RLJ Lodging Trust (RLJ)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $7.32 | Market Cap: $1.1 BilSector: Real Estate | Industry: Hotel & Resort REITs
RLJ Lodging Trust (RLJ)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $7.32Market Cap: $1.1 BilSector: Real EstateIndustry: Hotel & Resort REITs
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 12%, Dividend Yield is 8.5%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.5%, FCF Yield is 23% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -72%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -99% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 183% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19% | Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 10.79, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 13% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -4.5% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 36% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, Smart Buildings & Proptech, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include Travel & Leisure Tech, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 12%, Dividend Yield is 8.5%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.5%, FCF Yield is 23% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 36% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, Smart Buildings & Proptech, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include Travel & Leisure Tech, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -72%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -99% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 10.79, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 13% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 183% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -4.5% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
RLJ Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
For the approximate period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, RLJ Lodging Trust (RLJ) experienced a stock movement of -1.4%. This decline can be primarily attributed to the following key points: 1. Net Loss in Third Quarter 2025: RLJ Lodging Trust reported a net loss of $3.8 million for the third quarter ended September 30, 2025, translating to a net loss per share of $0.07. This marks a significant downturn from a net income in the corresponding period of the previous year. 2. Decline in Comparable RevPAR: The company's portfolio comparable Revenue Per Available Room (RevPAR) decreased by 5.1% over the prior year, reaching $138.51. This indicates a weakening performance in key operational metrics for its hotel portfolio. 3.
Show moreStock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| RLJ Return | -20% | -1% | -23% | 15% | -8% | -23% | -51% |
| Peers Return | -2% | 11% | -11% | 9% | 8% | -15% | -4% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| RLJ Win Rate | 42% | 42% | 33% | 50% | 42% | 40% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 50% | 48% | 43% | 47% | 57% | 44% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| RLJ Max Drawdown | -76% | -15% | -28% | -11% | -23% | -37% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -57% | -8% | -23% | -19% | -16% | -30% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HST, SHO, INN, IHT, VICI.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | RLJ | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -47.5% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 90.5% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -75.8% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 314.0% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -31.6% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 46.2% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
Compare to HST, SHO, INN, IHT, VICI
In The Past
RLJ Lodging Trust's stock fell -47.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/17/2021. A -47.5% loss requires a 90.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to RLJ. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 8.5% | 8.5% | -5.8% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 8.5% | 8.5% | -5.8% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for RLJ Lodging Trust
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 8.31 |
| Mkt Cap | 1.4 |
| Rev LTM | 1,145 |
| Op Inc LTM | 99 |
| FCF LTM | 214 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 235 |
| CFO LTM | 214 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 235 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 1.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 6.4% |
| Rev Chg Q | 0.5% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 9.3% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 10.5% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.4% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 19.9% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 21.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 18.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 20.4% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 1.4 |
| P/S | 1.9 |
| P/EBIT | 9.4 |
| P/E | 24.0 |
| P/CFO | 6.6 |
| Total Yield | 9.3% |
| Dividend Yield | 5.3% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 8.5% |
| D/E | 0.6 |
| Net D/E | 0.6 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 1.6% |
| 3M Rtn | -2.6% |
| 6M Rtn | 7.6% |
| 12M Rtn | -20.1% |
| 3Y Rtn | -15.1% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 1.6% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -10.3% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -7.1% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -27.1% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -82.1% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11062025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8082025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5052025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2262025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11072024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8022024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5022024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2272024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11022023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8042023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5052023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2282023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11032022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8052022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5052022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2242022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |