Park Hotels & Resorts (PK)
Market Price (12/22/2025): $10.915 | Market Cap: $2.2 BilSector: Real Estate | Industry: Hotel & Resort REITs
Park Hotels & Resorts (PK)
Market Price (12/22/2025): $10.915Market Cap: $2.2 BilSector: Real EstateIndustry: Hotel & Resort REITs
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 12%, Dividend Yield is 13%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 8.3%, FCF Yield is 5.6% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -58%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -51% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 207% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15% | Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 12.45, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 18% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.6%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -6.0% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 37% | Key risksPK key risks include [1] significant refinancing risk for a $1.4 billion loan maturing in 2026, Show more. | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, Smart Buildings & Proptech, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include Travel & Leisure Tech, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 12%, Dividend Yield is 13%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 8.3%, FCF Yield is 5.6% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 37% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, Smart Buildings & Proptech, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include Travel & Leisure Tech, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -58%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -51% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 12.45, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 18% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 207% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.6%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -6.0% |
| Key risksPK key risks include [1] significant refinancing risk for a $1.4 billion loan maturing in 2026, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
PK Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
The approximate -5.1% movement in Park Hotels & Resorts (PK) stock from August 31, 2025, to December 22, 2025, can be attributed to several key factors:
**1. Disappointing Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results.**
Park Hotels & Resorts reported a net loss of $(14) million and a diluted loss per share of $(0.08) for the third quarter ended September 30, 2025. Additionally, comparable Revenue Per Available Room (RevPAR) decreased by 6.1% compared to the same period in 2024, or a 4.9% decrease when excluding the Royal Palm South Beach Miami due to renovations.
**2. Significant Earnings Miss and Reduced Full-Year Guidance.**
The company's third-quarter 2025 diluted loss per share of $(0.08) significantly missed analyst forecasts by 366.67%. Following these results, management revised its full-year RevPAR guidance downward to a 2% decline and lowered its adjusted EBITDA forecast to $608 million, citing softer leisure demand. This downward revision contributed to investor concerns and an immediate stock price drop of 2.98% after the earnings release.
**3. Weakening Demand Environment and Operational Headwinds.**
Throughout the period, there was softer-than-anticipated group demand and leisure transient demand, which directly impacted RevPAR performance and compressed EBITDA margins. S&P Global Ratings noted a projected RevPAR decline of 1%-2% in 2025 due to these demand issues, coupled with cost inflation and disruptions from planned renovations.
**4. Elevated Leverage and Negative Credit Outlook.**
S&P Global Ratings revised its outlook for Park Hotels & Resorts, expecting elevated S&P Global Ratings-adjusted leverage through 2026. The rating agency projected S&P Global Ratings-adjusted debt to EBITDA to be in the low-6.0x area in 2025, which is weaker than their 5.5x downgrade threshold, indicating increased financial risk.
**5. Analyst Sentiment and Price Target Adjustments.**
While the consensus analyst rating for PK remained "Hold" by December 2025, some analysts adjusted their price targets downward, reflecting concerns over the company's performance and outlook. For example, Wells Fargo lowered its price target from $12 to $11 in December 2025, and Evercore ISI Group reduced its target from $13 to $12 in November 2025. A consensus "Reduce" rating was also noted from some analysts.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| PK Return | -30% | 10% | -36% | 49% | 1% | -17% | -39% |
| Peers Return | -21% | 21% | -14% | 23% | -2% | -9% | -10% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| PK Win Rate | 58% | 33% | 42% | 50% | 42% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 40% | 53% | 42% | 57% | 43% | 50% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| PK Max Drawdown | -81% | -7% | -41% | -7% | -8% | -36% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -66% | -6% | -21% | -9% | -16% | -31% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HST, RHP, APLE, PEB, SHO. See PK Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | PK | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -54.9% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 121.8% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -81.0% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 425.8% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -33.2% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 49.8% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
Compare to RHP, TNL, RRR, APLE, PEB
In The Past
Park Hotels & Resorts's stock fell -54.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/17/2021. A -54.9% loss requires a 121.8% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to PK. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 1.1% | 1.1% | -5.8% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 1.1% | 1.1% | -5.8% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Park Hotels & Resorts
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 11.84 |
| Mkt Cap | 2.5 |
| Rev LTM | 1,976 |
| Op Inc LTM | 233 |
| FCF LTM | 269 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 263 |
| CFO LTM | 376 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 413 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 2.0% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 5.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | -0.2% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -0.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 11.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 12.6% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.6% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 20.8% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 22.6% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 15.0% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 16.1% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 2.5 |
| P/S | 1.9 |
| P/EBIT | 12.7 |
| P/E | 16.8 |
| P/CFO | 8.7 |
| Total Yield | 9.5% |
| Dividend Yield | 4.7% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 8.3% |
| D/E | 0.6 |
| Net D/E | 0.6 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 4.0% |
| 3M Rtn | -2.2% |
| 6M Rtn | 10.8% |
| 12M Rtn | -15.2% |
| 3Y Rtn | 20.5% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 5.0% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -1.6% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -3.8% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -32.0% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -62.1% |
Comparison Analyses
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/30/2025 | -4.1% | -5.3% | -1.5% |
| 7/31/2025 | -3.9% | -3.2% | 10.3% |
| 5/5/2025 | -1.1% | 1.2% | -0.3% |
| 2/19/2025 | -0.5% | -5.7% | -11.5% |
| 10/29/2024 | 0.1% | 1.6% | 10.7% |
| 7/31/2024 | -2.1% | -9.5% | 0.3% |
| 4/30/2024 | -1.0% | 0.0% | -3.6% |
| 1/22/2024 | -1.2% | -5.6% | -7.0% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 6 | 10 | 12 |
| # Negative | 18 | 14 | 12 |
| Median Positive | 2.1% | 1.9% | 6.7% |
| Median Negative | -3.0% | -5.5% | -7.7% |
| Max Positive | 12.4% | 20.5% | 63.0% |
| Max Negative | -8.3% | -16.2% | -49.3% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11032025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8012025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5052025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2202025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10302024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8012024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5012024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2282024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11022023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8032023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5012023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2232023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11032022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8042022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5022022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2182022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | ECKERT THOMAS D | 3052025 | Buy | 11.75 | 20,000 | 235,000 | 1,850,366 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |