Hut 8 (HUT)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $40.16 | Market Cap: $4.2 BilSector: Financials | Industry: Diversified Capital Markets
Hut 8 (HUT)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $40.16Market Cap: $4.2 BilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Diversified Capital Markets
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.6% | Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 14% | Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 136% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 89% | Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -15%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -112% | |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 60% | Key risksHUT key risks include [1] a reliance on digital asset appreciation for profitability over consistent operating profits, Show more. | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Crypto & Blockchain, Artificial Intelligence, and Datacenter Power. Themes include Cryptocurrency Mining, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.6% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 89% |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 60% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Crypto & Blockchain, Artificial Intelligence, and Datacenter Power. Themes include Cryptocurrency Mining, Show more. |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 14% |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 136% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -15%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -112% |
| Key risksHUT key risks include [1] a reliance on digital asset appreciation for profitability over consistent operating profits, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
HUT Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points explaining the 50.2% stock movement for Hut 8 (HUT) from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025:
1. Hut 8's strategic pivot from Bitcoin mining to AI data center infrastructure. The company announced a major partnership with Anthropic and Fluidstack to develop up to 2.3 gigawatts of AI data center capacity, signaling a significant shift in its business model towards higher-value, energy-intensive AI workloads.
2. Securing a substantial 15-year, $7 billion AI data center lease. This lease with Fluidstack for 245 megawatts of IT capacity at Hut 8's River Bend campus is a cornerstone of the new strategy, with Google providing a financial backstop for all lease payments and potential renewal options reaching $17.7 billion.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| HUT Return | � | � | � | � | 54% | 80% | � |
| Peers Return | � | � | � | � | � | 50% | � |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| HUT Win Rate | � | � | � | � | 58% | 67% | |
| Peers Win Rate | � | � | � | � | 48% | 62% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| HUT Max Drawdown | � | � | � | � | -53% | -48% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | � | � | � | � | � | -43% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: RIOT, MARA, CORZ, CLSK, CIFR.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
HUT has limited trading history. Below is the Financials sector ETF (XLF) in its place.
| Event | XLF | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -26.9% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 36.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 525 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -43.3% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 76.5% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 295 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -26.1% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 35.2% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 338 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -83.7% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 515.2% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 4,470 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to
In The Past
SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -26.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/12/2022. A -26.9% loss requires a 36.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| Hut 8 Earnings Notes | |||
| Hut 8 Stock Drop Looks Sharp, But How Deep Can It Go? | Return | ||
| Day 8 of Gains Streak for Hut 8 Stock with 29% Return (vs. 35% YTD) [9/3/2025] | Notification | ||
| Day 7 of Gains Streak for Hut 8 Stock with 28% Return (vs. 34% YTD) [9/2/2025] | Notification | ||
| Day 6 of Gains Streak for Hut 8 Stock with 25% Return (vs. 30% YTD) [8/29/2025] | Notification | ||
| Day 5 of Gains Streak for Hut 8 Stock with 24% Return (vs. 29% YTD) [8/28/2025] | Notification | ||
| Why Hut 8 Stock Moved: HUT Stock Has Gained 176% Since 2023 Fiscal End, Primarily Due To Favorable Change In Revenues | |||
| HUT Dip Buy Analysis | |||
| Hut 8 (HUT) Valuation Ratios Comparison | Financials | ||
| Hut 8 (HUT) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| ARTICLES | |||
| HUT Stock Up 29% after 8-Day Win Streak | September 4th, 2025 | ||
| HUT Stock Up 28% after 7-Day Win Streak | September 2nd, 2025 | ||
| HUT Stock Up 25% after 6-Day Win Streak | August 29th, 2025 | ||
| HUT Stock Up 24% after 5-Day Win Streak | August 29th, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to HUT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.1% | 14.1% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.4% | -2.4% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 4.6% | 4.6% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -9.0% | -9.0% | -11.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.1% | 14.1% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.4% | -2.4% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 4.6% | 4.6% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -9.0% | -9.0% | -11.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Hut 8
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 13.27 |
| Mkt Cap | 4.3 |
| Rev LTM | 653 |
| Op Inc LTM | -150 |
| FCF LTM | -888 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -532 |
| CFO LTM | -322 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -173 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 71.1% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 82.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | 131.5% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 19.4% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -49.2% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -46.3% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 5.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -74.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -43.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -138.8% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -161.7% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 4.3 |
| P/S | 8.9 |
| P/EBIT | 6.7 |
| P/E | 8.1 |
| P/CFO | -9.6 |
| Total Yield | 4.0% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -22.7% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -3.2% |
| 3M Rtn | -8.1% |
| 6M Rtn | 27.7% |
| 12M Rtn | -7.2% |
| 3Y Rtn | 374.2% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -3.9% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -18.2% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 15.3% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -13.4% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 236.5% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/4/2025 | -12.5% | -14.2% | -22.2% |
| 8/7/2025 | -3.2% | 8.1% | 22.7% |
| 3/3/2025 | -4.5% | -8.4% | -21.2% |
| 11/13/2024 | 3.9% | 6.1% | 14.5% |
| 8/13/2024 | -3.8% | 7.3% | -7.1% |
| 3/28/2024 | 12.0% | -1.7% | -10.6% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| # Negative | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| Median Positive | 7.9% | 7.3% | 18.6% |
| Median Negative | -4.2% | -8.4% | -15.9% |
| Max Positive | 12.0% | 8.1% | 22.7% |
| Max Negative | -12.5% | -14.2% | -22.2% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11042025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8072025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5082025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3032025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11132024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8132024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5152024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3282024 | 10-KT 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 12192023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 11092023 | 424B3 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 6132023 | S-4/A 3/31/2023 |
| 9302022 | 2132023 | S-4 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 4182023 | S-4/A 6/30/2022 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |