 1 results for SPY002 and SPY072 (TL1A antibodies) showed a favorable safety profile, differentiated pharmacokinetic (PK) profiles supporting quarterly or biannual dosing, and complete suppression of free TL1A for up to 20 weeks. These results underscore the potential of their pipeline in treating inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) and rheumatic diseases.
2. Initiation of Multiple Phase 2 Clinical Trials.
Spyre Therapeutics advanced its pipeline by initiating significant Phase 2 trials. In September 2025, the company commenced the SKYWAY Phase 2 basket trial for SPY072, targeting rheumatoid arthritis (RA), psoriatic arthritis (PsA), and axial spondyloarthritis (axSpA). Furthermore, the SKYLINE Phase 2 platform trial for ulcerative colitis (UC) with SPY001 and SPY002 began in May 2025, indicating substantial progress in their clinical development efforts.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| SYRE Return | 3% | -40% | -91% | 91% | 8% | -3% | -88% |
| Peers Return | -15% | -9% | -6% | -3% | -3% | -17% | -44% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 15% | 109% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| SYRE Win Rate | 50% | 42% | 42% | 50% | 67% | 40% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 18% | 15% | 23% | 31% | 22% | 62% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| SYRE Max Drawdown | -54% | -56% | -93% | -76% | -5% | -49% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -20% | -13% | -14% | -15% | -30% | -27% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: VRTX, APM, BBOT, GDTC, HIND.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/13/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | SYRE | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -98.8% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 7954.5% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -58.6% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 141.6% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 65 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -63.8% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 175.9% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 209 days | 120 days |
Compare to VRTX, APM, BBOT, GDTC, HIND
In The Past
Spyre Therapeutics's stock fell -98.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/22/2021. A -98.8% loss requires a 7954.5% gain to breakeven.
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to SYRE. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | -8.9% | -8.9% | -10.1% |
| 10312025 | DXCM | DexCom | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.6% | 2.6% | -5.8% |
| 10242025 | ACHC | Acadia Healthcare | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -31.2% | -31.2% | -31.2% |
| 10102025 | PBH | Prestige Consumer Healthcare | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -1.7% | -1.7% | -1.9% |
| 10032025 | REGN | Regeneron Pharmaceuticals | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.8% | 15.8% | -7.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | -8.9% | -8.9% | -10.1% |
| 10312025 | DXCM | DexCom | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.6% | 2.6% | -5.8% |
| 10242025 | ACHC | Acadia Healthcare | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -31.2% | -31.2% | -31.2% |
| 10102025 | PBH | Prestige Consumer Healthcare | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -1.7% | -1.7% | -1.9% |
| 10032025 | REGN | Regeneron Pharmaceuticals | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.8% | 15.8% | -7.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Spyre Therapeutics
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 8.66 |
| Mkt Cap | 56.2 |
| Rev LTM | 0 |
| Op Inc LTM | -93 |
| FCF LTM | -60 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 965 |
| CFO LTM | -60 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,143 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 10.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 10.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | 11.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.7% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -0.8% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 26.2% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 1.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 31.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 23.1% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 28.5% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 19.8% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 56.2 |
| P/S | 9.5 |
| P/EBIT | 9.4 |
| P/E | 10.5 |
| P/CFO | 10.7 |
| Total Yield | -3.8% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -30.7% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -0.8% |
| 3M Rtn | 11.3% |
| 6M Rtn | 22.5% |
| 12M Rtn | -12.8% |
| 3Y Rtn | -33.4% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -3.8% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 4.2% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 8.6% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -28.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -104.4% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Development of biopharmaceutical products for the treatment of patients with inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) | 1 | ||||
| Development fee and royalty | 2 | ||||
| License | 0 | ||||
| Total | 1 | 2 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Development of biopharmaceutical products for the treatment of patients with inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) | -339 | ||||
| Total | -339 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Single Segment | 110 | 162 | 83 | ||
| Total | 110 | 162 | 83 |
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/4/2025 | -0.6% | 1.6% | |
| 8/5/2025 | -5.4% | -5.8% | 0.7% |
| 5/8/2025 | 9.6% | 13.1% | 33.4% |
| 2/27/2025 | 7.2% | 11.6% | -2.3% |
| 11/7/2024 | 5.0% | -17.0% | -28.9% |
| 8/7/2024 | 2.9% | 0.7% | 13.9% |
| 5/9/2024 | 4.9% | 7.4% | 3.7% |
| 2/29/2024 | 9.0% | 41.6% | 34.8% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 12 | 11 | 14 |
| # Negative | 10 | 11 | 8 |
| Median Positive | 5.2% | 7.4% | 10.7% |
| Median Negative | -3.6% | -8.5% | -26.4% |
| Max Positive | 9.6% | 41.6% | 90.6% |
| Max Negative | -6.6% | -18.9% | -59.0% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11042025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8052025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5082025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2272025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11072024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8072024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5092024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2292024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11092023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8112023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5112023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3022023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11032022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8042022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5052022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3082022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
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