Tearsheet

MARA (MARA)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $12.38 | Market Cap: $4.6 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Internet Services & Infrastructure

MARA (MARA)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $12.38
Market Cap: $4.6 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Internet Services & Infrastructure

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 14%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 9.5%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -50%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -625 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -68%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 54%
  Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -97%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -144%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Crypto & Blockchain. Themes include Cryptocurrency Mining.
  Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 26%
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 14%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 9.5%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 54%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Crypto & Blockchain. Themes include Cryptocurrency Mining.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -50%
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -625 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -68%
5 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -97%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -144%
6 Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 26%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

MARA Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points highlighting why MARA's stock moved by approximately -22% for the period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025: 1. MARA's stock performance is highly correlated with Bitcoin's price, and a decline in Bitcoin's value during this period likely contributed to the stock's drop. Bitcoin experienced a decline in price during August 2025, as noted by MARA's CEO, who took the opportunity to strategically add to the company's treasury. Furthermore, a Seeking Alpha article from October 2025 mentioned Bitcoin falling 4% as it slipped further from $90K.

2. The company missed analyst expectations for its Q3 2025 earnings, which were reported around November 4, 2025. MARA reported earnings per share (EPS) of ($0.32), missing analysts' consensus estimates of ($0.26) by ($0.06). This earnings miss contributed to a price correction.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
MARA Return1084%215%-90%587%-29%-29%1251%
Peers Return15%25%-17%-10%-3%1%6%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
MARA Win Rate67%50%33%67%42%70% 
Peers Win Rate55%65%43%45%45%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
MARA Max Drawdown-55%0%-90%-1%-43%-40% 
Peers Max Drawdown-37%-8%-39%-30%-28%-29% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CSGS, DGII, UIS, FORR, VRSN. See MARA Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventMARAS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-95.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven2319.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-68.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven217.9%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven131 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-97.4%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven3766.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven406 days120 days

Compare to CSGS, DGII, UIS, FORR, VRSN


In The Past

MARA's stock fell -95.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/9/2021. A -95.9% loss requires a 2319.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About MARA (MARA)

Better Bets than MARA (MARA)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to MARA. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
0.9%0.9%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
0.8%0.8%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.3%3.3%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.1%5.1%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
4.0%4.0%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
0.9%0.9%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
0.8%0.8%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.3%3.3%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.1%5.1%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
4.0%4.0%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for MARA

Peers to compare with:

Financials

MARACSGSDGIIUISFORRVRSNMedian
NameMARA CSG Syst.Digi Int.Unisys Forreste.VeriSign  
Mkt Price12.4777.4242.922.767.09249.9427.70
Mkt Cap4.62.11.60.20.123.31.9
Rev LTM9191,2174211,9214121,6271,068
Op Inc LTM-6251515744111,10051
FCF LTM-1,323162103-231191,00561
FCF 3Y Avg-73611766-701189238
CFO LTM-891179106-168221,03364
CFO 3Y Avg-55413969-01592542

Growth & Margins

MARACSGSDGIIUISFORRVRSNMedian
NameMARA CSG Syst.Digi Int.Unisys Forreste.VeriSign  
Rev Chg LTM53.5%3.3%-2.4%-4.9%-9.1%5.5%0.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg82.7%4.3%5.7%-0.7%-7.7%5.2%4.7%
Rev Chg Q91.7%2.9%2.2%-7.4%-8.3%7.3%2.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM15.1%0.7%0.6%-1.9%-2.4%1.8%0.6%
Op Mgn LTM-68.0%12.4%13.5%2.3%2.6%67.6%7.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-57.8%12.0%11.7%1.4%3.8%67.5%7.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM7.5%0.0%0.4%-13.0%-0.9%-0.3%-0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM-97.0%14.7%25.3%-8.8%5.2%63.5%10.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-98.4%11.7%16.1%-0.2%3.3%59.6%7.5%
FCF/Rev LTM-144.0%13.3%24.5%-12.0%4.6%61.8%9.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-123.8%9.8%15.4%-3.7%2.4%57.4%6.1%

Valuation

MARACSGSDGIIUISFORRVRSNMedian
NameMARA CSG Syst.Digi Int.Unisys Forreste.VeriSign  
Mkt Cap4.62.11.60.20.123.31.9
P/S7.41.53.10.10.516.02.3
P/EBIT5.612.922.7-1.3-2.423.29.2
P/E7.321.330.3-0.8-2.132.214.3
P/CFO-7.69.912.1-1.78.825.39.3
Total Yield13.6%6.2%3.3%-118.1%-47.0%3.4%3.3%
Dividend Yield0.0%1.5%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.3%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-18.1%7.4%5.9%-25.0%4.1%4.1%4.1%
D/E0.50.30.02.80.40.10.3
Net D/E0.40.20.01.6-0.30.00.1

Returns

MARACSGSDGIIUISFORRVRSNMedian
NameMARA CSG Syst.Digi Int.Unisys Forreste.VeriSign  
1M Rtn-30.0%-1.1%18.7%-20.5%-7.7%2.5%-4.4%
3M Rtn-21.5%19.5%26.7%-27.9%-26.3%-8.5%-15.0%
6M Rtn-20.4%23.8%27.9%-39.1%-31.2%-8.4%-14.4%
12M Rtn-50.4%44.4%29.1%-66.4%-57.5%34.1%-10.6%
3Y Rtn80.5%34.6%4.5%-40.0%-80.5%24.8%14.6%
1M Excs Rtn-30.0%-1.1%18.8%-20.4%-7.6%2.5%-4.4%
3M Excs Rtn-22.8%15.0%20.5%-33.1%-32.3%-14.9%-18.8%
6M Excs Rtn-35.1%9.1%13.2%-53.8%-46.0%-23.1%-29.1%
12M Excs Rtn-68.1%30.7%15.7%-79.0%-72.4%21.1%-26.2%
3Y Excs Rtn35.7%-36.8%-68.1%-105.2%-152.4%-45.3%-56.7%

Comparison Analyses

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment388    
Digital Currency Blockchain segment 11815941
Total38811815941


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity97,822,687
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120254.0%
Average Daily Volume45,332,416
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.16
Basic Shares Quantity372,073,173
Short % of Basic Shares26.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251104202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025729202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024303202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241112202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024801202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023228202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231108202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023808202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023510202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022316202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221114202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022809202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022506202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021310202210-K 12/31/2021